Incidence, time to recovery and predictors among neonates admitted with respiratory distress to the neonatal intensive care unit at the University of Gondar Comprehensive Specialized Hospital, Northwest Ethiopia, 2021

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Study Justification:
– Respiratory distress is a major contributor to newborn morbidity and mortality worldwide, particularly in resource-constrained countries like Ethiopia.
– The incidence and time to recovery from respiratory distress may vary depending on the quality of care provided, but there is a lack of appropriate data on this in Ethiopia.
– Understanding the incidence, time to recovery, and predictors of respiratory distress among neonates can help identify those at risk and guide prompt referral to hospitals, providing clinicians with prognostic information.
Study Highlights:
– The study was conducted at the University of Gondar Comprehensive Specialized Hospital in Northwest Ethiopia.
– A total of 452 neonates with respiratory distress were included in the study.
– The overall incidence rate of neonates admitted with respiratory distress was 11.5 per 100-neonate day.
– The median time to recovery from respiratory distress was 7 days.
– Predictors of time to recovery included very low birth weight, low birth weight, very preterm birth, sepsis, hypothermia, and low Apgar scores at first and fifth minute.
Study Recommendations:
– The findings of this study suggest that the incidence and time to recovery from respiratory distress in the study population were relatively acceptable compared to previous studies.
– The identified predictors can be used to identify neonates at risk of developing long-term illness and guide prompt referral to hospitals.
– Clinicians should consider these predictors when assessing neonates with respiratory distress, as longer recovery times have economic and social implications in resource-limited countries like Ethiopia.
Key Role Players:
– Neonatologists and pediatricians: Provide specialized care and treatment for neonates with respiratory distress.
– Nurses: Assist in the care and monitoring of neonates in the neonatal intensive care unit.
– Hospital administrators: Allocate resources and support the implementation of recommendations.
– Policy makers: Develop policies and guidelines to improve the management of respiratory distress in neonates.
Cost Items for Planning Recommendations:
– Training and capacity building for healthcare providers.
– Equipment and supplies for the neonatal intensive care unit.
– Development and implementation of referral systems.
– Monitoring and evaluation of the implementation of recommendations.
– Research and data collection to further understand the incidence and time to recovery from respiratory distress in different settings.
Please note that the cost items provided are general suggestions and may vary depending on the specific context and needs of the healthcare facility.

The strength of evidence for this abstract is 7 out of 10.
The evidence in the abstract is moderately strong. The study design is retrospective and includes a large sample size, which enhances the reliability of the findings. The data analysis includes both descriptive and inferential statistics, and the results are presented with confidence intervals. However, the study is limited to a single institution and may not be generalizable to other settings. To improve the strength of the evidence, future studies could consider a prospective design and include multiple centers to increase the external validity of the findings.

Background One of the major factors contributing to newborn morbidity and mortality across the globe is respiratory distress. In resource-constrained developing nations like Ethiopia, it is a significant issue. Depending on the quality of the care provided, the incidence and time to recovery may differ amongst medical facilities. However, Ethiopia still lacks appropriate data on the incidence and time to recovery from respiratory distress. Objective The aim of the study was to assess the incidence, time to recovery, and predictors among neonates admitted with respiratory distress in the neonatal intensive care unit at the University of Gondar Comprehensive Specialized Hospital. Methods An institution-based retrospective follow-up study design was conducted among 452 neonates with respiratory distress. Data were collected using a data extraction checklist from the medical registry. The extracted data were entered into EPI INFO version 7.2.1.0 and then exported to STATA version 14 for analysis. The median time to recovery, the Kaplan Meier curve, and the log-rank test was computed. Both bi-variable and multivariable Cox regression models were applied to analyze the data. p-value ≤ 0.05 was considered statistically significant. Results Of all respiratory distressed neonate,311 were recovered. The overall incidence rate of neonates admitted with from respiratory distress was 11.5 per 100-neonate day (95% CI: 10.30-12. 87) with 2,703-person day observation and the median time to recovery from respiratory distress was 7 days with (IQR = 3-13 days). Predictors of time to recovery from respiratory distress were very low birth weight (AHR = 0.17, 95% CI: 0.08-0.41), low birth weight (AHR = 0.50, 95% CI: 0.31-0.81), very preterm (AHR = 0.42,95% CI:0.20-0.89), sepsis (AHR = 0.50 95% CI: 0.38-0.65), hypothermia (AHR = 0.61, 95% CI: 0.39-0.81), and Apgar scores less than seven at first (AHR = 0.35, 95% CI: 0.15-0.79) and fifth minute (AHR = 0.45, 95% CI: 0.20-0.97). Conclusion The incidence and time to recovery in this study were discreetly acceptable as compared to previous study. The aforementioned predictors could be used to identify neonates with respiratory distress who are at risk of developing a long-term illness and guide prompt referral to hospitals. This will also provide clinicians with prognostic information, as longer recovery times have economic and social implications in resource limited countries like Ethiopia.

