“Assessing Today for a Better Tomorrow”: An observational cohort study about quality of care, mortality and morbidity among newborn infants admitted to neonatal intensive care in Guinea

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Study Justification:
– Neonatal mortality in Guinea is a significant issue, accounting for about 30% of all fatalities in children under five years old.
– There is a lack of specialized neonatal intensive care resources in the country, with only one clinic providing such care.
– Targeted measures to improve neonatal care require prospective data on patient characteristics and factors contributing to neonatal death.
Study Highlights:
– The study conducted a prospective observational cohort study of newborns admitted to the hospital between mid-February and mid-March 2019.
– Data were collected on maternal/prenatal history, delivery, and in-hospital care.
– The study found that half of the admitted newborns required postnatal cardiopulmonary resuscitation.
– The main reasons for admission included respiratory distress, poor postnatal adaptation, prematurity, and infections.
– The quality of care was poor, with only a fraction of newborns receiving necessary treatments such as external heating for hypothermia and phototherapy for jaundice.
– Neonatal mortality was strikingly high, with birth asphyxia, prematurity, and infection accounting for the majority of deaths.
– Newborns in serious/critical general condition at admission had a significantly higher risk of death.
Study Recommendations:
– Reconsider the whole concept of perinatal care in Guinea.
– Improve the quality of in-hospital care, ensuring that all newborns receive necessary treatments.
– Implement targeted measures to address the main causes of neonatal mortality, such as birth asphyxia, prematurity, and infection.
Key Role Players:
– Ministry of Health: Responsible for implementing policy changes and allocating resources.
– Medical professionals: Including pediatricians, neonatologists, nurses, and midwives who provide care to newborns.
– Hospital administrators: Involved in managing resources and implementing changes at the hospital level.
– Non-governmental organizations (NGOs): Provide support, training, and resources to improve neonatal care.
Cost Items for Planning Recommendations:
– Equipment and supplies: Including medical equipment, medications, and consumables required for neonatal care.
– Training and capacity building: Funding for training programs to improve the skills and knowledge of healthcare professionals.
– Infrastructure improvements: Upgrading facilities, including expanding the neonatal department and improving the physical environment.
– Research and data collection: Funding for ongoing data collection and research to monitor progress and identify areas for improvement.
– Outreach and awareness campaigns: Budget for raising awareness among the public and healthcare providers about the importance of neonatal care.
Please note that the provided cost items are general categories and do not represent actual cost estimates.

The strength of evidence for this abstract is 8 out of 10.
The evidence in the abstract is strong, as it presents the findings of a prospective observational cohort study conducted at a specialized neonatal intensive care unit in Guinea. The study collected data on patient characteristics, disease management, and factors contributing to neonatal mortality. The results highlight the high rates of morbidity and mortality, poor quality of care, and the need for improvements in perinatal care in Guinea. To improve the evidence, the abstract could include more specific details about the study design, sample size, and statistical analysis methods used.

Background Neonatal mortality in Guinea accounts for about 30% of all fatalities in children younger than five years. Countrywide, specialized neonatal intensive care is provided in one single clinic with markedly limited resources. To implement targeted measures, prospective data on patient characteristics and factors of neonatal death are needed. Objective To determine the rates of morbidity and mortality, to describe clinical characteristics of admitted newborns requiring intensive care, to assess the quality of disease management, and to identify factors contributing to neonatal mortality. Methods Prospective observational cohort study of newborns admitted to the hospital between mid-February and mid-March 2019 after birth in other institutions. Data were collected on maternal/prenatal history, delivery, and in-hospital care via convenience sampling. Associations of patient characteristics with in-hospital death were assessed using cause-specific Cox proportional-hazards models. Results Half of the 168 admitted newborns underwent postnatal cardiopulmonary resuscitation. Reasons for admission included respiratory distress (49.4%), poor postnatal adaptation (45.8%), prematurity (46.2%), and infections (37.1%). 101 newborns (61.2%) arrived in serious/critical general condition; 90 children (53.9%) showed clinical signs of neurological damage. Quality of care was poor: Only 59.4% of the 64 newborns admitted with hypothermia were externally heated; likewise, 57.1% of 45 jaundiced infants did not receive phototherapy. Death occurred in 56 children (33.3%) due to birth asphyxia (42.9%), prematurity (33.9%), and sepsis (12.5%). Newborns in serious/critical general condition at admission had about a fivefold higher hazard to die than those admitted in good condition (HR 5.21 95%-CI 2.42–11.25, p = <0.0001). Hypothermia at admission was also associated with a higher hazard of death (HR 2.00, 95%-CI 1.10–3.65, p = 0.023). Conclusion Neonatal mortality was strikingly high. Birth asphyxia, prematurity, and infection accounted for 89.3% of death, aggravated by poor quality of in-hospital care. Children with serious general condition at admission had poor chances of survival. The whole concept of perinatal care in Guinea requires reconsideration.

