Factors associated with modern contraceptive demands satisfied among currently married/in-union women of reproductive age in Ethiopia: A multilevel analysis of the 2016 Demographic and Health Survey

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Study Justification:
The study aimed to address the low demand satisfied for modern contraceptives in Ethiopia, which has not been adequately addressed in previous studies. By identifying the individual, household, and community-level factors associated with demand satisfied for modern contraceptive methods, the study provides valuable insights into the barriers and facilitators of contraceptive use in the country.
Highlights:
– The study found that the demand satisfied for modern contraceptive methods among married/in-union women of reproductive age in Ethiopia was 39.5%.
– Factors significantly associated with demand satisfied included women’s age, religion, husband’s living situation, joint decision making, knowledge of contraceptives, wealth status, region, and residency.
– Individual-level factors such as age, religion, and knowledge of contraceptives were found to influence demand satisfied.
– Household-level factors such as wealth status and joint decision making were also found to be associated with demand satisfied.
– Community-level factors such as region and residency were identified as important factors influencing demand satisfied.
Recommendations:
Based on the study findings, the following recommendations are suggested:
1. Increase accessibility of modern contraceptive methods to women in rural areas and pastoralist regions, where demand satisfied is lower.
2. Engage religious leaders and men in contraceptive programs to promote acceptance and support for contraceptive use.
3. Provide comprehensive knowledge and information about modern contraceptive methods to women of reproductive age.
4. Strengthen joint decision making between couples regarding contraceptive use.
5. Allocate resources and implement targeted interventions in regions with lower demand satisfied.
Key Role Players:
To address the recommendations, the following key role players are needed:
1. Government health agencies and policymakers to develop and implement policies and programs that increase access to modern contraceptive methods.
2. Healthcare providers to deliver quality contraceptive services and provide accurate information to women.
3. Community leaders and religious leaders to promote awareness and acceptance of contraceptive use.
4. Non-governmental organizations (NGOs) and international partners to provide support, resources, and technical assistance in implementing interventions.
5. Researchers and academics to conduct further studies and evaluations to monitor progress and identify additional factors influencing demand satisfied.
Cost Items:
While the actual cost of implementing the recommendations cannot be estimated without a detailed budget analysis, the following cost items should be considered in planning:
1. Training and capacity building for healthcare providers on contraceptive counseling and service delivery.
2. Development and dissemination of educational materials and information campaigns on modern contraceptive methods.
3. Infrastructure and equipment for healthcare facilities to ensure the availability and accessibility of contraceptive services.
4. Outreach programs and community engagement activities to reach women in rural and pastoralist areas.
5. Monitoring and evaluation activities to assess the impact and effectiveness of interventions.
Please note that the above cost items are general considerations and a comprehensive budget analysis would be required for accurate cost estimation.

The strength of evidence for this abstract is 7 out of 10.
The evidence in the abstract is moderately strong, but there are some areas for improvement. The study design is a cross-sectional study, which limits the ability to establish causality. Additionally, the abstract does not provide information on the sampling method used, which could affect the generalizability of the findings. To improve the evidence, future studies could consider using a longitudinal design to establish causal relationships and provide more details on the sampling method to enhance the generalizability of the findings.

Objectives Regardless of the local and international initiatives, excluding exempting services, demand satisfied for contraceptives remains low in Ethiopia. This circumstance is supposed to be attributed to different level factors; however, most were not well addressed in the previous studies. Therefore, this study aimed at assessing the magnitude and individual, household and community-level factors associated with demand satisfied for modern contraceptive (DSFMC) methods among married/in-union women of reproductive age. Design Cross-sectional study. Setting A community-based study across the country. Participants Randomly selected 9126 married/in-union women had participated using a structured questionnaire. Outcome DSFMC methods among married/in-union women of reproductive age. Results DSFMC methods in Ethiopia was 39.5% (95% CI 38.5% to 40.5%). Women aged 35-49 years (adjusted OR (AOR): 0.43, 95% CI 0.32 to 0.58), Muslim religion (AOR: 0.58, 95% CI0.43 to 0.78), husband lived elsewhere (AOR: 0.42, 95% CI 0.29 to 0.60), joint decision making to use (AOR: 1.30, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.62), good knowledge (AOR: 1.57, 95% CI 1.32 to 1.86) and wealth status of poorer (AOR: 1.56, 95% CI 1.17 to 2.06), middle (AOR: 1.77, 95% CI 1.33 to 2.35), richer (AOR: 1.96, 95% CI 1.49 to 2.59), and richest (AOR: 1.49, 95% CI 1.05 to 2.08), pastoralist regions (AOR: 0.28, 95% CI 0.18 to 0.42), and agrarian regions (AOR: 1.72, 95% CI 1.21 to 2.44) and rural residency (AOR: 0.56, 95% CI 0.37 to 0.82) were factors significantly associated. Conclusions Women’s age, religion, the current living place of husbands and women’s knowledge were individual-level factors. Household wealth status and mutual decision making to use were household-level factors. Region and residency were households and community-level factors associated with DSFMCs. Increasing the accessibility of modern contraceptive methods to women in rural areas and pastoralist regions, those living separately, engaging religious leaders and men in the programme, would increase their satisfying demand.

