Herpes simplex virus type 2, genital ulcers and HIV-1 disease progression in postpartum women

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Study Justification:
This study aimed to investigate the impact of herpes simplex virus type 2 (HSV-2) infection on the progression of HIV-1 disease in postpartum women. Co-infection with HSV-2 has been associated with increased HIV-1 RNA levels and immune activation, both of which are predictors of HIV-1 progression. However, the specific impact of HSV-2 on clinical outcomes among HIV-1 infected pregnant women was unclear. Therefore, this study sought to determine the associations between HSV-2 serostatus and HIV-1 progression in this population.
Study Highlights:
– The study included 296 HIV-1 infected pregnant women in Nairobi, Kenya.
– 86% of the women were HSV-2-seropositive, indicating a high prevalence of HSV-2 infection.
– Only 10% of the women had prior or current genital ulcer disease (GUD).
– Women with GUD were significantly more likely to have incident opportunistic infections (OIs), suggesting that clinically evident HSV-2 is a more important predictor of HIV-1 disease progression than asymptomatic HSV-2.
– The rate of change in CD4 count and HIV-1 RNA did not differ by HSV-2 status or GUD, despite a trend toward higher baseline HIV-1 RNA in HSV-2-seropositive women.
Study Recommendations:
Based on the findings of this study, the following recommendations can be made:
1. Pregnant women with HIV-1 infection should be screened for HSV-2 infection, as it is highly prevalent and may impact disease progression.
2. Clinicians should pay particular attention to pregnant women with genital ulcer disease, as they are at increased risk for developing opportunistic infections.
3. Further research is needed to explore the mechanisms by which HSV-2 infection contributes to HIV-1 disease progression in pregnant women.
4. Strategies to prevent and treat HSV-2 infection should be considered as part of comprehensive HIV-1 care for pregnant women.
Key Role Players:
To address the recommendations, the following key role players may be needed:
1. Healthcare providers and clinics offering antenatal care and HIV-1 treatment services.
2. Laboratory technicians for HSV-2 and HIV-1 testing.
3. Researchers and epidemiologists to conduct further studies on the impact of HSV-2 on HIV-1 disease progression.
4. Policy makers and public health officials to develop guidelines and strategies for screening and managing HSV-2 infection in pregnant women with HIV-1.
Cost Items for Planning Recommendations:
While the actual costs will vary depending on the specific context and resources available, the following cost items may need to be considered in planning the recommendations:
1. Training and capacity building for healthcare providers on HSV-2 screening and management.
2. Laboratory equipment and supplies for HSV-2 and HIV-1 testing.
3. Research funding for further studies on HSV-2 and HIV-1 disease progression.
4. Development and dissemination of guidelines and educational materials for healthcare providers and pregnant women.
5. Implementation and monitoring of prevention and treatment strategies for HSV-2 infection.
Please note that the cost estimates provided here are for planning purposes only and may not reflect the actual costs in a given setting.

The strength of evidence for this abstract is 7 out of 10.
The evidence in the abstract is moderately strong. The study includes a relatively large sample size and utilizes survival analysis and linear mixed models to determine associations between HSV-2 serostatus and HIV-1 progression. However, the study does not provide information on potential confounding factors or control for them in the analysis. To improve the strength of the evidence, future studies could consider controlling for potential confounders such as age, socioeconomic status, and other comorbidities. Additionally, including a control group of HIV-1 infected pregnant women without HSV-2 could help establish a stronger causal relationship between HSV-2 and HIV-1 progression.

Background: Co-infection with herpes simplex virus type 2 (HSV-2) has been associated with increased HIV-1 RNA levels and immune activation, two predictors of HIV-1 progression. The impact of HSV-2 on clinical outcomes among HIV-1 infected pregnant women is unclear. Methods: HIV-1 infected pregnant women in Nairobi were enrolled antenatally and HSV-2 serology was obtained. HIV-1 RNA and CD4 count were serially measured for 12-24 months postpartum. Survival analysis using endpoints of death, opportunistic infection (OI), and CD4<200 cells μL, and linear mixed models estimating rate of change of HIV-1 RNA and CD4, were used to determine associations between HSV-2 serostatus and HIV-1 progression. Results: Among 296 women, 254 (86%) were HSV-2-seropositive. Only 30 (10%) women had prior or current genital ulcer disease (GUD); median baseline CD4 count was 422 cells μL. Adjusting for baseline CD4, women with GUD were significantly more likely to have incident OIs (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 2.79, 95% CI: 1.33-5.85), and there was a trend for association between HSV-2-seropositivity and incident OIs (aHR 3.83, 95% CI: 0.93-15.83). Rate of change in CD4 count and HIV-1 RNA did not differ by HSV-2 status or GUD, despite a trend toward higher baseline HIV-1 RNA in HSV-2-seropositive women (4.73 log10 copies/ml vs. 4.47 log10 copies/ml, P = 0.07). Conclusions: HSV-2 was highly prevalent and pregnant HIV-1 infected women with GUD were significantly more likely to have incident OIs than women without GUD, suggesting that clinically evident HSV-2 is a more important predictor of HIV-1 disease progression than asymptomatic HSV-2. © 2011 Roxby et al.

