Socio – economic determinants of abortion among women in Mozambique and Ghana: Evidence from demographic and health survey

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Study Justification:
This study aimed to investigate the socio-economic determinants of abortion among women in Mozambique and Ghana. The justification for this study is that while differences in abortion laws may account for variations in abortion rates among African countries, there is a lack of research on other factors that may contribute to these differences. Specifically, there is a paucity of information on how socio-demographic factors influence the prevalence of pregnancy termination among women of reproductive age in sub-Saharan Africa.
Highlights:
– The study used data from the 2014 Ghana and 2011 Mozambique Demographic and Health Surveys.
– The results showed that approximately 25% of respondents in Ghana and 9% in Mozambique reported having had a pregnancy terminated.
– Factors associated with higher odds of pregnancy termination included primary education, older age, Christianity, employment, being ever married, having fewer than four births, and having access to social media (radio and television).
– The study suggests the need for regular integrated community-based outreach programs to promote effective contraception and prevent unintended pregnancies.
Recommendations:
– Implement regular integrated community-based outreach programs to raise awareness about effective contraception and prevent unintended pregnancies.
– Provide education and support for women with lower levels of education and those in older age groups to reduce the likelihood of pregnancy termination.
– Develop targeted interventions for women who are ever married, have fewer than four births, and have access to social media to address the factors associated with higher odds of pregnancy termination.
Key Role Players:
– Ministry of Health in Mozambique and Ghana
– Ghana Statistical Service
– Ministerio da Saude – MISAU/Moçambique
– Instituto Nacional de Estatística – INE/Moçambique
– ICF Macro (international company providing technical support for the surveys)
– MEASURE DHS (organization providing the data)
Cost Items for Planning Recommendations:
– Development and implementation of community-based outreach programs
– Education and support programs for women with lower levels of education and older age groups
– Targeted interventions for women who are ever married, have fewer than four births, and have access to social media
– Training and capacity building for healthcare providers and community workers
– Monitoring and evaluation of the interventions
– Communication and dissemination of information materials

The strength of evidence for this abstract is 8 out of 10.
The evidence in the abstract is strong because it is based on data from the 2014 Ghana and 2011 Mozambique Demographic and Health Surveys, which are nationwide surveys designed to provide adequate data on population and health. The study used a large sample size of 9375 women in Ghana and 13,660 women in Mozambique. The results are presented as odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals. However, to improve the evidence, the abstract could provide more details on the methodology used, such as the specific statistical tests employed and any potential limitations of the study.

Background: Despite the variances in abortion laws accounting for differences in incidence of abortion among African countries, it appears there is absence of literature on other factors that may also account for the differences in incidence of abortion. Specifically, there is paucity of information on how socio-demographic factors account for the disparities in prevalence of pregnancy termination among women of reproductive age in sub-Saharan Africa. In view of this, this paper examined how socio-demographic factors influence pregnancy termination among women in reproductive age in Mozambique and Ghana. Methods: The study made use of data from the 2014 Ghana and 2011 Mozambique Demographic and Health Survey for the study. For the purpose of this study a sample of 9375 and 13,660 made up of women in their reproductive ages (15-49) in Ghana and Mozambique respectively was used. The results on the analysis of the association between socio-demographic factors and pregnancy termination are presented as odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Results: The results revealed that about 25% of the respondents in Ghana and 9% of the respondents in Mozambique reported ever had a pregnancy terminated. In both countries, the odds of pregnancy termination were high among women with primary education, those in the older age groups, women who were Christians and women who were employed. Similarly, higher odds of pregnancy termination were found among ever married women, those who less than four births or more and those who have had access to social media (radio and television). Conclusion: To reduce unintended pregnancies that could lead to pregnancy termination, there is a need for regular integrated community-based outreach programs targeted at generating community responsiveness of effective contraception and prevention of unintended pregnancy.

