Multiple anthropometric and nutritional deficiencies in young children in Ethiopia: a multi-level analysis based on a nationally representative data

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Study Justification:
– Child undernutrition and anemia are major public health concerns in Ethiopia, leading to increased childhood morbidity and mortality.
– Despite progress in reducing malnutrition, little is known about the magnitude and risk factors for concurrent nutritional deficiencies in Ethiopia.
– Understanding the factors contributing to multiple anthropometric and nutritional deficiencies is crucial for developing effective interventions and policies.
Study Highlights:
– The study analyzed data from 9218 children aged 6-59 months in Ethiopia.
– The prevalence of stunting, underweight, and wasting among children was 38%, 25.2%, and 9.4% respectively.
– Approximately 58% of the children had anemia.
– The prevalence of concurrent stunting and anemia was 24.8%.
– Risk factors for multiple nutritional problems included individual, household, and behavioral factors such as child’s sex, age, birth order, parental education, household wealth, and hygiene and sanitation practices.
– Improving parental education, household wealth, hygiene and sanitation conditions, promoting feeding practices, and child health service utilization are important for addressing these nutritional deficiencies.
Recommendations for Lay Reader and Policy Maker:
– Improve parental education to enhance knowledge and practices related to child nutrition.
– Address household wealth disparities to ensure access to nutritious food and healthcare services.
– Enhance hygiene and sanitation conditions to prevent infections and improve overall health.
– Promote appropriate feeding practices to ensure adequate nutrition for children.
– Increase utilization of child health services to monitor growth and address nutritional deficiencies.
– Consider a child’s characteristics such as age, gender, and birth order when designing nutrition interventions.
Key Role Players:
– Ministry of Health: Responsible for implementing and coordinating nutrition programs and policies.
– Central Statistical Agency: Provides data collection and analysis support.
– Non-governmental organizations: Involved in implementing nutrition interventions and community outreach programs.
– Health professionals: Play a key role in providing healthcare services and counseling on nutrition.
– Educators: Contribute to parental education and awareness on child nutrition.
Cost Items for Planning Recommendations:
– Education programs: Budget for developing and implementing parental education initiatives.
– Healthcare infrastructure: Allocate funds for improving healthcare facilities and equipment.
– Hygiene and sanitation interventions: Include costs for promoting hygiene practices and improving sanitation facilities.
– Nutrition programs: Budget for implementing feeding programs and providing nutritional supplements.
– Monitoring and evaluation: Allocate resources for monitoring the impact of interventions and evaluating their effectiveness.

The strength of evidence for this abstract is 8 out of 10.
The evidence in the abstract is strong because it is based on a nationally representative data set and uses mixed effect regression models to identify risk factors. However, to improve the evidence, the abstract could provide more specific information about the sample size, the methods used for data collection and analysis, and the statistical significance of the findings.

Background: In Ethiopia, child undernutrition and anemia are major public health concerns, resulting in increased childhood morbidity and mortality. Despite progress made to reduce the prevalence of malnutrition (especially stunting) from 50% in 2000 to 38% in 2016, little is known about the magnitude and risk factors for concurrent nutritional deficiencies in Ethiopia. Methods: Analysis for this study was based on a total sample of 9218 children aged 6–59 months drawn from the Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey (EDHS) conducted in the year 2016. The study used two outcome variables: Multiple nutrition deficit index formed by combining stunting, underweight, wasting and anemia status; and a concurrent stunting and anemia (CAS) index. Two mixed effect regression models, Poisson and Logistic, were used to identify the key risk factors of the two outcome variables, respectively. Results: The proportion of children with stunting (length-for-age), underweight (weight-for-age) and wasting children (weight-for-length) was 38%, 25.2% and 9.4%, respectively. About 58% of the children had anemia. The prevalence of children with concurrent stunting and anemia children was 24.8%. Our results showed that the risks of multiple nutritional problems were determined by a range of individual, household and behavioral factors including: sex of the child, age of the child, birth order, parity, parental education, religion, household wealth index and type of family structure. The proximate variables (hygiene and sanitation score, feeding practice, and child health service utilization score) were also found to exert a strong influence on the risk of multiple nutritional deficiencies. The likelihood of co-occurrence of stunting and anemia was determined by certain individual and household factors, including sex of the child, age of the child, maternal education, household asset based wealth, religion and household hygiene and sanitation. Conclusions: This study underscores the importance of improving parental education, household wealth, hygiene and sanitation conditions, promoting feeding practice and child health service utilization. Also, any nutrition sensitive and specific intervention should consider a child’s characteristics such as his/her age, gender and birth order.

