Background: Commencing lifelong antiretroviral therapy (ART) immediately following HIV diagnosis (Option B+), has greatly improved maternal-infant health. Thus, large and increasing numbers of HIV-infected women are on ART during pregnancy, a situation concurrently increasing numbers of HIV-exposed-uninfected (HEU) infants. Compared to their HIV-unexposed-uninfected (HUU) counterparts, HEU infants show higher rates of adverse birth outcomes, mortality, infectious/non-communicable diseases including impaired growth and neurocognitive development. There is an urgent need to understand the impact of HIV and early life ART exposures, immune-metabolic dysregulation, comorbidities and environmental confounders on adverse paediatric outcomes. Methods: Six hundred (600) HIV-infected and 600 HIV-uninfected pregnant women ≥20 weeks of gestation will be enrolled from four primary health centres in high density residential areas of Harare. Participants will be followed up as mother-infant-pairs at delivery, week(s) 1, 6, 10, 14, 24, 36, 48, 72 and 96 after birth. Clinical, socio-economic, nutritional and environmental data will be assessed for adverse birth outcomes, impaired growth, immune/neurodevelopment, vertical transmission of HIV, hepatitis-B/C viruses, cytomegalovirus and syphilis. Maternal urine, stool, plasma, cord blood, amniotic fluid, placenta and milk including infant plasma, dried blood spot and stool will be collected at enrolment and follow-up visits. The composite primary endpoint is stillbirth and infant mortality within the first two years of life in HEU versus HUU infants. Maternal mortality in HIV-infected versus-uninfected women is another primary outcome. Secondary endpoints include a range of maternal and infant outcomes. Sub-studies will address maternal stress and malnutrition, maternal-infant latent tuberculosis, Helicobacter pylori infections, immune-metabolomic dysregulation including gut, breast milk and amniotic fluid dysbiosis. Discussion: The University of Zimbabwe-College of Health-Sciences-Birth-Cohort study will provide a comprehensive assessment of risk factors and biomarkers for HEU infants’ adverse outcomes. This will ultimately help developing strategies to mitigate effects of maternal HIV, early-life ART exposures and comorbidities on infants’ mortality and morbidity. Trial registration: ClinicalTrial.gov Identifier: NCT04087239. Registered 12 September 2019.
This study aims to identify predictors for short- and long-term adverse infant outcomes in a resource limited setting. We will examine the impact of maternal HIV infection and comorbidities, cumulative ART exposure in utero and throughout the breastfeeding period, including the effects of maternal immune suppression, immune activation and environmental variables. Our study is focusing on mortality and morbidity of HEU infants, testing established risk factors from previous cohorts done during the pre-ART and monotherapy eras. Data and biomaterials will be collected prospectively from mothers and infants from enrolment at ≥20 weeks of gestation to 2 years after birth to enable capturing of infant development. Primary outcomes: Secondary outcomes of our study include a range of maternal, birth and infant outcomes summarized in Table 2. Secondary outcomes of UZ-CHS Birth cohort study ART antiretroviral therapy, CMV cytomegalovirus, FBC full blood count, HBV hepatitis B virus, HCV hepatitis C virus, HLA human leukocyte antigen, HIV human immune deficiency virus, HEI HIV exposed and infected, HEU HIV exposed but uninfected, HUU: HIV unexposed and uninfected, IL interleukin, KIR killer immunoglobulin like receptor, MUAC mid upper arm circumference, NCD non-communicable diseases, TGF transforming growth factor The University of Zimbabwe College of Health Sciences (UZ-CHS) Birth Cohort study is a prospective observational cohort study comparing infants born to HIV-infected and HIV-uninfected women in a resource limited setting of Western high-density suburbs of Harare attending Municipal primary health polyclinics. One thousand two hundred (1200) pregnant women (600 HIV-infected mothers and 600 HIV-uninfected controls) at ≥20 weeks of gestation will be enrolled from February 2016 to June 2019. Participants will be followed as mother-baby pairs (MIPs) at birth, within 10 days of life and at 6, 10, 14, 24, 48, 72 and 96 weeks of age. Questionnaires will be administered and bio-samples for laboratory tests will also be acquired at each visit. Biomaterials will be acquired for specific tests including tests for infections, clinical biochemistry, full blood counts and immune status, dysbiosis (Tables 3). In addition, at each study visit maternal-infant clinical examinations will be done and used to assess health status