Pooled prevalence and determinants of skilled birth attendant delivery in East Africa countries: a multilevel analysis of Demographic and Health Surveys

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Study Justification:
– Skilled health professional assisted delivery is an effective strategy to reduce maternal and newborn mortality.
– Despite government commitments to assure home free delivery, the majority of births in Sub-Saharan Africa are attended by traditional birth attendants.
– Limited evidence on the prevalence and determinants of skilled delivery in East African countries.
– This study aimed to estimate the pooled prevalence and determinants of skilled birth attendant delivery in East Africa countries.
Highlights:
– Pooled prevalence of skilled birth attendance in East African countries was 67.18%.
– Highest skilled birth attendance was in Rwanda (90.68%) and lowest in Tanzania (11.91%).
– Significant determinants of skilled birth attendance included age, education level of women and husband, wealth index, ANC visit, multiple gestations, parity, accessing health care, residence, and country of residence.
Recommendations:
– Increase accessibility and availability of healthcare services.
– Provide financial support for mothers from poor households and rural residents to use health services.
– Conduct health education targeting mothers and their partners with no education to increase awareness about the importance of skilled birth attendance.
Key Role Players:
– Government health departments and ministries
– Non-governmental organizations (NGOs) working in maternal and child health
– Healthcare providers and professionals
– Community health workers and volunteers
– Women’s advocacy groups
Cost Items for Planning Recommendations:
– Training and capacity building for healthcare providers
– Infrastructure development and improvement of healthcare facilities
– Outreach and awareness campaigns
– Financial support programs for mothers from poor households
– Monitoring and evaluation of interventions
– Research and data collection on maternal and child health indicators

The strength of evidence for this abstract is 8 out of 10.
The evidence in the abstract is strong, as it is based on a pooled analysis of Demographic and Health Surveys conducted in 12 East African countries. The study includes a large sample size of 141,483 women and uses multilevel multivariable logistic regression models to identify determinants of skilled birth attendance. The results provide adjusted odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals, indicating significant associations between various factors and skilled birth attendance. To improve the evidence, the abstract could include information on the representativeness of the sample and any limitations of the study, such as potential biases or confounding factors.

Introduction: Skilled health professional assisted delivery is an effective strategy to reduce maternal and newborn mortality. Skilled assistant delivery can prevent about 16–33% of maternal and newborn mortality. Despite the commitments of the government to assure home free delivery, majority of the births in Sub-Saharan Africa are attended by traditional birth attendants. As to our search of the literature, there is limited evidence on the prevalence and determinants of skilled delivery in East African countries. Therefore, this study aimed to estimate the pooled prevalence and determinants of skilled birth attendant delivery in East Africa Countries. Methods: Pooled analysis was done based on Demographic and Health Surveys conducted in the 12 East African countries from 2008 to 2017. A total weighted sample of 141,483 women who gave birth during the study period was included in the study. The pooled prevalence of skilled birth attendance was estimated using STATA version 14. Intra-class Correlation Coefficient, Median Odds Ratio, Proportional Change in Variance, and deviance were used for model fitness and comparison. The multilevel multivariable logistic regression model was fitted to identify determinants of skilled birth attendance in the region. Adjusted Odds Ratio with its 95% Confidence Interval was used to declare significant determinants of skilled birth attendants. Results: The pooled prevalence of skilled birth attendant in East African countries were 67.18% (95% CI:66.98, 67.38) with highest skilled birth attendant in Rwanda (90.68%) and the lowest skilled birth attendant in Tanzania (11.91%). In the Multilevel multivariable logistic regression model; age 15–24 (Adjusted Odds Ratio (AOR) = 1.14, 95%CI:1.09, 1.18), age 25–49(AOR = 1.16, 95%CI:1.10,1.23), primary women education (AOR = 1.57, 95%CI:1.51,1.63), secondary and above women education (AOR = 2.85, 95%CI:1.73,3.01), primary husband education (AOR = 1.11, 95%CI = 1.07,1.15), secondary and above husband education (AOR = 1.46, 95%CI = 1.40,1.53), middle wealth index (AOR = 1.43, 95%CI = 1.38,1.49),rich wealth index (AOR = 2.38, 95%CI = 2.28,2.48), had ANC visit (AOR = 1.68, 95%CI = 1.62,1.73),multiple gestation (AOR = 2.06, 95%CI = 1.90,2.25), parity 2–4(AOR = 0.65, 95%CI = 0.61,0.69), parity 5 + (AOR = 0.44, 95%CI = 0.41,0.47), accessing health care not big problem (AOR = 1.32, 95%CI = 1.28,1.36), residence (AOR = 0.43, 95%CI = 0.41,0.45) and being Burundi resident (AOR = 0.77, 95%CI = 0.70,0.85) were significantly associated with skilled assisted delivery. Conclusion: Skilled birth attendance at birth in the East Africa countries was low. Maternal age, women and husband education, wealth index, antenatal care visit, multiple gestations, parity, accessing health care, residence, and living countries were major determinants of skilled attendant delivery. Strategies to increase the accessibility and availability of healthcare services, and financial support that targets mothers from poor households and rural residents to use health services will be beneficial. Health education targeting mothers and their partner with no education are vital to increasing their awareness about the importance of skilled birth attendance at birth.

