Geographical accessibility in assessing bypassing behaviour for inpatient neonatal care, Bungoma County-Kenya

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Study Justification:
– Neonatal mortality rate in Kenya is unacceptably high.
– Inequality in access to care and quality care are barriers to reducing newborn deaths.
– Bypassing behavior and geographical access contribute to delays in seeking newborn care.
– This study aims to measure geographical accessibility of inpatient newborn care and characterize bypassing behavior.
Highlights:
– Approximately 90% of sick newborns have access to the nearest newborn units within 2 hours.
– 36% of mothers bypassed their nearest inpatient newborn facility.
– Lack of diagnostic services (28%) and distrust of health personnel (37%) were major determinants for bypassing.
– 75% of care seekers preferred higher tier facilities for maternal and neonatal care.
– Sub-county inpatient newborn facilities have a high risk of being bypassed.
Recommendations:
– Improve the quality of care in maternal care to reduce bypassing behavior and improve neonatal outcomes.
– Address the lack of diagnostic services and distrust of health personnel to encourage utilization of nearest facilities.
– Promote the utilization of sub-county facilities for maternal and neonatal care.
Key Role Players:
– Ministry of Health, Bungoma County
– County Assembly Members
– Health Facility Administrators
– Health Workers
– Community Health Workers
– Non-Governmental Organizations (NGOs) working in maternal and neonatal health
Cost Items for Planning Recommendations:
– Training and capacity building for health workers
– Equipment and supplies for diagnostic services
– Community awareness and education campaigns
– Infrastructure improvements in sub-county facilities
– Monitoring and evaluation activities
– Research and data collection
– Coordination and collaboration with stakeholders

The strength of evidence for this abstract is 7 out of 10.
The evidence in the abstract is relatively strong, but there are some areas for improvement. The study provides detailed information on the methodology, data collection, and analysis. The findings are supported by data from 8 inpatient newborn units and interviews with 395 mothers. However, the abstract could be improved by providing more specific details on the statistical analysis and results. Additionally, it would be helpful to include information on the limitations of the study and potential implications for improving neonatal care in Bungoma County.

Background: Neonatal mortality rate in Kenya continues to be unacceptably high. In reducing newborn deaths, inequality in access to care and quality care have been identified as current barriers. Contributing to these barriers are the bypassing behaviour and geographical access which leads to delay in seeking newborn care. This study (i) measured geographical accessibility of inpatient newborn care, and (ii), characterized bypassing behaviour using the geographical accessibility of the inpatient newborn care seekers. Methods: Geographical accessibility to the inpatient newborn units was modelled based on travel time to the units across Bungoma County. Data was then collected from 8 inpatient newborn units and 395 mothers whose newborns were admitted in the units were interviewed. Their spatial residence locations were geo-referenced and were used against the modelled travel time to define bypassing behaviour. Results: Approximately 90% of the sick newborn population have access to nearest newborn units (< 2 h). However, 36% of the mothers bypassed their nearest inpatient newborn facility, with lack of diagnostic services (28%) and distrust of health personnel (37%) being the major determinants for bypassing. Approximately 75% of the care seekers preferred to use the higher tier facilities for both maternal and neonatal care in comparison to sub-county facilities which mostly were bypassed and remained underutilised. Conclusion: Our findings suggest that though majority of the population have access to care, sub-county inpatient newborn facilities have high risk of being bypassed. There is need to improve quality of care in maternal care, to reduce bypassing behaviour and improving neonatal outcome.