including the impact of household and environmental factors. The study will be a non-interventional cohort study design, but participants will be offered health care and health education. Summary of the tests done in mothers and infants at different time points HIV-1/2 diagnosis: All HIV uninfected women at enrolment and every 6 months. All HIV exposed infants from 18 months of age – Initial screening; SD Bioline HIV-1/2 3.0 (Standard Diagnostics Inc., Kyonggi-do, South Korea. -Confirmation; Alere Determine™ HIV-1/2 (Abbott -Diagnostics, Lake Bluff, USA). -Tie breaker; Western blotting, The Orasure kit, Epitope Inc., USA Early infant HIV diagnosis: All HIV exposed infants from delivery, at every visit until weaning or diagnosis of HIV infection up to 18 months of age [67]. HIV-1 RNA quantification: In plasma, of all HIV infected women at enrolment and exit In BM colostrum, and every 6 months All HIV infected infants’ earliest positive DBS sample and at exit According to the manufacturer’s recommendations. The lower detection limit of the assay; 20 copies/mL Immune status assessment: All HIV infected women at enrolment and exit All HIV infected infants earliest positive whole blood sample and at exit CD4 + T-lymphocyte (absolute) count EDTA whole blood sample CD4+ T-lymphocyte (percentage). Maternal ART levels: Efavirenz, Lamivudine, Tenofovir will be tested enrolment, and every 12 months in all mothers on ART Syphilis serology: All mothers at enrolment and exit All exposed infants from delivery and at every visit HBV/HCV serology: All mothers at enrolment and exit All exposed infants from delivery and at every visit (DBS) HBV DNA Assays: Host genetics of HBV infection susceptibility CMV serology: All mothers at enrolment and exit CMV DNA test: All mothers at enrolment and exit All exposed infants from delivery and at every visit (DBS) Host genetics of CMV infection/ transmission Detection of anti-Treponema pallidum antibodies and a non-Treponemal slide agglutination test for the semi-quantitative detection of plasma reagins in serum. HBsAg detection, Profiling; HBsAg, HBsAb, HBeAg, HBeAb & HBcAb Plasma, breast milk HBV DNA for occult hepatitis determination HBV plasma DNA levels HLA, KIR typing (whole blood) CMV IgG, IgM levels, avidity assays. CMV DNA in plasma, amniotic fluid breast milk and urine CMV DNA in DBS HLA, KIR typing Qualitative rapid immunochromatographic and, SD Bioline 3.0, SD Biosensor, Korea Fortress diagnostics Ltd., UK Screening; SD Bioline, Korea Confirmation; Quality kit, USA Tie breaker: Acon, USA HBV profile All positives: 5 profile (CTK, USA) HBV TaqMan PCR Kit, Norgen Biotek, Norway COBAS1 AmpliPrep/ COBAS1 TaqMan1 HBV DNA Quantitative Test (Roche Molecular System Inc., Branchburg, NJ, USA As previously described (112). PerkinElmer kits, Euroimmun, South Africa RealStar CMV PCR kit v1.0 (Altona Diagnostics, Hamburg, Germany), following isolation of viral DNA using the QIAamp MinElute Virus Spin Kit (Qiagen, Hilden, Germany). As previously described [69]. Clinical biochemistry: All mothers serum at enrolment and exit All infants serum within, 6 and 24 months of age Renal; creatinine, urea, uric acid, Urinary protein and albumin eGFR [70]. Liver enzymes Including AST, GGT, bilirubin, LDH, ALP, Cardiac markers; troponin CKMB. Lipids; total and LDL/HDL cholesterol. Bone profile; calcium, magnesium, phosphate. Beckman Coulter AU680 chemistry analyser (Krefeld, Germany) Urinalysis strips, Cypress Diagnostics. HELLP syndrome for acute kidney injury assessment LDH: AST ratio > 22 distinguishing TTP from HELLP syndrome. Keiser SD [71]. All results to determine antenatal reference ranges associated favourable outcome of pregnancy Full blood counts: All mothers at enrolment and exit All infants within 10 days of life, 6 and 24 months of age Mindray© Haematology 3-part differential, 16 parameters BC3600 Analyser (Shenzhen, China) Determine antenatal reference ranges associated favourable outcome of pregnancy Maternal blood random glucose and HbA1c: Once in pregnancy at enrolment Mindray BS200 Chemistry Analyser (Mindray, Shenzen, China) Determine antenatal reference ranges associated favourable outcome of pregnancy Intestinal pathogens: All mothers at enrolment and exit All Infants at exit Humoural immune responses to EPI vaccines Infants At 6 weeks, 12 and 24 months of age Plasma inflammation and cell stress biomarkers: In a subgroup of MIPs with different durations of exposures to ART from pregnancy to 12 months of age Plasma metabolomics: > 400 analytes, in a subgroup of MIPs with different durations of exposures to ART from pregnancy to 12 months of age to assess altered amino acid and lipid metabolism 3 platforms -Biogenic amines (Amino acids, catecholamines & polyamines), Signalling