Patterns of mortality in public and private hospitals of Addis Ababa, Ethiopia

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Study Justification:
– Ethiopia is facing a growing burden of non-communicable diseases, infectious diseases, perinatal and nutritional problems.
– This study aimed to examine the mortality patterns from communicable and non-communicable diseases in public and private hospitals in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Study Highlights:
– Approximately 47,153 deaths were captured over eight years (2002-2010) in 43 public and private hospitals in Addis Ababa.
– 59% of the deaths were attributed to communicable diseases, maternal conditions, and nutritional deficiencies (Group I diseases).
– 31% of the deaths were attributed to non-communicable causes (Group II diseases).
– 12% of the deaths were due to injuries (Group III diseases).
– Leading causes of death for males were conditions arising during the perinatal period, HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis, cardiovascular diseases, and respiratory infections.
– Leading causes of death for females were conditions arising during the perinatal period, HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis, cardiovascular diseases, and respiratory infections.
– Deaths due to communicable diseases decreased while deaths due to non-communicable diseases increased with age.
– Group I diseases and HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis, and stillbirth mortality showed a decreasing trend over time, while Group II and III diseases increased.
– Mortality variation with age was identified between public and private hospitals.
Recommendations for Lay Reader and Policy Maker:
– Priority should be given to the prevention and management of conditions arising during the perinatal period, HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis, respiratory infections, cardiovascular diseases, malignant neoplasm, chronic respiratory diseases, and road traffic accidents.
– Health resources and activities should take into account the double burden in mortality due to communicable and non-communicable diseases.
– Strengthen approaches towards the control and prevention of non-communicable diseases such as cardiovascular diseases and malignant neoplasm.
Key Role Players:
– Hospital clerks (43 data collectors)
– Nurses (3 coordinators)
– Medical doctors
– Researchers
– Institutional Review Board (IRB)
– National Ethics Review Committee
Cost Items for Planning Recommendations:
– Training for hospital clerks and coordinators
– Data collection and entry
– Data cleaning
– Software (STATA)
– Institutional review and ethics approval
– Local authorities’ permission
– Research team expenses (office space, equipment, etc.)

The strength of evidence for this abstract is 7 out of 10.
The evidence in the abstract is moderately strong. The study provides a detailed description of the methods used, including the number of deaths captured, data collection process, and statistical analysis. The study also includes percentages, proportional mortality ratios, and adjusted odds ratios to support the findings. However, the abstract does not mention any limitations or potential biases in the study. To improve the strength of the evidence, the authors could consider discussing any limitations or potential biases in the study, such as selection bias or data quality issues. Additionally, providing more information on the representativeness of the hospitals and the population they serve would enhance the generalizability of the findings.

Background: Ethiopia is encountering a growing burden of non-communicable diseases along with infectious diseases, perinatal and nutritional problems that have long been considered major problems of public health importance. This retrospective analysis was carried out to examine the mortality patterns from communicable diseases and non communicable diseases in public and private hospitals of Addis Ababa. Methods. Approximately 47,153 deaths were captured over eight years (2002-2010) in forty three public and private hospitals of Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. Data collectors (43 hospital clerks) and coordinators (3 nurses) had been extensively trained on how to review hospital death records. Information obtained included: dates of admission and death, age, sex, address, and principal cause of death. Only the diseases responsible for deaths are taken as the cause of death. Cause of death was coded using International Classification of Diseases (ICD-10) and data were double entered. Diseases were classified into: Group I (communicable diseases, maternal conditions and nutritional deficiencies); Group II (non-communicable causes); and Group III (injuries). Percentages, proportional mortality ratios, 95% confidence intervals (CI) and Adjusted odd ratios (OR) were calculated. Results: Overall, 59% of the deaths were attributed to Group I diseases, and 31% to Group II diseases and 12% to injuries. Nearly 56% of the males and 68% of the females deaths were due to five leading causes (conditions arising during perinatal period, HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis, cardiovascular diseases and respiratory infections). Significantly larger proportions of females died from Group I (67%) and Group II diseases (32%) compared with males (where the respective proportions were 52% and 30%). Significantly higher proportion of males (17%) than females (6%) were dying from Group III diseases. Deaths due to Group I diseases decreased while those due to Group II diseases increased with age. Overall Group I diseases and HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis and still birth mortality in particular have showed decreasing trend while Group II and III increasing over time. Double burden in mortality was highly observed in the age groups of 15-64 years. Those aged >45 years were dying more likely with non-communicable diseases compared with children. Children aged below 15 years were 16 times more likely to die from communicable, perinatal and nutritional conditions compared with elders. Mortality variation with age has been identified between public and private hospitals. Conclusions: The results of the present study shows that, in addition to the common Group I causes of death, emerging group II diseases are contributing to high proportions of mortality in the public and private hospitals of Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. Thus, priority should be given to the prevention and management of conditions arising during perinatal period such as low birth weight and still birth, HIV/AIDS; tuberculosis, respiratory infections, cardiovascular diseases, malignant neoplasm, chronic respiratory diseases and road traffic accident. The planning of health resources and activities should take into account the double burden in mortality due to Group I and Group II diseases. This calls for strengthening approaches towards the control and prevention of non-communicable diseases such as cardiovascular and malignant neoplasm. © 2012 Misganaw et al.; licensee BioMed Central Ltd.