Bungoma County (coordinates 0.4213°N to 1.1477° N along the latitude and 34.3627° E to 35.0677° E along the longitude) is located in the western region of Kenya, bordering Uganda and covering an area of approximately 2069 km2. The County is administratively divided into nine sub-counties namely Bumula, Kanduyi, Sirisia, Kabuchai, Kimilili, Tongaren, Webuye East, Webuye West and Mt. Elgon. The sub-counties are divided further into forty five county assembly wards, with the county headquarters based in Bungoma town, Kanduyi sub-county (Fig. 1). Bungoma sub counties and the eight newborn units used in the study Bungoma County had an estimated population of 1.7 million in 2017 based on the 2009 National Population Census [30]. The county was purposely selected because of its high NMR of 32 per 1000 live births which is 45% above the national NMR of 22 per 1000 live births [5]. The county is served by 184 health facilities: 12 hospitals, 17 health centres, 102 dispensaries, and 52 clinics [31]. The hospitals are categorised into level IV and level V categories, with level IV facilities being sub-county hospitals which offer basic services and level V facilities representing county level facilities which offer comprehensive services. The health centres, dispensaries and clinics are categorized into lower levels in the health system hierarchy; level III, II and I respectively [32]. In an effort to reduce the high neonatal mortality in the county, eight public hospitals were selected to handle inpatient newborn incidences, the facilities included two county level facilities; Bungoma and Webuye hospitals and six sub-county level hospitals namely; Kimilili, Chwele, Bumula, Mt. Elgon, Naitiri and Sirisia (Fig. ​(Fig.1).1). In these facilities, newborn units (NBUs) were recently renovated, equipped with diagnostic equipment, and their health workers trained on newborn care [33]. Newborn units geographic data: The geographic coordinates of the eight selected inpatient newborn units were obtained from Google Earth [34] and existing public hospitals database [35]. The road network of Bungoma county was assembled from OpenStreetMaps (OSM, 2018), then classified into primary, secondary, county and rural roads [36]. Each road segment was assigned a specific travel time based on the speed limit dependent on the road class, from a study over western Kenya [37] and Kenya National Highway Authority [38]. Land cover map was obtained from Kenya Ministry of Environment [39] at 30 m spatial resolution and was used to demarcate the land use and landcover classification. The land cover had five major classes; forestland, grassland, cropland, wetland and bare land. A digital elevation model (DEM) was obtained from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) [40] at a spatial resolution of 30 m. Lastly, a gridded surface of live births population of Kenya at 1 km spatial resolution from WorldPop database [41] was resampled to 30 m spatial resolution and used for this analysis. This gridded surface was developed from an integration of land cover data, census data and household survey data using dasymetric techniques. A detailed description of this live births layer is provided in Tatem et al. [42] and WorldPop database [41]. To estimate the inpatient newborn population, the live births population was multiplied by an estimated constant rate of burden of newborn (183/1000) who require inpatient from prior studies [43]. A cross sectional inpatient newborn unit survey was conducted in the eight selected inpatient newborn facilities between May 2018 and August 2018.The purpose of the survey was to identify the care seekers hospital of admission, care seekers awareness on the nearest inpatient newborn units and the bypassing determinants. It is approximated that there are 29,645 births annually in Bungoma County [5], however, only 21% of the newborn are born with complications requiring inpatient newborn services [33], giving a population of 6268 neonates. To estimate the sample population needed for the study, a statistical method for calculating sample population was used (Eqn1 and Eq. 2), having an allowable margin of error of 5% at a confidence interval of 95%. Where Za/2 is the critical value of a normal distribution at a/2 (for a confidence level of 95% critical value is 1.96), MOE is the margin of error, p is sample proportion (50% being a default value) and N is the sample population. The sample size was estimated to be 363. All mothers whose newborn were admitted in the selected NBUs during the survey period were approached for participation until the sample size was reached. The primary question in the survey was “Is this the nearest inpatient neonatal facility to your home?” Other independent variables used in the study were selected based on existing literature regarding their influence in bypassing behaviour on childbirth and newborn care. They included maternal age, maternal education level, occupation, and marital status, mode of transport and household assets. The name of the nearest school and village of residence of the care seeker were also required. See Additional file 1: appendix 1 for the sample questionnaire. We collected the data from the care seekers (mothers) using a structured interviewer questionnaire. The questionnaire was designed in the English language but administered to the respondent either in English or translated to Kiswahili based on care seeker preference. Care seekers (mothers), in the newborn wards, whose newborns had been admitted in the inpatient NBU during this period were eligible to participate in the survey. The ethical approval was granted by the Ethical Review Committee of Mount Kenya University. Subsequent permissions were sought from the Bungoma County Ministry of Health. A written consent was obtained from the care seekers involved in the study after they were informed on the objectives of the study. For mothers who were underage (< 18 years), assent was sought from their guardians to participate in the survey. Participation was on a voluntary basis, and participants were informed of their right to withdraw their participation at any time if and when they desired. A number of techniques have been developed to measure access to healthcare namely: gravity model [44], population provider ratio, travel time model [45] and network analysis [46]. Compared to the other methods, travel time model has been credited to be the most efficient in SSA [47, 48] and also recommended by WHO as it represents the near real world reality in accessing care [49]. Travel time model was selected as it captures and integrate corrections due to different land cover surface and terrain [28, 29, 50], it reflects most probable decision care seekers make, is intuitive and comparable across different countries [29, 51]. A geographical accessibility surface was generated using AccessMod version 5 software [52] this surface reflected the least accumulative distance or path to the nearest inpatient newborn unit [53]. In creating this surface, an initial surface impedance was created by combining data on the road network, land cover data and elevation. These surfaces were rasterized and merged into a single raster layer where travel speed was assigned to each cell at a spatial resolution of 30 m. The travel speeds for each surface and the mode of transport was assigned based on prior studies [37]. Forested areas and wetlands were assigned higher impedance values with low travel speed of 0.01 km/hr. as they acted as barriers, while low impedance values were assigned to the road networks which have high travel speed as shown in Table 1. Travel speed assigned to different land surfaces and their respective mode of transportation The DEM was used to generate slope which was used to calculate different walking and cycling speeds for each degree rise based on Toblers’s equation (Eq. 3) [54]. Where W, is the speed calculated and S is the slope in degrees. The resulting impedance surface was used in a cost distance analysis to create an overall travel time surface to the newborn facilities. This analysis required two inputs; the selected NBU locations and the impedance surface. The cost distance tool calculated the cumulative geographic “cost”, in units of time, required to transverse from each cell in Bungoma County to the grid cell containing the selected inpatient NBU. The population of sick newborns who require inpatient care was then estimated based on aggregated inpatient newborn population at sub-county level by various travel time 30 min, 1 h and 2 h of an inpatient newborn unit using zonal statistics tool of ArcGIS (ESRI Inc.). The nearest school and village names were used to georeferenced the residence location of the care seekers. The georeferenced data were overlaid on the modelled geographical accessibility surface and travel time from each resident home to the nearest hospital was calculated. If the travel time to the nearest facility was less than the travel time to the facility where the newborn was admitted, the care seeker was classified as a bypasser. The field data were analysed using IBM SPSS Statistics Version 20 (SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL, USA). The characteristics of the mothers were analysed and compared between the bypassers and non-bypassers. Frequencies and percentages were used in analysing categorical data, while the mean and standard deviations were used for continuous data. We conducted a Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to generate wealth index quintiles of the care seekers using their household characteristics namely: source of water, type of sanitation used, source of fuel and source of lighting. Then a bivariate logistic regression analysis was carried out to assess the association between bypassing status and bypassing variables, and the results reported using odd ratios (OR), confidence interval (95% CI) and p-values (α = 0.05).