lipids (Sphingosine-1-phosphate etc., Positive lipids (Lysophospholipids, phospholipids, cholesterol esters, di/triglycerides & sphingomyelins) as described [76]. Infants atopic sensitization Infant blood samples from 6, 24 and 96 weeks. Breast milk characterisation Maternal milk from delivery up to weaning time Plasma inflammatory biomarkers In a subgroup of MIPs from pregnancy, breastfeeding period and after weaning Multiplexed 16S sequencing In a subgroup of MIPs from pregnancy, breastfeeding period and after weaning Breast milk (whole) immune-metabolomics In MIPs with adverse outcomes, from colostrum, and at least 3 later points. Maternal mycotoxins biomarkers In pregnancy, at delivery and exit Natural killer (NK) cells characterisations In a subgroup of HEU (with short, medium and long term ART exposures) versus HUU infants two time points between 12 and 24 months of age. Maternal latent TB testing: In a subgroup of HIV infected and uninfected in pregnant women and 6 weeks postpartum Salivary cortisol levels In a subgroup of MIP at 6 months follow up visit Helicobacter pylori testing In a subgroup of MIP from pregnancy to exit ALP alkaline phosphatase, AST aspartate aminotransferase, BM breast milk, CD cluster of differentiation, CK-MB creatine kinase-myocardial band, CMV cytomegalovirus, EPI expanded program for immunization, GC gas chromatography, GGT gamma-glutamyl transferase; Glut1 glucose transporter-1, HbA1c glycosylated haemoglobulin, HBcAb hepatitis B core antibody, HBeAb hepatitis B e-antibody, HBeAg hepatitis B e-antigen, HBsAb hepatitis B surface antibody, HBsAg hepatitis B surface antigen, HBV hepatitis B virus, HCV hepatitis C virus, HDL high density lipoprotein, HEI HIV exposed infected, HELLP haemolysis, elevated liver enzymes and low platelet count, HEU HIV exposed but uninfected, HIB Haemophilus influenza type b, HIV human immunodeficiency virus, HLA human leukocyte antigen, HPLC high-pressure liquid-chromatography, HUU HIV unexposed and uninfected, IGRAs interferon gamma release assays, KIR killer cell immunoglobulin-like receptor, LCPUFA long chain poly unsaturated fatty acids, LDH lactate dehydrogenase, LDL low density lipoprotein, MIPs mother-infant pairs, MS mass spectrometer, PUFA poly unsaturated fatty acids, QToF quad time of flight, TB tuberculosis, TQMS triple quadrupole mass spectrometer, TST tuberculin skin test, TTP thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura, UHPLC ultra-high-pressure liquid-chromatography, UPLC ultra-pressure liquid-chromatography The Municipality of Harare has established 12 polyclinics each comprising units for primary health care, maternity, post-natal care and a family health service. Medical services include HIV counselling and rapid testing including initiation and administration of ART. Monitoring and follow-up for other chronic conditions including diabetes mellitus and arterial hypertension are also offered. A physician comes twice a week per site to attend to complicated cases. Maternity services comprise antenatal care, postnatal care, treatment of hypertensive disorders, HIV and syphilis screening and treatment. For each pregnant woman, routine lab results and management prior to enrolment into the study are well documented in antenatal booklets during routine clinical care. The study team will have access to these clinical data during and after the enrolment visit. The standard of care for all Zimbabwean HIV-infected women to prevent HIV-MTCT consists of (non)–nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors; TENOLAM-E (Tenofovir, Lamivudine and Efavirenz, and to breastfeed as long as they choose to. Exclusive breast-feeding is encouraged during the first six months of life, with breastfeeding along with appropriate complementary foods up to 2 years of age or even older. According to Zimbabwean national guidelines, all HIV-infected women should be on Option B+, but in practice women often do not receive a timely HIV diagnosis. Independent from our study, all infants including HIV-1 exposed and infected (HEI) infants, are monitored for growth, and also receive vaccination as shown in Table Table11 as per the Zimbabwean EPI program. Clinic visits for any ailments are managed at a local primary health centre with complicated cases being appropriately referred to the nearest tertiary hospital. All HIV exposed infants are tested for HIV by reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) (Table 3, point ii.) at birth, 6 weeks of age and after cessation of breast feeding. Upon detection of HIV infection, infants are immediately commenced on ART, usually comprising the protease inhibitors Lopinavir/ritonavir and the nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors; Zidovudine and Lamivudine. In