High severity of abortion complications in fragile and conflict-affected settings: a cross-sectional study in two referral hospitals in sub-Saharan Africa (AMoCo study)

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Study Justification:
– Abortion-related complications are a major cause of maternal mortality.
– Limited research exists on abortion in fragile and conflict-affected settings.
– This study aims to describe the magnitude and severity of abortion-related complications in two referral hospitals in sub-Saharan Africa.
Study Highlights:
– The study analyzed data from 520 women in a Nigerian hospital and 548 women in a CAR hospital.
– Abortion complications represented 4.2% of all pregnancy-related admissions in the Nigerian hospital and 19.9% in the CAR hospital.
– The severity of abortion complications was high, with a significant number of severe maternal outcomes, potentially life-threatening complications, and moderate complications.
– Severe bleeding/hemorrhage was the main type of complication in both settings, followed by infection.
– Factors contributing to the high severity of complications include delays in accessing post-abortion care, limited access to safe abortion care and contraception, and increased food insecurity leading to anemia.
Recommendations:
– Improve access to safe abortion care and contraception in fragile and conflict-affected settings.
– Enhance the quality of post-abortion care to prevent and manage complications.
– Address food insecurity and anemia through interventions that improve nutrition and access to iron supplements.
Key Role Players:
– Ministries of Health and Social Affairs
– Local researchers
– Local administrative and religious leaders
– Women’s and civil society organizations
Cost Items for Planning Recommendations:
– Training for healthcare providers on safe abortion care and contraception
– Implementation of interventions to improve nutrition and access to iron supplements
– Strengthening healthcare systems to provide high-quality post-abortion care
– Awareness campaigns and community engagement initiatives

The strength of evidence for this abstract is 8 out of 10.
The evidence in the abstract is strong, as it presents findings from a cross-sectional study conducted in two referral hospitals in fragile and conflict-affected settings in sub-Saharan Africa. The study used a methodology similar to the WHO Multi-Country Study on Abortion and collected data from medical records of women with abortion-related complications. The study analyzed data from a substantial number of women in both hospitals and categorized the complications into four mutually exclusive categories of increasing severity. The results indicate a high severity of abortion-related complications in these settings. To improve the evidence, the abstract could provide more details on the study design, sampling methods, and statistical analysis used. Additionally, including information on the limitations of the study and potential biases would further strengthen the evidence.

Background: Abortion-related complications are one of the five main causes of maternal mortality. However, research about abortion is very limited in fragile and conflict-affected settings. Our study aims to describe the magnitude and severity of abortion-related complications in two referral hospitals supported by Médecins Sans Frontières and located in such settings in northern Nigeria and Central African Republic (CAR). Methods: We used a methodology similar to the World Health Organization (WHO) near-miss approach adapted in the WHO multi-country study on abortion (WHO-MCS-A). We conducted a cross-sectional study in the two hospitals providing comprehensive emergency obstetric care. We used prospective medical records’ reviews of women presenting with abortion-related complications between November 2019 and July 2021. We used descriptive analysis and categorized complications into four mutually exclusive categories of increasing severity. Results: We analyzed data from 520 and 548 women respectively in Nigerian and CAR hospitals. Abortion complications represented 4.2% (Nigerian hospital) and 19.9% (CAR hospital) of all pregnancy-related admissions. The severity of abortion complications was high: 103 (19.8%) and 34 (6.2%) women were classified as having severe maternal outcomes (near-miss cases and deaths), 245 (47.1%) and 244 (44.5%) potentially life-threatening, 39 (7.5%) and 93 (17.0%) moderate, and 133 (25.6%) and 177 (32.3%) mild complications, respectively in Nigerian and CAR hospitals. Severe bleeding/hemorrhage was the main type of complication in both settings (71.9% in the Nigerian hospital, 57.8% in the CAR hospital), followed by infection (18.7% in the Nigerian hospital, 27.0% in the CAR hospital). Among the 146 women (Nigerian hospital) and 231 women (CAR hospital) who did not report severe bleeding or hemorrhage before or during admission, anemia was more frequent in the Nigerian hospital (66.7%) compared to the CAR hospital (37.6%). Conclusion: Our data suggests high severity of abortion-related complications in these two referral facilities of fragile and conflict-affected settings. Factors that could contribute to this high severity in these contexts include greater delays in accessing post-abortion care, decreased access to contraceptive and safe abortion care that result in increased unsafe abortions; as well as increased food insecurity leading to iron-deficiencies and chronic anaemia. The results highlight the need for better access to safe abortion care, contraception, and high quality postabortion care to prevent and manage complications of abortion in fragile and conflict-affected settings.