Based on the provided information, here are some potential innovations that could improve access to maternal health in Bungoma County, Kenya:

1. Mobile Health Clinics: Implementing mobile health clinics that can travel to remote areas of Bungoma County, providing maternal health services and prenatal care to women who may have limited access to healthcare facilities.

2. Telemedicine: Introducing telemedicine services that allow pregnant women to consult with healthcare professionals remotely, reducing the need for travel and improving access to medical advice and support.

3. Community Health Workers: Training and deploying community health workers who can provide basic maternal health services, education, and support to women in their own communities, bridging the gap between healthcare facilities and remote areas.

4. Health Education Programs: Developing and implementing health education programs that focus on maternal health, targeting both women and their families to increase awareness and knowledge about the importance of prenatal care and safe childbirth practices.

5. Transportation Support: Establishing transportation support systems, such as subsidized or free transportation services, to help pregnant women reach healthcare facilities in a timely manner, especially in cases of emergencies or complications.

6. Strengthening Health Facilities: Investing in the improvement and expansion of healthcare facilities in Bungoma County, ensuring that they are well-equipped, staffed with trained healthcare professionals, and able to provide comprehensive maternal health services.

7. Maternal Health Vouchers: Introducing maternal health vouchers that provide financial assistance to pregnant women, enabling them to access prenatal care, delivery services, and postnatal care without financial barriers.

8. Partnerships and Collaborations: Encouraging partnerships and collaborations between government agencies, non-profit organizations, and private sectors to pool resources and expertise, working together to improve access to maternal health services in Bungoma County.

These innovations aim to address the barriers identified in the study, such as geographical accessibility, bypassing behavior, and distrust of health personnel, in order to improve maternal health outcomes and reduce neonatal mortality rates in Bungoma County, Kenya.
AI Innovations Description
Based on the description provided, the recommendation to improve access to maternal health in Bungoma County, Kenya is to address the barriers identified in the study. These barriers include bypassing behavior and geographical access. Here are some potential innovations that can be developed based on the findings:

1. Strengthening diagnostic services: Since lack of diagnostic services was identified as a major determinant for bypassing, improving the availability and quality of diagnostic services in inpatient newborn facilities can help reduce bypassing behavior. This can involve providing necessary equipment, training healthcare workers, and ensuring timely and accurate diagnosis for newborns.

