Pre-conception and prenatal factors influencing gestational weight gain: a prospective study in Tigray region, northern Ethiopia

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Study Justification:
– In low-income countries, pre-pregnancy undernutrition is a significant health challenge for women and their offspring.
– Adequate gestational weight gain is crucial for optimal maternal and child health outcomes.
– However, there is a lack of good-quality data on factors influencing gestational weight gain in Ethiopia.
Study Highlights:
– The study was conducted in the Tigray region, northern Ethiopia, between February 2018 and January 2019.
– Data was collected through interviews, questionnaires, and anthropometric measurements.
– The mean gestational weight gain was 10.6 kg, but 64.0% of women did not achieve adequate weight gain.
– Factors associated with higher gestational weight gain included women empowerment, dietary diversity, pre-pregnancy body mass index, haemoglobin levels, and adequate prenatal care.
Study Recommendations:
– Interventions are needed to improve gestational weight gain in the study area, particularly for underweight women before pregnancy.
– Recommendations include advancing women’s empowerment, improving dietary quality, addressing pre-pregnancy nutritional status, and promoting prenatal care utilization.
– These interventions have the potential to optimize maternal and child health outcomes.
Key Role Players:
– Health Extension Workers: They play a crucial role in implementing the health extension package and providing promotional and preventive services.
– Women Development Army: A network of health information workers who can assist in identifying pregnant women and providing support.
– Health Posts: Primary care facilities staffed by Health Extension Workers, where women can access health services and receive education.
– Researchers and Data Collectors: Individuals responsible for collecting and analyzing data to inform interventions and policies.
Cost Items for Planning Recommendations:
– Training and Capacity Building: Costs associated with training Health Extension Workers and other healthcare providers on implementing interventions.
– Education and Awareness Campaigns: Costs for developing and disseminating educational materials and conducting community awareness programs.
– Nutritional Support: Costs for providing nutritional supplements or support to pregnant women, including access to diverse and nutritious food.
– Healthcare Infrastructure: Costs for improving healthcare facilities and equipment to support prenatal care and monitoring.
– Monitoring and Evaluation: Costs for monitoring the implementation and effectiveness of interventions and evaluating their impact on gestational weight gain.
Please note that the provided cost items are general categories and not actual cost estimates. The actual costs will depend on the specific context and implementation strategies.

The strength of evidence for this abstract is 8 out of 10.
The evidence in the abstract is strong because it is based on a population-based prospective study with a large sample size. The study used a variety of data collection methods and statistical analyses to assess the factors influencing gestational weight gain. However, to improve the evidence, the abstract could provide more details on the study design, sampling method, and potential limitations of the study.

Background: In low-income countries, the high prevalence of pre-pregnancy undernutrition remains a challenge for the future health of women and their offspring. On top of good nutrition, adequate gestational weight gain has been recognized as an essential prerequisite for optimal maternal and child health outcomes. However, good-quality data on factors influencing gestational weight gain is lacking. Therefore, this study was aimed to prospectively identify pre-conception and prenatal factors influencing gestational weight gain in Ethiopia. Methods: A population based prospective study was undertaken between February 2018 and January 2019 in the Tigray region, northern Ethiopia. Firstly, the weight of non-pregnant women of reproductive age living in the study area was measured between August and October 2017. Subsequently, eligible pregnant women identified during the study period were included consecutively and followed until birth. Data were collected through an interviewer-administered questionnaire and anthropometric measurements complemented with secondary data. Gestational weight gain, i.e., the difference between 32 to 36 weeks of gestation and pre-pregnancy weights, was classified as per the Institute of Medicine (IOM) guideline. Linear, spline, and logistic regression models were used to estimate the influence of pre-conception and prenatal factors on gestational weight gain. Results: The mean gestational weight gain (standard deviation[SD]) was 10.6 (2.3) kg. Overall, 64.0% (95% CI 60.9, 67.1) of the women did not achieve adequate weight gain. Factors associated with higher gestational weight gain were higher women empowerment (B 0.60, 95% CI 0.06, 1.14), dietary diversity (B 0.39, 95% CI 0.03, 0.76), pre-pregnancy body mass index (B 0.13, 95% CI 0.05, 0.22), and haemoglobin (B 0.54, 95% CI 0.45, 0.64). Additionally, adequate prenatal care (B 0.58, 95% CI 0.28, 0.88) was associated with higher gestational weight gain. Conclusions: Adequate gestational weight gain was not achieved by most women in the study area, primarily not by those who were underweight before pregnancy. Interventions that advance women’s empowerment, dietary quality, pre-pregnancy nutritional status, and prenatal care utilization may improve gestational weight gain and contribute to optimizing maternal and child health outcomes.