The most recent estimate of the World Bank report [17] indicates that Ethiopia has a population of 109 million, making it the second-most populous nation in Africa after Nigeria [17]. According to the report, the country is one of the poorest, with an annual per capita income of $790 [17]. Administratively, Ethiopia is a Federal Democratic Republic with nine autonomous Regional States, each divided into zones, districts and sub-districts/ kebeles [18]. Agriculture has been the main driver for the fast-growing Ethiopian economy, responsible for 85% of total employment [13]. Although the rapid economic growth is attributed to the enhancing productivity of agriculture, particularly of crop production but chronic malnutrition (stunting) of children remains unacceptably high. Considering the new Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), nutrition has been recognized as a major need for sustainable development [13]. The government of Ethiopia has developed various development plans and strategies to increase food security, improve nutrition and reduce poverty [18–20]. The National Nutrition Program II targeted implementation of both nutrition-sensitive and non-nutrition sensitive interventions to significantly improve maternal and child nutrition in the country. We used data from the Ethiopian Demographic and Health Surveys (EDHS) for 2016. The 2016 survey is one of a series of nationally representative samples, conducted for the fourth time since 2000. The EDHS are cross-sectional data containing comparable household and individual information about sociodemographic characteristics and health indicators such as maternal and child health and nutrition. The EDHS surveys have been carried out nationally by the Central Statistical Agency (CSA) under the guidance of the Ministry of Health (MOH). The data were extracted from the children’s file containing entries for that under-5. Infants below six months of age were excluded since EDHS did not collect data on hemoglobin level for this age group. A total of 9218 children aged 6–59 months was extracted from the dataset for final analysis. As the data were well imputed by the Central Statistics Authority (CSA) of Ethiopia and ICF (the data owners), the overall missing values were limited to 5.8%. The rows with the missing values were excluded from the entire analysis. The EDHS surveys are well-established, nationally representative data. They are respected global initiatives conducted with appropriate permission from the Ethiopian government and informed consent from subjects. ICF International (U.S.) and the Central Statistics Authority (Ethiopia) granted permission for the use of EDHS. Ethical approval was also received by the University of Saskatchewan, Behavioral Research Ethics Committee. The Ethiopian Demographic and Health Surveys collected information on the health and nutritional status of children. Categorization of undernutrition of children was done using height-for-age (HAZ), weight-for-age (WAZ) and weight-for-height (WHZ) SDs from WHO, also known as z-scores to determine stunting, under-weight, and wasting, respectively [2, 21]. Anemia status was defined by hemoglobin < 11 g/dL [10], and the measure was adjusted for altitude to account for most Ethiopians living at high altitudes where hemoglobin levels are normally higher than at sea level, making true anemia difficult to detect [10]. The present study used two different outcome variables: the number of each of the four possible nutritional problems and the presence of concurrent stunting and anemia (CAS). In the primary analysis, a coding of 1 was used if a child had any of the three anthropometric deficits (stunting, underweight, wasting) or anemia, and “0” if the child experienced none of the four nutritional problems. For the secondary analysis, CAS was the outcome variable. For the CAS, 1 was coded if a child was both anemic and stunted at the same time, and 0 otherwise. The selection of the explanatory variables was made based on the review of literature, availability of the variable in the data set, and statistical plausibility. The factors influencing multiple anthropometric deficit and CAS were broadly classified as maternal and child characteristics (maternal education, autonomy, maternal parity, maternal age, child’s age, child’s sex, child’s birth order); household factors (the type of family structure, religion, household wealth ); child care practices (feeding practices, child health service utilization score, hygiene and sanitation practice score); and community-level variables ( mean maternal education and wealth at cluster level, and type of residence). Scores were constructed for some of the potential predictors by combining different variables. For instance, the hygiene and sanitation score was measured by combining responses of household ownership of facilities that ensure hygienic separation of human excreta from human contact (which include flush or pour-flush toilet/latrine, piped sewer system, septic tank, pit latrine, Ventilated Improved pit (VIP) latrine, pit latrine with slab and composting toilet ) [22], hand washing and access to drinking water. The value for the hygiene and sanitation score ranged between 0 and 6. The child health service utilization score was constructed from six dichotomous responses (Antenatal Care/ANC, delivery care, postnatal care, vitamin A, iron supplementation and deworming pills), each coded as 0 or 1. Adding these values for each respondent yielded a score ranging between 0 and 6. The diet diversity score (DDS) was measured based on the consumption of the seven food groups (0 = no, yes = 1) according to the WHO’s IYCF guidelines [23]. These food groups are: (i) grains, roots, and tubers; (ii) flesh foods (meat, fish, poultry and liver/organ meats); (iii) legumes and nuts; (iv) vitamin A rich fruits and vegetables; (v) eggs vi) dairy products (milk, yogurt, cheese); (vii) other fruits and vegetables [23].The DDS score was obtained by summing up the binary responses, and it ranges from 0 to 7, where a higher score represents the higher level of diet diversification. Household wealth was used as a proxy to household income and was estimated in the DHS with an asset-based index that combined information about ownership of consumer goods and housing quality. It was sorted into three categories for purposes of analysis: poorer, middle, and richer. Similarly, maternal autonomy was measured based on five responses related to her decision making on important household purchases, childcare and mobility. The remaining explanatory variables (such as sex and age of the child, family structure, breastfeeding, and frequency of access to media) were used as coded in the original data. We analyzed the data using STATA version 12 [24]. All analyses were weighted for the sampling probabilities and considered the stratification and clustering nature of the data. Descriptive analysis was used to examine the characteristics of the study sample. The DHS data are clustered, i.e., mothers are nested within households, and households are nested within clusters. As such, mothers within the same cluster may be more like each other than mothers in the rest of the clusters. This violates the assumption of independence of observations across the clusters, and hence, limits the use of conventional regression [25]. For the present analysis, the enumeration areas/EAs were used for clustering women respondents. Mixed-effects Poisson regression was used (for the count outcome variable) and mixed-effect logistic regression model (for CAS) to test the effect sizes of individual, household, and community factors. Multicollinearity between the potential predictors was checked using tolerance test, variance inflation factors. To achieve a parsimonious model, a bivariate analysis was first conducted, and all potential predictors which were statistically associated with the outcomes with a p-value < 0.20 were subsequently included in the multivariable analysis. The Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) was used as model selection criteria. In the final model, a p-value of < 0.05 was used to define statistical significance. The model fit was checked using the ratio of Deviance and Degree of Freedom (DF), i.e., Deviance/ DF [26].

