Prevalence and predictors for unintended pregnancy among HIV-infected pregnant women in Lira, Northern Uganda: a cross-sectional study

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Study Justification:
– Prevention of unintended pregnancies is a global strategy to eliminate mother-to-child transmission of HIV.
– Factors surrounding unintended pregnancy among women living with HIV are not well understood.
– The study aimed to determine the prevalence and predictors for unintended pregnancy among HIV-infected pregnant women in Northern Uganda.
Highlights:
– Prevalence of unintended pregnancy among HIV-infected pregnant women in Lira, Northern Uganda was found to be 41.1%.
– Predictors for unintended pregnancy were being single, having five or more children, and taking antiretroviral drugs for long periods of time.
– HIV counselling services should target women living with HIV who are not in a marital union, those having a higher parity, and those who have taken ART for longer periods.
Recommendations:
– HIV counselling services should focus on providing support and education to women living with HIV who are not in a marital union, those with higher parity, and those on long-term antiretroviral therapy.
– Efforts should be made to increase access to and use of contraception among HIV-infected women to reduce the risk of unintended pregnancies.
Key Role Players:
– HIV treatment, care, and support program for pregnant women at the Prevention of Mother-to-Child Transmission (PMTCT) clinic
– Lira Regional Referral Hospital (LRRH)
– Makerere University School of Medicine Research and Ethics Committee
– Norwegian Regional Committee for Medical and Health Research Ethics in the West
– Uganda National Council for Science and Technology
– Lira district health officer
– LRRH director
– Counsellors working within the PMTCT clinic
Cost Items for Planning Recommendations:
– Training and capacity building for healthcare providers on HIV counselling services
– Contraceptive supplies and distribution
– Outreach and education programs for women living with HIV
– Monitoring and evaluation of the effectiveness of interventions
– Research and data analysis to inform future interventions

The strength of evidence for this abstract is 7 out of 10.
The evidence in the abstract is based on a cross-sectional study design, which provides moderate strength of evidence. The study used a structured questionnaire to collect data from 518 HIV-infected pregnant women in Northern Uganda. The prevalence and predictors for unintended pregnancy were determined using multivariable logistic regression. The study provides valuable insights into the factors surrounding unintended pregnancy among women living with HIV. To improve the strength of evidence, future studies could consider using a longitudinal design to establish causality and conducting a larger sample size to increase statistical power.

Prevention of unintended pregnancies is a global strategy to eliminate mother-to-child transmission of HIV. Factors surrounding unintended pregnancy among women living with HIV are not well understood. We aimed to determine the prevalence and predictors for unintended pregnancy among these women in Northern Uganda. We conducted a cross-sectional survey among 518 women using a structured questionnaire. We asked questions on socio-demographic, reproductive-related and HIV-related characteristics. We conducted multivariable logistic regression and reported adjusted odds ratios. The prevalence of unintended pregnancy was 41.1%. The predictors for unintended pregnancy were: being single (not living with a partner or being in a marital union), having five or more children and taking antiretroviral drugs for long periods of time. HIV counselling services should target women living with HIV who are not in a marital union, those having a higher parity and those who have taken ART for longer periods.

