Determinants of abortion among youth 15–24 in Ethiopia: A multilevel analysis based on EDHS 2016

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Study Justification:
– The study aimed to address the lack of information on abortion and its determinants among youth women in Ethiopia.
– Understanding the factors associated with abortion among youth can provide clear direction for policymaking in Ethiopia.
Highlights:
– The study found that the abortion rate among youth in Ethiopia was 2.5%.
– Factors associated with abortion included age group (20-24), number of previous births, age at first birth, marital status, wealth status, and region.
– The study highlighted the need for interventions to improve access to reproductive healthcare for economically poor youth and those under 18 years old.
– It also emphasized the importance of addressing cultural perceptions and providing support for unmarried and younger youth.
Recommendations:
– Policymakers should prioritize improving access to reproductive healthcare services for youth, particularly those who are economically disadvantaged and under 18 years old.
– Interventions should focus on addressing cultural perceptions and providing support for unmarried and younger youth.
– Efforts should be made to increase awareness and education about contraception and family planning methods among youth.
Key Role Players:
– Ministry of Health
– Ministry of Women, Children, and Youth Affairs
– Non-governmental organizations working in the field of reproductive health
– Community health workers and educators
– Youth organizations and advocates
Cost Items for Planning Recommendations:
– Training and capacity building for healthcare providers and community health workers
– Development and implementation of educational programs and campaigns
– Provision of contraceptives and family planning services
– Monitoring and evaluation of interventions
– Research and data collection on youth reproductive health
– Advocacy and awareness-raising activities

The strength of evidence for this abstract is 7 out of 10.
The evidence in the abstract is moderately strong. The study utilized data from the Ethiopian demographic health survey (EDHS) 2016, which provides a large sample size and representative data. The study also used multilevel logistic regression analysis to examine the determinants of abortion among youth women. However, the abstract lacks specific details about the methodology and statistical analysis techniques used. To improve the strength of the evidence, the abstract should include more information about the sampling strategy, data collection methods, and statistical tests performed. Additionally, providing more specific results, such as the magnitude of the associations between the predictors and abortion, would enhance the clarity and usefulness of the findings.

Introduction Determinants of the magnitude of abortion among women of diverse social and economic status, particularly in Africa poorly understood because of the missing information in most countries. In this study, we addressed abortion and its determinants among youth women of 15–24 ages to provide clear direction for policymaking in Ethiopia. Methods We examined the 2016 Ethiopian demographic health survey data downloaded from the EDHS website after obtaining permission on abortion among 15–24 age women. We applied bivariate and multilevel binary logistic regression. Community and Individual level abortion predictors passed through a three-level binary logistic regression analysis where we used p-value <0.05 and adjusted odds ratios (AOR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Result The abortion among the youth population in this study was 2.5%. Factors associated with pregnancy were age group 20–24 2.5(1.6–3.8), youth with one birth 0.65(0.44–0.96), youth with 2–5 births 0.31(0.18–0.55), age ≥18 0.50(0.33–0.76), married 38(17–84), divorced 20 (7–55), birth in the last five years 0.65(0.44–0.96), middle wealth youth 1.7(1.0.4–2.8), being in Amhara0.31(0.11–0.85), and 0.30(0.12–0.77). Conclusion Less abortion occurred in economically poor youths. It is a noble finding; however, the access problem might lead to the result. We observed more abortions in age <18years; those have not given birth until the data collection date. It portrays forth clear policy direction for politicians and all other stakeholders to intervene in the problem. The analysis also showed abortion increased with age. It shows that as age increased, youths disclose abortion which is rare at an early age, and again given an essential clue for the next interventions. The fact in this study is both age and marriage affected abortion similarly. It might be because of various culture-related perceptions where it is not appropriate for an unmarried woman to appear with any pregnancy outcome as the reason behind the decreased number of abortions at a younger age. Thus, more attention is required during implementation for unmarried and lower age youth regardless of the magnitude of the abortion.

