Determinants and Outcome of Safe Second Trimester Medical Abortion at Jimma University Medical Center, Southwest Ethiopia

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Study Justification:
– The study aimed to identify factors affecting and the outcome of induced safe second trimester medical abortion in Jimma University Medical Center, Southwest Ethiopia.
– Second trimester abortions contribute to maternal morbidity and mortality, especially in low-income countries with limited access to safe second trimester abortion.
– Understanding the determinants and outcomes of safe second trimester medical abortion can help improve the quality of care and reduce maternal morbidity and mortality.
Highlights:
– The study found that 76.6% of women who underwent safe second trimester medical abortion had a complete abortion without any complications.
– Factors such as previous experience of abortion, gestational age, parity, cervical status, overall waiting time, and moderate anemia were identified as independent predictors of the outcome of safe second trimester medical abortion.
– The study highlights the importance of reducing overall waiting time and intervening at a low gestational age to minimize incomplete abortions.
Recommendations:
– Safe second trimester medical abortion services should be continued under certain legal circumstances to reduce maternal morbidity and mortality.
– Efforts should be made to minimize overall waiting time for safe second trimester medical abortion.
– Interventions should focus on addressing factors such as gestational age, cervical status, previous experience of abortion, parity, moderate anemia, and overall waiting time to improve the outcome of safe second trimester medical abortion.
Key Role Players:
– Obstetricians and gynecologists
– Midwife nurses
– Clinical researchers
– Policy makers
– Health administrators
Cost Items for Planning Recommendations:
– Training for healthcare providers on safe second trimester medical abortion procedures and protocols
– Equipment and supplies for safe second trimester medical abortion services
– Staffing and personnel costs for healthcare providers
– Monitoring and evaluation of the implementation of safe second trimester medical abortion services
– Public awareness campaigns and education materials on safe second trimester medical abortion

The strength of evidence for this abstract is 7 out of 10.
The evidence in the abstract is moderately strong. The study design is a cross-sectional study, which is appropriate for the research question. The sample size calculation and data collection methods are clearly described. The statistical analysis methods are appropriate. However, the study is limited by its single-center design and the lack of previous research on the topic. To improve the strength of the evidence, future studies could consider conducting a multi-center study to increase generalizability and conducting a systematic review to assess the existing evidence on safe second trimester medical abortion.

Background. Although the vast majority of abortions are performed in the first trimester, still 10-15% of terminations of pregnancies have taken place in the second trimester globally. As compared to first trimester, second trimester abortions disproportionately contribute to maternal morbidity and mortality especially in low-income countries where access to safe second trimester abortion is limited. The objective of this study was to identify factors affecting and outcome of induced safe second trimester medical abortion in Jimma University medical center, Southwest Ethiopia. Methods. Institution based cross-sectional study design was used to conduct a study among women who seek safe second trimester medical abortion services and admitted at gynecology ward. All (201) eligible study subjects included were those who came for safe medical abortion service during data collection period. Data collected using pretested structured questionnaire through exit-interviewing and some clinical data abstracted from their chart. The data was entered into EpData version 3.1 then exported to SPSS version 21.0 for analysis. Variables with P-value less than 0.25 in bivariate analysis were entered into the final predictive model. Multivariable logistic regression was used to identify determinants with 95% CI and P-value < 0.05. Hosmer and Lemeshow test were used to check model fitness at P-value of 0.05. Ethical clearance was obtained and confidentiality kept using codes and patient's chart number. Results. In this study the response rate was 98.1%. Out of 201 women who participated in the study and were addmitted for safe second trimester medical abortion, 154 (76.6%) of them had complete abortion without any complication while the remaining 47 (23.4%) had incomplete abortion with one or more complication. Previous experience of abortion [AOR= 6.00, 95% CI= (3.77, 8.88)], gestational age [AOR=0.90, 95% CI= (0.07, 0.99)], parity [AOR=2.38, 95% CI= (1.04, 3.69)], cervical status [AOR=8.00, 95% CI= (5.72, 10.02)], overall waiting time for more than two weeks [AOR=0.53, 95% CI= (0.50, 0.96)], overall waiting time for two weeks [AOR=0.05, 95% CI= (0.01, 0.45)], and moderate anemia -(Hgb:7-10g/dl)-[AOR=0.07,95% CI= (0.01, 0.16)] were independent predictors for outcome of safe second trimester medical abortion. Conclusion. This finding implied that proportion of complete abortion without any complication overweighs incomplete abortions with one or more complication through induced safe second trimester medical abortion method. The outcome is strongly determined by gestational age, cervical status, previous experience of abortion, parity, moderate anemia, and overall waiting time. Induced second trimester medical abortion is already known as an effective and safe method. However, much should be done to reduce proportion of incomplete abortions by minimizing overall waiting time through intervening at low gestational age. Therefore, it is recommended that safe second trimester medical abortion services should be continued under a certain legal circumstances so as to reduce maternal morbidity and mortality.

