Risk factors for stunting among children under five years: A cross-sectional population-based study in Rwanda using the 2015 Demographic and Health Survey

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Study Justification:
– Child growth stunting is a significant issue in sub-Saharan Africa, with 34% of children under 5 years being stunted.
– Stunting has detrimental effects on both individuals and society.
– Identifying risk factors for stunting is crucial for developing effective interventions.
– This study aimed to identify risk factors for stunting in Rwanda using data from the 2014-2015 Rwanda Demographic and Health Survey.
Study Highlights:
– The study included a total of 3,594 children under 5 years, with 51% of them being boys.
– The prevalence of stunting among all children was 38%.
– Significant risk factors for stunting included: being a boy, being in the age groups of 6-23 months and 24-59 months, low birth weight, low maternal height, primary education or illiteracy of mothers, history of not taking deworming medicine during pregnancy, and being from the poorest households.
– Family-level factors were found to be major drivers of children’s growth stunting in Rwanda.
Study Recommendations:
– Interventions should focus on improving the nutrition of pregnant and lactating women to prevent low birth weight babies.
– Efforts should be made to reduce poverty, as it is a significant risk factor for stunting.
– Promoting girls’ education is important, as maternal education level was associated with stunting.
– Early intervention in cases of malnutrition is crucial to prevent stunting.
Key Role Players:
– Government agencies responsible for health and nutrition policies and programs.
– Non-governmental organizations (NGOs) working in the field of child health and nutrition.
– Health professionals, including doctors, nurses, and nutritionists.
– Community leaders and volunteers involved in health promotion and education.
Cost Items for Planning Recommendations:
– Nutrition education and counseling programs for pregnant and lactating women.
– Access to prenatal and postnatal healthcare services.
– Poverty alleviation programs and social support for vulnerable families.
– School-based interventions to promote girls’ education.
– Early screening and treatment programs for malnutrition.
– Monitoring and evaluation systems to assess the effectiveness of interventions.
Please note that the cost items provided are general categories and not actual cost estimates. Actual costs will depend on the specific interventions and programs implemented.

The strength of evidence for this abstract is 8 out of 10.
The evidence in the abstract is rated 8 because it provides specific data from a cross-sectional population-based study in Rwanda. The study used a large sample size of 3594 children and employed logistic regression analysis to identify significant risk factors for stunting. The study also used the 2014-2015 Rwanda Demographic and Health Survey data, which adds to the reliability of the findings. However, to improve the evidence, it would be beneficial to provide more information on the sampling methodology, such as the sampling technique used and the representativeness of the sample. Additionally, including information on the response rate and any potential limitations of the study would further strengthen the evidence.

Background: Child growth stunting remains a challenge in sub-Saharan Africa, where 34% of children under 5 years are stunted, and causing detrimental impact at individual and societal levels. Identifying risk factors to stunting is key to developing proper interventions. This study aimed at identifying risk factors of stunting in Rwanda. Methods: We used data from the Rwanda Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) 2014-2015. Association between children’s characteristics and stunting was assessed using logistic regression analysis. Results: A total of 3594 under 5 years were included; where 51% of them were boys. The prevalence of stunting was 38% (95% CI: 35.92-39.52) for all children. In adjusted analysis, the following factors were significant: boys (OR 1.51; 95% CI 1.25-1.82), children ages 6-23 months (OR 4.91; 95% CI 3.16-7.62) and children ages 24-59 months (OR 6.34; 95% CI 4.07-9.89) compared to ages 0-6 months, low birth weight (OR 2.12; 95% CI 1.39-3.23), low maternal height (OR 3.27; 95% CI 1.89-5.64), primary education for mothers (OR 1.71; 95% CI 1.25-2.34), illiterate mothers (OR 2.00; 95% CI 1.37-2.92), history of not taking deworming medicine during pregnancy (OR 1.29; 95%CI 1.09-1.53), poorest households (OR 1.45; 95% CI 1.12-1.86; and OR 1.82; 95%CI 1.45-2.29 respectively). Conclusion: Family-level factors are major drivers of children’s growth stunting in Rwanda. Interventions to improve the nutrition of pregnant and lactating women so as to prevent low birth weight babies, reduce poverty, promote girls’ education and intervene early in cases of malnutrition are needed.