A prospective observational cohort study was conducted at the Institute of Nutrition and Child Health (Institut de Nutrition et de Santé de l’Enfant, INSE) of all admitted newborns and their follow-up until discharge or death during a 30-day period from February 15th to March 16th 2019. Ethical approval was granted from the Comité National d’Ethique pour la Recherche en Santé (CNERS) in Guinea (Ref. 035/CNERS/19). The written informed consent was signed by a parent or legal guardian prior to collecting and analyzing data. INSE is adjacent to the large public university hospital Donka and functions as the only specialized NICU in Guinea with a theoretical catchment area of the whole country with a population of 13.4 million inhabitants [16]. However, very few newborns outside the wider Conakry area, with a population of about 1.9 Mio inhabitants, are presented at INSE [17]. The unique shape of the capital city, a slim peninsula with all important facilities located at the coastal end and only two main roads connecting all suburbs with downtown Conakry, causes major traffic congestion and access difficulties to the medical care center. The Donka University Hospital has not offered obstetric services since 2015 due to renovation of the maternity ward. Therefore, all admitted neonates were born in other facilities or at home, and, consequently, had to be transported postnatally to INSE. On average, 4500 children are hospitalized annually at INSE, more than half of them in the neonatal department. Reasons for neonatal admissions include prematurity and low birth weight (LBW, <2500 g), poor postnatal adaptation, out-of-hospital reanimation, respiratory distress, bleeding, fever or other signs of infection, poor feeding, and congenital malformations. The architectural structure of the neonatal department offers only very limited space with overcrowded rooms and patients often sharing beds. The critical care unit accommodates 15–20 newborns. Further 25–30 newborn infants, once stabilized, are cared for in two more rooms. In each unit, one pediatrician is in charge supervising a general practitioner and an intern doctor from 9 am to 3 pm. After 3 pm, one general practitioner and two medical students assume the night shift for the whole neonatal department. Two specialized neonatologists work at the facility as consultants during daytime. The Kangaroo Mother Care (KMC) unit houses four premature newborns and their mothers, under the surveillance of a nurse teaching skin-to-skin-nursing. The other mothers stay in self-supply dormitories on the premises. The hospital is ill-equipped and underfunded. There had been no air conditioning at the time of the study and power outages were frequent. Solar panels power emergency lighting, oxygen extractors, and the one available phototherapy lamp. Equipment is of inferior quality and deteriorates quickly due to heat, dust, humidity, and power instability. Infants sleep in plastic cradles or makeshift wooden boxes. All medication and medical supplies have to be purchased by the parents after medical prescription, even in cases of emergency. Breastfeeding is encouraged according to the newborns’ general condition and gestational age; otherwise, the newborns are fed with expressed breastmilk or formula milk via nasogastric tube, cup, or spoon. Premature or hypothermic newborns are placed in plastic bags and externally heated under a shared radiant warmer, or with the help of warm water bottles. Managing admitted newborns, medical staff followed the guidelines of Advanced Neonatal Care by Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF) who had trained local personnel over several occasions until 2016. These guidelines are based on the World Health Organization (WHO) Essential Newborn Care guideline [18]. Vital parameters (axillary temperature, heart rate, respiratory rate, and peripheral oxygen saturation) were obtained using a digital thermometer and pulse oximeter, respectively. The body weight and findings of a full-body exam were recorded at admission. Respiratory distress was categorized as mild, moderate, or severe using the Silverman Score [19]. Interventions included airway suction for clearance, positive pressure ventilation for non-breathing infants with an Ambu® breathing bag, and oxygen therapy using oxygen concentrators with their output shared via Y-pieces of nasal cannula. Continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP), intubation, and mechanical ventilators were not available to assist newborns with respiratory distress. Nota bene, all pharmacological treatments were only administered if they were available, and had been purchased by the parents in the in-hospital or external pharmacies. Patients were routinely administered 1 mg of intramuscular Vitamin K if not yet injected in the obstetric clinic. Caffeine citrate (loading dose 10 mg/kg/day, maintenance dose 5 mg/kg/day) was given to premature newborns with gestational age <34 weeks or once apnea was noted. Cardiac arrest and bradycardia defined as heart rate below 60 beats/minute were treated with bag and mask ventilation and