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Based on the provided information, here are some potential innovations that could improve access to maternal health:

1. Mobile Health (mHealth) Applications: Develop and implement mobile applications that provide pregnant women and new mothers with access to important health information, reminders for prenatal and postnatal care appointments, and educational resources.

2. Telemedicine Services: Establish telemedicine services that allow pregnant women in remote or underserved areas to consult with healthcare professionals via video or phone calls, reducing the need for travel and improving access to medical advice.

3. Community Health Workers: Train and deploy community health workers who can provide basic prenatal and postnatal care, conduct health screenings, and educate women on maternal health practices within their communities.

4. Maternal Health Vouchers: Introduce voucher programs that provide pregnant women with financial assistance to access quality maternal healthcare services, including prenatal check-ups, delivery, and postnatal care.

5. Maternal Health Clinics: Establish dedicated maternal health clinics that offer comprehensive care for pregnant women, including prenatal check-ups, delivery services, and postnatal care, ensuring that all necessary services are available in one location.

6. Transportation Support: Develop transportation programs that provide pregnant women with reliable and affordable transportation to healthcare facilities, ensuring they can access timely and appropriate care.

7. Maternal Health Education Campaigns: Launch public awareness campaigns that focus on educating women and their families about the importance of maternal health, including prenatal care, nutrition, and safe delivery practices.

8. Maternity Waiting Homes: Establish maternity waiting homes near healthcare facilities, providing a safe and comfortable place for pregnant women to stay before delivery, especially for those who live far away from healthcare facilities.

9. Task-Shifting: Train and empower non-physician healthcare providers, such as midwives and nurses, to provide comprehensive maternal healthcare services, reducing the burden on doctors and improving access to care.