We used the 2014–2015 Rwanda DHS open access dataset [19]. The DHS included a randomly selected national total of 12,793 households from five provinces. Of the 12,793 households, a sub-sample of 6350 (50%) households was randomly selected and data on child anthropometric measurements and development indicators were collected (N = 3594 children) [15]. A full protocol explaining the data collection process and sampling methods of DHS can be reviewed elsewhere [19]. We have included a total of 17 variables related to three categories in the WHO stunting framework [17, 18]: i) Individual-level factors (sex, age group, parity, child’s weight at birth, history of diarrhea in two weeks prior to the survey); ii) Maternal (height, highest educational level, intake of parasite controlling drugs for mothers during pregnancy, number of days of daily intake of iron tablets or syrup by mothers during pregnancy, breastfeeding within the first hour after birth and household (household wealth index, household size, access to improved water at household, availability of improved toilet facility) factors and iii) Community level factors (household location data including province, sector and village; altitude (highland vs. lowland) and location (urban vs. rural). Stunting was measured by DHS, using the WHO Child Growth Standards and collected data on every child’s length/height, age and sex to calculate the number of standard deviations (Z-score) that his/her length/height is below or above the median of the 2006 WHO growth reference population [20]. These measures were recorded with two implied decimal places, thus we divided all values of DHS standard deviations by a hundred. Stunting was defined as a z-score lower than − 2. Mother’s height was considered low if it was  1642 m (median altitude of households), and lowland if the household location is at an altitude of < 1642 m. To determine risk factors for stunting, we first conducted a full logistic regression model with all 17 variables by calculating odds ratio (OR), 95% confidence interval (CI) and p-value. Then, we conducted a final logistic regression model by controlling for sex, province, and altitude. All variables with p-values 0.10 or less in the full model were considered in our final logistic regression model, and removed using backward stepwise selection stopping when all the final variables were significant at the α = 0.05 significance level. Stata/SE 13.1 was used for data analysis [24]. We used the svy commands to account for the complex survey sampling and used sampling weights to account for unequal probability sampling in different strata.

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Based on the provided information, here are some potential innovations that could be used to improve access to maternal health:

1. Mobile Health (mHealth) Applications: Develop mobile applications that provide information and resources related to maternal health, such as prenatal care, nutrition, and breastfeeding. These apps can be easily accessible to pregnant women and new mothers, providing them with personalized guidance and reminders.

2. Telemedicine: Implement telemedicine services that allow pregnant women in remote or underserved areas to consult with healthcare professionals through video calls or phone calls. This can help overcome geographical barriers and provide access to prenatal care and medical advice.

3. Community Health Workers: Train and deploy community health workers who can provide basic maternal health services, education, and support in rural or marginalized communities. These workers can conduct regular check-ups, provide health education, and refer women to appropriate healthcare facilities when needed.

4. Maternal Health Vouchers: Introduce voucher programs that provide financial assistance to pregnant women, enabling them to access essential maternal health services, including prenatal care, delivery, and postnatal care. These vouchers can be distributed through community health centers or local organizations.

5. Public-Private Partnerships: Foster collaborations between public and private sectors to improve access to maternal health services. This can involve partnering with private healthcare providers to offer affordable and quality maternal health services, as well as leveraging private sector expertise in technology and innovation.

6. Maternal Health Education Campaigns: Launch targeted education campaigns to raise awareness about the importance of maternal health and encourage women to seek timely and appropriate care. These campaigns can utilize various channels, such as radio, television, social media, and community outreach programs.

7. Maternal Health Monitoring Systems: Develop systems that enable real-time monitoring of maternal health indicators, such as maternal mortality rates, prenatal care coverage, and birth outcomes. This data can help identify areas with low access to maternal health services and guide resource allocation and intervention strategies.