This article focuses on one component of the AMoCo study: a quantitative cross-sectional study conducted using a prospective medical record review among women with pregnancy losses before fetal viability. Additional file 1 describes all components of the mixed-method AMoCo study. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, {“type”:”clinical-trial”,”attrs”:{“text”:”NCT04331847″,”term_id”:”NCT04331847″}}NCT04331847. For this study, we used a methodology similar to the WHO Multi-Country Study on Abortion (WHO-MCS-A) [31] to generate comparable results to their study conducted in 210 facilities with Comprehensive Emergency Obstetric Care (CEmOC) capacity in 11 African countries [18]. We collected additional data to be able to also generate estimates using sub-Saharan African context-appropriate severity criteria. Results are reported according to the STROBE guidelines [32]. We selected two referral hospitals supported by Medecins Sans Frontieres (MSF, a non-governmental organization) in two different types of fragile and conflict-affected settings: an urban setting in CAR (Bangui); and a rural setting in northern Nigeria (Jigawa State). Each setting had to meet the following criteria: hospitals were in areas where the security of participants and researchers could be guaranteed; hospitals had wide catchment areas (≥ 500,000 inhabitants); provided post-abortion care to at least 500 women per year; conducted > 1000 deliveries per year; and were capable of providing all CEmOC signal functions. Signal functions are key medical interventions needed to provide emergency obstetric care including: the capacity to remove retained products; provide blood transfusion; and conduct abdominal surgery [31]. MSF supported the provision of free comprehensive SRH care in both facilities. CAR is a country of 5.4 million inhabitants, with 71% of the population living below the international poverty line in 2020 [33] and where 35% of women of reproductive age have not attended formal school [34]. In 2017, it had the fifth highest maternal mortality ratio in the world, with 829 maternal deaths per 100,000 live births [3]. Abortion complications were the primary cause of maternal deaths (25%) in a study conducted in six districts in 2010 [35]. A chronic civil war involving several non-state armed groups has ravaged CAR for decades, trapping the population in a cycle of indiscriminate violence; nearly 70% of the country remained under the control of armed groups in 2019 [36]. The country ranked sixth out of 178 states on the Fragile States Index in 2020 [37]. The study hospital, situated in an urban area of the capital Bangui, served a catchment population of approximately 505,000 people, including 160,000 internally displaced persons in 2017. The area of this hospital and its catchment population were regularly affected by armed attacks during the inclusion period of the participants in this study. In 2019, this hospital provided care to more than 10,400 women seeking childbirth care and almost 2500 women seeking post-abortion care [38]. In CAR, safe induced abortion is authorized by law before 8 weeks of pregnancy if the woman’s health is in danger, in case of fetal impairment, incest, rape, or when a minor is in a “serious distress state”, and if it is provided by a medical doctor [39]. Nigeria had an estimated population of 206 million inhabitants in 2020 [40] and had the fourth global highest maternal mortality ratio in 2017 at 917 per 100,000 live births [3]. The country ranked twelfth of 178 states on the Fragile States Index in 2021 [41]. The Nigerian study hospital is situated in Jigawa State, a poor rural state in northwest Nigeria where 87% of the population live below the poverty line [42]. In this State, the maternal mortality ratio is estimated to be 1012 per 100,000 live births [43] and 75% of women of reproductive age never attended formal school [44]. During the period of participants inclusion, the Jigawa State was in a fragile situation as defined by the World Bank [6]. Jigawa State has reported frequent floodings [45, 46], herders-farmers clashes, kidnappings, and influx of displaced people because of conflicts between different armed groups including Boko Haram, the Islamic State in West Africa Province and various communal militia in the neighboring States of Yobe, Katsina, and Borno [47]. The study hospital had a catchment population of about 665,000 inhabitants in 2020, but around 50% of patients came from outside the catchment area (including conflict-affected neighboring states like Yobe and Katsina) [48]. In 2019, it provided care to 9150 women seeking childbirth care and to around 500 women who sought post-abortion care [38]. In northern Nigeria, safe induced abortion is legal when the procedure aims to preserve the life of a pregnant woman, and when performed by qualified practitioners [39]. While both countries have recently developed national safe abortion care guidelines [49, 50], training for providers and access to safe abortion care remain very limited. All