Determinants of survival in very low birth weight neonates in a public sector hospital in Johannesburg

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Study Justification:
– Audit of disease and mortality patterns is important for health budgeting and planning, as well as for comparison purposes.
– Neonatal mortality accounts for a significant proportion of deaths in children under 5 years of age.
– Very low birth weight (VLBW) mortality contributes to a significant portion of neonatal mortality.
– Intervention programs need to be based on reliable statistics specific to the local setting.
Study Highlights:
– The study was a retrospective chart review of 474 VLBW infants admitted to a public sector hospital in Johannesburg, South Africa.
– Overall survival rate was 70.5%, with survival rates varying based on birth weight.
– Birth weight was the main determinant of survival, with infants weighing between 1001 and 1500 grams having a higher survival rate compared to those weighing below 1001 grams.
– Other factors influencing survival included gender, birth before arrival at the hospital, necrotising enterocolitis, hypotension, and nasal continuous positive airways pressure.
Study Recommendations:
– Resources should be allocated to prevent the birth of VLBW babies outside of the hospital.
– Early neonatal resuscitation should be prioritized.
– Provision of nasal continuous positive airways pressure (NCPAP) should be ensured.
– Measures should be taken to prevent necrotising enterocolitis (NEC).
Key Role Players:
– Healthcare providers and medical staff involved in neonatal care.
– Hospital administrators and managers responsible for resource allocation.
– Policy makers and government officials responsible for healthcare planning and budgeting.
Cost Items for Planning Recommendations:
– Training and education programs for healthcare providers on neonatal resuscitation.
– Equipment and supplies for neonatal resuscitation and NCPAP.
– Implementation of measures to prevent NEC, such as improved infection control practices.
– Outreach programs and initiatives to promote prenatal care and prevent premature births outside of the hospital.
Please note that the cost items provided are general examples and may vary based on the specific context and resources available in Johannesburg, South Africa.

The strength of evidence for this abstract is 7 out of 10.
The evidence in the abstract is rated 7 because it provides specific details about the study design, data collection, and statistical analysis. However, it does not mention the sample size or provide information about potential limitations of the study. To improve the evidence, the authors could include the sample size and discuss any limitations or potential biases in the study design.

Background: Audit of disease and mortality patterns provides essential information for health budgeting and planning, as well as a benchmark for comparison. Neonatal mortality accounts for about 1/3 of deaths < 5 years of age and very low birth weight (VLBW) mortality for approximately 1/3 of neonatal mortality. Intervention programs must be based on reliable statistics applicable to the local setting; First World data cannot be used in a Third World setting. Many neonatal units participate in the Vermont Oxford Network (VON); limited resources prevent a significant number of large neonatal units from developing countries taking part, hence data from such units is lacking. The purpose of this study was to provide reliable, recent statistics relevant to a developing African country, useful for guiding neonatal interventions in that setting.Methods: This was a retrospective chart review of 474 VLBW infants admitted within 24 hours of birth, between 1 July 2006 and 30 June 2007, to the neonatal unit of Charlotte Maxeke Johannesburg Academic Hospital (CMJAH) in Johannesburg, South Africa. Binary outcome logistic regression on individual variables and multiple logistic regression was done to identify those factors determining survival.Results: Overall survival was 70.5%. Survival of infants below 1001 grams birth weight was 34.9% compared to 85.8% for those between 1001 and 1500 grams at birth. The main determinant of survival was birth weight with an adjusted survival odds ratio of 23.44 (95% CI: 11.22 – 49.00) for babies weighing between 1001 and 1500 grams compared to those weighing below 1001 grams. Other predictors of survival were gender (OR 3. 21; 95% CI 1.6 – 6.3), birth before arrival at the hospital (BBA) (OR 0.23; 95% CI: 0.08 – 0.69), necrotising enterocolitis (NEC) (OR 0.06; 95% CI: 0.02 – 0.20), hypotension (OR 0.05; 95% CI 0.01 – 0.21) and nasal continuous positive airways pressure (NCPAP) (OR 4.58; 95% CI 1.58 – 13.31).Conclusions: Survival rates compare favourably with other developing countries, but can be improved; especially in infants < 1001 grams birth weight. Resources need to be allocated to preventing the birth of VLBW babies outside hospital, early neonatal resuscitation, provision of NCPAP and prevention of NEC. © 2010 Ballot et al; licensee BioMed Central Ltd.