addition, all HIV exposed infants are commenced on Cotrimoxazole prophylaxis until they stop breast feeding or they test HIV RT-PCR positive, whichever occurs first. It costs a pregnant woman United States (US) twenty-five dollars ($25) to access antenatal services until six weeks after delivery whilst health care services are free of charge for infants until 5 years of age. They are encouraged to book early during pregnancy (at week 4–12 gestational age) and to test for HIV together with their spouses/partners. Currently, due to social-economic challenges, most Zimbabwean pregnant women go for antenatal registration at the polyclinics when their pregnancies are at advanced stages, a situation that puts their unborn babies at risk for HIV transmission, perpetuating the vicious cycle of poverty and HIV infections. Following a pre-study site feasibility assessment in September 2015, out of the 12 polyclinics, Kuwadzana, Dzivaresekwa (Rujeko), Glenview and Budiriro in South West of Harare city centre were selected based on the higher volumes of maternal and child health services, frequency of HIV positivity and lack of competing research activities targeting the same population. The catchment areas of the selected four polyclinics have relatively stable communities that do not frequently change their rented accommodation. For this study, Municipal midwives at the selected facilities will assist with sample/data collection for deliveries that will occur late at night. All participants reside in South-Western high-density areas of Harare. Residents of this community are of relatively poor socio-economic status with high unemployment rates. Most households generally cannot afford 3 decent meals per day. Most families (72%) live on less than 1 dollar per day [81] and supplement their diet through small scale vegetable gardening around their houses. Families live in houses of similar structure and size (200 m2). On average 2–6 families live in these relatively small houses and in some extreme situations up to 5 family members share a single room. Water supply is erratic, necessitating the use of communal boreholes at 200–1500 metres distance. This manually fetched water is used for drinking, cooking, bathing and flushing of toilets. Sewage bursts are common and may occur close to these boreholes. Contaminated boreholes in two of our four study sites, Budiriro and Glenview, have been epicentres of the 2018 cholera epidemics [7]. Residents of these high-density residential areas share a disproportionate burden of infectious diseases relative to those living in low-density areas in the same city. UZ-CHS birth cohort study enrolled consenting pregnant women registering for antenatal care at any of the 4 selected City of Harare polyclinics. Upon delivery, babies will be automatically recruited into the study and followed up as MIPs for two years. In cases of multiple births (twins or triplets) all infants of the recruited mother will be followed. Follow up is feasible and relatively easy in Zimbabwe where about 90% of pregnant women own or have access to a mobile phone [82]. Pregnant woman of Bantu origin should be ≥15 years of age, at least 20 weeks of gestation at enrolment and planning to deliver at any of the 4 study sites. Due to the current economic challenges, nearly all pregnant women in high-density areas in Harare present to Municipal health clinics at or beyond 20 weeks of pregnancy. Therefore, no upper limit for gestational age for inclusion applies, to ensure a representative study population. All pregnant women with a documented positive HIV status will be encouraged to enrol in the study. For every HIV-infected pregnant woman recruited, the 10th HIV-uninfected woman presenting to the same primary health clinic for the initial antenatal registration will be recruited, accounting for the 12% HIV prevalence within this population. The pregnancy will be dated by the standard way of using menstrual history together with ultrasound scans whenever available as documented in the antenatal booklet which is routinely issued to all pregnant women. Mothers should be willing to be followed together with their babies from delivery, and willing to provide the required data and biological specimens in follow-up visits for two years. Exclusion criteria will be the presence of severe maternal mental health disorders, rendering the women incapacitated to provide informed consent or comply with study procedures as assessed by the study Clinicians. The composite primary endpoint of our study is the comparison of stillbirths and mortality in HEU versus HUU children until two years of age. In Zimbabwe, infant mortality rates of 50 per 1000 live births in the first year and 5 deaths per 1000 live infants in the