Understanding the determinants of postnatal care uptake for babies: A mixed effects multilevel modelling of 2016–18 Papua New Guinea Demographic and Health Survey

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Study Justification:
– Papua New Guinea (PNG) has a high neonatal mortality rate, with 22 neonatal deaths per 1,000 live births in 2019.
– Postnatal care (PNC) utilization can help reduce neonatal deaths and complications.
– However, there is limited national-level research on the determinants of PNC uptake in PNG.
– This study aims to fill that gap by assessing the factors influencing PNC utilization for babies in PNG.
Highlights:
– The study used data from the 2016-18 Papua New Guinea Demographic and Health Survey.
– A total of 4,908 women aged 15-49 were included in the analysis.
– The study found that 31% of women utilized PNC for their babies.
– Factors associated with higher odds of seeking PNC included maternal education, middle wealth quintile, working class, four or more antenatal care visits, twins, medium community literacy, and moderate socioeconomic status.
– Factors associated with lower odds of seeking PNC included cohabiting women, parity four or more, small babies, and residents in the Highlands region.
– The study highlights the need to strengthen public health education to increase awareness about the benefits of PNC services for babies in PNG.
Recommendations:
– Strengthen public health education programs to increase awareness about the importance of PNC for babies.
– Consider maternal and community characteristics in the design of PNC programs.
– Target interventions towards women with lower education, lower socioeconomic status, and residing in the Highlands region.
– Promote access to antenatal care and encourage women to attend at least four visits.
Key Role Players:
– National Statistical Office of Papua New Guinea (NSO)
– ICF International (technical assistance provider)
– Public health educators
– Health care providers
– Community leaders and organizations
Cost Items for Planning Recommendations:
– Development and implementation of public health education programs
– Training and capacity building for health care providers
– Outreach and awareness campaigns
– Antenatal care services
– Monitoring and evaluation of PNC programs
– Research and data collection on PNC utilization

The strength of evidence for this abstract is 7 out of 10.
The evidence in the abstract is moderately strong. The study utilized a large sample size and employed multilevel logistic models to assess determinants of postnatal care (PNC) uptake for babies in Papua New Guinea. The study identified several factors associated with PNC uptake, including maternal education, wealth quintile, occupation, ANC visits, and region of residence. The study also acknowledged the need to strengthen public health education to increase awareness about the benefits of seeking PNC services for babies. To improve the strength of the evidence, the study could have provided more information on the sampling procedures and data collection methods used in the 2016-18 Papua New Guinea Demographic and Health Survey. Additionally, the study could have included a discussion on the limitations of the research and suggestions for future studies.

Background: Papua New Guinea (PNG) recorded 22 neonatal deaths out of every 1,000 livebirths in 2019. Some of these deaths are related to complications that arise shortly after childbirth; hence, postnatal care (PNC) utilisation could serve as a surviving strategy for neonates as recommended by the World Health Organisation. National level study on determinants of PNC uptake in PNG is limited. Utilising the Bronfenbrenner’s Ecological Model of Human Development, the study aimed at assessing determinants of PNC utilisation for babies by their mothers aged 15–49 in PNG. Methods: The study used data from the women’s file of the 2016–18 PNG Demographic and Health Survey (2016–18 PNGDHS) and a sample of 4,908 women aged 15–49 who had complete information on the variables of interest to the study. Nineteen (19) explanatory variables were selected for the study whereas PNC for babies within first two months after being discharged after birth was the main outcome variable. At 95% confidence interval (95% CI), six multilevel logistic models were built. The Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) was used to assess models’ fit. All analyses were carried out using STATA version 14.0. Results: Generally, 31% of the women utilised PNC for their babies. Women with primary education [aOR = 1.42, CI = 1.13–1.78], those belonging to the middle wealth quintile [aOR = 1.42, CI = 1.08–1.87], working class [aOR = 1.28, CI = 1.10–1.49], women who had the four or more ANC visits [aOR = 1.23, CI = 1.05–1.43], those with twins [aOR = 1.83, CI = 1.01–3.29], women who belonged to community of medium literate class [aOR = 1.75, CI = 1.34–2.27] and those of moderate socioeconomic status [aOR = 1.60, CI = 1.16–2.21] had higher odds of seeking PNC for their babies. The odds to seek PNC services for babies reduced among the cohabiting women [aOR = 0.79, CI = 0.64–0.96], those at parity four or more [aOR = 0.77, CI = 0.63–0.93], women who gave birth to small babies [aOR = 0.80, CI = 0.67–0.98] and residents in the Highlands region [aOR = 0.47, CI = 0.36–0.62]. Conclusions: Maternal education, wealth quintile, occupation, partner’s education, ANC visits, marital status, parity, child size at birth, twin status, community literacy and socioeconomic status as well as region of residence were associated with PNC uptake for babies in PNG. Variation in PNC uptake for babies existed from one community/cluster to the other. There is the need to strengthen public health education to increase awareness about the benefits of seeking PNC services for babies among women in PNG. Such programs should consider maternal and community/cluster characteristics in their design.