The analyses for this study were performed on data from the KIlte-Awlaelo Tigray Ethiopia (KITE) cohort, a prospective cohort study in Kilite-Awlaelo Health and Demographic Surveillance Site (KA-HDSS) conducted between February 2018 and January 2019 [23]. KA-HDSS is located in the eastern zone of the Tigray region, northern Ethiopia. The site has 113,760 residents in ten rural and three urban kebeles (the smallest administrative units). Women of reproductive age account for 24% of the population. Within the surveillance site, about 4550 pregnancies are expected per year. Most of the population live in rural settings, and agriculture is the primary source of income. Ethiopia has a three-tier health care system with health posts at the forefront of primary care. There is one health post in each kebele staffed by two to three Health Extension Workers (HEWs). Health posts provide promotional and preventive services under the umbrella of the ‘health extension package.’ The primary delivery modality of the package is through home-to-home visits. The health extension package consists of 16 components concerning family health services, disease prevention and control, and hygiene and environmental sanitation. The components include maternal and child health, family planning, nutrition, proper and safe waste disposal, and food hygiene and safety measures. Health Extension Workers train the households in their catchment area on health extension package and follow the progress of implementing the package after the training [24]. The sample size was calculated to achieve the objectives of the prospective study with respect to pregnancy outcomes in relation to nutritional status. The primary outcome was low birth weight, and the target was to be able to discriminate an estimated proportion of 24.6% low birth weight among women with Mid-Upper Arm Circumference (MUAC) ≥ 23.0 cm and a proportion of 32.6% among women with MUAC  0.2 standard deviations (SD) could also be detected. Firstly, the weight of non-pregnant women (n = 17,500) living in the study area was measured between August and October 2017 using a Seca scale to the nearest 100 g. Subsequently, eligible pregnant women were identified and included consecutively between February 2018 and January 2019. A community-based survey by Health Extension Workers through the “Women Development Army,” a network of health information workers reaching individual households around the health posts, was applied to identify the pregnant women. Also, antenatal records and the KA-HDSS database were used to identify pregnant women. The criteria for inclusion were being married, being aged 18 or over, having weight measured before pregnancy, and having completed ≤20 weeks of gestation. Identifying unmarried pregnant women is complicated by lack of registration that is also required to facilitate follow-up. In the study area, identification of women is based on identifying their respective households, which requires knowing the name of the household head (the husband). Therefore, only married women were included in the study, which was also an opportunity to collect husband information. As height continues to increase during the adolescence period, women aged  10 was used as suggestive of violence [33]. Similarly, women’s empowerment was assessed by asking nine questions addressing three dimensions of empowerment: economic, socio-familial, and legal. The economic empowerment asked the relative income to husband, control over men’s income, control over women’s income, and decision-making on large household purchases. Likewise, the socio-familial empowerment was scored based on decision-making on family visits, decision-making on women’s health and attitude towards domestic violence. In contrast, the legal empowerment assessed women’s legal entitlements over land and house [34–36]. Then, coding each as 1 or 0, the scores were totaled as women empowerment scores (0 to 9). Furthermore, the question “At the time you became pregnant, did you wanted to get pregnant then, wanted later, or did not want at all?” was asked at inclusion to assess the index pregnancy plan. Accordingly, if the intention was not to get pregnant then, the pregnancy was considered unplanned. Food and dietary characteristics, including the number of meals per day, frequency of dietary intake (vegetables, fruits, animals-source food, alcohol, and coffee), fasting, agrobiodiversity, harvest volume, dietary diversity, and food security, were assessed at inclusion. In assessing fasting, women were asked, ‘Do you fast?’. If you fast, ‘Which one: the regular weekly fast, the long fast times, or both?’. The weekly fast includes fasting every Wednesday and Friday almost throughout the year. The longer fasting periods include the 40-days Christmas fast, the 55-days of Lenten, the 14-days Apostles fast, and the14-days Dormition fast. Women were regarded as ‘fasting’ if they fasted both the weekly and the long fasting times. Agrobiodiversity was captured by querying women about a list of food crops and livestock products their households produced in the past year. Then, by counting the number of product groups consisting cereals, roots, and tubers; legumes and nuts; oilseeds; fruits; vegetables; dairy; egg; and meat and poultry, a sum score of agrobiodiversity ranging from 0 to 8 was obtained [37]. Additionally, the amount of produce of each crop, expressed in quintiles was asked, and total harvest volume was calculated by adding the amounts reported for all crops. A 24-h dietary diversity score was obtained by asking women if they consumed a list of food groups with ‘yes’ or ‘no’ response options. The sum yielded a dietary diversity score ranging from 0 to 10, with scores ≥5 indicating adequate diet diversity [27]. Moreover, to measure household food insecurity, women were asked how often nine specific food insecurity associated conditions, if any, happened in