The study was conducted in UOGCSH Northern Ethiopia, which is located approximately 728 km away from the capital city, Addis Ababa, 175 km from the Regional Capital, Bahir Dar. The hospital serves a population of over 7 million people in northwest Ethiopia. The NICU is a unit within the department of pediatrics and child health that provides an intensive care unit for neonates and has a capacity of approximately 40 beds at any given time. The space also accommodates invasive and non-invasive ventilations. On average, 845 births occur in the hospital each month from gestational ages of twenty-eight weeks and above, which are considered viable. The study was conducted from 01/01/2021 to 30/06/2021. An institution-based retrospective study was conducted among neonates admitted with respiratory distress in the NICU. All neonates admitted with respiratory distress to the NICU at UOGCSH were the source populations, and all neonates admitted with respiratory distress during the study period were the study populations. All neonates admitted with the diagnosis of RD in UOGCSH during the study period were included in the study. Neonates who recorded the date of admission/date of discharge and had missing charts were excluded from the study Time to recovery from RD in (days). Sociodemographic factors; residence, sex, birth weight of the neonate and gestational age. Obstetric and related factors: parity, mode of delivery, place of delivery, multiple pregnancies, PROM, preeclampsia, and placental abruption. Medical disorders in mother: gestational hypertension, maternal diabetes mellitus and human immunodeficiency virus/acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (HIV/AIDS). Neonatal outcome condition: birth asphyxia, Apgar score, sepsis, jaundice, hypothermia, hypoglycemia, meconium aspiration and congenital anomalies. If a neonate was recovered from RD after completing treatment based on physician diagnosis. A period of time between the neonate’s admission by RD and his or her discharge while the neonate is recovered. It was calculated by subtracting the date of admission from the date of discharge (time in days until recovery/discharge). It refers to a neonates referred, died, transferred or defaulted from treatment. The presence of two or more of the following signs: an abnormal respiratory rate (tachypnea >60 breaths/min, bradypnea <30 breaths/minute, respiratory pauses, or apnea) or signs of labored breathing (expiratory grunting, nasal flaring, intercostal recessions, xyphoid recessions), with or without cyanosis [12]. The sample size was determined by a power approach using the sample size determination formula for survival analysis [20]: Total sample size needed (n) = (A/B)/e where n is the required sample size, Zα/2 is the critical value of the standard normally distributed variable at the 5% significance level (1.96), Zβ is the critical value of the standard normally distributed variable at the 20% significance level or type two error (0.8416), RH is the log (hazard ratio), p1 is the proportion of patients in the first category, and p2 is the proportion of patients in the second category [20] The proportion of recovered RD patients in this case was e = 0.429, based on a previous study conducted in a black lion specialized hospital [21]. Using the above formula, the sample size was calculated taking into account the following factors: PROM, sex, sepsis, maternal diabetes. Finally, the maximum appropriate sample size is obtained for PROM, which is 452.After determining the sampling fraction (k = 3), the neonates’ cards were accessed using the systematic random sampling technique, and the first card was drawn using the lottery method. The information was gathered using a checklist adapted from RD neonatal charts and similar studies (22, 23). The data collection checklist was written in English. The checklist includes information on sociodemographic characteristics of neonates with RD, as well as the mother’s maternal medical condition, neonatal medical condition, and obstetric- and gynecological-related predictors. Before collecting data, the records were reviewed, and RD neonatal cards were identified by their medical registration number. After one day of training, two BSc nurse data collectors were supervised by one BSc nurse supervisor. The data was then extracted using a structured and pretested data extraction checklist. Designing appropriate data abstraction tools ensured data quality. One day of training was also provided for both data collectors and supervisors on the data abstraction tool and data collection process. The supervisors and principal investigator closely monitored the day-to-day data collection process to ensure the checklist was complete and consistent. The data was evaluated daily for completeness, and any difficulties encountered during data collection were addressed accordingly. Finally, the supervisor and investigator double-checked all collected data for completeness and consistency during data management, storage, and analysis. Data were collected using a semi-structured checklist, and each questionnaire was checked for completeness of data, assigned a code, entered into EPI INFO 7.2, and exported to Stata14 statistical software for analysis. Prior to analysis, the data were cleaned, and missing values were handled by revising the original coded questionnaire. The median time to recovery, Kaplan Meier curve, and log-rank test were computed. The proportional hazard assumption was validated graphically as well as through Schoenfeld residual global tests. The bivariable and multivariable Cox regression models were used to describe the association between the dependent and independent variables, as well as independent predictors of time to recovery. To control for potential confounding covariates at the same time, covariates with a P-value of 0.05 in bivariate analysis were entered into a multivariable regression analysis. The Cox Snell residual test was used to evaluate the model’s goodness of fit. The Crude Hazard Ratio (CHR) and Adjusted Hazard Ratio (AHR) were used to assess the strength of association between the independent and dependent variables. Overall, a P-value ≤ 0.05 was considered statistically significant, with their respective 95% confidence intervals. Ethical clearance was obtained from the University of Gondar, Institute of Public Health Ethical Review Committee (Ref No/IPH/1504/2013 E.C.). The members of the ethical review Committee wrote letters of cooperation to UOGCSH, and permission was later obtained from the clinical director, department head and card room head at the hospital. The patients will not be harmed because the study was carried out using appropriate information from their medical charts. The name or any other identifying information was not recorded on the checklist, and all information obtained from the chart was strictly confidential and kept in a secure location. Following these approvals, access to the medical charts was granted, and we did our best to maintain participant confidentiality by storing them in a file cabinet and keeping them in a keyed and locked.