We conducted a cross-sectional study among HIV infected pregnant women between August 2018 and July, 2019. The exposures of interest were potential predictors which included socio-demographic, reproductive-related and HIV-related factors. The outcome of interest was unintended pregnancy. We calculated a sample size for detecting a difference between two independent proportions using Stata version 14.0 (StataCorp; College Station, TX, USA). We utilized the statistics, power and sample-size functions. Using the population parameter method with the test of comparing two independent means (0.576 vs. 0.315), we assumed 80% power, 95% confidence interval (CI) and 5% precision. We also assumed that 57.6% of WLH were not in a marital union33 and that 31.5% of HIV infected women were married24. On running this calculation in the statistical software, we arrived at a sample size of 464. We adjusted the sample size to 516 after accounting for a 10% non-response. We however, included 518 HIV positive pregnant women who were receiving antenatal care at Lira Regional Referral Hospital (LRRH). LRRH serves all the 8 districts of the Lango subregion in Northern Uganda. It is a government-owned health facility at tertiary level that offers health services including maternal and child health services like HIV care, antenatal care and delivery. These services are at no cost to the patients. LRRH also has an annual outpatient attendance of almost 100,000 patients, annual antenatal care attendance of about 5,000 women and conducts approximately 6–7,000 deliveries annually. HIV infected women were identified, consented and recruited consecutively through the existing Ugandan HIV treatment, care and support program for pregnant women at the PMTCT clinic located within LRRH. Women were eligible for participation if they were: 20 weeks pregnant or more, newly tested for HIV or already established in ART care. Those who were severely ill at the time of recruitment were excluded from the study and referred to appropriate care services. The interviews were conducted in Lango (the main language spoken in the study setting) or English by trained study staff. Interviews consisted of socio-demographic related, reproductive-related and HIV-related information. All measures were translated into Lango and back-translated into English to ensure accuracy and minimise interpretation bias. All procedures of the study were performed in accordance with the guidelines and regulations pertaining to all relevant approving bodies. Unintended pregnancy, the main outcome of the study, was defined in any of the following ways: a pregnancy that occurred when no more children were desired or one that occurred earlier than it was desired or one that occurred when the woman did not desire to become pregnant. We adapted questions from the London Measure of Unplanned Pregnancy, a psychometrically validated measure of the degree of intention of a current or recent pregnancy. Women were asked if the pregnancy came ‘earlier than expected’, ‘later than expected’, ‘when expected’ or ‘not desired at all’. Women who had their pregnancy at the ‘time desired’ or ‘later than expected’ were combined, labelled as the ‘intended’ category and coded 0. Women with an ‘earlier than desired’ or ‘unwanted pregnancy’ were combined into a single group, labelled “unintended pregnancy” and coded 1. Contraceptive use, was defined as any contraceptive method used in the 6 months preceding the pregnancy at the time. Unmet need for contraception was defined as those women who experienced unintended pregnancy and did not use any form of contraception 6 months prior to the pregnancy. Marital status was categorised into married and single. Those who were married or cohabiting were combined into one group, labelled “married” and coded 1. Those who were separated, divorced, widowed or not married were combined into one group, labelled “single” and coded 2. Women who had been pregnant for four or less times including miscarriages, abortions and the pregnancy at the time of the interview were collectively categorised and coded 1 for the variable “parity”, else were coded 2. Duration on treatment was categorised as “< 6 months”, “7–30 months”, “31–119 months” and “≥ 120 months”. Duration on ART of ≥ 120 months (10 years) was referred to as long-term ART use34,35 for comparability purposes. We created a composite index of wealth (socio-economic status) using principle component analysis (PCA). Because the PCA technique allows combination and ranking of a number of variables into smaller and fewer variables without prejudgment, it is considered a more accurate indicator of socioeconomic status than single items such as occupation or possession of particular items36. We used PCA on house ownership, availability of electricity in the house, source of drinking water and fuel used for cooking. Scores were obtained and categorized into four groups (quartiles) ranging from the poorest to the least poor. Data were entered into EpiData software (www.epidata.dk, version 4.4.3.1) by two independent data entrants and exported for analysis into Stata version 14.0 (StataCorp, College Station, Texas, U.S.A.). Continuous data, if normally distributed, was summarised into means and standard deviations and if skewed, was summarised into medians with their corresponding interquartile ranges. Categorical variables were summarised into frequencies and percentages. The proportion of HIV infected women with unintended pregnancies was estimated and its confidence limits calculated using the exact method. We used multivariable generalized linear model regression analysis with a logit link to estimate the adjusted odds ratios of the independent variables on unintended pregnancy while controlling for confounding. All variables with p < 0.25 at the bivariate level were included in the initial model at the multivariate analysis. All variables with p < 0.1 and those of biological or epidemiologic plausibility (from previous studies) were included in the second model. We checked for confounding by calculating the percentage change in each effect measure by removing or introducing one variable at a time into the second model. If a variable caused more than 10% change in any effect measure, then it was considered a confounder. Using the Likelihood-ratio test, we found that the first and second models were not significantly different. Therefore we adopted the second model as our final model. We used the visual inspection factor to check for collinearity among all the variables that were included in the initial model. Approval to conduct the study was granted by the Makerere University School of Medicine Research and Ethics Committee, the Norwegian Regional Committee for Medical and Health Research Ethics in the West, and the Uganda National Council for Science and Technology. Meetings were held with the Lira district health officer and LRRH director to grant administrative clearance to conduct the study. Additional meetings were held with the counsellors who work within the PMTCT clinic to introduce to them the study and its procedures and to request them to identify, mobilise and link willing participants with the research team. All participants provided written informed consent confirming their voluntary participation in the study. Those that declined participation were not penalised or denied standard health care. Confidentiality and privacy of all data collected was observed during the course of the study through restricted access.

