Stillbirth 2010–2018: a prospective, population-based, multi-country study from the Global Network

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Study Justification:
– Stillbirth rates are high in low and middle-income countries (LMIC), and they contribute significantly to under-5 mortality.
– Few population-based studies have examined the causes and trends in stillbirth rates in LMIC.
– This study aims to fill this knowledge gap by conducting a multi-country, population-based study to understand the causes and trends of stillbirths in low-resource settings.
Study Highlights:
– The study enrolled over 573,000 pregnant women across 7 sites in Kenya, Zambia, Democratic Republic of Congo, India, Pakistan, and Guatemala.
– Of the 552,547 births that reached 500g or 20 weeks gestation, 15,604 were stillbirths, resulting in a stillbirth rate of 28.2 per 1000 births.
– Stillbirth rates varied across sites, with the highest rates observed in the Pakistan site and the lowest rates in the Guatemala site.
– The major causes of stillbirth were birth asphyxia (44.0% of stillbirths) and infectious causes (22.2%).
– Women who were less educated, older, had less access to antenatal care, and underwent vaginal assisted delivery were at increased risk of stillbirth.
Recommendations for Lay Reader and Policy Maker:
– Increase access to antenatal and obstetric care, particularly for women who are less educated and have limited resources.
– Improve education and awareness about the importance of antenatal care and safe delivery practices.
– Strengthen efforts to prevent and manage maternal infections during pregnancy.
– Enhance training and resources for birth attendants to address birth asphyxia and other fetal conditions that contribute to stillbirths.
– Conduct further research to understand the specific factors contributing to stillbirths in different settings and develop targeted interventions.
Key Role Players:
– Community health workers or nurses as registry administrators (RAs) to identify and screen pregnant women.
– Supervisors at each research site to oversee data collection and review.
– Data coordinating center (RTI International) to manage and analyze the collected data.
– Ethics review committees and institutional review boards to ensure ethical conduct of the study.
Cost Items for Planning Recommendations:
– Training and capacity building for community health workers and nurses.
– Development and dissemination of educational materials for pregnant women and birth attendants.
– Strengthening healthcare infrastructure and resources for antenatal and obstetric care.
– Research funding for further studies and interventions.
– Data management and analysis support from the coordinating center.

The strength of evidence for this abstract is 8 out of 10.
The evidence in the abstract is strong because it is based on a prospective, population-based, multi-country study with a large sample size. The study collected data from 573,148 women across 7 sites in low-resource settings. The cause of stillbirth was assigned using an algorithm, and the study documented stillbirth rates and trends over time. The abstract provides specific numbers and percentages, as well as information on risk factors and causes of stillbirth. However, to improve the evidence, the abstract could include more details on the methodology, such as the specific data collection methods and statistical analyses used. Additionally, it would be helpful to include information on the limitations of the study and any potential biases.

Background: Stillbirth rates are high and represent a substantial proportion of the under-5 mortality in low and middle-income countries (LMIC). In LMIC, where nearly 98% of stillbirths worldwide occur, few population-based studies have documented cause of stillbirths or the trends in rate of stillbirth over time. Methods: We undertook a prospective, population-based multi-country research study of all pregnant women in defined geographic areas across 7 sites in low-resource settings (Kenya, Zambia, Democratic Republic of Congo, India, Pakistan, and Guatemala). Staff collected demographic and health care characteristics with outcomes obtained at delivery. Cause of stillbirth was assigned by algorithm. Results: From 2010 through 2018, 573,148 women were enrolled with delivery data obtained. Of the 552,547 births that reached 500 g or 20 weeks gestation, 15,604 were stillbirths; a rate of 28.2 stillbirths per 1000 births. The stillbirth rates were 19.3 in the Guatemala site, 23.8 in the African sites, and 33.3 in the Asian sites. Specifically, stillbirth rates were highest in the Pakistan site, which also documented a substantial decrease in stillbirth rates over the study period, from 56.0 per 1000 (95% CI 51.0, 61.0) in 2010 to 44.4 per 1000 (95% CI 39.1, 49.7) in 2018. The Nagpur, India site also documented a substantial decrease in stillbirths from 32.5 (95% CI 29.0, 36.1) to 16.9 (95% CI 13.9, 19.9) per 1000 in 2018; however, other sites had only small declines in stillbirth over the same period. Women who were less educated and older as well as those with less access to antenatal care and with vaginal assisted delivery were at increased risk of stillbirth. The major fetal causes of stillbirth were birth asphyxia (44.0% of stillbirths) and infectious causes (22.2%). The maternal conditions that were observed among those with stillbirth were obstructed or prolonged labor, antepartum hemorrhage and maternal infections. Conclusions: Over the study period, stillbirth rates have remained relatively high across all sites. With the exceptions of the Pakistan and Nagpur sites, Global Network sites did not observe substantial changes in their stillbirth rates. Women who were less educated and had less access to antenatal and obstetric care remained at the highest burden of stillbirth. Study registration: Clinicaltrials.gov (ID# NCT01073475).