The data was obtained from the measure DHS program at www.measuredhs.com after prepared concept notes about the project. The Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) data were pooled from the 12 East Africa Countries from 2008 to 2017. The recent DHS of Country-specific dataset was extracted during the specified period. The 12 East Africa Countries in which data extracted include Burundi, Ethiopia, Kenya, Comoros, Madagascar, Malawi, Mozambique, Rwanda, Tanzania, Uganda, Zambia, and Zimbabwe (Table 1). There 20 countries in WHO regions of East Africa. In history, only 14 countries had DHS data. For this study 12 countries were included (Fig. 1). The DHS program adopts standardized methods involving uniform questionnaires, manuals, and field procedures to gather the information that is comparable across countries in the world. DHSs are nationally representative household surveys that provide data from a wide range of monitoring and impact evaluation indicators in the area of population, health, and nutrition with face to face interviews of women age 15 to 49. The surveys employ a stratified, multi-stage, random sampling design. Information was obtained from eligible women aged 15 to 49 years in each country. Detailed survey methodology and sampling methods used in gathering the data have been reported elsewhere [24]. The DHS years of study and study participants of the skilled birth attendant in the 12 East African Countries from 2008 to 2017 Schematic diagram of selection of study countries among East African countries The response (outcome) variable of this study was a skilled birth attendant. The response variable was generated from the question asked to the women who gave birth within 5 years preceding the survey question “who assisted the delivery?” The response was dichotomized as a health professional and another person. Health professionals include doctors, nurses, nurse/midwife, auxiliary midwife, and others (health officer and health extension workers). Other persons include traditional birth attendance (TBA), traditional health volunteer, community/village health volunteer, neighbors/friends, relatives, others. If a women delivery were assisted by health professional coded as “1”, otherwise coded as “0”. Based on the literature, the independent variables included in this were two types of variables. Individual-level and community-level variables. Community-level variables include country and residence. The individual-level variables are age group, marital status, maternal and husband educational status, occupational status, wealth index, parity, ANC visit, wanted pregnancy, number of gestation, accessing health care wealth index, and birth interval. Accessing health care: most studies have isolated the travel time and transport cost when looking at access to health facilities. In the DHS data, women were asked whether a range of factors would be a big problem for them in accessing health care. We generated a composite variable using each country DHS standard questions. The questions included: If women face at least one or more of the problems (money, distance, companionship, and permission) we considered as there is health care accessing problem that was our primary interest and we coded as 1 and If they reported no health care accessing out of four (money, distance, companionship, and permission) we code 0. Wealth index is calculated by using principal components analysis (PCA) that involves assigning scores on the indicator variables. In the dataset, the index has five quintiles such as; the lowest quintile (poorest), 2nd quintile (poorer), 3rd quintile (middle), 4th quintile (wealthier), and the 5th quintile (wealthiest). In this study for ease of analysis this variable was recategorized as ‘poorest’ and ‘poorer’ were coded as (1) ‘poor’, the middle was coded as (2) ‘middle’, and ‘wealthier’ and ‘wealthiest’ were coded as (3) ‘rich” [25]. Auxiliary midwife:-is a village-level female health worker who is known as the first contact. The data was cleaned by STATA version 14.1 software. Sample weighting was done for further analysis. Since the outcome variable was binary two-level mixed-effects logistic regression analysis was employed. Sampling weight was applied as part of a complex survey design using primary sampling unit, strata, and women’s individual weight (V005). The individual and community level variables associated with skilled birth attendant were checked independently in the bi-variable multilevel logistic regression model and variables which were statistically significant at p-value 0.20 in the bi-variable multilevel mixed-effects logistic regression analysis were considered for the final individual and community level model adjustments. In the multivariable multilevel analysis, variables with a p-value≤0.05 were declared as significant determinants of skilled assistance delivery. Four models were fitted. The first was the null model containing no exposure variables which was used to check variation in community and provide evidence to assess random effects at the community level. Then model I was the multivariable model adjustment for individual-level variables and model II was adjusted for community-level factors. In model III, possible candidate variables from both individual and community-level variables were fitted with the outcome variable. The fixed effects (a measure of association) were used to estimate the association between the likelihood of skilled birth attendant and explanatory variables at both community and individual level and were expressed as odds ratio with 95% confidence interval. Regarding the measures of variation (random-effects), Community-level variance with standard deviation, intracluster correlation coefficient (ICC), Proportional Change in Community Variance (PCV), and median odds ratio (MOR) was used. The aim of the median odds ratio (MOR) is to translate the area level variance in the widely used odds ratio (OR) scale, which has a consistent and intuitive interpretation. The MOR is defined as the median value of the odds ratio between the area at the highest risk and the area at the lowest risk when randomly picking out two areas. The MOR can be conceptualized as the increased risk that (in median) would have if moving to another area with a higher risk. It is computed by; MOR = exp[√(2×Va)×0.6745] [26]. Where; VA is the area level variance, and 0.6745 is the 75th centile of the cumulative distribution function of the normal distribution with mean 0 and variance 1. See elsewhere for a more detailed explanation [24]. Whereas the proportional change in variance is calculated as [27] Where; where VA = variance of the initial model, and VB = variance of the model with more terms.