It is important to note that the implementation of these innovations should be context-specific and consider the local healthcare infrastructure, cultural norms, and socioeconomic factors.
AI Innovations Description
Based on the information provided, the following recommendation can be developed into an innovation to improve access to maternal health:

1. Implement targeted interventions: Based on the identified risk factors for stunting in Rwanda, it is important to develop and implement targeted interventions to address these factors. This could include programs focused on improving the nutrition of pregnant and lactating women to prevent low birth weight babies, promoting girls’ education to empower women and improve their decision-making abilities, and providing early interventions in cases of malnutrition.

2. Strengthen healthcare infrastructure: In order to improve access to maternal health, it is crucial to strengthen the healthcare infrastructure in Rwanda. This could involve increasing the number of healthcare facilities, particularly in rural areas, and ensuring that these facilities are equipped with the necessary resources and trained healthcare professionals to provide quality maternal healthcare services.

3. Enhance community-based healthcare: Community-based healthcare approaches can play a significant role in improving access to maternal health. This could involve training and empowering community health workers to provide basic maternal healthcare services, conducting awareness campaigns to educate communities about the importance of maternal health, and establishing referral systems to ensure that pregnant women have access to appropriate healthcare services.

4. Improve data collection and analysis: To effectively address maternal health issues, it is important to have accurate and up-to-date data. Improving data collection and analysis systems, such as the use of the Rwanda Demographic and Health Survey (DHS), can provide valuable insights into the prevalence of stunting and other maternal health indicators. This data can then be used to inform evidence-based decision-making and the development of targeted interventions.

5. Collaborate with stakeholders: Collaboration with various stakeholders, including government agencies, non-governmental organizations, and international partners, is essential to improve access to maternal health. By working together, these stakeholders can pool their resources, expertise, and knowledge to develop and implement comprehensive strategies that address the identified risk factors and improve maternal health outcomes in Rwanda.
AI Innovations Methodology
Based on the provided information, here are some potential recommendations to improve access to maternal health:

1. Increase access to prenatal care: Implement strategies to ensure that pregnant women have access to regular prenatal check-ups, including education on proper nutrition, prenatal vitamins, and monitoring of maternal and fetal health.

2. Improve availability of skilled birth attendants: Strengthen the healthcare workforce by training and deploying more skilled birth attendants in rural and underserved areas to provide safe and effective delivery care.

3. Enhance community-based interventions: Implement community-based programs that focus on educating and empowering women and families about maternal health, including family planning, nutrition, and breastfeeding support.

4. Strengthen referral systems: Establish and strengthen referral systems between community health centers and higher-level healthcare facilities to ensure timely access to emergency obstetric care for high-risk pregnancies and complications during childbirth.

To simulate the impact of these recommendations on improving access to maternal health, a methodology could include the following steps:

1. Define the target population: Identify the specific population group that will be the focus of the simulation, such as pregnant women in a particular region or country.

2. Collect baseline data: Gather relevant data on the current state of maternal health access in the target population, including indicators such as prenatal care coverage, skilled birth attendance rates, and maternal mortality rates.

3. Define the intervention scenarios: Develop different scenarios that represent the potential impact of the recommendations. For example, one scenario could assume an increase in the number of skilled birth attendants, while another scenario could focus on improving access to prenatal care.

4. Model the impact: Use statistical modeling techniques to estimate the potential impact of each scenario on key maternal health indicators. This could involve analyzing historical data, conducting surveys or interviews, and using mathematical models to project the outcomes.

5. Evaluate the results: Compare the projected outcomes of each scenario to the baseline data to assess the potential improvements in access to maternal health. Consider factors such as changes in prenatal care coverage, reduction in maternal mortality rates, and improvements in overall maternal and child health outcomes.

6. Refine and iterate: Based on the results, refine the recommendations and simulation methodology as needed. Consider additional factors or interventions that may further enhance access to maternal health.

By following this methodology, policymakers and healthcare providers can gain insights into the potential impact of different interventions and make informed decisions to improve access to maternal health.

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