manual chest compressions. Anemia was defined as severe when the hemoglobin level was below 14 mg/dl. In case of severe anemia or active bleeding, blood transfusions with 20–25 ml/kg of concentrate red cells over 180–240 minutes were given. Neonatal jaundice was evaluated according to the Modified Kramer’s Scale as well as serum bilirubin levels, if available [20]. Phototherapy was used to treat jaundice with four hour-long sessions at a time; however, light therapy was often withheld due to hyperthermia. Intravenous antibiotic treatment was administered to newborns, for at least 48 hours, if either sepsis was being suspected (based on clinical signs and/or laboratory results), or if infection could not be excluded (unavailable prenatal history or laboratory results). No hemocultures were available. Ampicillin 50 mg/kg/day and gentamycin 5 mg/kg/day were administered to all patients without clinical signs of sepsis but suspected infection; ampicillin 100 mg/kg/day, gentamycin 5 mg/kg/day, and cefotaxime 100 mg/kg/day were given to children with clinical signs of sepsis or proven meningitis. Blood glucose levels were measured using a commercial glucometer. Hypoglycemia was defined as blood glucose below 2.5 mmol/l and treated with an intravenous bolus of 2 ml/kg of 5–10% dextrose followed by feeding or maintenance with 5–10% dextrose. In Guinea, 10% dextrose for intravenous application is not commercially available and had to be reconstituted from 30% dextrose and 5% dextrose. Children with birth asphyxia (BA) were categorized clinically as either mild, moderate, or severe hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (HIE) using the Sarnat staging [21]. Seizures were treated with 2mg of rectal diazepam, followed by oral maintenance with 5–10 mg/kg/d of phenobarbital. Radiological investigations, such as chest or abdominal X-rays, echocardiography, or ultrasound were not available on site and therefore rarely obtained due to lacking financial parental resources, restricted opening hours of the external imaging department, and difficulties related to transporting unstable newborns. Full blood counts and levels of C-reactive protein were available 24 hours per day; cerebrospinal fluid cell count with gram stain, blood films, bilirubin, and electrolyte measurements were only available during the daytime and were often not reliable due to equipment malfunction. Blood or liquor cultures were not available. Inclusion criteria were infants admitted to INSE during their newborn period (≤28 days of life) between February 15th and March 16th 2019, who were alive at the time of admission and whose parents had signed the informed consent form. Newborns who died before or at the time of their arrival at INSE and/or whose parents denied processing of their child’s data were excluded from the study. All infants were recruited in this study via convenience sampling. All information related to the hospitalized newborns was documented by physicians and nurses in the standard hospital paper charts. If available, data were collected on maternal history, prenatal and obstetric care, delivery, neonatal conditions, in-hospital management, and laboratory investigations. Provisional diagnoses and presumed causes of death were given by the treating doctor and discussed in the daily morning interdisciplinary staff meeting. Specific definitions used in this study are listed in Table 1. All data recorded for this study were entered in an excel sheet for further analysis. All analyses were performed using the R system for statistics and graphics version 4.0.4 [24]. Neonatal outcome was categorized into four different, mutually-exclusive states: patients who were cured during hospital stay (cure), deceased during hospital stay (death), were transferred to a different clinic (transfer), or were discharged early for whatever reason (early discharge). For simplicity, the latter two states were combined to a single one (other discharge). We descriptively analyzed how pre-, peri-, and postnatal characteristics may be related to neonatal mortality, stratifying characteristics by neonatal outcome. Frequency and percentage were tabulated for categorical variables, mean and standard deviation for continuous variables. In addition, we fitted a cause-specific Cox proportional-hazards model to assess the associations of patient characteristics at hospital admission with the outcome death (time to in-hospital death), censoring patients with other outcomes (cure or other discharge) at hospital discharge. Explanatory variables in the model were admission weight (in 100 g units), hypothermia (<36.5°C) at admission, neonatal CPR and a dichotomization of general condition and neurological condition into good/ fair vs. serious/critical. Neonatal time to death, cure or other discharge after hospital admission was visualized by cumulative incidence curves. A map of Conakry was produced using the R packages rnaturalearth and rnaturalearthhires, which provided the high-resolution polygon of Guinea, and ggplot2 for plotting the country together with the places of birth of the newborns [25–27].