The study adopted a cross sectional survey design and made use of women’s file of the 2016–18 Papua New Guinea Demographic and Health Survey (2016–18 PNGDHS). The 2016–18 PNGDHS is the third in the series of the DHS surveys conducted in the country. The survey was implemented by the National Statistical Office (NSO) of PNG. The survey started data gathering from October 2016 to December 2018. All necessary technical and advisory support were provided by the NSO. The ICF International provided technical assistance through the DHS Program, which offers support and technical assistance for the implementation of population and health surveys. The survey covered areas such as fertility, family planning, breastfeeding practices, nutritional status of children, maternal and child health, childhood immunisation, adult and childhood mortality, women’s empowerment, domestic violence, malaria, awareness and behaviour concerning HIV/AIDS and other sexually transmitted infections (STIs). The survey applied a stratified sampling technique and in all, a total of 18,175 women aged 15–49 were identified for individual interviews. However, 15,198 women were completely interviewed which yielded a response rate of 84%. Details of the sampling procedures, pretesting of instrument, fieldwork, data processing and analysis can be obtained from the 2016–2018 PNGDHS report [10]. Meanwhile, the present study focused on 4,908 women aged 15–49 who had complete information about the variables of the study. During the 2016–18 PNGDHS, all women who had birth(s) in the 5 years preceding the survey were asked if they had postnatal check-up for their children after exiting the health facilities where they delivered. This was posed as “Did any health care provider or a traditional birth attendant check on (NAME)’s health in the two months after you left?” accompanied by “yes”, “no” and “don’t know” responses. Therefore, the outcome variable for this study was ‘‘postnatal care for babies within first two months after exiting the facility where baby was born’’, defined as having received a postnatal check-up for the baby within first two months after exiting place baby was delivered. Those who affirmed “Yes” were recoded as “1” and “No” recoded as “0”. For precision in responses, “don’t know” responses were excluded from the analysis. Also, the outcome variable excludes pre-discharge checks for babies within facility where births took place to aid assess babies that actually received PNC services after discharge. Nineteen (19) explanatory variables were selected for the study [21–23]. These are: age, education, wealth quintile, marital status, occupation, parity, health decision making, partners’ education (maternal factors/microsystem), sex of child, twin status and size of child at birth (child factors/microsystem); community literacy level, community socioeconomic status, residence and region (mesosystem); access to mass media, place of delivery and antenatal care (ANC) visits (exosystem); and covered by health insurance (macrosystem). For clarity of presentation, educational status was recoded into “no education”, “primary”, “secondary/higher”. Occupation recoded into “not working” and “working”; and partner’s education was recoded into “no education”, “primary” and secondary/higher”. Considering the current fertility rate of PNG which is 4.2 children per woman [10], total children ever born was recoded into “one birth”, “two births”, “three births” and “four or more births”. Access to mass media was determined from three principal variables: frequency of reading newspaper/magazine; frequency of listening to the radio; and frequency of watching television which were asked during the 2016–18 PNGDHS. Each of these variables had three responses: ‘not at all’, ‘less than once a week’, and ‘at least once a week’. A composite variable was created whereby all ‘less than once a week’ and ‘at least once a week’ responses were categorised as having access to mass media whilst ‘not at all’ was considered as not having access to mass media. Also, ANC visits were recoded into “less than four visits” and “four or more visits”. For child-level factors, twin status was recoded as “single birth” and “twins” and finally, child’s size at birth recoded as “large”, “average” and “small”. Health decision making was recoded as “alone”, “respondent/partner”, and “others”; place of delivery recoded into “home”, “health facility” and “others”; community literacy level (proportion of women who can read and write at all) was recoded into “low”, “medium” and “high”; and community socioeconomic status was recoded into “low”, “moderate” and “high”. Community literacy level was computed from the women who could read and write at all [24]. Also, community socioeconomic status was measured as the percentage of households in the poorest quintile of Papua New Guinea’s household wealth index [25]. Missing variables were low (3.4%) and were omitted. The present study assessed determinants of PNC uptake for babies in PNG. Based on the focus of the study, the following steps were involved in analysing the data. The weighting factor inherent in the dataset (v005/100000) and the “svy command” were applied to cater for over and under sampling biases and to account for the complex survey design and generalizability of the findings respectively. Next, computation of women who received PNC for their babies after two months of exiting place baby was born was done (data not shown) and further analysed providers of PNC. Thereafter, a univariate computation of independent variables was done to describe the sample whereas a bivariate analysis was done for the independent variables across PNC utilisation with their chi square test of independence reported. The chi square test of independence helped to gauge independent variables which were not associated with the outcome variable, hence, excluding such variables from the inferential analyses. Also, the “VIF” command was applied to assess collinearity among the explanatory variables and the results indicated no evidence of multicollinearity existing between the explanatory variables (Maximum VIF = 2.55, Minimum VIF = 1.02, Mean VIF = 1.46) (Appendix 1). Subsequently, at 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs), six (6) multilevel logistic models were built. The first was a null model (Model 0) to account for variability in PNC which can be attributed to the clustering of the primary sampling units (PSUs) without the effect of micro, meso, exo and macro-system. Further, Model I and Model II considered micro and mesosystem-level factors respectively. Model III and IV were fitted to cater for exosystem-level factors and macro system-level factors. Finally, a complete model containing all the factors (Model 0, I, II, III and IV) were constructed (Model V). The results for the fixed effects were presented in adjusted odds ratio (aOR) and any odds less than one was interpreted as reduced likelihood of PNC whilst an odds higher than 1 meant otherwise. Since the models were nested, the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) was used to measure the model fit [26]. The random effects which are measures of variation of PNC utilisation across communities or clusters, were expressed using Intra-Class Correlation (ICC) and PSUs variance [26, 27]. These were calculated to gauge the variation of PNC utilisation across clusters and the proportion of variance explained by successive models. The entire analyses were done with the aid of STATA version 14.0. The present study dwelt on an already existing data and since the authors were not involved in the data gathering, no ethical clearance was sought. However, the authors sought for access to use the data from Measure DHS and after obtaining permission, the data was downloaded. The dataset is freely available to the public at https://dhsprogram.com/data/dataset/Papua-New-Guinea_Standard-DHS_2017.cfm?flag=1. However, Measure DHS report has documented details of ethical issues considered in gathering the 2016–18 PNGDHS data [10].