The Global Network’s Maternal Newborn Health Registry (MNHR) is a prospective observational study that includes all pregnant women and their outcomes in defined geographic communities (clusters). For this study, sites in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) (North and South Ubangi Provinces), western Kenya, Zambia (Kafue and Chongwe), Pakistan (Thatta), India (Belagavi and Nagpur) and Guatemala (Chimaltenango) were included. Each site had between 10 and 24 study clusters, which are defined geographic areas with approximately 300–500 annual births [15]. The MNHR staff, generally community health workers or nurses, known as registry administrators (RAs), attempted to identify and screen all pregnant women residing or delivering in the study communities within 48 h of delivery. At enrollment, basic demographic information was recorded, and a follow-up visit conducted within 48 h of the delivery to obtain birth outcomes, as described in detail elsewhere [15]. The study outcome data were based on medical record review, as well as interviews with birth attendants and when applicable, the family. In addition to the prospective enrollment of pregnant women, several measures were taken to ensure accuracy of the stillbirth data, including supervisory oversight of RAs’ data, review of the ratio of stillbirth to early neonatal death to identify any potential biases, and training and review of definitions. Stillbirth was defined using a modified World Health Organization (WHO) criteria of fetal deaths occurring at ≥20 weeks gestation (or for those without gestational age available ≥500 g) [16]. Macerated stillbirths were defined as those with visible signs of maceration including skin or soft tissues changes such as skin sloughing or discoloration. In 2014, the Global Network MNHR study introduced an additional data collection tool to facilitate classification of the cause of stillbirth. Using data from the supplemental form as well as clinical information in the MNHR, a model was used to estimate one primary cause of stillbirth [17, 18]. Briefly, the hierarchal algorithm first evaluates whether the stillbirth was associated with fetal trauma (i.e., accident). Next, the presence of a major (visible) congenital anomaly is assessed for potential causality; ultrasound and other more sophisticated techniques were not routinely used. If neither is present and signs of maternal or fetal infection are observed, the stillbirth is classified as infection. If none of these are present and any maternal or fetal condition associated with intrauterine asphyxia (including preeclampsia/eclampsia, hemorrhage, obstructed or prolonged labor) is present, asphyxia is defined as the cause. Finally, preterm birth is considered the cause of death if none of the prior conditions were present and the stillbirth was less than 32 weeks gestation. If none of the conditions were present, the cause of stillbirth is classified as unknown. Risk factors for stillbirth were prospectively defined based on literature review of potential factors associated with stillbirth in low-resource settings. These included maternal clinical conditions, antenatal and delivery care as well as characteristics of the fetus that were collected as part of our routine registry. A team at each research site supervised local data collection and provided the initial review of the data collected. Then, data were entered at each study site and transmitted through a secure process to the central data coordinating center, RTI International (RTI, Durham, NC). Descriptive analyses were performed as well as log binomial models using general estimation equations to account for the correlation of outcomes within cluster to estimate relative risk of stillbirth. The incidence of stillbirth was calculated as the number of stillbirths per 1000 births (live and stillbirths > 500 g) The models which evaluated stillbirths by year were limited to those clusters which collected data within the MNHR throughout the full study period, as several sites changed the number of clusters during the study period. All data analyses were done with SAS software v.9.4 (Cary, NC). Each research site obtained local approval by the ethics review committees (INCAP, Guatemala; University of Zambia, Biomedical Research Ethics Committee, Zambia; Moi University School of Medicine, Kenya; University of Kinshasa, DRC; Aga Khan University; KLE University’s Jawharal Nehru Medical College, Belagavi, India; Lata Medical Research Foundation, Nagpur, India), the institutional review boards by partner U.S. universities and the data coordinating center (RTI). All pregnant women included in the registry provided informed consent for participation in the study.

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Based on the information provided, here are some potential innovations that could improve access to maternal health:

1. Mobile Health (mHealth) Solutions: Implementing mobile health technologies such as SMS reminders for prenatal care appointments, educational messages about pregnancy and childbirth, and telemedicine consultations can help improve access to maternal health services, especially in remote or underserved areas.

2. Community-Based Interventions: Engaging community health workers or nurses to provide prenatal care, education, and support to pregnant women in their own communities can help increase access to maternal health services and improve health outcomes.

3. Telemedicine: Using telemedicine platforms to connect pregnant women with healthcare providers remotely can help overcome geographical barriers and provide timely access to prenatal care and consultations.