This was a retrospective record review of all neonates with a birth weight < 1501 grams admitted to the neonatal unit of CMJAH within 24 hours of birth from 1 July 2006 to 31 June 2007. All inborn neonates were admitted directly to a labour ward nursery, so statistics included inborn babies who died shortly after birth. VLBW babies who were delivered at outlying primary level hospitals or clinics and those who were born before arrival in hospital (BBA) were also admitted to the neonatal unit. Data was entered from hospital records onto a Microsoft Access (2003) database. Maternal information obtained from the delivery records included age, parity, gravidity, antenatal care, administration of antenatal steroids, syphilis screening and treatment, human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) screening and prophylaxis, place of delivery, fetal presentation and mode of delivery. HIV screening followed a protocol of voluntary counseling and testing; mothers could refuse to be tested. Prophylaxis was only given to infants where mothers were proven to be HIV positive. Polymerase chain reaction (PCR) testing to confirm HIV infection in the neonate was only done from 6 weeks of chronological age. Neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) admission was not determined by HIV exposure. The baby's weight, Apgar scores and details of delivery room resuscitation were also obtained from the delivery records. Gestational age was determined from a combination of maternal history (expected date of delivery, height of fundus, first trimester ultrasound) and the Ballard score, which was done by attending clinical staff. The birth weight was plotted on Fenton [23] growth charts to determine whether the baby was appropriate for gestational age (AGA), small for gestational age (SGA) or large for gestational age (LGA). Information was available on all patients until hospital discharge. Neonatal records were reviewed by the primary author (DEB) and the final diagnoses assigned by the attending clinical staff were confirmed using the available clinical information and results of investigations. The neonatal information included duration of hospital stay, respiratory diagnosis (including hyaline membrane disease (HMD)), duration of oxygen therapy, pneumothorax, neonatal jaundice (NNJ), phototherapy, exchange transfusion, patent ductus arteriousus (PDA) and treatment, necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) and management, intraventricular haemorrhage (IVH) and grade, periventricular leukomalacia (PVL), hypotension, infection and causative organism blood results, retinopathy of prematurity (ROP), bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) (defined as oxygen requirement at 28 days of age), congenital anomalies, whether KMC was done and final outcome (discharge or death). IVH was graded according to Papile [24] the diagnosis of NEC was given if the baby had modified Bell's stage 2 or 3 [25]; ROP was diagnosed by an ophthalmologist; PDA was confirmed on echocardiogram by a paediatric cardiologist. The cause of death was reviewed by the primary author (DEB) and classified according to the PPIP classification http://www.ppip.co.za. The PPIP was established in 1999 in South Africa as a national tool for perinatal death audit. In order to have manageable data, the single most likely cause of death is listed – major categories include prematurity, asphyxia, infection and congenital anomaly. Each category is further subdivided into sub-categories; prematurity is subdivided into extreme immaturity, HMD, IVH, NEC and pulmonary haemorrhage. No postmortem examinations were done on the study patients. Details of ICU admissions include indication for ventilation, dates and type of ventilatory support, (IPPV or NCPAP) and surfactant therapy. Babies who received both NCPAP and IPPV were classified as needing ventilator assistance for the purposes of analysis. Babies were managed according to the unit policies at the time. Ventilatory support was offered to babies above 900 grams birth weight, due to severely limited tertiary resources. Babies were not routinely intubated or given NCPAP in the delivery room; ventilatory support (including NCPAP) was commenced when the infant showed signs of respiratory failure. All babies, irrespective of birth weight, were provided with standard neonatal care (nursed in an incubator, given supplemental oxygen, intravenous fluids, antibiotic therapy, blood transfusion, phototherapy as needed and KMC). Surfactant therapy was only given as rescue therapy to babies on ventilatory support, usually to those patients who did not wean rapidly from supplementary oxygen. A second dose of surfactant could be given if the baby had responded to the initial dose and then deteriorated again. NCPAP was introduced to the neonatal unit March 2006. During the period of the study, there was no rooming in facility, so mothers could only do KMC intermittently during the day. KMC was introduced once a baby was in room air and tolerating full enteral feeds. Cranial ultrasound was done during the first week of life by a paediatric neurologist and, if indicated, repeated after 1 to 2 weeks and just prior to discharge. Babies who died within the first 72 hours may not have undergone a cranial ultrasound. Screening for retinopathy of prematurity was done by an ophthalmologist at 36 weeks post conceptional age. If babies were discharged prior to this age, an outpatient appointment was booked for the ophthalmology clinic. Babies were discharged home once they had established enteral feeds, were off supplemental oxygen, maintaining temperature and had achieved a weight of 1600 grams. Some babies were discharged to regional step down facilities for weight gain, close to the time of discharge home. Statistical analysis was done on a personal computer using SPSS version 17 (SPSS Inc. http://www.spss.com). Continuous variables were summarised using mean and 95% confidence intervals, while categorical variables were summarised as ratios and percentages. For the purposes of analysis, babies transferred out and those discharged home directly were combined as "survivors" and compared to those babies that died during their hospital admission. Cross-tabulations of categorical variables with survival were produced and statistical associations between these categorical variables and survival outcome were done using the Chi-Square test of association. Normally distributed continuous variables were compared using the unpaired t test and the Mann-Whitney U test was used to compare discrete variables and those continuous variables that were not normally distributed. Binary outcome logistic regression was done on individual variables to predict survival. Those variables which were significant at the univariate analysis were entered into a multiple logistic regression using the backward selection procedure. All the statistical tests were conducted at 5% significance level. The study was approved by the ethics committee of the University of the Witwatersrand for research on human subjects.