This study was part of Addis Ababa Mortality Surveillance Program (AAMSP) the then project and in place since 2001 in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. In Addis Ababa, totally there are 43 (21% of the total hospitals in the country) hospitals of which 12 are registered public and 31 are registered private hospitals. In addition, there are 41 health centers (24 governmental and 7 private) with 141 beds and 551 private clinics (109 special, 169 higher, 146 medium and 127 lower). Nearly 43% of the total medical doctors in the country are serving in these health facilities. The hospitals provide health care services not only for Addis Ababa residents but also serve as referral facilities for the nation [11,12]. According to the 2007 national census, the total population of Addis Ababa, the capital of Ethiopia was above 2.7 million, of which 47.6% were males and 52% were females. The total fertility rate of the city is below replacement level (1.5) and crude death rate is 9/1000. Infant mortality rate is 40/1000 [13] live births and maternal mortality rate is 0.001 [14]. This retrospective study was carried out to examine the causes of all deaths in private and public hospitals in Addis Ababa over eight years period (2002–2010). There were 43 data collectors assigned within each hospital and three research coordinators. The data collectors and coordinators had prior relevant experience and extensive training on how to review hospital death records and registration books. To capture deaths in all hospitals, medical records and death registry books for the study period were reviewed. Information obtained includes: date of admission and date of death, name, age, sex, address, principal cause of death. Only the disease/s responsible for death is/are taken as the cause of death. Cause of death was coded according to the International Classification of Diseases, tenth revision (ICD-10) [15]. Approximately, 47,153 deaths were captured in public and private hospitals in Addis Ababa during the study period. Data were double entered to Access Microsoft Office spreadsheet and cleaned using STATA .do files. The 2006 Global Burden of Diseases classification was adapted to classify cause of deaths in our study. This classification categorized diseases into: Group I (communicable diseases, maternal conditions and nutritional deficiencies); Group II (non-communicable causes); and Group III (injuries) [16]. Percentages and proportional mortality ratios were calculated using STATA software. Binary logistic regression model was used to assess associations and significant differences, with adjusted odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). The program protocol was approved by Institutional Review Board (IRB) of the College of Health Sciences, Addis Ababa University, and the National Ethics Review of Committee of the Ethiopian Ministry of Science and Technology. Permission for the study had been also obtained from local authorities. In the office, individual information was accessible only to the research team and is kept confidential.

Based on the information provided, here are some potential innovations that could improve access to maternal health:

1. Telemedicine: Implementing telemedicine services can provide remote access to healthcare professionals for pregnant women in rural areas, allowing them to receive prenatal care and consultations without having to travel long distances.

2. Mobile clinics: Setting up mobile clinics that travel to remote areas can ensure that pregnant women have access to prenatal care, vaccinations, and other essential maternal health services.

3. Community health workers: Training and deploying community health workers who can provide basic maternal health services, education, and support in underserved areas can help improve access to care for pregnant women.

4. Health information systems: Implementing electronic health records and health information systems can improve coordination and communication between healthcare providers, ensuring that pregnant women receive timely and appropriate care.

5. Maternal health vouchers: Introducing maternal health vouchers that provide financial assistance for prenatal care, delivery, and postnatal care can help reduce financial barriers and improve access to essential maternal health services.

6. Public-private partnerships: Collaborating with private healthcare providers to expand access to maternal health services can help alleviate the burden on public hospitals and increase the availability of care for pregnant women.

7. Health education programs: Developing and implementing health education programs that focus on maternal health and prenatal care can empower women with knowledge and help them make informed decisions about their health and the health of their babies.

8. Transportation support: Providing transportation support, such as subsidized or free transportation services, can help pregnant women overcome geographical barriers and ensure they can access healthcare facilities for prenatal care and delivery.

9. Maternal waiting homes: Establishing maternal waiting homes near healthcare facilities can provide a safe and comfortable place for pregnant women to stay before delivery, especially for those who live far away from hospitals.

10. Task-shifting: Training and empowering midwives and other healthcare professionals to take on additional responsibilities and tasks traditionally performed by doctors can help increase the availability of skilled maternal healthcare providers in underserved areas.

