Background: Women are described as experiencing unmet need for contraception if they are fecund, sexually active and wish to postpone or limit childbearing but fail to use contraception to do so. The consequences of unmet need include unwanted pregnancy, induced abortions, school dropout due to pregnancy and premature maternal deaths. Global efforts aimed at addressing the adverse effects of unmet need abound. In Kenya, one in every four married women in the reproductive age bracket (15-49 years) has unmet need for contraception. Regional differences exist but the reasons behind these differences remain poorly understood. The purpose of this study was to examine the extent to which regional differentials in unmet need for contraception exists and to explain the regional differences in unmet need for contraception in Kenya. Methods: The paper used the Kenya Demographic and Health Survey (2008/09) data. Unmet need for contraception was measured based on the revised estimates contained in the survey. Summary statistics were used to show the percentage differences in the values of selected covariates across the high and low unmet need zones. The dependent variable had three categories: no unmet need, unmet need for spacing and unmet need for limiting births. The categorical nature of this dependent variable which is not ordered in any way lends itself to the use of multinomial logistic regression. The paper applied the seemingly unrelated estimation (suest) test to ascertain whether the covariate coefficients between the high and low unmet need zones were different. Stata Version 13.0 was used for analysis. Results: The percentage values of the selected covariates of unmet need for contraception were much higher in the high unmet need zone as compared to those observed in the low unmet need zones. On the overall, 15.4 % of women in the high unmet need zone had unmet need to space their next birth as compared to 8.6 % of their counterparts. Likewise, the percentage of women who wanted to limit further births stood at 14.1 % among women residing in high unmet need zones while those in low unmet need zones had 10.5 %. Further analysis based on seemingly unrelated estimation found that in general, a comparison of the coefficients been the high and low unmet need regions were significantly different (p < 0.05). Conclusion: Evidence from the nationally representative KDHS 2008/09 shows that regional differentials in the covariates of unmet need for contraception exist. There is need to address religious inhibitions that stymie contraceptive uptake especially in the high unmet need regions. Efforts should promote maternal education and economically empower women in order to reinforce individual and contextual attitudes towards the benefits of contraception. The government should also establish social franchise programs to increase access to costly long acting and permanent methods of contraception to poor women.
This study used data drawn from the 2008/09 KDHS. The data are national in scope. Out of the 8444 women of reproductive age (15–49 years) that were interviewed during the 2008/09 KDHS, 5041 were either currently married women or were in a union. This paper analyses KDHS data for women who were married or in union due to the following reasons: first, this cohort is the most sexually active with the highest risk of experiencing unmet need and its adverse consequences. Secondly, married women or those in union are bound to face more opposition from their spouses in their decision to use family planning as compared to the rest. Finally, the methodology for estimating unmet need for contraception among married women or those in union is the most developed of them all and is widely used globally [1, 6]. Unmet need for family planning is computed from women’s fertility preference and current contraceptive behaviour. Married women who were pregnant were asked whether they wanted to get pregnant then. Those who wanted to become pregnant were categorized as not having unmet need for contraception. Among those who did not want to get pregnant then, they were asked whether they wanted to get pregnant later (after 2 years or more) or not at all. Those who wanted to get pregnant later were categorized as having unmet need to space while those who did not want the pregnancy at all were categorised as having unmet need to limit births. On the other hand, married women who were sexually active and were fecund but were not using any contraceptives were asked whether they wanted to get pregnant during their most recent pregnancy (within 5 years). Those who wished they could have postponed their last pregnancy by at least 2 years were categorized as having unmet need to space while those who did not want to get pregnant at all were classified as having unmet need to limit. Married women who were currently pregnant or not were also asked about their timing and future intentions of becoming pregnant. Out of all these questions, a measure was computed to categorize women who had met needs for contraception as well as unmet need for spacing and limiting further births. A detailed algorithm for the computation of unmet need estimates is available in earlier works on this subject [1]. In this study, a regional approach was adopted. Specifically, regions that had a higher than national rate of unmet need for contraception were categorized as high unmet need zones while their counterparts were categorized as low unmet need zones. Using this categorization, Rift Valley, Nyanza, Western and Coast provinces which had unmet need levels of 30.3 % were grouped as high unmet need zones since their rate exceeded the national rate of 25.6 %. On the other hand, Nairobi, Central, Eastern and North Eastern provinces were grouped as low unmet need zones since they only had unmet need levels of 18 % against the national average of 25.6 %. Details of unmet need for contraception for each province are shown in Fig. Fig.1.1. I employed the difference in difference estimates to illustrate the differences in the levels of unmet need between the high and low unmet need regions. This is shown in Table 1. Percentage distribution of unmet need to space and limit births by province and national level, KDHS 2008/09 Regional percentage change in unmet need in Kenya, KDHS 2008/09 UNS H unmet need to space in the high zones, UNS L unmet need to space in the low zones, UNL H unmet need to limit in the high zones, UNL L unmet need to limit in the low zones A multinomial logistic regression was applied in each of the two unmet need zones to assess the net effect of the covariates on unmet need status. This is an appropriate statistical procedure since the dependent variable has more than two unordered outcomes namely: women without unmet need, women with unmet need to space and women with unmet need to limit births. Using women without unmet need as the base outcome category, this study assessed the significance of the selected covariates on unmet need to space and to limit further births. Separate regression models were fitted for both the low and high unmet need zones. A one unit increase in any of the independent variables either increased or decreased the relative log odds of experiencing unmet need to space or limit vis-à-vis our base outcome (no unmet need). The fitted multinomial regression models were then compared using the seemingly unrelated estimation (suest) command in Stata version 13.0. The purpose of this comparison was to assess whether differences in the covariate coefficients existed between the high and low unmet need zones. Explanatory variables used in this study were categorized based on theory as well as the conventional practice. For instance, young women are more likely to use contraceptives for spacing while older women prefer methods that limit childbearing since they have already achieved their desired family size. The categories thus reflect these theoretical underpinnings. The categories used are as follows:- The household wealth status was computed using the principal component analysis (PCA) and the factor weights of the first component were used to place households in either poor, middle or rich category. Past studies show that the above factors are associated with unmet need for contraception [6, 7]. The ethical approval for KDHS 2008/09 was obtained from the Kenya Medical and Research Institute (KEMRI). Written informed consent was sought from eligible clients before administration of the survey. The author also formerly obtained permission to use KDHS data from MEASURE DHS which are freely available once permission is granted. The data are available on the following website: http://www.measuredhs.com.
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