Based on the provided information, here are some potential innovations that could be used to improve access to maternal health:

1. Mobile Health (mHealth) Applications: Develop and implement mobile applications that provide information and support to pregnant women, including reminders for antenatal care appointments, medication adherence, and access to educational resources.

2. Telemedicine Services: Establish telemedicine services that allow pregnant women in remote areas to consult with healthcare providers through video calls, reducing the need for travel and improving access to medical advice and support.

3. Community Health Workers: Train and deploy community health workers who can provide basic antenatal care services, education, and support to pregnant women in underserved areas, bridging the gap between communities and formal healthcare systems.

4. Transportation Support: Implement transportation programs that provide affordable or subsidized transportation for pregnant women to access healthcare facilities for antenatal care, delivery, and postnatal care.

5. Maternal Health Vouchers: Introduce voucher programs that provide pregnant women with financial assistance to cover the costs of antenatal care, delivery, and postnatal care services, ensuring that financial barriers do not prevent access to essential maternal health services.

6. Maternal Health Education Campaigns: Conduct targeted education campaigns to raise awareness about the importance of antenatal care, family planning, and HIV prevention among pregnant women, their families, and communities.

7. Integration of Services: Improve coordination and integration of maternal health services with HIV care and treatment programs, ensuring that pregnant women living with HIV receive comprehensive care and support.

8. Quality Improvement Initiatives: Implement quality improvement initiatives in healthcare facilities to enhance the provision of maternal health services, including infection prevention measures, respectful maternity care, and adherence to evidence-based practices.

9. Strengthening Health Systems: Invest in strengthening healthcare systems, including infrastructure, staffing, and supply chain management, to ensure that healthcare facilities are equipped to provide high-quality maternal health services.

10. Research and Data Collection: Conduct further research and data collection to better understand the factors influencing unintended pregnancies among women living with HIV, and use this information to inform targeted interventions and policies.

It is important to note that these recommendations are general and may need to be adapted to the specific context and needs of the population in Northern Uganda.
AI Innovations Description
Based on the description provided, the following recommendation can be developed into an innovation to improve access to maternal health:

1. Targeted HIV counseling services: The study found that women living with HIV who were not in a marital union, those with higher parity (having five or more children), and those who had taken antiretroviral drugs for long periods of time were more likely to have unintended pregnancies. To address this, innovative approaches can be developed to provide targeted HIV counseling services specifically tailored to the needs of these women. This can include providing comprehensive information on family planning methods, emphasizing the importance of consistent and correct contraceptive use, and addressing any misconceptions or barriers to accessing contraception.

2. Integration of maternal health and HIV services: The study was conducted at a regional referral hospital that offers maternal and child health services, including HIV care. To improve access to maternal health for women living with HIV, there can be further integration of these services. This can involve ensuring that HIV testing and counseling, antiretroviral therapy, and family planning services are readily available and easily accessible within the same facility. This integration can help streamline care and improve coordination between different healthcare providers, ultimately leading to better maternal health outcomes.