second year of life are expected. In the pre-ART era, a 3.2–3.9-fold higher mortality in the first year of life and a 2-fold higher mortality in the second year of life was observed [37, 83]. Mortality of HEU in the Option B+ era with more effective HIV treatment might now be improved and in a conservative estimation, we assumed a 2-fold increase in mortality in HEU infants within the first two years of life. We therefore expect 5.5% mortality in HUU infants and 11% in HEU infants. According to our power analysis using G*Power3 [84], a sample size of 1198 pregnant women will be required to detect such a difference with a power of 90% and a significance level of 0.05 in a two-sided analysis. We therefore, will opt for a sample size of 1200 pregnant women, 600 with and 600 without HIV infection. Potential participants will be identified during routine antenatal care visits at any of the four selected City of Harare Polyclinics. The potential participants will be briefed on the study and those who would have verbally agreed to participate in the study will be given the participant information sheet in the language of their choice, either in English or vernacular Shona to ensure full comprehension of the study aims and expected activities using the language that the participant understands best. Participation is voluntary and women will be free to withdraw at any time during the course of the study. Literacy is nearly universal in Zimbabwe [85] and all potential participants should be able to read and comprehend the informed consent form. However, in cases of illiterate study participants, consent will be documented by clearly impressing the right thumbprint on the signature page of the consent form. The actual process of right thumb printing will be witnessed by the study participant’s literate relative of her choice who will print his or her name on the informed consent form and will also sign as a witness in the presence of the study team member. No payment to research participants is required by Zimbabwean law and hence no formal payments to participants will be made for this study. However, research participants will be reimbursed US $5 to cover travel expenses at every study visit and offered refreshments during the waiting time that will range from 30 to 60 min. The study team will offer health education and counselling on pregnancy, delivery and childcare on a continuous basis on each study visit. A midwife will administer a structured questionnaire to all pregnant women at enrolment aiming at a comprehensive clinical, behavioural and environmental characterization. Specific questions will address sexual behaviour and reproductive health issues including sexually transmitted diseases and contraception use. General health, health seeking behaviour, maternal stress and drug/herbal use will be assessed. To address hygiene, specific questions on sanitation (type and number of toilets, sewage system), drinking water, type of energy used (indoor pollution), type of floor(s) in the house, number of rooms used for sleeping by the family and the number of individuals sharing a single room will be asked. Economic information comprising employment status, family monthly income, food security, diet, monthly money set aside for food, healthcare, cooking fuel and savings will be assessed. Ownership of agricultural land or household assets including radios, televisions, mobile or fixed telephones, refrigerators, bicycles, motorcycles or scooters, and cars will provide additional information regarding social economic status. Further questions will address maternal life style such as alcohol use, smoking, sleeping habits, physical activities, domestic violence and support from spouse/partner including knowledge, beliefs and practices in relation to patterns of seeking health care services, see Tables 4 and and55. Maternal measurements and data collection time points 2. Urine i) Urinalysis and storage microbiome ART antiretroviral therapy, BMI body mass index, CD4 cluster of differentiation-4, CMV cytomegalovirus, EPI The expanded program of immunisation, MUAC mid upper arm circumference, HbA1c glycated haemoglobin, HBV hepatitis B virus, HCV hepatitis C virus, HLA human leukocyte antigen, HIV human immunodeficiency virus, KIR killer cell immunoglobulin-like receptor, SGA small for gestational age, TB tuberculosis, WHO world health organisation Infant data and health assessment tool BMI body mass index, CMV cytomegalovirus, EPI The expanded program of immunisation, MUAC mid upper arm circumference, HBV hepatitis B virus, HCV hepatitis C virus, SGA small for gestational age In HIV-infected mothers, ART use, regimen and date for commencement, co-infections and issues related to HIV status disclosure and stigma