Based on the provided information, here are some potential innovations that could be recommended to improve access to maternal health:

1. Telemedicine and Teleconsultation: Implementing telemedicine and teleconsultation services can help overcome the challenges of limited access to specialized care in remote areas. This would allow healthcare providers to remotely assess and provide guidance to pregnant women and new mothers, improving access to timely and quality care.

2. Mobile Health (mHealth) Applications: Developing mobile health applications that provide educational resources, appointment reminders, and personalized health information can empower pregnant women and new mothers to take control of their health. These applications can also facilitate communication between healthcare providers and patients, ensuring continuous support and monitoring.

3. Community Health Workers: Training and deploying community health workers can help bridge the gap between healthcare facilities and remote communities. These workers can provide basic antenatal and postnatal care, education, and referrals, improving access to essential maternal health services.

4. Transportation and Emergency Services: Improving transportation infrastructure and emergency services can significantly enhance access to maternal health. This includes ensuring reliable ambulance services, establishing emergency helplines, and addressing the challenges of traffic congestion and access difficulties to medical care centers.

5. Strengthening Healthcare Facilities: Investing in the improvement of healthcare facilities, including neonatal intensive care units, can enhance the quality of care provided to pregnant women and newborns. This includes ensuring adequate staffing, equipment, and resources to handle maternal and neonatal emergencies.

6. Health Financing and Insurance Schemes: Implementing health financing and insurance schemes specifically targeted towards maternal health can reduce financial barriers and improve access to essential services. This can include subsidizing maternal healthcare costs, providing insurance coverage for prenatal and postnatal care, and offering financial incentives for facility-based deliveries.

7. Maternal Health Education and Awareness Campaigns: Conducting education and awareness campaigns focused on maternal health can help dispel myths, promote early antenatal care, and encourage facility-based deliveries. These campaigns can be conducted through various channels, including mass media, community outreach programs, and social media platforms.

It is important to note that the specific recommendations for improving access to maternal health would depend on the context, resources, and healthcare system of the particular region or country.
AI Innovations Description
The recommendation to improve access to maternal health based on the study findings is to implement targeted measures to address the factors contributing to neonatal mortality in Guinea. This can include:

1. Strengthening the quality of in-hospital care: The study found that the quality of care provided to newborns in the neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) was poor. Improving the quality of care by ensuring proper management of diseases, such as hypothermia and jaundice, and implementing evidence-based guidelines for neonatal care can help reduce mortality rates.

2. Enhancing transportation and access to specialized care: Due to limited resources and access difficulties, many newborns in Guinea are born in other facilities or at home and then transported to the specialized NICU. Improving transportation infrastructure and ensuring timely access to specialized care can help reduce delays in receiving critical care and improve outcomes.

