Trends in and socio-demographic factors associated with caesarean section at a Tanzanian referral hospital, 2000 to 2013

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Study Justification:
– Caesarean section (CS) can prevent maternal or fetal complications.
– Sub-Saharan Africa has low CS levels, but there are variations between and within countries.
– The Kilimanjaro Christian Medical Centre (KCMC) in Tanzania has a high level of CS.
– This study aims to examine trends in socio-demographic factors associated with CS at KCMC from 2000 to 2013.
Highlights:
– Educational level of mothers and fathers, and age of mothers increased significantly from 2000 to 2013.
– Overall CS percentage at KCMC was 28.9% with no clear trend between 2000 and 2013.
– Factors associated with higher odds of CS were: being referred for delivery, maternal age above 25, and no or primary education level of the baby’s father.
– Among rural mothers, no or primary education, being from the Pare tribe, and para 2-3 were also associated with higher odds of CS.
– Being from the Chagga tribe and high parity were associated with lower odds of CS.
Recommendations:
– Address persistent inequitable access to services offered at KCMC.
– Improve access to emergency obstetric care, including CS, in the region.
– Focus on improving education levels and awareness among mothers and fathers.
– Develop targeted interventions for specific socio-demographic groups.
Key Role Players:
– Ministry of Health, Tanzania
– Kilimanjaro Christian Medical Centre (KCMC)
– University of Bergen, Norway
– KCM College
– Norwegian National Ethics Committee
Cost Items for Planning Recommendations:
– Training programs for healthcare professionals
– Infrastructure development for emergency obstetric care
– Educational campaigns and awareness programs
– Research and data collection
– Administrative and logistical support

The strength of evidence for this abstract is 7 out of 10.
The evidence in the abstract is strong because it is based on a registry-based study with a large sample size. The study examines trends in the socio-demographic background of babies born at a Tanzanian referral hospital over a 13-year period and identifies factors associated with caesarean section (CS). The methods used, such as the Chi square test for linear trend and logistic regression, are appropriate for the research questions. However, the abstract could be improved by providing more specific information about the results, such as the magnitude of the associations between socio-demographic factors and CS. Additionally, it would be helpful to include information about the limitations of the study, such as potential biases or confounding factors.

Background: Caesarean section (CS) can prevent maternal or fetal complications. Sub-Saharan Africa has the lowest CS levels in the world but large variations are seen between and within countries. The tertiary hospital, Kilimanjaro Christian Medical Centre (KCMC) in Tanzania has had a high level of CS over years. The aim of this study was to examine trends in the socio-demographic background of babies born at KCMC from year 2000 to 2013, and trends in the CS percentage, and to identify socio-demographic factors associated with CS at KCMC during this period. Methods: This is a registry-based study. The analyses were limited to singletons born by women from Moshi urban and rural districts. The Chi square test for linear trend was used to examine trends in the CS percentage and trends in the socio-demographic background of the baby. The association between different socio-demographic factors and CS was assessed using logistic regression. The analyses were stratified by the mother’s residence. Results: The educational level of mothers and fathers and the age of the mothers of singletons born at KCMC increased significantly from year 2000 to 2013 both among urban and rural residents. Among 29,752 singletons, the overall CS percentage was 28.9%, and there was no clear trend in the overall CS percentage between 2000 and 2013. In the multivariable model, factors associated with higher odds of CS were: having been referred for delivery, maternal age above 25 and no- or primary education level of the baby’s father. Among rural mothers, no- or primary education, being from the Pare tribe and para 2-3 were also associated with higher odds of CS. Being from the Chagga tribe and high parity were associated with lower odds of CS compared to other tribes and parity 1. Conclusions: The CS percentage remained high but stable over time. Large variations in CS levels between different socio-demographic groups were observed. The educational level of the parents of babies born at KCMC increased over time, possibly reflecting persistent inequitable access to the services offered at the hospital.