the previous month (0) not at all, 1) rarely, 2) sometimes, or 3) often) [28]. The answers were aggregated to a food insecurity score between 0 and 27. If the responses to all occurrence questions were no or if the affirmative response was only to “did you worry that your household would not have enough food” in a rare frequency of occurrence, households were classified as food secure [28]. Partner support was rated by the five-item Turner Support Scale with each item scored from 0 to 3 [38], and a sum score < 10 was defined as low. Support from significant other social sources was also rated using Oslo-3 Social Support Scale, and scoring ≤8 was considered low [39]. Both were summed up as a total support score. Distress was obtained using the ten-item Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale [40], the seven-item anxiety subscale of the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale [41], and the four-item Perceived Stress Scale [42]. The depression and anxiety scales were rated from 0 to 3, while the stress scale was scored from 0 to 4. Summing the standardized depression, anxiety, and stress scores, a total distress score was obtained. Additionally, a cut-off point ≥13 as suggestive of high depressive symptoms [40] and ≥ 8 for high symptoms of anxiety and stress were used. To indicate the level of distress, the presence of high symptoms in one, two, or all of the three domains, i.e., anxiety, depression, or stress, were considered. Anthropometric measures; weight to the nearest 100 g as measured before pregnancy, and height to the nearest 0.1 cm were collected at inclusion using a Seca scale and height-measuring board. Likewise, MUAC to the nearest 0.1 cm was measured using MUAC-measuring tape. All measurements were taken twice and averaged. Pre-pregnancy BMI (pre-pregnancy weight (kg)/[height (m)]2) was categorized as underweight (BMI 16 weeks or was received only once [45]. Moreover, weight and MUAC were measured as they were measured at inclusion. Also, data on human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection, urine analysis, rhesus factor, stool examination, venereal diseases, hepatitis B infection, haemoglobin, and other illnesses were extracted from antenatal records when available. Based on the measures at prenatal care booking, haemoglobin < 11 g/dL was defined as anaemia. Data were entered into Epi-Data 3.1 and analyzed with STATA (Version 11, Stata Corporation, College Station, Texas, USA). Proportions and means (SD) or medians (interquartile range [IQRs]) were used to describe the characteristics of the study population. Gestational weight gain, obtained by subtracting pre-pregnancy weight from weight measured between 32 to 36 weeks of gestation, was classified based on the 2009 IOM guideline. As excessive weight gain was rare, weight gain was re-categorized into inadequate or adequate. Student’s t-test or Mann Whitney U-test, as appropriate, was used to comparing the mean of continuous variables between women with adequate and inadequate weight gain. To compare the distribution of categorical variables by adequacy of weight gain, a Chi-squared test was used. The assumption of linear association between gestational weight gain and the independent variables was preliminarily tested with ANOVA comparing mean weight gain by categories of each independent variable. If this test suggested non-linearity, spline regression was applied (Stata adjust-rcspline package), and each independent variable was partitioned into two continuous variables, below and above the knot value (K), using the mkspline command [46]. The coefficient B2 for the second spline variable represents the change in the effect of the variable above K as compared to below K. The effect of a unit increase in the value of the variable above K can be obtained as B2 − B1, where B1 is the coefficient of the lower partition. The knot value resulting in the best-fitted linear spline regression model, as apparent by the lowest root mean square of errors, was determined by checking the different values of the respective independent variable around a knot value estimated by viewing the linear spline regression curves. Finally, the two variables with their intercepts were regressed against gestational weight gain. If the coefficient for the second spline variable was statistically significant, this was considered to indicate that the effect of values above the knot was significantly different from below the knot, and we concluded that the association was non-linear. When the linear spline regression fitted better than quadratic and cubic models, the two variables and the second intercept were included in the analysis. The unadjusted association of the independent variables with gestational weight gain was assessed using univariable linear regression. Including all statistically significant independent variables (P < 0.05, tested two-sided) from the univariable analyses, a multivariable linear regression model was fitted to determine adjusted effects on gestational weight gain. The normality of residuals was assessed through the normal probability and quantile-quantile plots. Homogeneity of variance was checked using the Breusch-Pagan test. Moreover, the model specification and omitted variable bias were tested using the Stata linktest and ovtest commands. Also, multicollinearity was assessed using the variance inflation factor (vif). Finally, the probability of achieving adequate gestational weight gain by optimizing the foremost factors was estimated based on a multivariable logistic regression model using marginal standardization [47]. All independent variables that were significantly associated with adequate gestational weight gain (P < 0.05, tested two-sided) in the univariable analyses were included in the subsequent multivariable logistic regression model. Residence and MUAC were correlated with other variables and were not included.