The study was conducted in Jimma University Medical Center (JUMC), Obstetrics, and gynecology ward, comprehensive abortion (CAC) clinic, from November 1, 2016, to June 30, 2017. The center is found in Jimma town which serves a catchment population of about 15 million people. It is located 352 km southwest of Addis Ababa. The center has annual out-patient case load of 160, 000 and 45, 000 in-patients. It provides services to diverse population from three regional states: namely, Oromia, Southern Nations, Nationalities and Peoples, and Gambella. It was estimated that 180 women were admitted for safe second trimester induced medical abortion (2nd TM-MA) over a period of 6 months from previous year record. The average rate of admission for 2nd TM-MA was 30 clients per month. A facility based cross-sectional study design was used by considering all clients admitted for CAC services in Obstetrics and gynecology ward as a source population. All clients admitted for safe 2nd trimester induced medical abortion during the study period were considered as a study population. Only clients admitted for safe 2nd trimester medical abortion services without prior complication were included, whereas those who already had known medical and obstetric complications were excluded if that was an indication for admission and termination. Sample size was calculated using a single population proportion formula, taking P = 50% (since there is no previous study conducted on outcome and determinants of safe second trimester medical abortion), n = z2p(1-p)/d2, n = 1.962(0.5)(0.5)/0.052, n = 384. Assumption: The total estimated source population from the previous record is 180 that was less than 10,000. Hence, finite population correction formulae were used to adjust the sample size. The required sample size was 136 but all eligible subjects included considering the sample size to be more than 136 to maximize statistical power. A consecutive sampling technique was employed to include all eligible subjects who came to JUMC for safe second TM-MA services during the study period. The dependent variable is the outcome of safe second TM-MA and independent variables are categorized under sociodemographic characteristics (age, religious affiliation-to see religious based attitude towards abortion, ethnicity, marital status, educational status, occupational status, place of residence, and own monthly income), services and perception related variables (distance from facility, service availability, referral system, transportation cost, services cost, perception towards physician skill and abortion, waiting time, and satisfaction), and obstetrics and gynecology related variables (history and type of contraceptive use, menses status, previous experience of abortion, reason for delayed termination, gestational age, gravidity, parity, status of anemia, cervical status, procedure type, and expulsion time). Important variables are operationalized as follows: Interviewer-adiminstered structured questionnaire was developed after reviewing relevant literature. A two-day training was provided for all data collectors and supervisors prior to actual data collection. Translated, pretested (5%), interviewer administered, and structured questionnaire was used to interview women at exit or during discharging process. Midwife nurses conducted exit interviews. Obstetrics and gynecology residents completed the clinical or technical part of the questionnaire from the client's chart under the supervision of the principal investigator. All questionnaires were reviewed and checked on daily bases by supervisors to assure quality of data and its completeness. Clinical data were completed by reviewing client's chart. Following the participants received the service as per the clinical standard, their respective clinical findings were recorded from their chart such as gestational age, gravidity, parity, status of anemia, cervical status, procedure type, expulsion time, retained products of conception/incomplete abortion, hemoglobin level, cervical/uterine/abdominal injury, shock, infection, vaginal wall lacerations, and need of transfusion. Data were checked for completeness, consistency and entered into EpData version 3.1. SPSS version 21.0 was used for statistical analysis including cleaning. A logistic regression model was used to identify explanatory variables and to control for confounding variables. Candidate variables at p- value<0.25, in bivariate analysis, were entered into multivariable logistic regression. Binary logistic regression analysis was used to see the values of COR which was declared as significant at p-value < 0.05. Backward model selection method was used. The degree of association between dependent and independent variables was assessed using an adjusted OR with 95% CI at p-value < 0.05. The Hosmer and Lemeshow test were used to check model fitness at P-value of 0.05.

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Based on the information provided, here are some potential innovations that could improve access to maternal health:

1. Telemedicine: Implementing telemedicine services could allow women in remote areas to access safe second trimester medical abortion consultations and follow-up care without having to travel long distances to a healthcare facility.

2. Mobile health (mHealth) applications: Developing mobile applications that provide information and support for safe second trimester medical abortion could help women make informed decisions and manage their care effectively.

3. Community-based interventions: Establishing community-based programs that provide education and support for safe second trimester medical abortion could increase awareness and access to services, particularly in areas where healthcare facilities are limited.

4. Task-shifting: Training and empowering midwives and other healthcare providers to perform safe second trimester medical abortions could help alleviate the shortage of skilled healthcare professionals and improve access to services.

5. Improving transportation infrastructure: Investing in transportation infrastructure, such as roads and ambulances, could help women reach healthcare facilities more quickly and safely for safe second trimester medical abortion services.

