Measles second dose vaccine utilization and associated factors among children aged 24–35 months in Sub-Saharan Africa, a multi-level analysis from recent DHS surveys

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Study Justification:
– Measles remains a significant cause of mortality and morbidity among young children in Sub-Saharan Africa.
– The WHO and UNICEF recommend the measles-containing vaccine dose 2 (MCV2) in addition to dose 1 (MCV1) through routine services strategies.
– The coverage of MCV2 remains below targets in many countries in the region.
– This study aims to assess the prevalence of MCV2 utilization and analyze factors associated with it in Sub-Saharan Africa.
Highlights:
– The study analyzed recent Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) data from eight Sub-Saharan African countries.
– The pooled prevalence of MCV2 utilization in Sub-Saharan Africa was 44.77%.
– Factors positively associated with MCV2 utilization include mothers aged 25-34 years, mothers aged 35 years and above, maternal secondary education and above, easy access to health facilities, four or more ANC visits, PNC visit, and health facility delivery.
– Factors negatively associated with MCV2 utilization include multiple twins, rural residence, and high community poverty.
Recommendations:
– Public health interventions should target rural residents, children of uneducated mothers, economically poor women, and other significant factors identified in the study to improve MCV2 utilization.
Key Role Players:
– Ministry of Health officials
– Healthcare providers
– Community health workers
– Non-governmental organizations (NGOs)
– International organizations (e.g., WHO, UNICEF)
Cost Items for Planning Recommendations:
– Training and capacity building for healthcare providers and community health workers
– Development and implementation of public health campaigns
– Outreach programs to reach rural communities
– Provision of transportation and logistics for vaccine delivery
– Monitoring and evaluation activities to assess the impact of interventions

The strength of evidence for this abstract is 7 out of 10.
The evidence in the abstract is relatively strong, but there are some areas for improvement. The study utilized secondary data analysis from recent Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) of eight Sub-Saharan African countries, which provides a representative sample. The study used a multilevel binary logistic regression model to identify associated factors, which is a robust statistical method. However, the abstract does not provide information on the sample size or the specific countries included in the analysis, which could affect the generalizability of the findings. Additionally, the abstract does not mention any limitations of the study or potential biases in the data. To improve the evidence, it would be helpful to include the sample size, specific countries included, and any limitations or biases in the abstract.

Background: Although a safe and effective vaccine is available, measles remains an important cause of mortality and morbidity among young children in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). The WHO and UNICEF recommended measles-containing vaccine dose 2 (MCV2) in addition to measles-containing vaccine dose 1 (MCV1) through routine services strategies. Many factors could contribute to the routine dose of MCV2 coverage remaining far below targets in many countries of this region. This study aimed to assess the prevalence of MCV2 utilization among children aged 24–35 months and analyze factors associated with it by using recent nationally representative surveys of SSA countries. Methods: Secondary data analysis was done based on recent Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) data from eight Sub-Saharan African countries. In this region, only eight countries have a record of routine doses of measles-containing vaccine dose 2 in their DHS dataset. The multilevel binary logistic regression model was fitted to identify significantly associated factors. Variables were extracted from each of the eight country’s KR files. Adjusted Odds Ratios (AOR) with a 95% Confidence Interval (CI) and p-value ≤ 0.05 in the multivariable model were used to declare significant factors associated with measles-containing vaccine dose 2 utilization. Result: The pooled prevalence of MCV2 utilization in SSA was 44.77% (95% CI: 27.10–62.43%). In the multilevel analysis, mothers aged 25–34 years [AOR = 1.15,95% CI (1.05–1.26), mothers aged 35 years and above [AOR = 1.26, 95% CI (1.14–1.41)], maternal secondary education and above [AOR = 1.27, 95% CI (1.13–1.43)], not big problem to access health facilities [AOR = 1.21, 95% CI (1.12–1.31)], four and above ANC visit [AOR = 2.75, 95% CI (2.35–3.24)], PNC visit [AOR = 1.13, 95% CI (1.04–1.23)], health facility delivery [AOR = 2.24, 95% CI (2.04–2.46)], were positively associated with MCV2 utilization. In contrast, multiple twin [AOR = 0.70, 95% CI (0.53–0.95)], rural residence [AOR = 0.69, 95% CI (0.57–0.82)] and high community poverty [AOR = 0.66, 95% CI (0.54–0.80)] were found to be negatively associated with MCV2 utilization. Conclusions and recommendations: Measles-containing vaccine doses 2 utilization in Sub-Saharan Africa was relatively low. Individual-level factors and community-level factors were significantly associated with low measles-containing vaccine dose 2 utilization. The MCV2 utilization could be improved through public health intervention by targeting rural residents, children of uneducated mothers, economically poor women, and other significant factors this study revealed.

