Risk factors of stunting and wasting in Somali pre-school age children: results from the 2019 Somalia micronutrient survey

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Study Justification:
The study aimed to assess the prevalence and risk factors of stunting and wasting in Somali pre-school age children. This is important because stunting and wasting are indicators of child malnutrition, which is a significant public health concern globally. In Somalia, a country facing complex humanitarian emergencies, reducing the prevalence of these conditions is a priority.
Highlights:
– The study analyzed data from the 2019 Somalia Micronutrient Survey, which included 1947 children.
– The prevalence of stunting and wasting among the children was found to be 17.2% and 11.0%, respectively.
– Risk factors for stunting included living in severely food insecure households, inflammation, and iron deficiency.
– The risk of wasting was associated with household wealth, with a higher risk in households with lower wealth. However, iron-deficient children had a lower risk of wasting.
– Among children aged 0-5 months, no variables were significantly associated with stunting, but recent diarrhea was associated with wasting.
– The study concluded that improving household food security and preventing diarrhea and other infections could help improve the nutritional status of children in Somalia.
Recommendations:
Based on the findings, the study recommends the following:
1. Implement interventions to improve household food security, particularly in severely food insecure households.
2. Develop strategies to prevent diarrhea and other infections in children, as these are associated with wasting.
3. Address iron deficiency in children, considering its association with both stunting and wasting.
Key Role Players:
To address these recommendations, key role players may include:
1. Government agencies responsible for nutrition and public health policies and programs.
2. Non-governmental organizations (NGOs) working in Somalia, particularly those focused on nutrition and child health.
3. Healthcare providers, including doctors, nurses, and community health workers.
4. Community leaders and volunteers who can help raise awareness and implement interventions at the local level.
Cost Items for Planning Recommendations:
While the actual costs would depend on the specific interventions and programs implemented, some potential cost items to consider in planning the recommendations include:
1. Food security programs, including the provision of nutritious food and support for agricultural initiatives.
2. Healthcare services, including the provision of preventive care, treatment for infections, and iron supplementation.
3. Training and capacity-building for healthcare providers and community workers.
4. Awareness campaigns and educational materials to promote good nutrition practices and hygiene.
5. Monitoring and evaluation activities to assess the impact of interventions and make necessary adjustments.
Please note that the above cost items are provided as examples and would need to be further assessed and tailored to the specific context and needs of Somalia.

The strength of evidence for this abstract is 8 out of 10.
The evidence in the abstract is strong, but there are some areas for improvement. The study is based on a nationally representative cross-sectional survey with a large sample size, which increases the generalizability of the findings. The study also uses appropriate statistical analyses to identify potential risk factors for stunting and wasting. However, there are a few areas that could be improved. First, the abstract does not provide information on the response rate of the survey, which is important for assessing the representativeness of the sample. Second, the abstract does not mention any limitations of the study, such as potential biases or confounding factors. Including this information would provide a more balanced assessment of the evidence. Finally, the abstract does not provide any recommendations for action based on the findings. Including actionable steps to improve the nutritional status of children in Somalia would enhance the practical relevance of the study.

Background: Stunting and wasting in children less than 5 years of age are two key indicators of child malnutrition. Reducing their prevalence is a priority of the global public health community and for Somalia, a country suffering complex humanitarian emergencies such as drought, flooding, conflict and large-scale displacements. Methods: Data from the nationally representative cross-sectional Somalia Micronutrient Survey (SMS 2019) on 1947 children were analyzed to assess the prevalence and potential risk factors of stunting and wasting. Bivariate and multivariable analyses were conducted separately for children 0–5 months and 6–59 months, and population attributable fractions were calculated using adjusted risk ratios produced by Poisson regression models. Results: Among the 1947 children, the prevalence of stunting and wasting were 17.2% (95% CI: 15.0, 19.6) and 11.0% (95% CI: 9.3, 12.9), respectively. Among children 6–59 months of age, those residing in severely food insecure households had a higher risk of stunting (adjusted risk ratio [aRR] 1.47; CI: 1.12, 1.93) compared to those in food secure households. This risk of stunting was also higher in children with inflammation (aRR 1.75; CI: 1.35, 2.25) and iron deficiency (ID) (aRR 2.09; CI: 1.58, 2.80). For wasting, a dose-response relationship was found with household wealth, with the risk of wasting increasing significantly as the household wealth quintile decreased. On the other hand, the risk of wasting was lower in iron-deficient children (aRR 0.69; CI: 0.49, 0.98) than in iron-replete children. Among children 0–5 months of age no variables remained statistically significantly associated with stunting in the multivariable analysis. Wasting, however, was more common in children with recent diarrhea (aRR 3.51; CI: 1.68, 7.36). Conclusions: Nutritional status of children in Somalia may be improved by prevention of diarrhea and other infections and improvements in household food security.