HIV-1-seropositive pregnant women in Nairobi, Kenya were recruited from Nairobi City Council clinics and enrolled into a prospective cohort study of immunological markers, morbidity and infant feeding practices, as described previously [3]. The first 216 women, enrolled between 1999 and 2002, were followed for 12 months; the remaining 319 women, enrolled between 2002 and 2005, were followed for 24 months. Written informed consent was obtained from all study subjects in the cohort. Human experimentation guidelines from the US Department of Health and Human Services were followed. Ethical approvals were obtained from the institutional review board of the University of Washington and the ethics review committee of Kenyatta National Hospital (KNH) and the Kenya Medical Research Institute (KEMRI). Women were followed during pregnancy and postpartum with regular physical exams, and plasma samples were taken at postpartum months 1, 3, 6, 9, and 12, and then quarterly for those followed during the second postpartum year. At enrollment, a pelvic exam was done and the presence of any ulcer was recorded. Women were classified as having genital ulcer disease (GUD) if they had either reported having a history of an ulcer prior to enrollment or had an ulcer observed during the exam at enrollment. All women were screened for syphilis, the other main cause of GUD in this population, with baseline rapid plasma reagin (RPR) testing, and treated if positive. The following opportunistic infections (OIs) were recorded: incident pulmonary or extrapulmonary tuberculosis, herpes zoster, Pneumocystis jirovecii pneumonia (PCP), Kaposi's sarcoma (KS), meningitis or encephalitis. These diagnoses were made in study clinic or were abstracted from records of hospitalized participants. Women were provided zidovudine (ZDV) prophylaxis according to standard prevention of mother-to-child transmission (PMTCT) protocols in Kenya at that time, which included short courses of ZDV beginning at 34–36 weeks gestation through delivery. Women with CD4 counts≤200 cells/µl received co-trimoxazole prophylaxis per Kenyan guidelines during the study period and were referred for highly-active antiretroviral therapy (HAART), although access to HAART in Kenya remained limited until 2003. Consistent with clinical practice in Kenya at the time, acyclovir was not used for treatment of GUD, but some women received it for severe herpes zoster. Cryopreserved plasma samples from the date of study enrollment were identified from women in the cohort. HSV-2 antibody was detected using HSV-2 enzyme-linked immunosorbency assays (ELISA) (HerpeSelect, Focus Diagnostics, Cypress, CA, USA), performed at University of Washington in 2007 (first 175 specimens) and University of Nairobi in 2009 (remaining 124 specimens). A cutoff index value ≥3.5 was used to determine a positive result. In Seattle, positive and equivocal results were repeated with Western blot testing and participants were considered positive if Western blot testing was positive. In Nairobi, Western blot testing was not done but samples with indeterminate results were re-tested; if a result remained indeterminate, the participant was excluded from analysis. CD4 count was measured in Nairobi with a FACScan flow cytometer (BD Biosciences, San Jose, CA USA), with semiannual proficiency testing performed. Plasma HIV-1 RNA levels were quantified at the Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center in Seattle using a transcription-mediated amplification assay (Gen-Probe, San Diego, CA USA), which has been validated to quantify prevalent HIV-1 subtypes in Kenya [21]. Maternal plasma was tested for syphilis at enrollment using the rapid plasma reagin (RPR) (Becton Dickinson, Cockeysville, MD) and confirmed using the Treponema pallidum hemagglutination assay (Randox Laboratories Ltd, Ardmore, Crumlin, UK). To determine baseline correlates of HSV-2-seropositivity in the cohort, univariate analyses were performed using Chi-squared, Fisher's exact test, and Student t-tests. Maternal HIV-1 disease progression was defined using three separate endpoints: death, CD4≤200 cells/µl, and first OI. Participants were censored after the first occurrence of an event. The following combined outcomes were also evaluated: 1) death or CD4≤200 cells/µl, 2) death or OI, and 3) death, CD4≤200 cells/µl or OI. Cumulative incidence was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier curves. Associations between disease progression and baseline risk factors were assessed using Cox proportional hazards regression, adjusted for baseline CD4 count. Data were also censored if any of the following occurred: death, start of HAART, or second pregnancy. To estimate rates of change of postpartum CD4 count and HIV-1 RNA levels, linear mixed effects models with random slopes were constructed. HIV-1 RNA levels and CD4 counts during pregnancy were excluded from linear mixed effects models. A locally weighted scatterplot smoother was applied to scatterplots of CD4 and plasma HIV-1 RNA level. Stata Version 10.0 (College Station, Texas USA) software was used for statistical analysis.