Based on the provided information, here are some potential innovations that can be used to improve access to maternal health:

1. Telemedicine: Implementing telemedicine programs can allow healthcare providers to remotely monitor and provide care to pregnant women, especially those in remote or underserved areas. This can help improve access to prenatal care and reduce the need for travel to healthcare facilities.

2. Mobile health (mHealth) applications: Developing mobile applications that provide information and resources related to maternal health can empower pregnant women to take control of their own health. These apps can provide guidance on prenatal care, nutrition, and exercise, as well as reminders for appointments and medication.

3. Community health workers: Training and deploying community health workers can help bridge the gap between healthcare facilities and pregnant women in underserved areas. These workers can provide education, support, and basic healthcare services to pregnant women, improving access to maternal health services.

4. Transportation services: Lack of transportation can be a barrier to accessing maternal health services. Implementing transportation services, such as ambulances or community-based transportation programs, can ensure that pregnant women have a reliable means of reaching healthcare facilities when needed.

5. Health information systems: Implementing electronic health records and health information systems can improve the coordination and continuity of care for pregnant women. This can help healthcare providers track and monitor the health of pregnant women, identify high-risk cases, and ensure timely and appropriate interventions.

6. Maternal health education programs: Developing and implementing educational programs that focus on maternal health can empower pregnant women with knowledge and skills to make informed decisions about their health and the health of their babies. These programs can be delivered through community workshops, mobile apps, or online platforms.

7. Public-private partnerships: Collaborating with private sector organizations can help leverage resources and expertise to improve access to maternal health services. This can involve partnerships with technology companies, pharmaceutical companies, or non-profit organizations to develop and implement innovative solutions.

It is important to note that the specific recommendations for improving access to maternal health should be based on a thorough understanding of the local context and the needs of the target population.
AI Innovations Description
Based on the information provided, the following recommendation can be developed into an innovation to improve access to maternal health:

1. Implement a comprehensive antenatal care program: Develop and implement a program that focuses on providing comprehensive antenatal care to pregnant women, including regular check-ups, screenings, and access to necessary medications and treatments. This program should also prioritize the prevention and management of conditions such as HIV, syphilis, and other infections that can affect both the mother and the newborn.