We used a cross-sectional study design based on the data from Ethiopian demographic health survey (EDHS) 2016. The Ethiopian population is 112.0 million in 2019 as per the National Bank of Ethiopia and the World Bank. There are nine regions (Tigray, Afar, Amhara, Oromia, Somali, Benishangul, SNNPR (south nation nationalities people’s region), Gambela, and Harari) and two city administrations (Addis Ababa and Dire Dawa) in the country. The administration levels went from regions, zones, and through woredas [21]. We downloaded EDHS 2016 dataset for this study purpose and extracted youth females of age 15–24 years consider only those who had complete records and then cleaned and made the data ready for the analysis. In this process, we extracted 6,401 population [22]. EDHS collects data on fertility and childhood mortality levels, fertility preferences, awareness, approval, use of family planning methods, maternal and child health, domestic violence, knowledge, and attitudes toward HIV/AIDS and other sexually among the adult population. The frame of the Population and Housing Census (PHC) contains a complete list including information about the enumeration area (EA) location, type of residence (urban or rural), and the estimated number of residential households which developed for this purpose by the Central Statistical Agency (CSA) used [22]. We accessed the data from the Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) website. It is available at (http://www.dhsprogram.com) requesting registration for permission. The data we got then used only for the research purpose. We kept all data confidential, and we did not identify households or individuals. EDHS approved by the Ethiopian Health Nutrition and Research Institute (EHNRI) Review Board and the National Research Ethics Review Committee (NRERC) at the Ministry of Science and Technology, Ethiopia. As published in the survey report of 2016, they collected verbal informed consent from participants, and the purpose of the study was clear to participants [22]. Participation in the survey was voluntary, and they respected the right to decline. The outcome variable for this study was abortion. We took it from the EDHS question ‘have you ever had a pregnancy termination?’ with the response ‘yes’ if the woman ever had an abortion and otherwise ‘no’ as a binary outcome. It usually means abortion is any pregnancy outcome of a miscarriage, abortion, or stillbirth [23–25]. The exploratory variables are individual or group variables showing both mother and child, every socio-demographic variable used in the selected EDHS dataset. After downloading the dataset and including it in the study according to the criteria, we cleaned data in Stata v. 15.0. The data then weighted as per sampling weight, primary sampling unit, and strata before analyzing in Stata 15.0. Finally, we examined abortion in 2016 datasets and discovered the correlation of independent with outcome variables. Individual and group-level predictors of abortion examined using multilevel logistic regression on pooled data from the datasets. Significance level maintained at p<0.05 with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Before the multilevel logistic regression application, we checked all assumptions. Each variable checked on bivariate before introducing into the consecutive multilevel logistic regression models where 0.2 used to include variables to models.

Based on the provided information, it seems that the study is focused on understanding the determinants of abortion among youth women in Ethiopia. To improve access to maternal health, here are some potential recommendations:

1. Strengthening Sexual and Reproductive Health Education: Implement comprehensive sexual and reproductive health education programs that provide accurate information about contraception, family planning, and safe abortion services. This can help reduce unintended pregnancies and the need for unsafe abortions.

2. Increasing Availability of Contraceptive Methods: Improve access to a wide range of contraceptive methods, including long-acting reversible contraceptives (LARCs), such as intrauterine devices (IUDs) and implants. This can help prevent unintended pregnancies and reduce the demand for abortion services.

3. Expanding Access to Safe Abortion Services: Ensure that safe and legal abortion services are available and accessible to all women, including youth. This includes training healthcare providers in safe abortion procedures, reducing stigma surrounding abortion, and providing information about where to access these services.

4. Strengthening Post-Abortion Care: Improve the quality and availability of post-abortion care services to ensure that women who have undergone an abortion receive appropriate medical care, counseling, and support. This can help prevent complications and ensure women’s overall well-being.

5. Addressing Socio-cultural Barriers: Address socio-cultural barriers that may prevent women, especially unmarried and younger women, from seeking reproductive healthcare services, including abortion. This can be done through community engagement, awareness campaigns, and working with religious and community leaders to promote acceptance and understanding.

6. Enhancing Healthcare Infrastructure: Invest in improving healthcare infrastructure, particularly in rural areas, to ensure that women have access to quality maternal healthcare services, including antenatal care, skilled birth attendance, and emergency obstetric care.

7. Strengthening Health Systems: Strengthen health systems by training and equipping healthcare providers, improving supply chain management for essential maternal health commodities, and ensuring adequate funding for maternal health programs.

It’s important to note that these recommendations are based on the information provided and may need to be tailored to the specific context and needs of Ethiopia.
AI Innovations Description
Based on the information provided, the recommendation to improve access to maternal health based on the study findings would be to focus on the following areas:

1. Increase access to family planning methods: The study found that youth women with one or more births had lower odds of having an abortion. This suggests that providing access to family planning methods and promoting their use among youth can help reduce the number of unintended pregnancies and subsequently decrease the need for abortions.