Based on the information provided, here are some potential innovations that could improve access to maternal health:

1. Mobile Health (mHealth) Applications: Develop mobile applications that provide pregnant women with information on nutrition, prenatal care, and gestational weight gain. These apps can also send reminders for prenatal appointments and provide access to virtual consultations with healthcare providers.

2. Community Health Workers: Train and deploy community health workers to provide education and support to pregnant women in rural areas. These workers can conduct home visits, provide counseling on nutrition and prenatal care, and help women navigate the healthcare system.

3. Telemedicine: Implement telemedicine services to connect pregnant women in remote areas with healthcare providers. This would allow women to receive prenatal care and consultations without having to travel long distances.

4. Maternal Health Vouchers: Introduce voucher programs that provide pregnant women with financial assistance to cover the costs of prenatal care, including gestational weight gain monitoring. This would help reduce financial barriers to accessing healthcare services.

5. Health Extension Workers: Strengthen the existing health extension worker program by providing additional training on maternal health. These workers can play a crucial role in promoting good nutrition, monitoring gestational weight gain, and referring women to appropriate healthcare facilities.

6. Maternal Health Education Campaigns: Launch targeted education campaigns to raise awareness about the importance of adequate gestational weight gain and the impact it has on maternal and child health outcomes. These campaigns can be conducted through various channels, including radio, television, and community gatherings.

7. Integration of Services: Improve coordination and integration between different healthcare providers and services involved in maternal health. This would ensure that pregnant women receive comprehensive care that addresses their nutritional needs, prenatal care, and gestational weight gain monitoring.

8. Public-Private Partnerships: Foster collaborations between the public and private sectors to improve access to maternal health services. This could involve leveraging private sector resources and expertise to expand healthcare infrastructure and services in underserved areas.