6. Strengthening referral systems: Enhancing referral systems between primary healthcare centers and higher-level facilities could ensure that women who require safe second trimester medical abortion services are promptly referred to the appropriate level of care.

7. Policy changes: Advocating for policy changes that decriminalize and destigmatize safe second trimester medical abortion could help improve access by removing legal barriers and reducing social stigma.

It is important to note that the specific context and needs of the community should be considered when implementing these innovations to ensure their effectiveness and sustainability.
AI Innovations Description
Based on the study conducted at Jimma University Medical Center in Southwest Ethiopia, the following recommendations can be developed into an innovation to improve access to maternal health:

1. Increase availability of safe second trimester medical abortion services: Expand the provision of safe second trimester medical abortion services in healthcare facilities, particularly in low-income countries where access is limited. This can be achieved by training healthcare providers in the appropriate techniques and protocols for safe second trimester medical abortion.

2. Reduce overall waiting time: Intervene at a low gestational age to minimize the overall waiting time for women seeking safe second trimester medical abortion. This can be done by streamlining the process and ensuring timely access to services, including reducing administrative delays and improving appointment scheduling systems.

3. Improve counseling and education: Provide comprehensive counseling and education to women seeking safe second trimester medical abortion, including information on the procedure, potential complications, and post-abortion care. This can help women make informed decisions and reduce the risk of incomplete abortions.

4. Address barriers to access: Identify and address barriers that prevent women from accessing safe second trimester medical abortion services, such as transportation costs, service costs, and distance from healthcare facilities. This may involve implementing subsidies or financial assistance programs to make services more affordable and accessible.

5. Strengthen referral systems: Improve the coordination and communication between healthcare facilities and referral systems to ensure seamless access to safe second trimester medical abortion services. This can include establishing clear referral pathways and protocols, as well as training healthcare providers on the importance of timely referrals.

6. Enhance provider skills and knowledge: Provide ongoing training and support to healthcare providers involved in the provision of safe second trimester medical abortion services. This can include updates on the latest evidence-based practices, clinical guidelines, and protocols to ensure high-quality care.

7. Promote legal and policy reforms: Advocate for legal and policy reforms that support the provision of safe second trimester medical abortion services. This may involve working with policymakers and stakeholders to remove legal barriers, reduce stigma, and ensure women’s reproductive rights are protected.

By implementing these recommendations, access to safe second trimester medical abortion services can be improved, leading to a reduction in maternal morbidity and mortality associated with second trimester abortions.
AI Innovations Methodology
To improve access to maternal health, here are some potential recommendations:

1. Strengthening healthcare infrastructure: Investing in healthcare facilities, equipment, and trained healthcare professionals in areas with limited access to maternal health services can improve access and quality of care.

2. Mobile health (mHealth) interventions: Utilizing mobile technology to provide information, education, and remote consultations can help overcome geographical barriers and improve access to maternal health services, especially in rural areas.

3. Community-based interventions: Implementing community-based programs that involve trained community health workers can increase awareness, provide education, and offer basic maternal health services in underserved areas.

4. Financial incentives: Providing financial incentives, such as cash transfers or health insurance coverage, to pregnant women in low-income communities can help reduce financial barriers and increase access to maternal health services.

5. Transportation support: Addressing transportation challenges by providing affordable and accessible transportation options for pregnant women can ensure timely access to healthcare facilities.

To simulate the impact of these recommendations on improving access to maternal health, a methodology could include the following steps:

1. Define the target population: Identify the specific population that would benefit from the recommendations, such as pregnant women in a particular region or community.

2. Collect baseline data: Gather data on the current access to maternal health services, including factors such as distance to healthcare facilities, availability of services, financial barriers, and transportation challenges.

3. Develop a simulation model: Create a mathematical or computer-based model that incorporates the identified recommendations and their potential impact on improving access to maternal health. This model should consider factors such as population size, geographical distribution, healthcare infrastructure, and resource availability.

4. Input data and parameters: Input the collected baseline data into the simulation model, along with relevant parameters related to the recommendations, such as the number of healthcare facilities to be strengthened, the coverage of mHealth interventions, the number of community health workers to be trained, and the extent of financial incentives or transportation support.

5. Run simulations: Run multiple simulations using different scenarios and assumptions to estimate the potential impact of the recommendations on improving access to maternal health. This could include measuring changes in the number of pregnant women able to access services, reductions in travel time or cost, and improvements in health outcomes.

6. Analyze results: Analyze the simulation results to assess the effectiveness and feasibility of the recommendations in improving access to maternal health. Consider factors such as cost-effectiveness, scalability, and sustainability.

7. Refine and iterate: Based on the analysis, refine the recommendations and simulation model as needed. Iterate the simulation process to further explore different scenarios and optimize the potential impact on improving access to maternal health.

By using this methodology, policymakers and healthcare stakeholders can gain insights into the potential benefits and challenges of implementing specific recommendations to improve access to maternal health.

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