2. Improve access to maternal healthcare services: The study highlighted that economically poor youth had lower rates of abortion. This may indicate that financial barriers prevent some youth from accessing maternal healthcare services, including safe abortion services. Therefore, efforts should be made to improve access to affordable and quality maternal healthcare services, particularly for economically disadvantaged youth.

3. Address cultural perceptions and stigma: The study found that unmarried women and younger age groups had higher rates of abortion. This may be due to cultural perceptions and stigma surrounding unmarried women and pregnancy outcomes. It is important to address these cultural barriers and provide support and counseling services to unmarried and younger women to ensure they have access to safe and legal abortion services if needed.

4. Target interventions based on regional differences: The study identified regional variations in abortion rates, with the Amhara region having lower rates compared to other regions. This suggests the need for targeted interventions and policies that address the specific needs and challenges faced by different regions in Ethiopia.

Overall, the findings of the study provide valuable insights into the determinants of abortion among youth women in Ethiopia. By implementing the above recommendations, policymakers and stakeholders can work towards improving access to maternal health services and reducing the incidence of unsafe abortions, ultimately contributing to better maternal health outcomes.
AI Innovations Methodology
Based on the provided information, it seems that the study is focused on understanding the determinants of abortion among youth women in Ethiopia. The study utilized data from the 2016 Ethiopian Demographic Health Survey (EDHS) and applied bivariate and multilevel binary logistic regression analysis to identify factors associated with abortion.

To improve access to maternal health, it is important to consider innovations that address the identified determinants of abortion among youth women. Here are some potential recommendations:

1. Comprehensive Sexual and Reproductive Health Education: Implementing comprehensive sexual and reproductive health education programs that provide accurate information about contraception, pregnancy prevention, and safe abortion services can help reduce the need for abortion among youth women.

2. Accessible and Affordable Contraceptive Services: Ensuring that youth women have easy access to a wide range of contraceptive methods, including long-acting reversible contraceptives (LARCs), at affordable prices can help prevent unintended pregnancies and reduce the need for abortion.

3. Youth-Friendly Health Services: Establishing youth-friendly health clinics that provide confidential, non-judgmental, and culturally sensitive reproductive health services can encourage youth women to seek reproductive healthcare, including contraception and safe abortion services, without fear of stigma or discrimination.

4. Strengthening Post-Abortion Care: Improving the quality and availability of post-abortion care services, including counseling, contraception provision, and treatment of complications, can help ensure that youth women who have undergone abortion receive appropriate and timely care.

To simulate the impact of these recommendations on improving access to maternal health, a methodology could be developed as follows:

1. Define the target population: Specify the characteristics of the target population, such as age range (e.g., 15-24 years), geographical location (e.g., specific regions or cities in Ethiopia), and socio-economic status.

2. Collect baseline data: Gather data on the current status of access to maternal health services, including the prevalence of abortion, contraceptive use, availability of youth-friendly health services, and post-abortion care services.

3. Develop a simulation model: Create a simulation model that incorporates the identified determinants of abortion among youth women and the potential impact of the recommended innovations. The model should consider factors such as the effectiveness of comprehensive sexual and reproductive health education, the accessibility and affordability of contraceptive services, the availability and quality of youth-friendly health services, and the provision of post-abortion care.

4. Input data and run simulations: Input the baseline data into the simulation model and run multiple simulations to assess the potential impact of the recommended innovations on improving access to maternal health. Vary the parameters related to the innovations, such as the coverage and quality of sexual and reproductive health education, the availability and affordability of contraceptive services, and the accessibility and effectiveness of youth-friendly health services.

5. Analyze results: Analyze the simulation results to determine the potential impact of the recommended innovations on key outcomes, such as the reduction in abortion rates, increased contraceptive use, improved access to youth-friendly health services, and better post-abortion care.

6. Validate and refine the model: Validate the simulation model by comparing the simulated results with real-world data, if available. Refine the model based on feedback from experts and stakeholders to ensure its accuracy and reliability.

7. Communicate findings and make recommendations: Present the findings of the simulation study to policymakers, healthcare providers, and other stakeholders involved in maternal health. Use the results to make evidence-based recommendations for implementing the identified innovations and improving access to maternal health services for youth women in Ethiopia.

It is important to note that the methodology described above is a general framework and may need to be adapted based on the specific context and available data in Ethiopia.

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