Zika, Flavivirus and Malaria Antibody Cocirculation in Nigeria

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Study Justification:
– Arboviruses and malaria pose a growing threat to public health, especially for vulnerable groups such as immunocompromised individuals and pregnant women.
– In Nigeria, these mosquito-borne infections have clinical presentations that overlap with other diseases, making diagnosis challenging.
– Vertical transmission of these diseases can have devastating impacts on maternal health and fetal outcomes.
– Limited data on the prevalence of these diseases in Nigeria hinders prevention and clinical management efforts.
– Conducting sero-epidemiological and clinical studies is crucial to understand the disease burden and hidden endemicity.
Study Highlights:
– The study investigated the co-circulation of Zika virus (ZIKV), flaviviruses (FLAVI), and malaria in Nigeria.
– Serum samples from outpatients in three regions of Nigeria were tested for the presence of antibodies against ZIKV, FLAVI, and malaria.
– The overall antibody seropositivity for ZIKV, FLAVI, and malaria was 24.0%.
– Regional analysis showed variations in antibody seropositivity, with the southern region having the highest seropositivity for ZIKV and FLAVI, and the central region having a higher seropositivity for malaria.
Recommendations:
– Increase surveillance and monitoring of ZIKV, FLAVI, and malaria in Nigeria.
– Enhance diagnostic capabilities to differentiate between these diseases and other similar illnesses.
– Improve prevention strategies, especially for vulnerable groups such as pregnant women.
– Strengthen clinical management and treatment protocols for co-infected individuals.
– Conduct further research to better understand the disease burden and epidemiological synergy.
Key Role Players:
– Epidemiologists and public health officials for surveillance and monitoring.
– Clinicians and laboratory technicians for accurate diagnosis.
– Policy makers for implementing prevention strategies and allocating resources.
– Researchers for conducting further studies and generating evidence.
Cost Items for Planning Recommendations:
– Diagnostic equipment and supplies for accurate testing.
– Training and capacity building for healthcare professionals.
– Public health campaigns and education materials.
– Research funding for further studies and data collection.
– Infrastructure improvements for healthcare facilities.
– Surveillance systems and data management tools.

The strength of evidence for this abstract is 7 out of 10.
The evidence in the abstract is moderately strong. The study conducted a cross-sectional investigation of ZIKV-FLAVI and malaria cocirculation in Nigeria, which is a valuable contribution to the field. The study provides seropositivity data for ZIKV, FLAVI, and malaria in Nigeria, indicating the presence of these infections in the population. However, the abstract does not provide detailed information on the study design, sample size calculation, and statistical analyses performed. To improve the strength of the evidence, the abstract should include more information on the methodology, such as the inclusion and exclusion criteria, sampling method, and statistical tests used. Additionally, providing more context on the limitations of the study and potential implications of the findings would enhance the overall quality of the evidence.

Introduction. Arboviruses and malaria pose a growing threat to public health, affecting not only the general population but also immunocompromised individuals and pregnant women. Individuals in vulnerable groups are at a higher risk of severe complications from the co-circulation and transmission of ZIKV, malaria, and FLAVI fever. In sub-Saharan countries, such as Nigeria, these mosquito-borne infections have clinical presentations that overlap with other diseases (dengue, West Nile virus, and Japanese encephalitis, chikungunya, and O’nyong o’nyong virus), making them a diagnostic challenge for clinicians in regions where they co-circulate. Vertical transmission can have a devastating impact on maternal health and fetal outcomes, including an increased risk of fetal loss and premature birth. Despite the global recognition of the burden of malaria and arboviruses, particularly ZIKV and other flaviviruses, there is limited data on their prevalence in Nigeria. In urban settings, where these diseases are endemic and share common biological, ecological, and economic factors, they may impact treatment outcomes and lead to epidemiological synergy. Hence, it is imperative to conduct sero-epidemiological and clinical studies to better understand the disease burden and hidden endemicity, thereby enabling improved prevention and clinical management. Method. Serum samples collected from outpatients between December 2020 and November 2021 in three regions of Nigeria were tested for the presence of IgG antibody seropositivity against ZIKV and FLAVI using immunoblot serological assay. Results. The overall cohort co-circulation antibody seropositivity of ZIKV, FLAVI and malaria was 24.0% (209/871). A total of 19.2% (167/871) of the study participants had ZIKV-seropositive antibodies and 6.2% (54/871) were FLAVI-seropositive, while 40.0% (348/871) of the subjects had malaria parasite antigens. Regional analysis revealed that participants from the southern region had the highest antibody seropositivity against ZIKV (21.7% (33/152)) and FLAVI (8.6% (13/152)), whereas those from the central region had a higher malaria parasite antigen (68.5% (287/419)). Conclusions. This study represents the largest comparative cross-sectional descriptive sero-epidemiological investigation of ZIKV-FLAVI and malaria cocirculation in Nigeria. The findings of this study revealed increased antibody seropositivity, hidden endemicity, and the burden of ZIKV, FLAVI, and malaria co-circulating in Nigeria.