women presenting to the study hospitals with any signs or symptoms of pregnancy-loss-related complications or deaths at discharge were eligible for inclusion. Pregnancy loss included spontaneous/induced abortion, ectopic pregnancy, or molar pregnancy before fetal viability (28 weeks of gestation). Women with threatened abortion (defined as vaginal bleeding with a closed cervix) were excluded. In accordance with the Council for International Organizations of Medical Sciences guidelines [51], an informed consent opt-out procedure was set up in each facility, and women who opted out were excluded. This study reports on the results of the medical record review among women with complications from either a spontaneous or induced abortion. Additional file 2 describes the Prospective Medical Record Review methodology in detail. The sample size was computed to estimate with precision the proportion of severe maternal outcome, which includes near-miss cases and deaths, among all women presenting with abortion complications in each study hospital. The minimum target sample size was 430 women with abortion complications. The included participants presented between February 2020 and July 2021 at the Nigerian hospital (with an interruption between April and July 2020 due to COVID-19) and between November 2019 and January 2020 at the CAR hospital. Using a list of standard key words about symptoms and diagnoses (for example “vaginal bleeding”, “abortion”, “sepsis”), trained study clinicians screened the triage, gynecology/obstetric, and intensive care wards’ registers daily to identify potentially eligible women. They reviewed medical records of these women with a standardized eligibility form and included them in the study the same day as their presentation if they were eligible and did not opt out. Thereafter, they extracted data from their MSF standardized PAC medical records daily till their admission ended, consulting the clinician in charge of their medical management. They recorded sociodemographic data, reproductive history, obstetric characteristics, clinical signs and symptoms, laboratory markers, medical management, clinical outcomes, and status at discharge. We also collected aggregate data on the weekly number of live births and pregnancy-related admissions from each hospital’s health information system to calculate the magnitude endpoints. Both hospitals use the same MSF maternal health information system including standardized PAC medical records, variable definitions, and monitoring systems. Quality assurance procedures were implemented to ensure the collection of high-quality data. In summary, all standardized data collection tools, and procedures were piloted and revised. Standardized detailed definitions of each severity criteria and types of complications were used to collect consistent and comparable data in both study sites (see definitions in Table 1, Additional file 3 and Table 4). The full details of our quality assurance process can be found in Additional file 2. The study staff received an initial 2-weeks training and refresher trainings when participant inclusion was stopped and restarted due to COVID-19. Tracking of eligible women was done twice a day by the two different study clinicians to ensure that no eligible women were missed. They also checked all collected data against the corresponding medical record on site twice. The physicians on the central study team (CF, EP, HC, OO) performed additional monitoring and supervision remotely and on site especially on the data needed to diagnose types of complications and assign severity classifications to ensure comparability across study sites. Any identified data inconsistencies were corrected. WHO-MCS-A severity classification of abortion complications [18] and adaptations to reflect the Sub-Saharan Africa healthcare context • abnormal physical examination findings on initial assessment (vital signs, appearance, mental status, abdominal examination, gynaecological examination) • severe bleeding, • abdominal syndrome, • and/or uterine infection • severe systemic infection, • uterine perforation • and/or severe haemorrhage Same with these adaptations: • severe haemorrhage: o adding a threshold for systolic blood pressure < 100 mmHg o adding bleeding + Hb  1 L OR blood loss with  systolic blood pressure < 100 mmHg or requiring 1 unit of blood transfusion or with  hemoglobin  38.5 °C AND abdominal guarding, rebound +/− ileus) and severe systemic infections (temperature > 38 °C AND suspected or confirmed infection AND at least one of the following: 1) new/worsened altered mentation. 