These are just a few potential innovations that could be considered to improve access to maternal health based on the information provided.
AI Innovations Description
Based on the information provided, the recommendation to improve access to maternal health in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia is as follows:

1. Strengthen prevention and management of conditions arising during the perinatal period: Low birth weight and stillbirths are identified as leading causes of mortality. Implement strategies to improve antenatal care, promote healthy pregnancies, and provide adequate support during childbirth.

2. Focus on the prevention and management of HIV/AIDS and tuberculosis: These diseases contribute significantly to mortality rates. Enhance efforts to prevent the transmission of HIV/AIDS, provide access to antiretroviral therapy, and improve tuberculosis diagnosis and treatment.

3. Improve prevention and treatment of respiratory infections and cardiovascular diseases: These conditions are identified as emerging causes of mortality. Enhance public health campaigns to raise awareness about respiratory infections and promote healthy lifestyles to prevent cardiovascular diseases.

4. Strengthen control and prevention of non-communicable diseases: Malignant neoplasms (cancer) and chronic respiratory diseases are identified as increasing causes of mortality. Implement comprehensive strategies to prevent and manage non-communicable diseases, including early detection, treatment, and lifestyle interventions.

5. Address the double burden of mortality due to Group I and Group II diseases: Develop integrated approaches that prioritize both communicable and non-communicable diseases. This includes coordinating resources, healthcare services, and public health interventions to effectively address the different causes of mortality.

6. Improve healthcare infrastructure and resources: Ensure that public and private hospitals have the necessary facilities, equipment, and trained healthcare professionals to provide quality maternal healthcare services. This may involve increasing the number of healthcare facilities, improving their capacity, and ensuring equitable distribution of resources.

7. Enhance data collection and surveillance systems: Continue the Addis Ababa Mortality Surveillance Program to monitor trends in maternal mortality and identify areas for improvement. Regularly analyze data to inform evidence-based decision-making and evaluate the impact of interventions.

8. Strengthen collaboration and coordination: Foster partnerships between public and private healthcare providers, government agencies, non-governmental organizations, and community stakeholders to work together towards improving access to maternal health services. This includes sharing resources, knowledge, and best practices.

By implementing these recommendations, it is expected that access to maternal health services in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia can be improved, leading to a reduction in maternal mortality rates and better health outcomes for women and their newborns.
AI Innovations Methodology
Based on the provided information, here are some potential recommendations for improving access to maternal health:

1. Strengthening perinatal care: Prioritize the prevention and management of conditions arising during the perinatal period, such as low birth weight and stillbirth. This can be achieved through improved antenatal care, skilled birth attendance, and postnatal care.

2. Enhancing HIV/AIDS and tuberculosis prevention and management: Given the high proportion of deaths attributed to HIV/AIDS and tuberculosis, it is crucial to focus on prevention, early detection, and effective treatment of these diseases among pregnant women.

3. Improving access to reproductive healthcare services: Ensure that women have access to comprehensive reproductive healthcare services, including family planning, prenatal care, safe abortion services, and post-abortion care.

4. Addressing cardiovascular diseases and respiratory infections: Develop strategies to prevent and manage cardiovascular diseases and respiratory infections, which contribute significantly to maternal mortality. This may involve improving access to diagnostic tools, medications, and specialized care.

5. Strengthening health systems: Invest in strengthening healthcare infrastructure, including public and private hospitals, health centers, and clinics. This includes ensuring an adequate number of skilled healthcare providers, essential medical supplies, and equipment.

Methodology to simulate the impact of these recommendations on improving access to maternal health:

1. Data collection: Collect data on the current status of maternal health access, including indicators such as maternal mortality rate, antenatal care coverage, skilled birth attendance, and access to reproductive healthcare services.

2. Define simulation parameters: Determine the specific parameters to be simulated, such as the increase in coverage of perinatal care, HIV/AIDS and tuberculosis prevention and management, access to reproductive healthcare services, and improvements in cardiovascular and respiratory disease management.

3. Modeling the impact: Use mathematical models or simulation software to estimate the potential impact of the recommended interventions on maternal health outcomes. This may involve creating scenarios with different levels of intervention coverage and assessing the resulting changes in maternal mortality rates, antenatal care utilization, and other relevant indicators.

4. Sensitivity analysis: Conduct sensitivity analysis to assess the robustness of the simulation results. This involves testing the impact of varying input parameters and assumptions to understand the potential range of outcomes.

5. Interpretation and policy implications: Analyze the simulation results and interpret the potential impact of the recommended interventions on improving access to maternal health. Use these findings to inform policy decisions and prioritize interventions that are likely to have the greatest impact.

6. Monitoring and evaluation: Continuously monitor and evaluate the implementation of the recommended interventions to assess their actual impact on improving access to maternal health. Adjust the simulation model as needed based on real-world data and feedback from the field.

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