The study was conducted in Ethiopia using data from the 2016 EDHS. Ethiopia is found in the horn of Africa. Administratively, the country is subdivided into nine geographical regions: Tigray, Afar, Amhara, Oromia, Benishangul-Gumuz, Gambela, Harari, Somali and Southern Nations, Nationalities, and Peoples Region (SNNPR), and two administrative cities (Addis Ababa, the capital city of the country and Dire Dawa). Ethiopia is the second-most populous country in Africa with a population of 114 763 301, equivalent to 1.47% of the total world population ranked the second and twelfth populated country in Africa and the world, respectively. More than 40% of the population is below 15 and a fertility rate of over five children per woman.24 The EDHS is a nationally representative household data source gathered every 5 years with the ownership of the Central Statistical Agency.25 The survey was conducted from 18 January 2016 to 27 June 2016, by health professionals across all regions and administrative cities of the country. In EDHS 2016, a two-stage stratified cluster sampling was employed using the 2007 population and housing census as a frame. The census used a complete list of 84 915 enumeration areas (EAs) created for primary healthcare as a frame. In the first stage, 645 EAs were selected with probability proportional to the EA size. The regions were stratified into urban and rural areas. In the second stage, 28 households from each cluster were selected by systematic sampling. The data collectors interviewed only preselected households, and no replacements or changes of the preselected homes were allowed in the implementing stages to prevent bias.26 The 2016 EDHS maternal data sets across all regions and two administrative cities were used for analysis. All women aged 15–49 years who were the usual members of the selected households were eligible. The demand satisfied for this study was computed based on the demographic and health survey’s (DHS) revised definition of demand satisfied. Those who use any of the modern FP methods were considered as met needs and used in the calculation as nominator. Those who require modern methods for spacing or limiting but are unable to get and those who use traditional methods were considered as an unmet need. The met and the unmet needs were used as the denominator for the calculation (total demanded). Thus, demand satisfied=met need *100/met need +unmet need.27 Accordingly, 8734 women aged 15–49 years who are currently married/ in-union were identified as total demanded modern contraceptive methods (2900 met the need and 5834 unmet need) from 12 218 currently married reproductive-age women. To increase its representativeness, sample weighting was done. Thus, the met need was changed from 2900 to 3603, unmet need changed from 5834 to 5523. Consequently, total demand was changed from 8734 to 9126. The sampling procedure before sampling weight was done (figure 1). Schematic presentation of demand satisfied for modern contraceptives among currently married/in-union women of reproductive age (before sampling weight) (adapted from Bradley et al27) in Ethiopia, 2016. Individual, household and community-level independent variables were extracted, and further analyses of the selected variables were done. The study’s dependent variable was demand satisfaction for modern contraceptive methods among married or in-union women who were aged 15–49 years. It was measured using women who reported any of the following modern contraceptive methods: female sterilisation, male sterilisation, pill, intrauterine device (IUD), injectables, implants, male condom, female condom, emergency contraception or lactation amenorrhea method among the total demanded mothers. The independent variables were categorised into three levels: individual level, household level and community level. Participant’s age, religion, educational status, occupation, the presence of other wives, husband’s current residency, and knowledge of participants to modern methods and ovulatory cycles were the individual-level variables. The knowledge status of women for modern contraceptive methods: in the EDHS, the knowledge of women for contraceptives was recorded as ‘yes’ and ‘no’. After merging the results of all the selected modern contraceptive methods, the minimum and maximum values were determined, given that the minimum score is 0, maximum 10 and average 5.5. Then, taking the average as the cut point, the results were dichotomised. Thus, those who scored above 5 were levelled as having good knowledge, whereas those below 5 were levelled with poor knowledge. The sex household heads, family size, wealth status, number of living children and decision maker on FP use were household-level variables, whereas the community-level variables were residency, region, distance to a health facility, heard about FP on radio/at community event/conversation. In the EDHS, the wealth quantile was calculated as an index based on consumer goods and fixed assets, such as television, bicycle or car. Household characteristics were also considered in computing the wealth status. These scores were derived using principal component analysis, expressed in terms of quintiles of individuals in the population, and combined to produce a single asset index for all households. Finally, the wealth status was ranked into five (poorest, poorer, middle, richer and richest). Distance to the health facility in the EDHS was assessed using the respondent’s response and categorised as ‘big problem’ or ‘not a problem’.28 All independent variables were extracted from the data set considering their relevance to the identified research questions. An expert-based discussion was conducted along with the author, and other literature to determine relevant variables was reviewed. An extraction format specific to the study that comprised important variables was prepared, and face validity was done. Further, variables included in the previous studies were added, and critical appraisal for its relevance was employed. The extracted data were cleaned, recoded, and analysed using STATA V.14 (Stata Corp, College Station, Texas, USA). Finally, descriptive statistics were presented using tables and text. A multilevel analysis was conducted after checking the statistical assumptions. First, the model assumption was examined by calculating the intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC), and an ICC of more than 5% is deemed as eligible for multilevel analysis. The ICC was 38.97%. Since the EDHS data are hierarchical (individuals are nested within the household and household levels are also nested within the community), a three-level mixed-effects logistic regression model was fitted to estimate the individual-level, household-level and community-level variables (fixed and random-effects) on-demand satisfied for modern contraceptive methods. Bivariable and multivariable analyses were computed. First, in the bivariable logistic regression analysis, a value of p<0.2 was used to fit the four models (models for the individual level, household level, community level, and all individual, household and community levels together). In the final model (fixed-effect), for the individual, household and community levels, a value of p<0.05 was used to declare the presence of an association between individual-level, household-level and community-level factors with DSFMC methods. Next, the adjusted OR (AOR) with a 95% CI was used to estimate the strength and direction of the association. The measures of variation (random effects) were reported using ICC and proportional change in variance to measure the variation between clusters. The log-likelihood test was used to estimate the goodness of fit of the adjusted model compared with the preceding models. A model with the smallest log-likelihood value is better; accordingly, model 4 (a model for all the individual, household and community-level variables) was preferred. No patient or the public was directly involved in developing the research questions, the design, results and dissemination plan of the study. During EDHS data collection, the data collectors were trained in the data collection process and the handling of the participants without introducing biases. Participants were informed about the objective of EDHS data collection and their rights in the data collection process. Personal identifiers were omitted. Moreover, permission to access the data were obtained from the measure DHS on 07 September 2020, after submitting a brief study concept. However, since this study used secondary data from DHS, consent directly from the participants was not applicable. Further, this study adhered to the Declaration of Helsinki.