will be recorded. The information will be verified using clinical records in the maternal antenatal booklet. A significant fraction of HIV-infected women will be unaware of their HIV status and therefore will be ART naïve [86]. In these women, ART will be initiated upon first presentation at the antenatal clinic, coinciding with enrolment into our study. Due to the unfortunate scenario of late antenatal bookings some women will therefore commence ART late or very late in pregnancy during labour. However, other women will be on ART even before conception. This provides the opportunity to study the impact of different durations of ART exposure (as a continuous variable based on gestational age at ART initiation) on birth and infant outcomes. Other than the in utero exposure, infants’ exposure to ART will continue throughout the breastfeeding period since mothers are encouraged to breastfeed regardless of their HIV status. At enrolment, the study midwife will perform a full physical examination, blood pressure checks, assessment of oedema and anthropometry. World health organisation (WHO) clinical staging will be done for all HIV-infected women. The examination will also include measurement of symphysis fundal height (SFH) for calculation of gestational age in comparison with last menstrual period (LMP) that is subject to considerable margin of error, particularly late in pregnancy. The SFH will be determined by measuring the distance in centimetres (cm) from the pubic symphysis to the highest part of the uterus. Assessment of nutritional status will be done using standard anthropometric indices including body mass index (BMI). Mid upper arm circumference (MUAC) is an easy, non-invasive and inexpensive technique in anthropometry to detect nutritional status [87]. MUAC is considered an indicator of the body protein reserves, and unlike BMI is independent of gestational age [88]. MUAC will be used as an indicator for malnutrition, including obesity. Mother’s left arm will be bent at the elbow at a 90 degree angle, with the upper arm held parallel to the side of the body. The upper arm circumference will be measured at the mid-point distance between the bony protrusion on the shoulder (acromion) and the point of the elbow (olecranon). Previous South African studies demonstrated that a MUAC of < 23 cm, predicted a pre-pregnancy BMI of 30.57 cm, predicted a pre-pregnancy BMI of > 30 kg/m2 [88]. For more practical reasons, a maternal MUAC cut-offs of ≤25 cm will be used as a marker for malnutrition. Blood pressure (BP), both systolic and diastolic will be measured after allowing the mother to rest for at least 5 min. Mothers will be reminded of their upcoming follow-up study visits by phone call or through text message. Follow-up will be scheduled at delivery, within 10 days, 6, 10, 14, 24, 36, 48, 72 and 96 weeks postpartum. If a mother fails to turn up for their scheduled follow-up appointments, attempts to contact her or her next of kin by phone and/ or home visits will be made strictly adhering to the documented mother’s preferences. Data and samples will still be collected provided the missed visit can be rearranged within the following seven days. In case of two consecutive missed visits without communication, study discontinuation will be discussed with the mother. Information on place, date and mode of delivery will be extracted from “Road to Health Child’ cards” issued at birth for monitoring growth, vaccinations records until 5 years of age. Longitudinal infant feeding practices and comprehensive information on health, development and environment will be collected. Extensive questionnaires similar to the one administered at enrolment will be re-administered at 6, 12, 18 and 24 months. Physical examinations of mothers will be performed until week 6 after delivery and at exit. For infants physical examinations will be done at every visit. Sick infants will be seen by the study Paediatrician. Study procedures also include bio-sampling of blood, breast milk and stool at every study visit. The key outcome of this study is mortality of infants assessed by the composite endpoint of stillbirth (gestational age at birth ≥20 weeks) and infants who die during the first two years of life. Adverse birth outcomes will include the need for resuscitation at birth due to birth asphyxia or respiratory distress syndrome. These conditions can be accurately diagnosed by a midwife. Birth asphyxia will be defined as any medical condition resulting in decreased or discontinued supply of oxygen to a new-born infant before, during or soon after birth. No formal paediatric assessment will be performed at birth; therefore, accurate diagnosis of other paediatric conditions will not be feasible at this point. Other adverse