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Based on the information provided, it is difficult to identify specific innovations for improving access to maternal health. The study focuses on the impact of herpes simplex virus type 2 (HSV-2) on HIV-1 disease progression in pregnant women, rather than access to maternal health services. To recommend innovations for improving access to maternal health, it would be helpful to have more information on the specific challenges or barriers faced in accessing maternal health services in the context of this study.
AI Innovations Description
Based on the provided information, the recommendation to improve access to maternal health would be to implement a comprehensive program that focuses on the prevention, diagnosis, and treatment of herpes simplex virus type 2 (HSV-2) in pregnant women.

This program should include the following components:

1. Education and awareness: Raise awareness among pregnant women about the risks and consequences of HSV-2 infection during pregnancy. Provide information on preventive measures, such as safe sexual practices and the importance of regular check-ups.

2. Routine screening: Implement routine screening for HSV-2 infection during prenatal care visits. This will help identify women who are infected and provide them with appropriate care and treatment.

3. Treatment and management: Ensure that pregnant women who test positive for HSV-2 receive timely and effective treatment. This may include antiviral medications to manage outbreaks and reduce the risk of transmission to the baby.

4. Counseling and support: Offer counseling and support services to pregnant women diagnosed with HSV-2. This can help address any concerns or anxieties they may have and provide them with the necessary emotional support.

5. Integration with existing services: Integrate the HSV-2 screening and treatment program with existing maternal health services. This will ensure that pregnant women receive comprehensive care and support throughout their pregnancy.

6. Collaboration and partnerships: Collaborate with local healthcare providers, community organizations, and stakeholders to implement and sustain the program. This will help ensure that resources are effectively utilized and that the program reaches the target population.

By implementing this comprehensive program, access to maternal health can be improved by addressing the specific challenges posed by HSV-2 infection during pregnancy. This will ultimately contribute to better health outcomes for both the mother and the baby.
AI Innovations Methodology
Based on the provided information, here are some potential recommendations for improving access to maternal health:

1. Increase awareness and education: Implement comprehensive education programs to increase awareness about maternal health, including the risks of co-infection with herpes simplex virus type 2 (HSV-2) and HIV-1. This can be done through community outreach, antenatal care clinics, and educational campaigns.

2. Integrated screening and treatment: Integrate screening and treatment for HSV-2 and other sexually transmitted infections (STIs) into routine antenatal care services. This will ensure that pregnant women are tested for HSV-2 and receive appropriate treatment if needed.

3. Strengthen healthcare infrastructure: Improve the capacity and resources of healthcare facilities to provide comprehensive maternal health services. This includes ensuring access to antenatal care, skilled birth attendants, emergency obstetric care, and postpartum care.

4. Support for HIV-1 positive pregnant women: Provide comprehensive support for HIV-1 positive pregnant women, including access to antiretroviral therapy (ART), counseling, and support groups. This will help improve their overall health and reduce the risk of HIV-1 disease progression.

To simulate the impact of these recommendations on improving access to maternal health, a methodology could be developed as follows:

1. Define the target population: Identify the specific population that will be impacted by the recommendations, such as HIV-1 positive pregnant women in Nairobi, Kenya.

2. Collect baseline data: Gather data on the current access to maternal health services, including the prevalence of HSV-2 infection, HIV-1 disease progression rates, and maternal health outcomes.

3. Develop a simulation model: Create a simulation model that incorporates the key variables and factors related to access to maternal health, including the impact of the recommendations. This model should consider factors such as the number of women reached through education programs, the increase in screening and treatment rates, and the improvement in healthcare infrastructure.

4. Input data and run simulations: Input the baseline data into the simulation model and run multiple simulations to estimate the potential impact of the recommendations on improving access to maternal health. This can be done by varying the parameters related to the recommendations and observing the resulting changes in maternal health outcomes.

5. Analyze results: Analyze the simulation results to determine the potential impact of the recommendations on improving access to maternal health. This can include evaluating changes in HSV-2 prevalence, HIV-1 disease progression rates, and maternal health outcomes such as OIs and CD4 counts.

6. Validate and refine the model: Validate the simulation model by comparing the simulated results with real-world data, if available. Refine the model based on feedback and further data analysis.

7. Communicate findings and recommendations: Present the findings from the simulation model to relevant stakeholders, such as policymakers, healthcare providers, and community organizations. Use the results to advocate for the implementation of the recommendations and to guide decision-making processes.

It is important to note that the methodology described above is a general framework and may need to be adapted based on the specific context and available data.

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