The study titled “Factors associated with modern contraceptive demands satisfied among currently married/in-union women of reproductive age in Ethiopia: A multilevel analysis of the 2016 Demographic and Health Survey” provides valuable insights into improving access to maternal health in Ethiopia. Based on the study findings, the following recommendations can be developed into innovations to enhance access to maternal health:

1. Increase accessibility of modern contraceptive methods: To improve access to maternal health, it is crucial to increase the availability and accessibility of modern contraceptive methods, especially in rural areas and pastoralist regions where demand satisfaction is lower. This can be achieved by strengthening the distribution channels, ensuring a consistent supply of contraceptives, and establishing mobile clinics or outreach programs to reach remote areas.

2. Engage religious leaders and men in the program: Given the influence of religion on contraceptive use, it is important to engage religious leaders and men in promoting and supporting the use of modern contraceptives. This can be done through awareness campaigns, community dialogues, and involving religious leaders in educational programs to address misconceptions and promote family planning.

3. Empower women through knowledge: Improving women’s knowledge about modern contraceptive methods is essential for increasing demand satisfaction. Innovative approaches such as mobile health applications, interactive workshops, and community-based education programs can be implemented to provide accurate and comprehensive information about different contraceptive options, their benefits, and how to access them.

4. Foster joint decision-making: Promoting joint decision-making between couples regarding family planning can positively impact demand satisfaction. Innovative interventions can be developed to encourage open communication and shared decision-making between partners, such as couple counseling sessions, support groups, and educational materials targeting both men and women.

5. Address socioeconomic disparities: Household wealth status was found to be a significant factor associated with demand satisfaction. To address socioeconomic disparities, innovative approaches can be implemented, such as targeted subsidies or financial incentives for low-income individuals, microfinance programs, and income-generating activities that empower women economically.

6. Strengthen health infrastructure: Improving access to maternal health requires strengthening the health infrastructure, particularly in rural areas. Innovations can include the establishment of well-equipped health facilities, training and deploying skilled healthcare providers, and improving transportation systems to ensure timely access to maternal health services.

By implementing these recommendations as innovative interventions, access to maternal health can be improved in Ethiopia, leading to better health outcomes for women and their families.
AI Innovations Description
The study titled “Factors associated with modern contraceptive demands satisfied among currently married/in-union women of reproductive age in Ethiopia: A multilevel analysis of the 2016 Demographic and Health Survey” provides valuable insights into improving access to maternal health in Ethiopia. Based on the study findings, the following recommendations can be developed into innovations to enhance access to maternal health:

1. Increase accessibility of modern contraceptive methods: To improve access to maternal health, it is crucial to increase the availability and accessibility of modern contraceptive methods, especially in rural areas and pastoralist regions where demand satisfaction is lower. This can be achieved by strengthening the distribution channels, ensuring a consistent supply of contraceptives, and establishing mobile clinics or outreach programs to reach remote areas.