2) respiratory rate ≥ 22/Min. 3) rystolic blood pressure ≤100 mmHg) cTrauma/perforation includes evidence of cervix/vaginal mechanical injury at clinical examination, uterine perforation or other intra-abdominal perforation confirmed at laparotomy dSevere bleeding/hemorrhage reported before presentation to the hospital and/or diagnosed during admission until discharge eThe threshold for anemia and severe anemia is defined according to WHO recommendations [59] fThe near-miss risk is the number of near-miss cases among the total number of cases of each type of abortion complications or underlying conditions gCFR: the Case Fatality Risk is the number of deaths among the total number of cases of each type of abortion complications or underlying conditions hMissing values < 2% i 4% < missing values < 10% The magnitude of abortion-related complications was estimated using two indicators: the number of abortion-related admissions per 100 pregnancy-related admissions and per 1000 live births. Pregnancy- or abortion-related admissions were defined as all women who presented to the hospital for a pregnancy- or abortion-related reason respectively and for whom a medical record was opened. Based on clinical, laboratory and management-based indicators identified at presentation or during hospitalization, the severity of abortion-related complications was classified into four mutually exclusive categories of progressively higher severity in line with the WHO-MCS-A classification [18]: mild complications, moderate complications, potentially life-threatening complications (PLTCs), and severe maternal outcomes (SMO). Women were classified into the highest level of severity for which they met the criteria. SMOs include near-miss cases and deaths (based on woman’s status at discharge). An abortion-related near-miss case is a woman who nearly died but survived a life-threatening complication that occurred during a spontaneous or induced abortion or within 42 days of the end of the pregnancy [52, 53]. It was defined using the 25 WHO near-miss criteria [52]. PLTCs and SMOs constituted “severe complications”. For the primary estimates generated from our analysis, some adaptations were made to the WHO-MCS-A classifications to calculate estimates reflecting the Sub-Saharan Africa healthcare context. The WHO-MCS-A classification with these adaptations is called the “Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) adapted WHO-MCS-A classification” for the rest of the paper. To classify a woman in the SMO category, we used a cut-off of two or more units of blood transfused instead of five for the hematologic/coagulation dysfunction criteria as recommended by Tura et al. [54] and other African abortion studies [53, 55]. To classify a woman in the PLTC category, “any bleeding and haemoglobin <4g/dL”, “generalized peritonitis” and “other intra-abdominal perforations” were added to the criteria of PLTC as recommended by other abortion studies [53, 55, 56]. In addition, we noted that no systolic blood pressure (SBP) threshold was indicated in WHO-MCS-A to classify a woman as having severe haemorrhage in the PLTC category. Therefore, we defined hypotension as a SBP < 100 mmHg as per Green et al. [57]. Table ​Table11 summarizes the definitions of each of the four severity categories of the original WHO-MCS-A [18] and the adaptations made in this study. We calculated the facility-based abortion-related mortality ratio, near-miss ratio, and mortality index for each facility as defined in the WHO near-miss approach guidelines [58]. Sensitivity analysis was conducted to compare our frequency distributions across the four severity categories, the facility-based near-miss ratio and mortality index with the WHO-MCS-A’s results using the original WHO-MCS-A criteria [18]. For each type/underlying condition of abortion complication reported (hemorrhage, infection, traumatism/perforation, anemia), the near-miss risk and the case fatality risk (CFR) were computed. The near-miss risk is the number of near-miss cases per 100 cases of each abortion complication type/underlying condition. And the CFR is the number of deaths per 100 cases of each complication type/underlying condition. Gestational age at presentation was categorized as first trimester (fewer than 13 weeks), second trimester (13 weeks or more) and was estimated from weeks of gestation using the ultra-sound assessment as the reference assessment method. For those missing this information, we used the last menstrual period date or, if missing, the uterine size assessed by the provider, or if missing, the provider’s estimation of gestational age. Marital status was categorized as currently married or in union (married/living with a partner) or not (single/separated/divorced/widowed). We performed descriptive analysis using Stata 16.0 software (College Station, Texas, USA). Sociodemographic, reproductive, obstetrics characteristics of the sample as well as the percentage of women in each severity category, the mortality, near-miss and magnitude indicators were described using summary statistics. We calculated 95% confidence interval (95% CI) using exact methods. In each study hospital, a local steering committee involving members from the Ministries of Health and Social Affairs, local researchers, local administrative and religious leaders as well as women’s and civil society organizations participated in the study conduct oversee, interpretation of the results, and dissemination of the findings.