outcomes at delivery will include preterm birth. WHO criteria will be applied in calculations regarding infants’ anthropometric measurements [89]. Gestational age will be divided into early preterm (20–31 weeks), late preterm (32–36 weeks), term (at least 37 weeks) and post term birth (> 42 weeks of gestation). Additional adverse outcomes are a low Apgar score at 5 min (< 7), small for gestational age (SGA, i.e. weight/ length below the 10th percentile for gestational age), low birth weight (LBW) (< 2500 g, weighed within the first hour of life, before significant postnatal weight loss would have occurred), very LBW (< 1500 g), extremely low birth weight ( 4000 g), microcephaly (head circumference < 2 standard deviation (SD) from the mean) and multiple births. A brief physical examination will be performed by the midwife regarding structural birth defects (malformations, e.g. extra digits). All infants with suspicious findings regarding birth defects will be followed up by a team of four board certified study Paediatricians. Growth will be expressed as Z scores according to WHO definitions [89]: Weight-for-age (WAZ), height-for-age (HAZ), weight-for-height (WHZ) and head-circumference-for-age (HCAZ). Growth outcomes will be evaluated as continuous variables (attained Z-score and change in Z-score between visits). In addition, the following categorical outcomes will be assessed: Infant MUAC will be measured from 6 weeks of age and sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive values, and negative predictive values of the MUAC for stunting, underweight, wasting, anaemia and adverse neurodevelopment in HEI, HEU and HUU infants aged 0- < 6 months, 6- 7 months), medium-term (1–7 months) and no/ short-term (no or 7 months), medium-term (1–7 months) and short-term ( 50% children acquiring it by the age of 10 [119]. Most published data on H. pylori infection are largely centred on adults. Thus, there are significant knowledge gaps on the risk factors of initial H. pylori colonization, trends and persistence of the infection in children. This sub-study aims to compare timing and trends of H. pylori colonisation and immunity among HUU and HEU infants from birth until 2 years of age, with the aim to develop preventive measures to reduce early life infections. Random sampling of ≥100 women in pregnancy will be done. Follow up will be within 10 days of life, at weeks 10, 14, 24, 36, 48, 72 and 96 with collection of MIPs stool samples for testing of H. pylori antigen and antibodies using simple ELISAs. See Table Table33xxix for details. Pregnant women have been enrolled into the UZ-CHS Birth Cohort study from February 2016 until June 2019. MIPs will be followed for 2 years, with an expected study completion date in June 2021. Long-term follow-up studies until school-going age and adolescence are in planning. Data is being entered at the study sites into paper CRF that will subsequently be entered into a Research Electronic Data Capture (REDCap) secure web with regular backups. Data will be analysed using SPSS (version 17.0, Chicago, IL) or other analysis tools using standard statistical methods for parametric or non-parametric testing or analysis of categorical outcomes, whatever appropriate. The main endpoint of our study, the composite endpoint of stillbirth and mortality until two years of age of HEU vs. HUU infants will be corrected for confounders in a multivariable logistic regression analysis. In this analysis, we aim to correct for socio-demographic parameters (e.g. maternal age), descriptors of the current and past reproductive history (e.g. number previous pregnancies, current twin/multiple pregnancy), maternal comorbidities (e.g. hypertension, metabolic syndrome, infectious comorbidities), economic situation (marriage and employment state, family income), maternal nutrition (e.g. number days without food, MUAC) and hygiene (number of days without running water). For selection of confounders, individual parameters from the database will be tested in a univariate analysis. If significance is detected (p < 0.1), the parameter will be included in a multivariable analysis with parameter elimination for optimization of the Akaike information criterion. Confounders for maternal outcomes will be selected using a similar strategy. For secondary outcomes, Cox proportional hazard models will be used for time-dependent variables, also controlled for confounders in multivariable analyses. Predictors of secondary outcomes will also be analysed using hierarchical all-against-all clustering [120]. A p-value < 0.05 will be considered significant. We will provide nominal p-values and Bonferroni-corrected p-values in case of a multiple testing situation.
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