Secondary analysis was performed based on the recent Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) of eight Sub-Saharan African countries. Generally, there are thirty-six countries in the Sub-Saharan Africa region, among them only eight countries have a record of routine dose of MCV2 in their DHS dataset. Those countries were Angola, Burundi, Malawi, Nigeria, Sierra Leone, Tanzania, South Africa, and Zambia. The DHS used a cross-sectional survey study design to collect the data and the study was conducted in those eight Sub-Saharan African countries. The DHS survey in those countries was conducted from 2015 to 2019 (Table 1). Year of the survey by countries The DHS is a nationally representative survey conducted in countries with low and middle income. Eight countries’ datasets were appended together to investigate MCV2 utilization and associated factors among children aged 24–35 months in Sub-Saharan Africa. We used the Kids record dataset (KR file) and children who have data on MCV2 utilization at any time before the survey according to vaccination card, mother’s report, either vaccination card or mother’s reports were included. DHS selected the study participants by using two stages of the stratified sampling technique. In the first stage, Enumeration Areas (EAs) were randomly selected while in the second stage households were selected. In most DHS surveys the sample is selected with unequal probability to increase cases available for certain areas for which statistics are needed. We weighted the sample using the individual weight of women (v005) to produce the proper representation. Hence sample weights were generated by dividing (v005) by 1,000,000 and the total weighted sample of 15,090 children was used for the analysis (Fig. 1). Diagrammatic representation of sample selection in the study The source population for this study was children who lived in Sub-Saharan Africa. Our study population was children aged 24–35 months, who lived in Sub-Saharan Africa. The WHO recommended MCV1 to be given at 9 months of age, and MCV2 at age 15–18 months through routine services strategies [18]. The DHS data reported the percentage of children aged 12–23 months and 24–35 months who received MCV2. Therefore the age from 24 to 35 is the ideal age category for our study to get a complete record of MCV2 vaccination. We weighted (v005/1,000,000) our sample to correct over- and under-sampling and sound the findings. MCV2 vaccination status of children aged 24–35 months was our response variable. The outcome variable was binary and was coded as “1” if children received MCV2 and”0″ otherwise. Independent variables were considered at two levels (individual level and community level). Individual-level (level-I) variables were maternal age, maternal education, mother’s marital status, wealth index, media exposure, sex of the child, distance to health facilities, twin status, child size at birth, sex of household head, ANC visit, PNC visits, place of delivery. Community-level (level-II) variables such as community media exposure, community women’s education, community poverty, country, and place of residence were included. We did an aggregation of individual-level variables at the cluster level and categorized them as higher or lower based on median value to generate community-level variables except for residence and country (Table 2). Independent variables of MCV2 utilization among children aged 24–35 months in SSA A multilevel binary logistic regression model was fitted to identify significantly associated factors. Variables were extracted from each of the eight country’s KR files and STATA version 14.2 was used to clean, recode and analyze the data. Pooled data were generated by appending the extracted data from the 8 Sub-Saharan African countries and weighted to draw valid inferences. Four models were applied, comprising the null model (model 0) without any explanatory variables, to test the random effect of between-cluster variability and check the existence of variation (ICC) on random intercept, Model I with individual-level variables only, to assess the impact of individual-level variables on the outcome, Model II with community-level factors only assesses the impact of community-level factors on the outcome, and Model III with both individual-level and community-level variables fitted to reveal their net fixed and random effects on the outcome variable. Because the models were nested, we used deviance (− 2LLR) for model comparison. The intra-cluster Correlation Coefficient (ICC) was used to quantify the degree of heterogeneity of MCV2 between clusters. In addition, the Likelihood Ratio test (LR), Proportional Change in Variance (PCV), and Median Odds Ratio (MOR) were computed to measure the variation between clusters. Both community and individual-level variables with a p-value ≤ 0.2 in the bi-variable analysis were included in the multivariable model [32]. Adjusted OR (AOR) with 95% CI and p < 0.05 were applied to determine significantly associated factors. We used the variance inflation factor (VIF) test to check multicollinearity, and multicollinearity was not found because all variables have VIF < 5, and model III’s VIF was 1.49.

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The study conducted a secondary analysis of recent Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) data from eight Sub-Saharan African countries to assess the utilization of the second dose of the measles-containing vaccine (MCV2) among children aged 24-35 months. The study aimed to identify factors associated with MCV2 utilization.