Based on the information provided, here are some potential innovations that could improve access to maternal health:

1. Telemedicine: Implementing telemedicine services can provide remote access to healthcare professionals, allowing pregnant women in fragile and conflict-affected settings to receive medical advice, consultations, and follow-up care without having to travel long distances.

2. Mobile health (mHealth) applications: Developing mobile applications that provide information and resources on maternal health, including prenatal care, nutrition, and post-abortion care, can help educate and empower women in these settings to make informed decisions about their health.

3. Community health workers: Training and deploying community health workers who are equipped with the necessary knowledge and skills to provide basic maternal healthcare services can help bridge the gap in access to healthcare facilities in remote and conflict-affected areas.

4. Emergency transportation systems: Establishing efficient emergency transportation systems, such as ambulances or motorcycle taxis, can ensure that pregnant women with complications can quickly and safely reach healthcare facilities for timely medical intervention.

5. Strengthening healthcare infrastructure: Investing in the improvement and expansion of healthcare facilities, particularly in fragile and conflict-affected settings, can enhance the availability and quality of maternal healthcare services, including comprehensive emergency obstetric care.

6. Access to contraception: Increasing access to a wide range of contraceptive methods, including long-acting reversible contraceptives, can help prevent unintended pregnancies and reduce the need for unsafe abortions, thereby improving maternal health outcomes.

7. Addressing food insecurity: Implementing programs that address food insecurity and provide nutritional support to pregnant women can help reduce the risk of anemia and other complications associated with malnutrition, ultimately improving maternal health.

8. Capacity building and training: Providing comprehensive training and capacity building programs for healthcare providers in fragile and conflict-affected settings can enhance their skills and knowledge in managing maternal health complications, ensuring better quality care for pregnant women.

It is important to note that these recommendations are general and may need to be adapted to the specific context and challenges faced in each setting.
AI Innovations Description
Based on the information provided, here is a recommendation that can be developed into an innovation to improve access to maternal health:

1. Strengthen Post-Abortion Care Services: Given the high severity of abortion-related complications in fragile and conflict-affected settings, it is crucial to improve access to post-abortion care services. This can be achieved by:

– Increasing the availability and accessibility of comprehensive emergency obstetric care in referral hospitals.
– Ensuring that healthcare providers are trained in providing high-quality post-abortion care, including the management of severe bleeding/hemorrhage and infection.
– Implementing protocols and guidelines for the timely and appropriate management of abortion-related complications.
– Improving the availability of essential supplies and medications for post-abortion care, such as blood transfusion and antibiotics.
– Enhancing the capacity of healthcare facilities to provide safe and legal abortion services, in accordance with national laws and guidelines.

2. Enhance Access to Contraception: To prevent unintended pregnancies and reduce the need for unsafe abortions, it is essential to improve access to contraception in fragile and conflict-affected settings. This can be achieved by:

– Increasing the availability and affordability of a wide range of contraceptive methods, including long-acting reversible contraceptives (LARCs) and emergency contraception.
– Providing comprehensive family planning services, including counseling, education, and follow-up care.
– Addressing cultural and social barriers to contraceptive use through community engagement and awareness campaigns.
– Strengthening the capacity of healthcare providers to offer contraceptive services and counseling.