A cross-sectional study was conducted at three university teaching hospital centers in Nigeria: namely, the Federal Medical Centre, Keffi, located in Nasarawa State; the Central Nigeria Abia State University Teaching Hospital, Aba, located in Abia State, Southern Nigeria; and the Baru-Diko Teaching Hospital, Kaduna, Kaduna State, located in Northern Nigeria (Figure 1). Arboviral and malaria study sites in Nigeria. The three states have a population of over 30 million inhabitants. Forty-five percent of the population live in urban areas (urban settlement in the context of the present study refers to high human population density and infrastructure of the built environment), 40% live in rural areas (open countryside with population densities of less than 500 people per square mile or places with fewer than 1500 people), and 15% live in slums or informal settlements (informal settlements within urban cities with inadequate housing, squalids, and miserable living conditions) [1]. The average annual temperature ranges from 21 °C to 37 °C, whereas in the interior lowlands, temperatures are generally above 27 °C. The mean annual precipitation is 1165.0 mm. It rains throughout southern Nigeria but much less so in the central and northern regions, with episodes of flooding and other environmental catastrophes. Most of the rainfall occurs between April and October, with minimal rainfall occurring between November and March. The main occupation of the inhabitants of the three regions is farming at both the commercial and subsistence levels. The study population comprised outpatients, including pregnant women enrolled for antenatal care and patients presenting with illness, at the rapid-access healthcare and antiretroviral (people living with AIDS) units of the hospitals between December 2020 and November 2021. These hospitals were purposefully selected to reflect the diversity of different cultures, religions, ethnicities, topographical and vegetation features, and human activities in the three geographical regions. The inclusion criteria were all outpatients within an age range of 0 months to 80 years who agreed to participate in the study and signed the consent form, including children, whose parents or guardians gave consent. The exclusion criteria were participants who were already undergoing treatment, those who refused to sign the consent form, and seriously ill hospitalized patients. A standardized questionnaire containing questions on demographics, medical history, vital signs and symptoms, clinical evaluation, hospitalization data, and a summary form was used to collect the information. All the research participants were examined for malaria-, ZIKV-, and FLAVI-related symptoms (fever, headaches, rashes, joint pain, conjunctivitis, and muscle discomfort) (Table 1). Before enrolment, participants were provided with protocol-specific information and had this clearly explained to them in English and their respective native languages. After enrolment, the participants signed an informed consent form. The participants who were unable to read or write were asked to verbally assent and give their thumbprint to indicate their willingness to participate. Signs and symptoms presented by ZIKV, FLAVI, and malaria monoinfected patients. The simple random sampling method was used to collect 871 samples from participants in the three regions. In total, 262 samples were collected from outpatients, 499 from HIV-positive patients, and 110 from blood banks. The sample size calculation (based on a 40% expected proportion of ZIKV and FLAVI in a total population of 500,000 patients with a 95% confidence interval and a p-value of 0.05) [17] indicated a minimum sample size of 384 serum samples, which was increased to 871 samples for subgroup analyses by region. All study participants provided 5 mL of venous blood, and a local clinical diagnostic laboratory technician collected the blood samples from the three blood banks. All participants were screened for malaria using an RDT specific for the parasite (SD BIOLINE Malaria Differential P.f/Pan Ag RDT (HRP II+ pLDH, Abbott, Mikrogen Diagnostik, Neuried, Germany). In brief, 5 µL of blood sample was transferred into the sample well using the appropriate device included in the kit, and five drops of lysis buffer were added to the buffer well. The results were read visually after 15–20 min. Screened samples were shipped on dry ice to the Institute of Virology Universitatsklinikum, Freiburg, where they were tested for the presence of human immunoglobulin G (IgG) antibodies using recomLine Tropical Fever for the presence of arboviral antibody serological marker IgG immunoblot (Mikrogen Diagnostik, Neuried, Germany) ZIKV NS1 and ZIKV Equad and flavivirus according to the manufacturer [18]. In brief, test strips were loaded with ZIKV and FLAVI antigens and incubated with diluted serum in a dish for 1 h. The strips were then washed three times. Peroxidase-conjugated anti-human antibodies (IgG-specific) were added, incubated for 45 min, and washed three times. Insoluble bands developed at the sites on the test strips occupied by antibodies 8 min after the addition of the coloring solution. Statistical analyses were performed using SPSS version 21. Descriptive statistics were employed for the analysis of the results, and 95% confidence intervals [CI] were used to identify the sociodemographic and behavioral characteristics of the study population. The results are presented in tables and figures. The chi-squared test was performed and deemed statistically significant at p ≤ 0.05.