3. Investing in healthcare facilities and resources: The study highlighted the challenges faced by the healthcare facility, including overcrowded rooms, lack of equipment, and frequent power outages. Investing in healthcare facilities, improving infrastructure, and ensuring the availability of essential equipment, medications, and supplies can significantly improve the quality of care provided to newborns.

4. Strengthening healthcare workforce capacity: The study mentioned the limited number of healthcare professionals available to provide care in the NICU. Investing in training programs, increasing the number of healthcare professionals, and ensuring their continuous professional development can help improve the capacity to provide quality care to newborns.

5. Promoting community-based interventions: To improve access to maternal health, community-based interventions can play a crucial role. This can include educating and empowering communities about the importance of antenatal care, skilled birth attendance, and early recognition of danger signs during pregnancy and childbirth. Community health workers can be trained to provide basic maternal and neonatal care services and refer high-risk cases to healthcare facilities.

By implementing these recommendations, it is possible to improve access to maternal health and reduce neonatal mortality rates in Guinea. However, it is important to consider the specific context and challenges faced by the healthcare system in Guinea when designing and implementing these interventions.
AI Innovations Methodology
Based on the provided information, here are some potential recommendations for improving access to maternal health:

1. Strengthening transportation systems: Address the issue of traffic congestion and access difficulties by improving transportation systems. This could include implementing dedicated ambulance services for pregnant women and newborns, improving road infrastructure, and providing transportation subsidies for those in need.

2. Enhancing capacity and resources: Invest in improving the capacity and resources of healthcare facilities, particularly in rural areas. This could involve training healthcare professionals in maternal and neonatal care, providing necessary medical equipment and supplies, and ensuring adequate staffing levels.

3. Promoting community-based care: Implement community-based programs that focus on maternal and neonatal health. This could include training community health workers to provide basic prenatal and postnatal care, conducting awareness campaigns to educate communities about the importance of maternal health, and establishing support groups for pregnant women and new mothers.

4. Improving referral systems: Develop effective referral systems to ensure timely access to specialized care for high-risk pregnancies and complications. This could involve establishing clear protocols for identifying and referring high-risk cases, strengthening communication channels between healthcare facilities, and providing training on emergency obstetric care.

To simulate the impact of these recommendations on improving access to maternal health, a methodology could be developed as follows:

1. Define indicators: Identify key indicators that reflect access to maternal health, such as the number of pregnant women receiving prenatal care, the percentage of deliveries attended by skilled birth attendants, and the maternal mortality rate.

2. Collect baseline data: Gather data on the current status of these indicators in the target population or region. This could involve conducting surveys, reviewing existing health records, and analyzing available data sources.

3. Develop a simulation model: Create a simulation model that incorporates the identified recommendations and their potential impact on the selected indicators. This could be a mathematical model or a computer-based simulation that takes into account various factors such as population size, healthcare infrastructure, and resource allocation.

4. Input data and run simulations: Input the baseline data into the simulation model and run multiple simulations to assess the potential impact of the recommendations. This could involve varying parameters such as the scale of implementation, the time frame, and the target population.

5. Analyze results: Analyze the results of the simulations to determine the potential impact of the recommendations on improving access to maternal health. This could include assessing changes in the selected indicators, estimating the number of additional women accessing maternal health services, and evaluating the potential reduction in maternal mortality.

6. Refine and validate the model: Refine the simulation model based on feedback and validation from experts in the field. This could involve incorporating additional data sources, adjusting parameters based on real-world observations, and conducting sensitivity analyses to assess the robustness of the results.

7. Communicate findings: Present the findings of the simulation study to relevant stakeholders, such as policymakers, healthcare providers, and community leaders. This could involve preparing reports, presentations, or visualizations that clearly communicate the potential impact of the recommendations on improving access to maternal health.

By following this methodology, policymakers and healthcare stakeholders can gain insights into the potential benefits of implementing specific recommendations and make informed decisions to improve access to maternal health.

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