The 2014 Ghana and 2011 Mozambique Demographic and Health Survey data were used for the study. Demographic and Health Survey is a nationwide survey which is designed and conducted every five years. The DHS focuses on child and maternal health and is designed to provide adequate data to monitor the population and health situation in Ghana and Mozambique. Demographic and Health Survey was carried out by the Ghana Statistical Service and Ministerio da Saude – MISAU/Moçambique, Instituto Nacional de Estatística – INE/Moçambique with ICF Macro an international company, giving the technical support needed for the survey through MEASURE DHS. The survey employs a stratified two stage sampling technique. The first stage involves the selection of points or clusters (enumeration areas [EAs]). The second stage is the systematic sampling of households listed in each cluster or EA. All women in their reproductive ages (15–49) belonging to selected households or visitors who slept in the household on the night before the survey were considered for interview. The 2014 version of the Ghana Demographic and Health Survey (GDHS) interviewed 9396 women between the ages 15 and 49 from 12, 831 households covering 427 clusters throughout Ghana. It had a response rate of 97% [22]. Whereas the 2011 version of Mozambique Demographic and Health Survey (MDHS) interviewed 13,745 women between the ages 15 and 49 from 13,718 households throughout Mozambique. It had a response rate of 99.8% [23]. For the purpose of this study a sample of 13,660 was used. Permission to use the data set was given us by the MEASURE DHS following the assessment of a concept note. The dataset is available to the public (www.measuredhs.com). The dependent variable employed for this study was “pregnancy termination” which was derived from the question “have you ever had a terminated pregnancy” and responses were coded 0 = “No” and 1 = “Yes”. Eleven independent variables were used for the study, these were; residence, maternal age, marital status, educational level, wealth status, religion, birth history, and occupation. Others included frequency of watching television, frequency of reading newspapers or magazine and frequency of listening to radio, which were used to as proxy to examine the influence media. Residence was coded as urban =1 rural = 2, age was categorized into, 15–19 = 1, 20–24 = 2, 25–29 = 3, 20–34 = 4, 35–39 = 5, 40–44 = 6, 45–49 = 7. Marital status was captured as never in union =1, married =2, living with partner =3, widowed =4, divorced =5 and separated = 6. Educational level was classified into four categories: No education = 1, primary = 2, secondary = 3 and higher = 4. Wealth status was categorized in poorest = 1, poorer = 2, middle = 3, richer = 4 and richest = 5. Religion was recoded as Christian =1, Islam =2 and traditional/spiritual/other/no religion = 3. Birth history was also captured as Zero birth =1, one birth = 2, two births = 3, three births = 4 and four births or more = 5. Occupation was also categorized into two thus, unemployed = 1 and employed = 2. Frequency of watching television was captured as “not at all” = 1, “less than once a week” = 2, “at least once a week” = 3. Frequency of reading newspaper or magazine was coded as “not at all” = 1, “less than once a week” = 2, “at least once a week” = 3. Frequency of listening to radio was categorized as “not at all” = 1, “less than once a week” = 2, “at least once a week” = 3. Pearson Chi – square test was conducted to examine the relationship between background characteristics and pregnancy termination. Next, univariate and multivariate binary logistic analysis were conducted to assess the association between women’s socio-demographic and behaviour factors and pregnancy termination. The results from the logistic regression analysis are presented as odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). The binary logistic regression was employed since the dependent variable was a dichotomous variable and it allows the predictions on a mixture of continuous and categorical variables. All the analysis was stratified by country. All analysis was done using the women file from both Ghana and Mozambique separated with the aim of comparison among the countries. All analysis was done using STATA version 13.

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Based on the provided information, here are some potential innovations that could be used to improve access to maternal health:

1. Integrated community-based outreach programs: Regular programs that target communities and provide education and awareness about effective contraception and prevention of unintended pregnancy can help reduce unintended pregnancies that may lead to pregnancy termination.

2. Improved access to contraception: Ensuring that women have easy access to a wide range of contraceptive methods can help them make informed choices about their reproductive health and reduce the need for pregnancy termination.

3. Strengthening healthcare infrastructure: Investing in healthcare facilities, especially in rural areas, can improve access to quality maternal healthcare services, including prenatal care, safe delivery, and postnatal care.