2. Building trust in health personnel: Distrust of health personnel was another significant factor contributing to bypassing. To address this, efforts should be made to improve communication, transparency, and patient-provider relationships. Training healthcare workers in effective communication and empathy can help build trust and confidence in the healthcare system.

3. Enhancing quality of care in maternal and neonatal services: The study found that a majority of care seekers preferred higher tier facilities for both maternal and neonatal care. This suggests that improving the quality of care in sub-county facilities can help reduce bypassing and increase utilization. This can be achieved through training healthcare providers, ensuring availability of essential equipment and supplies, and implementing quality improvement initiatives.

4. Strengthening referral systems: To ensure timely access to appropriate care, it is important to strengthen the referral systems between different levels of healthcare facilities. This can involve improving communication and coordination between facilities, providing clear guidelines for referrals, and ensuring efficient transportation for patients in need of higher-level care.

5. Community engagement and awareness: Increasing awareness among the community about the importance of seeking care at the nearest inpatient newborn facilities can help reduce bypassing behavior. This can be done through community outreach programs, health education campaigns, and involving community leaders and influencers in promoting maternal and neonatal health services.

It is important to note that these recommendations should be tailored to the specific context of Bungoma County and should involve collaboration between healthcare providers, policymakers, and community stakeholders to ensure their successful implementation.
AI Innovations Methodology
Based on the provided information, here are some potential recommendations for improving access to maternal health in Bungoma County, Kenya:

1. Strengthening diagnostic services: Since lack of diagnostic services was identified as a major determinant for bypassing the nearest inpatient newborn facility, it is important to invest in improving and expanding diagnostic services in these facilities. This can include providing necessary equipment, training healthcare workers, and ensuring availability of essential diagnostic tests.

2. Enhancing trust in health personnel: Distrust of health personnel was another significant factor contributing to bypassing behavior. To address this, efforts should be made to improve communication and build trust between healthcare providers and the community. This can be achieved through training programs that focus on patient-centered care, empathy, and effective communication skills.

3. Improving quality of care in maternal and neonatal services: The study found that a majority of care seekers preferred higher tier facilities for both maternal and neonatal care, indicating a need to improve the quality of care in sub-county facilities. This can be done by providing adequate resources, training healthcare providers, and implementing quality improvement initiatives.

4. Promoting utilization of sub-county facilities: Since sub-county facilities were found to be underutilized and bypassed, efforts should be made to promote their utilization. This can be achieved through community awareness campaigns, targeted outreach programs, and ensuring availability of essential services in these facilities.

To simulate the impact of these recommendations on improving access to maternal health, a methodology could be developed as follows:

1. Define indicators: Identify key indicators that reflect access to maternal health, such as the proportion of pregnant women receiving antenatal care, the proportion of deliveries attended by skilled birth attendants, and the neonatal mortality rate.

2. Collect baseline data: Gather data on the current status of these indicators in Bungoma County. This can be done through surveys, interviews, and analysis of existing health records.

3. Develop a simulation model: Create a simulation model that incorporates the recommended interventions and their potential impact on the identified indicators. This model should consider factors such as population distribution, healthcare infrastructure, and healthcare-seeking behavior.

4. Input data and run simulations: Input the baseline data into the simulation model and run multiple simulations to assess the potential impact of the recommendations. This can involve adjusting parameters related to diagnostic services, trust in health personnel, quality of care, and utilization of sub-county facilities.

5. Analyze results: Analyze the results of the simulations to determine the potential improvements in access to maternal health. This can include quantifying changes in the identified indicators and assessing the overall impact of the recommendations.

6. Refine and validate the model: Refine the simulation model based on the analysis of results and validate it using additional data or expert input. This will help ensure the accuracy and reliability of the simulation.

7. Communicate findings and make recommendations: Present the findings of the simulation study, including the potential impact of the recommendations on improving access to maternal health. Use these findings to make evidence-based recommendations for policy and programmatic interventions.

By following this methodology, policymakers and healthcare providers can gain insights into the potential impact of different interventions and make informed decisions to improve access to maternal health in Bungoma County.

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