Based on the provided information, here are some potential innovations that could improve access to maternal health:

1. Mobile Health (mHealth) Solutions: Develop mobile applications or SMS-based platforms that provide pregnant women with information on maternal health, including prevention and management of mosquito-borne infections like Zika, flaviviruses, and malaria. These platforms can also offer reminders for antenatal care visits and provide access to teleconsultations with healthcare providers.

2. Point-of-Care Testing: Implement rapid diagnostic tests for mosquito-borne infections like Zika, flaviviruses, and malaria in antenatal care clinics. These tests can provide quick and accurate results, enabling timely diagnosis and appropriate management of these infections in pregnant women.

3. Community Health Workers: Train and deploy community health workers to educate pregnant women in rural and urban areas about the risks of mosquito-borne infections and the importance of seeking antenatal care. These workers can also provide basic preventive measures and refer women to healthcare facilities for further evaluation and treatment.

4. Telemedicine: Establish telemedicine services that allow pregnant women in remote areas to consult with healthcare providers for prenatal care and management of mosquito-borne infections. This can help overcome geographical barriers and improve access to specialized care.

5. Public Health Campaigns: Conduct targeted public health campaigns to raise awareness about the risks of mosquito-borne infections during pregnancy and promote preventive measures such as the use of insecticide-treated bed nets, mosquito repellents, and elimination of mosquito breeding sites.

6. Capacity Building: Provide training and resources to healthcare providers, particularly in regions where mosquito-borne infections are endemic, to improve their knowledge and skills in diagnosing and managing these infections in pregnant women.

7. Data Collection and Surveillance: Strengthen surveillance systems to monitor the prevalence and distribution of mosquito-borne infections in pregnant women. This data can inform public health interventions and resource allocation to areas with higher disease burden.

8. Integration of Services: Integrate maternal health services with existing programs for mosquito control and prevention, such as vector control programs and malaria control initiatives. This can ensure a comprehensive approach to addressing the health needs of pregnant women in relation to mosquito-borne infections.

It is important to note that these recommendations are based on the information provided and may need to be adapted to the specific context and resources available in Nigeria.
AI Innovations Description
Based on the information provided, here is a recommendation that can be developed into an innovation to improve access to maternal health:

1. Implement a comprehensive maternal health screening program: Based on the findings of the study, there is a significant co-circulation of Zika virus (ZIKV), flaviviruses (FLAVI), and malaria in Nigeria. To improve access to maternal health, it is recommended to implement a comprehensive maternal health screening program that includes testing for these mosquito-borne infections. This program should be integrated into existing antenatal care services and should target pregnant women, as they are at a higher risk of severe complications from these infections.