9. Maternal Health Monitoring Systems: Develop robust monitoring systems to track and evaluate gestational weight gain and other maternal health indicators. This would provide valuable data for identifying areas of improvement and measuring the impact of interventions.

10. Policy and Advocacy: Advocate for policies that prioritize maternal health and allocate resources to improve access to care. This could involve working with government agencies, NGOs, and other stakeholders to develop and implement policies that support maternal health initiatives.

It is important to note that these recommendations are based on the information provided and may need to be tailored to the specific context and needs of the Tigray region in northern Ethiopia.
AI Innovations Description
Based on the description provided, the recommendation to improve access to maternal health and address the issue of inadequate gestational weight gain in the study area could include the following:

1. Strengthening women’s empowerment: Implement interventions that promote women’s empowerment, such as providing education and economic opportunities, to improve their decision-making power and control over resources. This can contribute to better nutrition and overall health during pregnancy.

2. Enhancing dietary quality: Develop programs that focus on improving dietary diversity and promoting the consumption of nutrient-rich foods, including fruits, vegetables, and animal-source foods. This can be achieved through education, awareness campaigns, and support for local food production.

3. Improving pre-pregnancy nutritional status: Implement interventions that address pre-pregnancy undernutrition, particularly among women who are underweight before pregnancy. This can include providing access to nutritious food, nutritional supplements, and healthcare services aimed at improving overall health and nutritional status before conception.

4. Promoting adequate prenatal care: Enhance the utilization of prenatal care services by providing education and awareness about the importance of regular prenatal visits. This can be achieved through community-based outreach programs, mobile clinics, and the training of healthcare providers to deliver quality prenatal care.

By implementing these recommendations, it is expected that access to maternal health will be improved, leading to better gestational weight gain and ultimately optimizing maternal and child health outcomes.
AI Innovations Methodology
Based on the description provided, here are some potential recommendations for improving access to maternal health:

1. Strengthening women’s empowerment: Implement interventions that promote women’s empowerment, such as providing education and economic opportunities, to improve access to maternal health services.

2. Enhancing dietary quality: Develop programs that focus on improving dietary diversity and nutrition education for pregnant women, ensuring they have access to a balanced and nutritious diet during pregnancy.

3. Improving pre-pregnancy nutritional status: Implement interventions that address pre-pregnancy undernutrition, such as providing nutritional supplements and counseling to women before they conceive.

4. Increasing utilization of prenatal care: Enhance prenatal care services by improving accessibility, availability, and quality. This can include increasing the number of health facilities, training healthcare providers, and promoting community-based prenatal care.

To simulate the impact of these recommendations on improving access to maternal health, a methodology could involve the following steps:

1. Collect baseline data: Gather information on the current status of access to maternal health services, including indicators such as the percentage of women receiving prenatal care, gestational weight gain rates, and maternal health outcomes.

2. Define target indicators: Determine specific indicators that will be used to measure the impact of the recommendations, such as the percentage increase in prenatal care utilization or the reduction in the percentage of women with inadequate gestational weight gain.

3. Develop a simulation model: Create a mathematical or statistical model that incorporates the baseline data and simulates the potential impact of the recommendations on the target indicators. This model should consider factors such as population size, demographic characteristics, and healthcare infrastructure.

4. Input intervention scenarios: Input different scenarios into the simulation model to represent the implementation of the recommendations. For example, simulate the impact of increasing women’s empowerment by a certain percentage or improving dietary quality through specific interventions.

5. Analyze results: Analyze the simulation results to determine the potential impact of each recommendation on the target indicators. Compare the different scenarios to identify the most effective interventions for improving access to maternal health.

6. Refine and validate the model: Refine the simulation model based on feedback and validation from experts in the field. Ensure that the model accurately represents the real-world context and provides reliable predictions.

7. Communicate findings: Present the findings of the simulation study to relevant stakeholders, such as policymakers, healthcare providers, and community organizations. Use the results to advocate for the implementation of the recommended interventions and inform decision-making processes.

It is important to note that the methodology described above is a general framework and may need to be adapted based on the specific context and available data.

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