The 2019 SMS, a nationally-representative stratified cross-sectional household-based survey, was conducted between December 2018 and September 2019. Sampling was done from 6 strata: 1) Somaliland, 2) Puntland, 3) the Somalia states of Hirshabelle and Galmudug; 4) the Somalia states of Jubaland and South-West, 5) the Banaadir administrative region of Somalia, and 6) internally displaced persons (IDPs) settlements in all five aforementioned geographic strata combined. The survey used a two-stage cluster sampling procedure. Enumeration areas (EAs) and IDP camps were primary sampling units which were selected using probability proportional to size. Within each selected primary sampling unit, the required number of households were selected using simple random sampling. In the first 5 geographic strata, 25 EAs were selected in each stratum after excluding EAs that were not accessible due to insecurity; EAs were categorized as either urban or rural. In the 6th stratum, 25 IDP camps were selected. In each EA and IDP camp, 16 households were randomly selected resulting in a total sample of 2400 households. Further details of the selection procedure can be found elsewhere [12]. Within participating households, all children 0–59 months of age were eligible to be recruited into the survey, questionnaires in the child questionnaire were answered by the selected child’s mother or caretaker. Non-pregnant women were recruited from a randomly selected one-half subsample. Data on household characteristics were collected from the household head or knowledgeable adult household member. The household interview collected information on the household’s dwelling, durable goods ownership, water source, and sanitation facility using standard questions widely used in health and nutrition assessment surveys worldwide. Durable goods and dwelling characteristics were used to calculate a household wealth index using the standard methods [13, 14]. Household-level sanitation facilities and water source were respectively classified as adequate/inadequate or safe/unsafe based on WHO/UNICEF guidelines [15]. To estimate sanitation status at the community-level, the proportion of households in each cluster with inadequate sanitation facilities was calculated and categorized into sub-groups of 0–19%, 20–39%, 40–59%, 60–79%, and 80–100%. In addition, household food security was assessed using the Household Food Insecurity Access Scale (HFIAS) questionnaire module. The final scale was categorized into four categories: food secure, mild food insecurity, moderate food insecurity, and severe food insecurity [16]. The child questionnaire collected data on age, sex, recent morbidity, and consumption of vitamin and mineral supplements. Child age was calculated by subtracting the child’s date of birth from the date of the interview. As much of the population in Somalia was not calendar literate, a local event calendar for the past 5 years was developed to facilitate the approximation of the child’s birth date. The child questionnaire included standard infant and young child feeding questions [17] that were administered to children 0–23 months of age. Questionnaire data was also collected from women, however, as women were only recruited from ½ of all households, maternal-level data was not included in this analysis. The Open Data Kit (ODK) software was used for direct electronic questionnaire data entry. Anthropometrists were trained in standard anthropometric techniques [18]. Performance during a standardization exercise, the results of a post-test, and observations from trainers were used to select the best performing team members. All survey procedures were practiced in a field test under close supervision prior to the start of data collection. During the survey field work, the weight and height or length of each child was measured according to standard procedures [19]. Child weight was measured using an automatically taring bathroom scale (SECA®, Hamburg, Germany); all scales were calibrated each morning before the start of data collection. The standard wooden height board (UNICEF item number S0114540, Copenhagen, Denmark) was used to measure the child height or length. Length/height and weight measurements were taken twice by the same measurer and both values recorded. The second length/height measurement was taken after the child was removed and replaced on the height board to account for incorrect positioning during the first height measurement. For weight measurements, children that could not stand were directly weighed on the scale, and the scale’s tare function was used for children that could not stand. For the second measurement, children were either re-weighed directly or the tare process was repeated. Capillary blood was collected from all children 6–59 months; no blood was taken from children younger than 6 months of age to prevent potential injury. Blood was collected from the heel in children 6–11 months of age and from the finger in children 12–59 months of age. After sterilization with an alcohol pad, the puncture site was wiped dry and punctured with a “contact activated” high-flow blade lancet (Becton Dickinson, Franklin Lakes, NJ, USA). After wiping the first drop of blood away, the second and third drop of blood were used to measure hemoglobin concentration and recent or current malaria infection, followed by the collection of 300–400 μl of capillary blood into a silica-coated blood collection tube (Sarstedt, Microvette® 300 Z, Nümbrecht, Germany). Following on-site measurements of haemoglobin and malaria parasitemia, the labeled microtainers were placed in a cool box at 2–8 °C in the dark for transport in the evening of the same day to one of four state laboratories. Samples were centrifuged at 3000 rpm for 7 min to separate the serum, which was then aliquoted into labeled cryovials. Aliquots were stored at − 20 °C and later shipped on dry ice for analyses. Serum samples were analyzed for retinol-binding protein (RBP), ferritin, C-reactive protein (CRP), and alpha 1-acid glycoprotein (AGP) at the VitMin-Lab (Wilstaett, Germany) using an ELISA method. Anthropometry, anemia and malaria data were collected on paper forms, and subsequently entered into ODK on the same day. Data analysis was done using Stata/IC version 14.2. All analyses of questionnaire data were conducted using sampling weights to account for the unequal probability of selection in the six strata. Z-scores were calculated based on WHO’s 2006 Growths Standards [20], and children with height-for-age z-scores (HAZ) and weight-for-height z-scores (WHZ)  5 mg/L and/or concentrations of AGP > 1 g/L [21]. After adjusting serum ferritin and RBP concentrations for inflammation using the Biomarkers Reflecting Inflammation and Nutritional Determinants of Anemia (BRINDA) approach, iron deficiency (ID) was defined as serum ferritin concentrations < 12 μg/L [22] and vitamin A deficiency was defined as RBP concentrations < 0.7 μmol/L [23]. For categorical variables, proportions were calculated to derive the prevalence. All measures of precision, including 95% confidence limits and chi square p values for differences in subgroup prevalence, were calculated accounting for the complex cluster and stratified sampling used by the SMS 2019. For this analysis, we identified potential risk factors from the recent WHO conceptual framework for stunting [24] and other potential risk factors of wasting identified from a review of the literature. Bivariate and multivariable analyses were conducted separately for children 0–5 months and 6–59 months to identify potential risk factors of stunting and wasting. Separate analyses for these age groups were done to account for the fact that blood biomarkers were only available in children 6–59 months of age. For all analyses, significance was accepted at P < 0.05. Variables with chi-square p-values < 0.1 during categorical bivariate analyses were included in the four subsequent multivariable models. When applicable during the bivariate analysis, a nonparametric test for trend was conducted using Stata’s nptrend command [25] to identify dose-response relationships. Following tests of collinearity (i.e., variance inflation factor), multivariable Poisson regression models were run using backwards elimination until only variables with statistically significant associations were remaining. To account for age differences, age in months was included in all regression models. Following the multivariable analyses, the population attributable fraction (PAF) was calculated for all statistically significant potential risk factors. PAF was calculated using the equation pdaRR-1aRR using the adjusted risk ratios (aRRs) produced by the Poisson regressions and the proportion of cases with the potential risk factor of interest (pd) [26].