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Based on the information provided, here are some potential innovations that could improve access to maternal health:

1. Telemedicine: Implementing telemedicine services can provide remote access to skilled health professionals for pregnant women in remote or underserved areas. This can help address the shortage of healthcare providers and improve access to prenatal care and assistance during childbirth.

2. Mobile health (mHealth) applications: Developing mobile applications that provide information and resources on maternal health can empower women with knowledge and tools to make informed decisions about their pregnancy and childbirth. These apps can also provide reminders for prenatal appointments and offer guidance on when to seek medical help.

3. Community health worker programs: Expanding community health worker programs can help bridge the gap between traditional birth attendants and skilled health professionals. These trained individuals can provide basic prenatal care, education, and referrals to pregnant women in their communities, improving access to skilled birth attendance.

4. Financial incentives: Implementing financial incentives, such as cash transfers or subsidies, for pregnant women to seek skilled birth attendance can help overcome financial barriers and encourage women to access appropriate healthcare services during childbirth.

5. Transportation support: Providing transportation support, such as vouchers or transportation services, can help pregnant women living in remote areas reach healthcare facilities for prenatal care and skilled birth attendance. This can address the challenge of distance and lack of transportation options.

6. Maternal waiting homes: Establishing maternal waiting homes near healthcare facilities can provide a safe and comfortable place for pregnant women to stay during the final weeks of pregnancy, ensuring they are close to the facility when labor begins. This can reduce delays in accessing skilled birth attendance and emergency obstetric care.

7. Public awareness campaigns: Launching public awareness campaigns on the importance of skilled birth attendance and the risks associated with traditional birth attendants can help educate communities and change cultural norms. This can lead to increased demand for skilled health professionals during childbirth.