This is a registry based study. The medical birth registry at KCMC was established in 1999 in collaboration with the University of Bergen, Norway. It has been in operation since July 2000 [31]. Information on birth outcome, delivery mode, obstetric history as well as socio- demographic factors is recorded in the registry [32]. Information is recorded by specially trained nurse-midwives using a questionnaire designed specifically for this purpose. The mothers are interviewed soon after recovery from the birth, usually within the first 24 hours, but later if complications occur. Supplementary information is collected from case files. Registration of this information is done every day, including weekends and holidays. A secretary then enters the data into an electronic file. Quality assurance of the birth registry has consisted of periodic instruction sessions [31]. The birth registry only registers deliveries at KCMC and includes both stillbirths and live births. The United Republic of Tanzania is the largest country in East Africa with about 45 million inhabitants (2012). Almost 75% of the inhabitants live in rural areas [33]. KCMC is one of four zonal/tertiary hospitals in Tanzania [34]. It is operated as a private/public partnership and located in Moshi town in the Kilimanjaro region. The region has more than 1.6 million inhabitants. Moshi rural district has a total population of 466,737 inhabitants whereas Moshi urban district has a population count of 184,292 [33]. KCMC has approximately 3300 deliveries per year, and the obstetric ward at KCMC receives high risk cases from seven regions in northern Tanzania and from some Kenyan districts [35]. In total the hospital thus serves more than 13 million people [36]. About 50% of the birthing women at KCMC come from Moshi urban district as they come for ordinary deliveries too [26]. About 20% of the birthing women come from Moshi rural district. The regional hospital, Mawenzi, also located in Moshi town, is supposed to offer emergency obstetric care for free, CS included, but the operation capacity has been relatively poor for a long time, and since December 2010, no CS have been conducted because the operation theatre closed. Thus KCMC has been the only referral institution that has offered CS after 2010 in Moshi, apart from private hospitals with substantial higher costs. About 88% of the women give birth in a health facility in Kilimanjaro [27]. The direct cost of normal delivery and CS at KCMC has gradually increased. Before 2005 the minimum price for CS was 20,000 TZS (=25.3 USD based on 01.01.2000 rates) but in 2005 a “cost sharing” policy was introduced and the out-of-pocket payment for CS was raised to a minimum of 50,000 TZS (=47.2 USD based on 01.01.2005 rates). It further increased to 100,000 TZS in 2011 (=58.4 USD based on 01.12.2011 rates) [37]. In addition to this the patients pay a per night fee, and pay for drugs and other costs associated with the hospital stay. There were a total of 45,871 births at KCMC in the period July 2000 to June 2013 of which 31,287 of the deliveries were among women residing in Moshi urban and Moshi rural districts. The majority of the deliveries, 29,752 (95.1%), were singleton births. We restricted the analyses to singletons born by women from the two Moshi districts (urban and rural) at KCMC hospital in the period July 2000 to June 2013. The main outcome variable was CS. The independent variables included education of the mother and the father, age of the mother, tribe of the mother, marital status of the mother, referral status, parity and year of delivery. Mother’s and father’s education completed were categorized into two categories: ‘no education/primary education’ (0–7 years) and ‘secondary/higher education’ (8 years or more). The variable maternal tribe was recoded as: ‘Chagga’, ‘Pare’ (which were the two most common), and ‘Other’, including more than 120 different tribes. Marital status was dichotomized as ‘married’ (i.e. monogamous and polygamous marriages or cohabitation) and ‘not married’ (i.e. separated/divorced, widowed or never-married). Age of the mother was included as a categorical variable with 4 categories: ‘13-17’ years, ‘18-25’ years, ‘26-35’ years and ‘36 to 47’ years. Women less than 13 years or more than 47 years of age were excluded in analyses including age as a variable. Parity was categorized in four: ‘para 1’, ‘para 2-3’, ‘para 4-6’ and ‘para 7+’. Referral status was divided into two categories: ‘medically referred’ (i.e. referred by qualified health personal for medical reasons) and ‘not referred’. Time of birth was included in most of the analyses as a continuous variable (called ‘year of birth’). However, in some of the analyses, time of birth was included as a categorical variable (called ‘time period’), with the categories representing three time periods associated with different levels of user fees at KCMC: Period 1: July 2000 to December 2004; period 2: January 2005 to November 2011; and period 3: December 2011 to June 2013. The data was analyzed using Statistical Package for Social Science (SPSS) version 20. All the analyses were stratified by mother’s residence (urban/rural). Frequency tables and graphs were used to describe changes in all births and CS deliveries year by year. Changes over time in the socio-demographic background of the babies born (all deliveries and CS) were tested using Chi square test for trend for each of the socio-demographic factors (with time both as a categorical variable with three time periods and as a integer variable: ‘year of birth’). Trends in the level of CS were examined using the Chi square test for trend, both overall and stratified by referral status. The likelihood of CS during the whole period was assessed using logistic regression. We started with bivariate analyses. We then developed models with interaction terms between each of the independent variables (socio-demographic factors and referral status) and time of birth as continuous variable. Finally, we developed a multivariable model with all the independent variables and significant interaction terms. Odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals were calculated. Babies with missing data on any of the independent variables (referral status, father’s and mother’s education level, marital status, mother’s tribe, mother’s age and parity) were excluded from the multivariable analyses. No person-identifiable information is available in the electronic birth registry handled by the researchers. Participation is based on verbal informed consent from the mothers. The birth registry at KCMC obtained ethical clearance from the Tanzania Ministry of Health, Commission for Science and Technology, from the KCM College and from the Norwegian National Ethics committee in 1999 [32]. The protocol for this study obtained ethical approval from Kilimanjaro Christian Medical University College of Tumaini University Makumira, in December 2013.