10. Integration of Maternal Health Services: Integrate maternal health services with other healthcare programs, such as family planning and immunization, to ensure comprehensive care for women throughout their reproductive years.

These innovations aim to address the challenges and barriers to accessing maternal healthcare in Ethiopia, ultimately improving the health outcomes for both mothers and their children.
AI Innovations Description
Based on the provided description, the following recommendation can be developed into an innovation to improve access to maternal health:

1. Strengthen Parental Education: Implement programs that focus on improving parental education, particularly for mothers. This can include providing access to educational resources, training programs, and workshops on maternal and child health.

2. Enhance Household Wealth: Develop strategies to improve household wealth, as poverty is a significant barrier to accessing maternal health services. This can involve implementing income-generating programs, microfinance initiatives, and social protection measures to alleviate financial constraints.

3. Improve Hygiene and Sanitation Conditions: Promote hygiene and sanitation practices at the household and community levels. This can be achieved through awareness campaigns, infrastructure development for clean water and sanitation facilities, and behavior change communication programs.

4. Promote Optimal Feeding Practices: Implement interventions that promote optimal feeding practices for infants and young children. This can include providing education on exclusive breastfeeding, complementary feeding, and nutritionally balanced diets.

5. Increase Child Health Service Utilization: Enhance access to and utilization of child health services, including antenatal care, postnatal care, immunizations, and preventive interventions. This can be achieved through the establishment of community-based health centers, mobile clinics, and outreach programs.

6. Tailor Interventions to Child Characteristics: Develop targeted interventions that consider a child’s age, gender, and birth order. This can involve designing age-specific health and nutrition programs, gender-sensitive approaches, and addressing the specific needs of first-born children.

By implementing these recommendations, it is expected that access to maternal health services will be improved, leading to better maternal and child health outcomes in Ethiopia.
AI Innovations Methodology
To improve access to maternal health in Ethiopia, here are some potential recommendations:

1. Strengthening maternal education: Promote and support programs that provide education and information to expectant mothers about proper nutrition, prenatal care, and childbirth.

2. Enhancing household wealth: Implement initiatives that focus on poverty reduction and income generation to improve the economic status of households, enabling them to afford better healthcare services.

3. Improving hygiene and sanitation: Implement programs that promote proper hygiene practices and provide access to clean water and sanitation facilities, reducing the risk of infections and improving overall maternal health.

4. Promoting feeding practices: Educate mothers on the importance of breastfeeding and proper nutrition for infants and young children, ensuring they receive adequate nutrients for healthy growth and development.

5. Increasing utilization of child health services: Develop strategies to increase awareness and utilization of maternal and child health services, including antenatal care, postnatal care, immunizations, and other essential healthcare services.

To simulate the impact of these recommendations on improving access to maternal health, a methodology could include the following steps:

1. Data collection: Gather baseline data on key indicators related to maternal health, such as maternal mortality rates, access to prenatal care, and nutritional status of mothers and children.

2. Define simulation parameters: Determine the specific variables and factors that will be simulated, such as changes in maternal education levels, household wealth, hygiene practices, feeding practices, and utilization of child health services.

3. Model development: Develop a simulation model that incorporates the identified variables and factors. This could be a mathematical model or a computer-based simulation.

4. Data input: Input the baseline data into the simulation model, including the current values of the variables and factors.

5. Scenario creation: Create different scenarios by adjusting the values of the variables and factors based on the recommended interventions. For example, increase maternal education levels by a certain percentage, improve household wealth by a specific amount, etc.

6. Simulation run: Run the simulation model using the different scenarios to estimate the potential impact on access to maternal health. The model will generate outputs that quantify the expected changes in key indicators.

7. Analysis and interpretation: Analyze the simulation results to understand the potential impact of the recommended interventions on improving access to maternal health. Compare the different scenarios to identify the most effective strategies.

8. Policy recommendations: Based on the simulation results, provide evidence-based policy recommendations to stakeholders, policymakers, and healthcare providers to guide decision-making and resource allocation for improving access to maternal health.

It is important to note that the accuracy and reliability of the simulation results depend on the quality of the data used and the assumptions made in the model. Regular monitoring and evaluation of the implemented interventions will help validate the simulation results and inform further improvements in access to maternal health.

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