Based on the provided information, here are some potential innovations that could improve access to maternal health in Papua New Guinea:

1. Mobile Health (mHealth) Applications: Develop and implement mobile applications that provide information and reminders about postnatal care, including the importance of seeking care for babies within the first two months after birth. These apps can also provide access to teleconsultations with healthcare providers for remote areas.

2. Community Health Workers: Train and deploy community health workers who can provide education and support to mothers regarding postnatal care. These workers can visit homes, conduct health check-ups, and refer mothers and babies to appropriate healthcare facilities when needed.

3. Maternal Health Education Programs: Develop and implement targeted educational programs that raise awareness about the benefits of seeking postnatal care for babies. These programs can be conducted in schools, community centers, and through mass media channels to reach a wider audience.

4. Financial Incentives: Introduce financial incentives for mothers who seek postnatal care for their babies. This can include providing transportation allowances or cash transfers to cover the costs associated with accessing healthcare services.

5. Strengthening Health Facilities: Improve the infrastructure and capacity of healthcare facilities to provide quality postnatal care services. This can involve training healthcare providers, ensuring the availability of necessary equipment and supplies, and improving the overall quality of care.

6. Public-Private Partnerships: Foster collaborations between the public and private sectors to improve access to postnatal care. This can involve partnering with private healthcare providers to expand service delivery, leveraging technology and innovation from the private sector, and exploring innovative financing models.