Based on the information provided, here are some potential innovations that could be used to improve access to maternal health:

1. Mobile Health (mHealth) Applications: Develop mobile applications that provide pregnant women and new mothers with access to important health information, reminders for prenatal and postnatal care appointments, and educational resources.

2. Telemedicine: Implement telemedicine programs that allow pregnant women in remote or underserved areas to consult with healthcare professionals through video calls, reducing the need for travel and improving access to medical advice.

3. Community Health Workers: Train and deploy community health workers who can provide essential maternal health services, such as prenatal care, health education, and postnatal support, in areas with limited access to healthcare facilities.

4. Transportation Solutions: Develop innovative transportation solutions, such as mobile clinics or ambulances, to ensure that pregnant women can easily access healthcare facilities for prenatal check-ups, delivery, and emergency care.

5. Health Financing Models: Implement innovative health financing models, such as microinsurance or community-based health financing schemes, to make maternal healthcare more affordable and accessible for low-income women.

6. Maternal Health Information Systems: Establish comprehensive information systems that track maternal health indicators, monitor service delivery, and identify areas for improvement. This can help healthcare providers and policymakers make data-driven decisions to enhance access to maternal health services.

7. Public-Private Partnerships: Foster collaborations between the public and private sectors to leverage resources, expertise, and technology for improving maternal health services. This can involve partnerships with telecommunications companies, technology firms, and pharmaceutical companies to expand access and improve service delivery.

8. Maternal Health Education Programs: Develop innovative educational programs that target pregnant women, their families, and communities to raise awareness about the importance of maternal health, promote healthy behaviors, and address cultural or social barriers to accessing care.

9. Supply Chain Management: Implement efficient supply chain management systems to ensure the availability of essential maternal health commodities, such as contraceptives, prenatal vitamins, and emergency obstetric care supplies, in healthcare facilities.

10. Quality Improvement Initiatives: Implement quality improvement initiatives that focus on enhancing the quality of maternal health services, including training healthcare providers, improving infrastructure, and implementing evidence-based practices.