8. Strengthening health systems: Investing in the overall strengthening of health systems, including infrastructure, equipment, and training of healthcare providers, can improve the availability and quality of maternal health services. This can enhance access to skilled birth attendance and emergency obstetric care.

It is important to note that the specific context and needs of each country should be considered when implementing these innovations.
AI Innovations Description
Based on the study titled “Pooled prevalence and determinants of skilled birth attendant delivery in East Africa countries: a multilevel analysis of Demographic and Health Surveys,” the following recommendations can be developed into an innovation to improve access to maternal health:

1. Increase awareness and education: Implement health education programs targeting mothers and their partners with no education to increase their awareness about the importance of skilled birth attendance at birth. This can be done through community outreach programs, workshops, and informational campaigns.

2. Improve accessibility and availability of healthcare services: Develop strategies to increase the accessibility and availability of healthcare services, particularly in rural areas. This can include establishing more health facilities, mobile clinics, and transportation services to ensure that pregnant women can easily access skilled birth attendants.

3. Financial support for vulnerable populations: Provide financial support specifically targeted towards mothers from poor households and rural residents to encourage them to use health services. This can include subsidies for transportation, healthcare expenses, and maternity care.

4. Strengthen antenatal care services: Emphasize the importance of antenatal care visits and ensure that all pregnant women have access to comprehensive antenatal care services. This can include providing incentives for women to attend antenatal care visits, improving the quality of care provided, and addressing any barriers to accessing these services.

5. Collaborate with traditional birth attendants: Engage traditional birth attendants in the healthcare system by providing them with training and resources to support safe deliveries. This can help bridge the gap between traditional practices and skilled birth attendance, ensuring that women receive appropriate care during childbirth.

By implementing these recommendations, it is possible to improve access to skilled birth attendants and ultimately reduce maternal and newborn mortality rates in East Africa.
AI Innovations Methodology
To improve access to maternal health, here are some potential recommendations:

1. Strengthening healthcare infrastructure: Investing in healthcare facilities, equipment, and supplies can improve access to skilled birth attendants and essential maternal health services.

2. Increasing the number of skilled birth attendants: Expanding training programs and incentives for healthcare professionals to specialize in maternal health can help address the shortage of skilled birth attendants in certain areas.

3. Promoting community-based care: Implementing community-based programs that train and empower local healthcare workers, such as midwives and community health workers, can improve access to maternal health services, especially in remote or underserved areas.

4. Enhancing transportation services: Improving transportation infrastructure and providing transportation subsidies or vouchers can help pregnant women reach healthcare facilities more easily, particularly in rural areas where access to transportation is limited.

5. Implementing telemedicine and mobile health solutions: Utilizing technology, such as telemedicine and mobile health applications, can enable remote consultations, provide health information, and facilitate access to maternal health services for women in remote or hard-to-reach areas.

To simulate the impact of these recommendations on improving access to maternal health, a methodology could include the following steps:

1. Define the target population: Determine the specific population group or geographic area that will be the focus of the simulation.

2. Collect baseline data: Gather relevant data on the current state of access to maternal health services in the target population, including indicators such as the percentage of births attended by skilled birth attendants, distance to healthcare facilities, and availability of transportation.

3. Define the intervention scenarios: Develop different scenarios based on the recommendations mentioned above, specifying the changes that would be implemented in each scenario. For example, increasing the number of skilled birth attendants by a certain percentage or improving transportation services in specific areas.

4. Model the impact: Use statistical or mathematical models to simulate the impact of each intervention scenario on access to maternal health services. This could involve estimating changes in the percentage of births attended by skilled birth attendants, reductions in travel time to healthcare facilities, or improvements in overall access.

5. Analyze the results: Compare the outcomes of each intervention scenario to the baseline data to assess the potential impact of the recommendations on improving access to maternal health. This analysis can help identify the most effective interventions and inform decision-making for implementation.

6. Validate and refine the model: Validate the model by comparing the simulated results with real-world data, and refine the model as needed to improve accuracy and reliability.

By following this methodology, policymakers and healthcare stakeholders can gain insights into the potential impact of different innovations and interventions on improving access to maternal health, helping to inform decision-making and resource allocation.

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