3. Community-based interventions: To reach women who may not be accessing healthcare services regularly, community-based interventions can be developed. This can involve training community health workers or peer educators to provide information and support on maternal health and family planning to women living with HIV. These interventions can include home visits, group discussions, or community events to raise awareness, address concerns, and provide access to necessary services. By bringing healthcare services closer to the community, this innovation can help overcome barriers such as distance, transportation, and stigma.

4. Empowerment and education: The study identified factors such as marital status and parity as predictors for unintended pregnancy among women living with HIV. To address these factors, innovative approaches can be developed to empower women with knowledge and skills to make informed decisions about their reproductive health. This can include providing comprehensive sexuality education, promoting gender equality, and offering support for family planning decision-making. By empowering women and promoting their agency in reproductive health choices, this innovation can contribute to reducing unintended pregnancies and improving maternal health outcomes.

It is important to note that these recommendations are based on the specific findings of the study mentioned and may need to be adapted to the local context and resources available. Additionally, further research and evaluation may be needed to assess the effectiveness and feasibility of these innovations in improving access to maternal health for women living with HIV.
AI Innovations Methodology
Based on the provided description, here are some potential recommendations to improve access to maternal health for HIV-infected pregnant women in Lira, Northern Uganda:

1. Strengthen HIV counseling services: Focus on providing comprehensive counseling services specifically tailored to the needs of HIV-infected pregnant women. This should include information on family planning, contraception, and the prevention of unintended pregnancies.

2. Increase availability and accessibility of contraceptives: Ensure that a wide range of contraceptive methods are readily available and accessible to HIV-infected pregnant women. This can be achieved by improving the supply chain management system, training healthcare providers on contraceptive counseling, and addressing any cultural or social barriers that may hinder contraceptive use.

3. Enhance community awareness and education: Conduct community-based awareness campaigns to educate both men and women about the importance of family planning and the prevention of unintended pregnancies. This can be done through community meetings, radio programs, and the use of local influencers.

4. Strengthen collaboration between HIV and maternal health services: Improve coordination and collaboration between HIV treatment and care programs and maternal health services. This can be achieved by integrating HIV services into antenatal care clinics and ensuring that healthcare providers are trained to provide comprehensive care to HIV-infected pregnant women.

To simulate the impact of these recommendations on improving access to maternal health, a methodology could be developed as follows:

1. Define the indicators: Identify specific indicators that will measure the impact of the recommendations, such as the percentage of HIV-infected pregnant women using contraceptives, the rate of unintended pregnancies among this population, and the level of satisfaction with HIV counseling services.

2. Collect baseline data: Gather baseline data on the current status of access to maternal health for HIV-infected pregnant women in Lira, Northern Uganda. This can be done through surveys, interviews, and data analysis of existing health records.

3. Develop a simulation model: Create a simulation model that incorporates the identified indicators and factors that influence access to maternal health. This model should consider variables such as the availability of contraceptives, the quality of counseling services, and the level of community awareness.

4. Input data and run simulations: Input the baseline data into the simulation model and run multiple simulations to assess the potential impact of the recommendations. This can involve adjusting variables such as the availability of contraceptives, the reach of community awareness campaigns, and the quality of counseling services.

5. Analyze results: Analyze the results of the simulations to determine the potential impact of the recommendations on improving access to maternal health. This can include assessing changes in the indicators and identifying any potential challenges or limitations.

6. Refine and validate the model: Refine the simulation model based on the analysis of the results and validate it using additional data or expert input. This will ensure that the model accurately represents the real-world context and can provide reliable predictions.

7. Communicate findings and recommendations: Present the findings of the simulation study, including the potential impact of the recommendations, to relevant stakeholders such as policymakers, healthcare providers, and community leaders. This can help guide decision-making and resource allocation to improve access to maternal health for HIV-infected pregnant women.

It is important to note that the methodology for simulating the impact of recommendations may vary depending on the specific context and available data. The above steps provide a general framework that can be adapted and customized accordingly.

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