These innovations can help address the challenges identified in the study and improve access to maternal health services in Somalia.
AI Innovations Description
Based on the information provided, the following recommendation can be developed into an innovation to improve access to maternal health:

1. Strengthening Household Food Security: Given that children residing in severely food insecure households had a higher risk of stunting, improving household food security can play a crucial role in reducing child malnutrition. This can be achieved through innovative approaches such as promoting sustainable agriculture, providing agricultural training and resources to households, and implementing social safety net programs that ensure access to nutritious food for vulnerable populations.

2. Prevention of Diarrhea and Infections: The study found that wasting was more common in children with recent diarrhea. Implementing innovative strategies to prevent and treat diarrhea and other infections can contribute to improving the nutritional status of children. This can include promoting hygiene practices, providing access to clean water and sanitation facilities, and strengthening healthcare systems to ensure timely and effective treatment of infections.

3. Maternal Education and Support: Maternal education plays a crucial role in improving maternal and child health outcomes. Innovative approaches can be developed to provide education and support to mothers, focusing on topics such as proper nutrition during pregnancy, breastfeeding practices, and child feeding practices. This can be done through mobile health applications, community-based education programs, and peer support networks.

4. Integrated Approach to Maternal and Child Health: To address the complex factors contributing to maternal and child malnutrition, an integrated approach is needed. This involves collaboration between different sectors such as health, nutrition, agriculture, and social welfare. Innovative solutions can be developed to facilitate coordination and integration of services, ensuring that mothers and children have access to comprehensive and holistic care.

5. Use of Technology and Data: Leveraging technology and data can enhance access to maternal health services. Innovative solutions can include the use of telemedicine for remote consultations, mobile applications for health education and monitoring, and data-driven approaches to identify high-risk populations and target interventions effectively.

Overall, the development and implementation of innovative approaches that address the specific risk factors identified in the study can contribute to improving access to maternal health and reducing child malnutrition in Somalia.
AI Innovations Methodology
To improve access to maternal health, here are some potential recommendations:

1. Strengthening healthcare infrastructure: Investing in the development and improvement of healthcare facilities, including hospitals, clinics, and maternity centers, can enhance access to maternal health services. This includes ensuring the availability of skilled healthcare professionals, essential medical equipment, and necessary supplies.

2. Mobile health (mHealth) interventions: Utilizing mobile technology to provide maternal health information, reminders, and support can help overcome barriers to access. Mobile apps, SMS messaging, and telemedicine can be used to provide prenatal care guidance, postpartum support, and emergency assistance.

3. Community-based interventions: Implementing community-based programs that focus on educating and empowering women and families can improve access to maternal health services. This can involve training community health workers, conducting awareness campaigns, and establishing support groups.

4. Transportation support: Addressing transportation challenges can significantly improve access to maternal health services, especially in remote areas. Providing transportation vouchers, establishing ambulance services, or partnering with ride-sharing companies can help pregnant women reach healthcare facilities in a timely manner.

5. Financial incentives: Offering financial incentives, such as cash transfers or insurance coverage, can encourage pregnant women to seek and utilize maternal health services. This can help alleviate the financial burden associated with accessing healthcare.

To simulate the impact of these recommendations on improving access to maternal health, a methodology could include the following steps:

1. Define the target population: Determine the specific population group that will be the focus of the simulation, such as pregnant women in a particular region or country.

2. Collect baseline data: Gather relevant data on the current state of maternal health access, including indicators such as the number of women receiving prenatal care, the distance to healthcare facilities, and the availability of skilled healthcare professionals.

3. Define simulation parameters: Determine the specific variables and parameters that will be used to model the impact of the recommendations. This could include factors such as the number of healthcare facilities to be improved, the coverage and effectiveness of mHealth interventions, the number of community health workers to be trained, and the level of financial incentives provided.

4. Develop a simulation model: Use statistical or mathematical modeling techniques to create a simulation model that incorporates the defined parameters. This model should simulate the potential changes in access to maternal health services based on the implemented recommendations.

5. Run the simulation: Input the baseline data and the defined parameters into the simulation model and run the simulation to generate results. This could include estimates of the increase in the number of women accessing prenatal care, reductions in travel time to healthcare facilities, or improvements in overall maternal health outcomes.

6. Analyze and interpret the results: Examine the simulation results to understand the potential impact of the recommendations on improving access to maternal health. This could involve comparing the simulated outcomes with the baseline data and identifying key trends or patterns.

7. Refine and iterate: Based on the results and analysis, refine the simulation model and parameters as needed. Repeat the simulation process to further explore different scenarios or interventions that could enhance access to maternal health.

It’s important to note that the accuracy and reliability of the simulation results will depend on the quality of the data used and the assumptions made in the model. Regular monitoring and evaluation of the implemented recommendations will help validate the simulation findings and guide evidence-based decision-making.

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