2. Strengthen neonatal intensive care units (NICUs): Allocate resources to improve and expand NICUs in public sector hospitals, particularly in developing countries. This includes ensuring the availability of necessary equipment, trained healthcare professionals, and specialized treatments for very low birth weight (VLBW) infants. Additionally, establish protocols for early neonatal resuscitation and the use of nasal continuous positive airways pressure (NCPAP) to improve survival rates.

3. Enhance access to healthcare facilities: Develop strategies to prevent the birth of VLBW babies outside of hospitals and ensure timely access to healthcare facilities. This may involve improving transportation systems, establishing referral networks between primary level hospitals and tertiary care centers, and raising awareness among pregnant women and their families about the importance of seeking medical care during pregnancy and childbirth.

4. Implement maternal and newborn health education programs: Develop and implement educational programs that focus on raising awareness about maternal and newborn health, including the importance of antenatal care, nutrition, hygiene, and breastfeeding. These programs should target both healthcare providers and the community to ensure that accurate information reaches pregnant women and their families.

5. Conduct regular audits and research: Establish a system for regular audits and research to monitor and evaluate the effectiveness of interventions aimed at improving access to maternal health. This will help identify areas for improvement, inform evidence-based decision-making, and ensure that resources are allocated effectively.

By implementing these recommendations, it is possible to develop innovative solutions that can improve access to maternal health, reduce neonatal mortality rates, and enhance the overall well-being of mothers and newborns in developing countries.
AI Innovations Methodology
Based on the provided information, here are some potential recommendations to improve access to maternal health:

1. Strengthening Antenatal Care: Enhance antenatal care services by providing comprehensive and regular check-ups for pregnant women. This includes early detection and management of high-risk pregnancies, screening for infections, and providing necessary vaccinations and supplements.

2. Improving Access to Skilled Birth Attendants: Ensure that all pregnant women have access to skilled birth attendants during delivery. This can be achieved by training and deploying more midwives and healthcare professionals in underserved areas.

3. Enhancing Emergency Obstetric Care: Strengthen emergency obstetric care services, including access to emergency transportation, blood transfusions, and cesarean sections. This is crucial for managing complications during childbirth and reducing maternal mortality.

4. Promoting Community-based Maternal Health Programs: Implement community-based programs that educate and empower women about maternal health, family planning, and nutrition. These programs can also provide support networks and referrals to healthcare facilities.

To simulate the impact of these recommendations on improving access to maternal health, a methodology could include the following steps:

1. Data Collection: Gather relevant data on the current state of maternal health in the target area, including maternal mortality rates, access to healthcare facilities, and utilization of antenatal care services.

2. Baseline Assessment: Analyze the collected data to establish a baseline for maternal health indicators. This will provide a benchmark for comparison and help identify areas that require improvement.

3. Scenario Development: Develop different scenarios based on the recommended interventions. Each scenario should outline the specific changes in access to maternal health services, such as the number of additional healthcare providers, improved infrastructure, or increased community engagement.

4. Modeling and Simulation: Use statistical modeling techniques to simulate the impact of each scenario on maternal health indicators. This can involve analyzing the potential changes in maternal mortality rates, antenatal care utilization, and access to skilled birth attendants.

5. Evaluation and Comparison: Evaluate the simulated outcomes of each scenario and compare them to the baseline assessment. This will help determine which interventions are most effective in improving access to maternal health.

6. Recommendations and Implementation: Based on the simulation results, make recommendations for implementing the most effective interventions. Consider factors such as feasibility, cost-effectiveness, and sustainability.

7. Monitoring and Evaluation: Continuously monitor and evaluate the implemented interventions to assess their actual impact on improving access to maternal health. This will help refine and adjust the strategies as needed.

By following this methodology, policymakers and healthcare providers can make informed decisions on how to allocate resources and implement interventions that will have the greatest impact on improving access to maternal health.

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