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Based on the provided information, here are some potential innovations that could improve access to maternal health:

1. Telemedicine: Implementing telemedicine services can allow pregnant women in remote areas to receive prenatal care and consultations with healthcare professionals without having to travel long distances to a hospital or clinic.

2. Mobile health (mHealth) applications: Developing mobile applications that provide educational resources, appointment reminders, and personalized health information can empower pregnant women to take control of their own health and access important maternal health services.

3. Community health workers: Training and deploying community health workers who can provide basic prenatal care, health education, and referrals to pregnant women in underserved areas can help improve access to maternal health services.

4. Transportation services: Establishing transportation services, such as ambulances or mobile clinics, in rural areas can ensure that pregnant women have access to timely and safe transportation to healthcare facilities for delivery or emergency care.

5. Financial incentives: Introducing financial incentives, such as subsidies or cash transfers, for pregnant women seeking maternal health services can help reduce financial barriers and improve access to care.

6. Public-private partnerships: Collaborating with private healthcare providers to expand access to maternal health services in underserved areas can help increase the availability of quality care and reduce the burden on public healthcare facilities.

7. Health information systems: Implementing electronic health records and data management systems can improve the tracking and monitoring of maternal health outcomes, enabling healthcare providers to identify areas for improvement and make evidence-based decisions.

8. Maternal health education programs: Developing and implementing comprehensive maternal health education programs that target both healthcare providers and pregnant women can improve awareness, knowledge, and understanding of maternal health issues, leading to better access to care.

9. Infrastructure development: Investing in the construction and renovation of healthcare facilities, particularly in rural areas, can improve access to maternal health services by ensuring that there are adequate and well-equipped facilities for safe deliveries and emergency care.

10. Policy reforms: Advocating for policy reforms that prioritize maternal health, such as increasing healthcare funding, improving healthcare workforce distribution, and implementing regulations to ensure quality care, can help address systemic barriers and improve access to maternal health services.
AI Innovations Description
Based on the information provided, the study identified several socio-demographic factors associated with the percentage of caesarean sections (CS) at Kilimanjaro Christian Medical Centre (KCMC) in Tanzania. The study found that the educational level of mothers and fathers, as well as the age of the mothers, increased significantly from 2000 to 2013. However, there was no clear trend in the overall CS percentage during this period.

To improve access to maternal health, the following recommendations can be developed into innovations:

1. Improve access to education: Since the study found a significant association between higher education levels of mothers and fathers and higher odds of CS, promoting education among women and their partners can lead to better maternal health outcomes. Innovations can include providing scholarships or financial support for women to pursue higher education, implementing educational programs on maternal health in schools, and offering vocational training for women in rural areas.