4. Mobile health (mHealth) interventions: Utilizing mobile technology to provide information, reminders, and support to pregnant women and new mothers can help improve access to maternal health services, especially in remote areas.

5. Empowering women through education: Promoting education for women and girls can have a positive impact on maternal health outcomes. Educated women are more likely to make informed decisions about their reproductive health and seek appropriate healthcare services.

6. Addressing socio-economic disparities: Implementing policies and programs that address socio-economic inequalities can help improve access to maternal health services for marginalized populations, including women with lower education levels and those from low-income backgrounds.

7. Strengthening data collection and analysis: Continuously collecting and analyzing data on maternal health indicators can help identify gaps and monitor progress towards improving access to maternal healthcare services. This can inform evidence-based decision-making and resource allocation.

It is important to note that these recommendations are based on the information provided and may need to be tailored to the specific context and needs of Mozambique and Ghana.
AI Innovations Description
Based on the information provided, the recommendation to improve access to maternal health based on the study findings is to implement regular integrated community-based outreach programs. These programs should be targeted at generating community responsiveness to effective contraception and prevention of unintended pregnancy.

The study found that socio-demographic factors such as education level, age, religion, employment status, and access to media were associated with higher odds of pregnancy termination. By implementing community-based outreach programs, women in reproductive age can be educated about the importance of contraception and family planning, as well as provided with access to these services. This can help reduce unintended pregnancies and subsequently decrease the need for pregnancy termination.

It is important for these programs to be regular and integrated into the community to ensure sustained impact. By engaging with the community and addressing their specific needs and concerns, these programs can effectively raise awareness and provide necessary support for maternal health.
AI Innovations Methodology
Based on the provided description, the study aimed to examine how socio-demographic factors influence pregnancy termination among women of reproductive age in Mozambique and Ghana. The study utilized data from the 2014 Ghana and 2011 Mozambique Demographic and Health Survey. The survey employed a stratified two-stage sampling technique, where clusters (enumeration areas) were selected in the first stage, and households within each cluster were systematically sampled in the second stage. All women in their reproductive ages (15-49) belonging to selected households or visitors who slept in the household on the night before the survey were considered for interview.

The study used a sample of 9,375 women in Ghana and 13,660 women in Mozambique. The dependent variable for the study was “pregnancy termination,” derived from the question “have you ever had a terminated pregnancy,” with responses coded as 0 for “No” and 1 for “Yes.” Eleven independent variables were used, including residence, maternal age, marital status, educational level, wealth status, religion, birth history, occupation, and frequency of media exposure (watching television, reading newspapers/magazines, and listening to the radio).

The analysis involved conducting Pearson Chi-square tests to examine the relationship between background characteristics and pregnancy termination. Univariate and multivariate binary logistic regression analyses were then performed to assess the association between socio-demographic and behavioral factors and pregnancy termination. The results from the logistic regression analysis were presented as odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). The binary logistic regression was chosen as the dependent variable was dichotomous, allowing for predictions on a mixture of continuous and categorical variables.

To simulate the impact of recommendations on improving access to maternal health, a possible methodology could involve the following steps:

1. Identify the specific recommendations for improving access to maternal health based on the study findings and other relevant research.
2. Determine the key indicators or variables that would be affected by the recommendations, such as contraceptive use, antenatal care utilization, skilled birth attendance, or maternal mortality rates.
3. Collect baseline data on the selected indicators from the study population or relevant sources.
4. Develop a simulation model that incorporates the baseline data and the expected impact of the recommendations on the selected indicators. This could be done using statistical software or specialized simulation tools.
5. Validate the simulation model by comparing its outputs with actual data or expert opinions.
6. Run the simulation model with different scenarios, varying the magnitude or implementation strategies of the recommendations, to assess their potential impact on improving access to maternal health.
7. Analyze the simulation results to identify the most effective recommendations and their potential outcomes.
8. Communicate the findings and recommendations to relevant stakeholders, such as policymakers, healthcare providers, and community organizations, to inform decision-making and implementation strategies.

It is important to note that the methodology for simulating the impact of recommendations may vary depending on the specific context and available data. The steps outlined above provide a general framework for conducting such simulations.

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