2. Engage religious leaders and men in the program: Given the influence of religion on contraceptive use, it is important to engage religious leaders and men in promoting and supporting the use of modern contraceptives. This can be done through awareness campaigns, community dialogues, and involving religious leaders in educational programs to address misconceptions and promote family planning.

3. Empower women through knowledge: Improving women’s knowledge about modern contraceptive methods is essential for increasing demand satisfaction. Innovative approaches such as mobile health applications, interactive workshops, and community-based education programs can be implemented to provide accurate and comprehensive information about different contraceptive options, their benefits, and how to access them.

4. Foster joint decision-making: Promoting joint decision-making between couples regarding family planning can positively impact demand satisfaction. Innovative interventions can be developed to encourage open communication and shared decision-making between partners, such as couple counseling sessions, support groups, and educational materials targeting both men and women.

5. Address socioeconomic disparities: Household wealth status was found to be a significant factor associated with demand satisfaction. To address socioeconomic disparities, innovative approaches can be implemented, such as targeted subsidies or financial incentives for low-income individuals, microfinance programs, and income-generating activities that empower women economically.

6. Strengthen health infrastructure: Improving access to maternal health requires strengthening the health infrastructure, particularly in rural areas. Innovations can include the establishment of well-equipped health facilities, training and deploying skilled healthcare providers, and improving transportation systems to ensure timely access to maternal health services.

By implementing these recommendations as innovative interventions, access to maternal health can be improved in Ethiopia, leading to better health outcomes for women and their families.
AI Innovations Methodology
To simulate the impact of the main recommendations mentioned in the abstract on improving access to maternal health in Ethiopia, the following methodology can be used:

1. Increase accessibility of modern contraceptive methods:
– Identify areas with low demand satisfaction for modern contraceptives, particularly in rural areas and pastoralist regions.
– Develop a plan to strengthen distribution channels and ensure a consistent supply of contraceptives in these areas.
– Implement mobile clinics or outreach programs to reach remote areas and provide contraceptive services.
– Monitor the availability and accessibility of modern contraceptive methods over time and track changes in demand satisfaction.

2. Engage religious leaders and men in the program:
– Collaborate with religious leaders to raise awareness about the importance of modern contraceptives and address any misconceptions or religious concerns.
– Conduct community dialogues and educational programs involving religious leaders to promote family planning and encourage support from men.
– Monitor the involvement of religious leaders and men in promoting and supporting the use of modern contraceptives.

3. Empower women through knowledge:
– Develop and implement innovative approaches to provide accurate and comprehensive information about modern contraceptive methods.
– Utilize mobile health applications, interactive workshops, and community-based education programs to improve women’s knowledge about different contraceptive options.
– Monitor changes in women’s knowledge about modern contraceptives and assess the impact on demand satisfaction.

4. Foster joint decision-making:
– Develop interventions to promote open communication and shared decision-making between couples regarding family planning.
– Implement couple counseling sessions, support groups, and educational materials targeting both men and women to encourage joint decision-making.
– Monitor changes in couple communication and decision-making related to family planning and assess the impact on demand satisfaction.

5. Address socioeconomic disparities:
– Implement targeted subsidies or financial incentives for low-income individuals to improve access to modern contraceptive methods.
– Introduce microfinance programs and income-generating activities that empower women economically and increase their ability to access maternal health services.
– Monitor changes in socioeconomic disparities and assess the impact on demand satisfaction.

6. Strengthen health infrastructure:
– Identify areas with weak health infrastructure, particularly in rural areas, and develop plans to strengthen it.
– Establish well-equipped health facilities and ensure the availability of skilled healthcare providers.
– Improve transportation systems to ensure timely access to maternal health services.
– Monitor improvements in health infrastructure and assess the impact on demand satisfaction.

To simulate the impact of these recommendations, data can be collected before and after implementing the interventions. Surveys can be conducted to measure changes in demand satisfaction for modern contraceptive methods among currently married/in-union women of reproductive age. The collected data can be analyzed using statistical methods to assess the impact of the interventions on improving access to maternal health. Key indicators to measure include changes in demand satisfaction rates, changes in knowledge about modern contraceptives, changes in joint decision-making between couples, changes in socioeconomic disparities, and improvements in health infrastructure. The findings can be used to evaluate the effectiveness of the interventions and inform future strategies to enhance access to maternal health in Ethiopia.

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