2. Strengthen referral systems: The study found that being referred for delivery was associated with higher odds of CS. Enhancing referral systems can ensure that pregnant women with high-risk pregnancies are identified early and referred to appropriate healthcare facilities for specialized care. Innovations can include establishing clear referral pathways, improving communication between healthcare providers, and providing training for healthcare workers on identifying high-risk pregnancies.

3. Address barriers to healthcare access: The study highlighted persistent inequitable access to healthcare services offered at KCMC. Innovations should focus on addressing barriers to healthcare access, particularly for women in rural areas. This can include mobile health clinics that provide antenatal care and delivery services in remote areas, community health worker programs to educate and support pregnant women, and transportation initiatives to ensure women can reach healthcare facilities in a timely manner.

4. Reduce financial barriers: The study mentioned that the cost of CS at KCMC increased over time. To improve access to maternal health, innovations should aim to reduce financial barriers for women seeking CS. This can include implementing health insurance schemes that cover maternal health services, subsidizing the cost of CS for low-income women, and advocating for policies that prioritize maternal health funding.

Overall, these recommendations can be developed into innovations to improve access to maternal health by addressing socio-demographic factors and barriers to healthcare access. By implementing these innovations, it is possible to reduce maternal and fetal complications and improve maternal health outcomes in Tanzania.
AI Innovations Methodology
Based on the information provided, here are some potential recommendations for improving access to maternal health:

1. Strengthening referral systems: Enhance the coordination and communication between primary healthcare facilities and referral hospitals to ensure timely and appropriate referrals for pregnant women who require specialized care.

2. Increasing availability of emergency obstetric care: Improve the capacity of healthcare facilities, particularly in rural areas, to provide emergency obstetric services, including cesarean sections, to reduce delays in accessing life-saving interventions.

3. Enhancing transportation services: Develop and implement transportation strategies to overcome geographical barriers and ensure that pregnant women can reach healthcare facilities in a timely manner, especially in remote areas.

4. Promoting community-based interventions: Implement community-based programs that focus on educating and empowering women and their families about maternal health, including the importance of antenatal care, skilled birth attendance, and postnatal care.

5. Addressing financial barriers: Explore strategies to reduce the financial burden associated with maternal healthcare, such as providing subsidies or insurance schemes that cover the cost of services, including cesarean sections.

To simulate the impact of these recommendations on improving access to maternal health, a methodology could include the following steps:

1. Define the indicators: Identify key indicators to measure access to maternal health, such as the percentage of women receiving antenatal care, the percentage of births attended by skilled health personnel, and the percentage of women accessing emergency obstetric care, including cesarean sections.

2. Collect baseline data: Gather data on the current status of access to maternal health services, including the baseline values of the identified indicators. This data can be obtained from existing health information systems, surveys, or registries, such as the medical birth registry at KCMC.

3. Develop a simulation model: Create a mathematical or statistical model that simulates the impact of the recommended interventions on the identified indicators. This model should consider factors such as population demographics, healthcare infrastructure, and the effectiveness of the interventions.

4. Input intervention scenarios: Input different scenarios into the simulation model to assess the potential impact of each recommendation. For example, simulate the effect of strengthening referral systems by increasing the percentage of timely referrals or simulate the impact of enhancing transportation services by reducing travel time to healthcare facilities.

5. Analyze and interpret results: Analyze the simulation results to determine the potential impact of each recommendation on improving access to maternal health. Compare the outcomes of different scenarios to identify the most effective interventions.

6. Validate and refine the model: Validate the simulation model by comparing the predicted outcomes with real-world data or expert opinions. Refine the model based on feedback and make adjustments as necessary.

7. Communicate findings: Present the findings of the simulation study to relevant stakeholders, such as policymakers, healthcare providers, and community leaders. Use the results to advocate for the implementation of the most effective interventions and inform decision-making processes.

It is important to note that the methodology described above is a general framework and may need to be adapted based on the specific context and available data. Additionally, the success of any intervention will depend on various factors, including political commitment, resource allocation, and community engagement.

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