2. Provide training and resources for healthcare providers: To effectively implement the maternal health screening program, healthcare providers need to be trained on how to conduct the screening tests and interpret the results. Additionally, they should be provided with the necessary resources, such as testing kits and laboratory facilities, to ensure accurate and timely diagnosis. This will enable healthcare providers to identify and manage cases of ZIKV, FLAVI, and malaria in pregnant women, leading to improved maternal health outcomes.

3. Raise awareness and educate pregnant women: It is crucial to raise awareness among pregnant women about the risks and symptoms associated with ZIKV, FLAVI, and malaria. This can be done through educational campaigns, community outreach programs, and the distribution of informational materials. By educating pregnant women about these infections, they can take preventive measures, seek early medical care, and make informed decisions regarding their health and the health of their unborn child.

4. Strengthen healthcare infrastructure: To ensure access to maternal health services, it is essential to strengthen healthcare infrastructure, particularly in rural and slum areas where access to healthcare facilities may be limited. This can be achieved by improving the availability and accessibility of healthcare facilities, equipping them with necessary medical supplies and equipment, and increasing the number of skilled healthcare providers. Additionally, efforts should be made to address the environmental factors that contribute to the transmission of these infections, such as improving sanitation and implementing vector control measures.

5. Collaborate with international organizations and research institutions: Given the limited data on the prevalence of ZIKV, FLAVI, and malaria in Nigeria, it is important to collaborate with international organizations and research institutions to conduct further research and gather more comprehensive data. This will help in better understanding the disease burden, hidden endemicity, and epidemiological patterns, which can inform the development of targeted interventions and policies to improve access to maternal health.

By implementing these recommendations, it is possible to develop an innovation that addresses the co-circulation of ZIKV, FLAVI, and malaria in Nigeria and improves access to maternal health services.
AI Innovations Methodology
Based on the provided information, here are some potential recommendations to improve access to maternal health:

1. Strengthening Healthcare Infrastructure: Invest in improving healthcare facilities, particularly in rural and slum areas, by providing adequate resources, equipment, and trained healthcare professionals. This will ensure that pregnant women have access to quality maternal healthcare services.

2. Mobile Health (mHealth) Solutions: Utilize mobile technology to provide maternal health information, reminders for prenatal care appointments, and access to telemedicine consultations. This can help overcome geographical barriers and improve access to healthcare for pregnant women, especially in remote areas.

3. Community-Based Interventions: Implement community-based programs that focus on educating and empowering women about maternal health, including prenatal care, nutrition, and family planning. Engaging local communities and traditional birth attendants can help increase awareness and utilization of maternal health services.

4. Transportation Support: Address transportation challenges by providing affordable and accessible transportation options for pregnant women to reach healthcare facilities. This can include initiatives such as subsidized transportation vouchers or partnerships with local transport providers.

To simulate the impact of these recommendations on improving access to maternal health, a methodology could include the following steps:

1. Define Key Metrics: Identify specific indicators to measure the impact, such as the number of pregnant women accessing prenatal care, the reduction in maternal mortality rates, or the increase in the percentage of women receiving skilled birth attendance.

2. Data Collection: Gather relevant data on the current state of maternal health access, including the number of healthcare facilities, healthcare personnel, and utilization rates. This can be done through surveys, interviews, and existing health records.

3. Baseline Assessment: Establish a baseline by analyzing the collected data to understand the current level of access to maternal health services and identify any existing gaps or challenges.

4. Scenario Development: Develop scenarios that simulate the implementation of the recommended innovations. This can involve estimating the potential increase in healthcare facilities, the number of women reached through mHealth solutions, or the impact of community-based interventions.

5. Impact Assessment: Use statistical analysis and modeling techniques to estimate the impact of each scenario on the defined key metrics. This can involve comparing the projected outcomes of the scenarios with the baseline assessment.

6. Sensitivity Analysis: Conduct sensitivity analysis to assess the robustness of the results and identify potential uncertainties or limitations in the methodology.

7. Recommendations and Implementation: Based on the simulation results, identify the most effective recommendations and develop an implementation plan. This can include allocating resources, establishing partnerships, and monitoring the progress of the interventions.

By following this methodology, policymakers and healthcare stakeholders can gain insights into the potential impact of different innovations on improving access to maternal health and make informed decisions to prioritize and implement the most effective strategies.

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