The study found that the pooled prevalence of MCV2 utilization in Sub-Saharan Africa was 44.77%. Several factors were found to be positively associated with MCV2 utilization, including mothers aged 25-34 years and 35 years and above, maternal secondary education and above, no significant barriers to accessing health facilities, four or more antenatal care visits, postnatal care visits, and health facility delivery. On the other hand, multiple twin births, rural residence, and high community poverty were negatively associated with MCV2 utilization.

Based on these findings, the study recommends public health interventions to improve MCV2 utilization in Sub-Saharan Africa. These interventions should target rural residents, children of uneducated mothers, economically poor women, and address other significant factors identified in the study. By addressing these factors, access to maternal health can be improved and MCV2 utilization rates can be increased.
AI Innovations Description
The study analyzed data from recent Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) in eight Sub-Saharan African countries to assess the utilization of the second dose of the measles-containing vaccine (MCV2) among children aged 24-35 months. The study aimed to identify factors associated with low MCV2 utilization and provide recommendations for improving access to maternal health.

The findings of the study revealed that the overall prevalence of MCV2 utilization in Sub-Saharan Africa was relatively low at 44.77%. The analysis identified several factors that were significantly associated with MCV2 utilization. Positive factors included mothers aged 25-34 years and 35 years and above, maternal secondary education and above, no significant barriers to accessing health facilities, four or more antenatal care visits, postnatal care visits, and health facility delivery. On the other hand, multiple twins, rural residence, and high community poverty were negatively associated with MCV2 utilization.

Based on these findings, the study recommends public health interventions to improve MCV2 utilization in Sub-Saharan Africa. The interventions should target rural residents, children of uneducated mothers, economically poor women, and other significant factors identified in the study. By addressing these factors, access to maternal health services can be improved, leading to increased MCV2 utilization and better protection against measles among young children in the region.
AI Innovations Methodology
To improve access to maternal health, here are some potential recommendations:

1. Strengthening healthcare infrastructure: Investing in healthcare facilities, equipment, and trained healthcare professionals can improve access to maternal health services. This includes ensuring that health facilities are adequately equipped to handle maternal emergencies and providing skilled birth attendants.

2. Increasing awareness and education: Educating women and communities about the importance of maternal health and the available services can help increase utilization. This can be done through community outreach programs, health education campaigns, and the use of local media.

3. Improving transportation: Lack of transportation can be a barrier to accessing maternal health services, especially in rural areas. Providing reliable transportation options, such as ambulances or community transport services, can help overcome this barrier.

4. Addressing financial barriers: High costs associated with maternal health services can prevent women from seeking care. Implementing health insurance schemes or providing financial assistance for maternal health services can help reduce the financial burden on women and improve access.

5. Promoting antenatal and postnatal care: Encouraging women to seek regular antenatal and postnatal care can improve maternal health outcomes. This can be done through community-based programs, mobile clinics, and incentives for attending these services.

To simulate the impact of these recommendations on improving access to maternal health, a methodology could include the following steps:

1. Define the indicators: Identify specific indicators that measure access to maternal health, such as the percentage of women receiving antenatal care, the percentage of women delivering in a healthcare facility, or the percentage of women receiving postnatal care.

2. Collect baseline data: Gather data on the current status of these indicators in the target population. This can be done through surveys, interviews, or existing data sources such as health records or national surveys.

3. Develop a simulation model: Create a mathematical or statistical model that simulates the impact of the recommendations on the selected indicators. This model should take into account factors such as population size, geographical distribution, healthcare infrastructure, and socio-economic factors.

4. Input the intervention scenarios: Define different scenarios that represent the implementation of the recommendations. For example, one scenario could represent the strengthening of healthcare infrastructure, while another scenario could represent the implementation of a transportation program. Input the relevant parameters and assumptions for each scenario.

5. Run the simulations: Use the simulation model to run the different scenarios and observe the projected changes in the selected indicators. This can be done by adjusting the parameters and assumptions in the model and analyzing the results.

6. Evaluate the impact: Compare the results of the different scenarios to assess the potential impact of the recommendations on improving access to maternal health. This can be done by comparing the projected changes in the selected indicators between the baseline and intervention scenarios.

7. Refine and validate the model: Continuously refine and validate the simulation model based on feedback, additional data, and expert input. This will help improve the accuracy and reliability of the model’s predictions.

By following this methodology, policymakers and healthcare professionals can gain insights into the potential impact of different recommendations on improving access to maternal health and make informed decisions on which interventions to prioritize.

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