3. Address Food Insecurity and Anemia: The study highlights the link between increased food insecurity, iron-deficiencies, and chronic anemia with the severity of abortion-related complications. To address this issue, the following strategies can be implemented:

– Implementing nutrition programs and interventions to improve the nutritional status of women in fragile and conflict-affected settings.
– Promoting the consumption of iron-rich foods and providing iron supplementation to pregnant women and women of reproductive age.
– Strengthening antenatal care services to include regular screening and management of anemia.
– Collaborating with relevant stakeholders, including government agencies, non-governmental organizations, and community-based organizations, to address food insecurity and improve access to nutritious food.

Overall, improving access to safe abortion care, contraception, and high-quality post-abortion care services, as well as addressing food insecurity and anemia, are key recommendations to enhance maternal health in fragile and conflict-affected settings. These recommendations can be developed into innovative programs and interventions that prioritize the needs of women in these challenging contexts.
AI Innovations Methodology
Based on the information provided, here are some potential recommendations to improve access to maternal health:

1. Strengthen post-abortion care services: Enhance the availability and quality of post-abortion care services in fragile and conflict-affected settings. This includes ensuring access to skilled healthcare providers, necessary medical supplies and equipment, and comprehensive emergency obstetric care.

2. Increase access to safe abortion care: Improve access to safe and legal abortion services to prevent unsafe abortions and reduce the severity of abortion-related complications. This can be achieved through the implementation of national safe abortion care guidelines, training for healthcare providers, and increasing awareness about safe abortion options.

3. Expand access to contraception: Increase availability and accessibility of contraceptive methods to prevent unintended pregnancies and reduce the need for abortions. This can be done through the provision of family planning services, education about contraceptive options, and addressing cultural and social barriers to contraceptive use.

4. Address food insecurity and anemia: Address underlying factors such as food insecurity and anemia that contribute to the severity of abortion-related complications. This can be achieved through interventions that improve nutrition, access to iron supplements, and overall healthcare services in fragile and conflict-affected settings.

To simulate the impact of these recommendations on improving access to maternal health, a methodology could be developed using a combination of quantitative and qualitative approaches. Here is a brief outline of a possible methodology:

1. Data collection: Collect data on the current state of access to maternal health services, including information on the availability and quality of post-abortion care, safe abortion care, contraception, and healthcare infrastructure in fragile and conflict-affected settings. This can be done through surveys, interviews, and analysis of existing data sources.

2. Modeling and simulation: Develop a mathematical model or simulation tool that incorporates the collected data and simulates the impact of the recommended interventions on improving access to maternal health. This could involve estimating the potential increase in the number of women accessing post-abortion care, safe abortion care, and contraception, as well as the potential reduction in the severity of abortion-related complications.

3. Sensitivity analysis: Conduct sensitivity analysis to assess the robustness of the model and explore different scenarios and assumptions. This can help identify key factors and variables that have the greatest impact on improving access to maternal health and inform decision-making.

4. Evaluation and validation: Validate the model and simulation results by comparing them with real-world data and outcomes. This can involve conducting pilot interventions or case studies to assess the feasibility and effectiveness of the recommended interventions in improving access to maternal health.

5. Policy and program recommendations: Based on the simulation results and evaluation findings, develop policy and program recommendations for improving access to maternal health in fragile and conflict-affected settings. These recommendations should be evidence-based and consider the unique challenges and context of these settings.

6. Implementation and monitoring: Implement the recommended interventions and closely monitor their implementation and impact on improving access to maternal health. Regular monitoring and evaluation should be conducted to assess the progress and make necessary adjustments to ensure the desired outcomes are achieved.

By following this methodology, policymakers and healthcare providers can make informed decisions and take targeted actions to improve access to maternal health in fragile and conflict-affected settings.

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