It is important to note that these recommendations are based on general principles and may need to be adapted to the specific context and needs of Papua New Guinea.
AI Innovations Description
The study mentioned in the description focuses on understanding the determinants of postnatal care (PNC) uptake for babies in Papua New Guinea (PNG). The goal of the study is to identify factors that influence the utilization of PNC services for newborns in order to improve access to maternal health.

The study used data from the 2016-18 PNG Demographic and Health Survey (PNGDHS) and analyzed a sample of 4,908 women aged 15-49 who had complete information on the variables of interest. The study examined various factors such as maternal education, wealth quintile, occupation, partner’s education, antenatal care visits, marital status, parity, child size at birth, twin status, community literacy, socioeconomic status, and region of residence.

The findings of the study revealed that women with primary education, those belonging to the middle wealth quintile, working-class women, women who had four or more antenatal care visits, those with twins, women who belonged to a community with medium literacy, and those with moderate socioeconomic status had higher odds of seeking PNC for their babies. On the other hand, the odds of seeking PNC services for babies were lower among cohabiting women, those with parity four or more, women who gave birth to small babies, and residents in the Highlands region.

Based on these findings, the study recommends strengthening public health education to increase awareness about the benefits of seeking PNC services for babies among women in PNG. The programs should consider maternal and community characteristics in their design. By addressing these determinants, it is hoped that access to maternal health services, specifically postnatal care, can be improved, leading to a reduction in neonatal deaths and better health outcomes for mothers and babies in PNG.
AI Innovations Methodology
Based on the provided study, here are some potential recommendations to improve access to maternal health in Papua New Guinea:

1. Strengthen public health education: Increase awareness among women about the benefits of seeking postnatal care (PNC) services for their babies. This can be done through targeted campaigns, community outreach programs, and health education sessions.

2. Improve maternal education: Enhance educational opportunities for women, particularly in rural areas, to improve their understanding of the importance of PNC and empower them to make informed decisions about their health and the health of their babies.

3. Enhance antenatal care (ANC) services: Increase the number of ANC visits for pregnant women, as the study found that women who had four or more ANC visits were more likely to seek PNC for their babies. This can be achieved through improved access to healthcare facilities, trained healthcare providers, and community-based ANC services.

4. Address socioeconomic disparities: Implement interventions to address socioeconomic inequalities that affect PNC uptake. This can include providing financial support or incentives for women from low-income backgrounds to access PNC services, and improving access to healthcare facilities in underserved areas.

5. Strengthen community support: Engage community leaders, traditional birth attendants, and local healthcare providers to promote the importance of PNC and encourage women to seek care for their babies. This can be done through community-based workshops, training programs, and awareness campaigns.

To simulate the impact of these recommendations on improving access to maternal health, a methodology could involve the following steps:

1. Define the indicators: Identify specific indicators that measure access to maternal health, such as the percentage of women receiving PNC within the first two months after childbirth.

2. Collect baseline data: Gather data on the current status of access to maternal health services, including PNC utilization rates, demographic information, and socioeconomic factors.

3. Develop a simulation model: Use statistical software or modeling techniques to create a simulation model that incorporates the identified recommendations and their potential impact on access to maternal health. This model should consider factors such as population size, geographic distribution, and resource availability.

4. Input data and parameters: Input the baseline data and parameters into the simulation model, including the current utilization rates, demographic characteristics, and socioeconomic factors. Assign values to the parameters related to the recommendations, such as the expected increase in ANC visits or the impact of public health education campaigns.

5. Run simulations: Run multiple simulations using different scenarios, varying the parameters related to the recommendations. For example, simulate the impact of increasing ANC visits by 10% or implementing a public health education campaign targeting specific communities.

6. Analyze results: Analyze the simulation results to determine the potential impact of the recommendations on access to maternal health. This can include assessing changes in PNC utilization rates, identifying areas or populations that would benefit the most from the recommendations, and estimating the cost-effectiveness of the interventions.

7. Refine and validate the model: Refine the simulation model based on the analysis of the results and validate it using additional data or expert input. This will ensure that the model accurately represents the real-world dynamics of access to maternal health.

By following this methodology, policymakers and healthcare providers can gain insights into the potential impact of different recommendations on improving access to maternal health and make informed decisions about resource allocation and intervention strategies.

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