4. Transportation Solutions: Developing transportation solutions, such as mobile clinics or community transport services, to help pregnant women in remote areas reach healthcare facilities for prenatal care, delivery, and postnatal care.

5. Maternal Health Vouchers: Implementing voucher programs that provide financial assistance to pregnant women for accessing maternal health services, including prenatal care, delivery, and postnatal care, can help reduce financial barriers and improve access.

6. Task-Shifting and Training: Training and empowering non-specialist healthcare providers, such as midwives or community health workers, to provide essential maternal health services can help expand access to care, especially in areas with a shortage of skilled healthcare professionals.

7. Quality Improvement Initiatives: Implementing quality improvement initiatives in healthcare facilities to ensure the provision of evidence-based, respectful, and culturally sensitive maternal health services can help improve access and utilization of these services.

8. Public-Private Partnerships: Collaborating with private sector organizations, such as pharmaceutical companies or technology companies, to develop innovative solutions and leverage their resources and expertise to improve access to maternal health services.

It’s important to note that the specific recommendations for improving access to maternal health may vary depending on the local context and the specific challenges faced in each setting.
AI Innovations Description
Based on the information provided, one recommendation to improve access to maternal health is to focus on increasing access to antenatal care and obstetric care for women in low-resource settings. This can be achieved through the following strategies:

1. Strengthening healthcare infrastructure: Improve the availability and quality of healthcare facilities, particularly in rural areas, by investing in infrastructure, equipment, and trained healthcare professionals.

2. Community-based interventions: Implement community-based programs that educate and empower women about the importance of antenatal care and skilled birth attendance. This can be done through community health workers or nurses who can provide information, support, and referrals to healthcare facilities.

3. Mobile health (mHealth) solutions: Utilize mobile technology to deliver maternal health information, reminders, and appointment notifications to pregnant women. This can help overcome barriers such as distance, transportation, and lack of awareness.

4. Financial support: Provide financial assistance or health insurance schemes to ensure that women have the means to access antenatal and obstetric care without facing financial barriers.

5. Training and capacity building: Invest in training healthcare professionals, including midwives and birth attendants, to provide quality antenatal and obstetric care. This includes ensuring they have the necessary skills and knowledge to identify and manage complications during pregnancy and childbirth.

6. Addressing social determinants of health: Address underlying social determinants of health, such as poverty, gender inequality, and lack of education, which can impact access to maternal health services. This may involve implementing policies and programs that address these issues and promote women’s empowerment.

By implementing these recommendations, it is possible to improve access to maternal health services, reduce stillbirth rates, and ultimately improve maternal and child health outcomes in low-resource settings.
AI Innovations Methodology
To improve access to maternal health, here are some potential recommendations:

1. Strengthening Antenatal Care: Enhance antenatal care services by increasing the number of visits, providing comprehensive health assessments, and offering education on pregnancy, childbirth, and postnatal care.

2. Community-Based Interventions: Implement community-based interventions to improve access to maternal health services, such as mobile clinics, community health workers, and outreach programs.

3. Telemedicine and Telehealth: Utilize telemedicine and telehealth technologies to provide remote consultations, monitoring, and support for pregnant women in remote or underserved areas.

4. Maternal Health Education: Develop and implement educational programs to raise awareness about maternal health, including the importance of prenatal care, nutrition, and hygiene practices.

5. Infrastructure and Equipment: Improve healthcare infrastructure and ensure the availability of essential equipment and supplies in healthcare facilities to provide quality maternal care.

To simulate the impact of these recommendations on improving access to maternal health, a methodology could include the following steps:

1. Define the Metrics: Identify key metrics to measure the impact, such as the number of women accessing antenatal care, the reduction in stillbirth rates, the increase in skilled birth attendance, or the improvement in maternal health outcomes.

2. Data Collection: Collect baseline data on the current state of maternal health access, including the number of women receiving antenatal care, the stillbirth rates, and other relevant indicators.

3. Introduce Innovations: Implement the recommended innovations in selected areas or communities and track the implementation process.

4. Monitor and Evaluate: Continuously monitor and evaluate the impact of the innovations on the defined metrics. This can be done through data collection, surveys, interviews, and feedback from healthcare providers and beneficiaries.

5. Analyze and Compare: Analyze the collected data and compare it with the baseline data to assess the impact of the innovations on improving access to maternal health.

6. Adjust and Refine: Based on the findings, make adjustments and refinements to the innovations to optimize their impact.

7. Scale-up and Replicate: If the innovations prove to be effective, consider scaling up and replicating them in other areas or communities to further improve access to maternal health.

By following this methodology, it is possible to simulate the impact of recommended innovations on improving access to maternal health and make informed decisions on implementing them on a larger scale.

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