Based on the information provided, here are some potential innovations that could be used to improve access to maternal health:

1. Telemedicine: Implementing telemedicine services can improve access to maternal health by allowing pregnant women in remote or underserved areas to consult with healthcare providers remotely. This can help in early detection of complications and timely interventions.

2. Mobile health (mHealth) applications: Developing mobile applications that provide information and resources related to maternal health can empower women with knowledge and enable them to make informed decisions about their health. These apps can also provide reminders for prenatal care appointments and medication adherence.

3. Community health workers: Training and deploying community health workers who can provide basic prenatal care, education, and support to pregnant women in their communities can improve access to maternal health services, especially in rural areas where healthcare facilities are limited.

4. Transportation services: Establishing transportation services specifically for pregnant women can help overcome geographical barriers and ensure that women can reach healthcare facilities for prenatal care, delivery, and postnatal care.

5. Maternal health clinics: Setting up dedicated maternal health clinics in underserved areas can provide comprehensive care for pregnant women, including prenatal check-ups, vaccinations, and counseling services. These clinics can also serve as a hub for community health workers and telemedicine consultations.

6. Public-private partnerships: Collaborating with private healthcare providers and organizations can help expand access to maternal health services. This can involve subsidizing costs, providing training and resources, and leveraging existing infrastructure to reach more women in need.

7. Health education programs: Implementing targeted health education programs that focus on maternal health can increase awareness about the importance of prenatal care, nutrition, and hygiene practices. These programs can be conducted in schools, community centers, and through mass media channels.

It’s important to note that the specific context and needs of the community should be considered when implementing these innovations. Additionally, continuous monitoring and evaluation should be conducted to assess their effectiveness and make necessary adjustments.
AI Innovations Description
Based on the information provided, the study conducted at the University of Gondar Comprehensive Specialized Hospital in Northwest Ethiopia aimed to assess the incidence, time to recovery, and predictors among neonates admitted with respiratory distress in the neonatal intensive care unit (NICU). The study found that the overall incidence rate of neonates admitted with respiratory distress was 11.5 per 100-neonate day, with a median time to recovery of 7 days. Predictors of time to recovery from respiratory distress included very low birth weight, low birth weight, very preterm birth, sepsis, hypothermia, and low Apgar scores at first and fifth minute.

Based on these findings, a recommendation to improve access to maternal health could be to implement targeted interventions for high-risk neonates with respiratory distress. This could involve identifying pregnant women at risk of delivering preterm or low birth weight babies and providing them with appropriate antenatal care and support. Additionally, healthcare facilities should ensure that they have well-equipped NICUs with trained healthcare professionals to provide timely and effective care for neonates with respiratory distress. This may involve improving infrastructure, ensuring availability of necessary medical equipment and supplies, and providing training for healthcare staff.

Furthermore, the study highlights the importance of early detection and management of conditions such as sepsis and hypothermia, which were identified as predictors of longer recovery times. Therefore, efforts should be made to strengthen maternal and neonatal healthcare systems to enable early identification and prompt treatment of these conditions.

Overall, by implementing these recommendations, healthcare facilities can improve access to maternal health by reducing neonatal morbidity and mortality associated with respiratory distress.
AI Innovations Methodology
Based on the provided information, here are some potential recommendations to improve access to maternal health:

1. Strengthening healthcare infrastructure: Investing in the development and improvement of healthcare facilities, particularly in resource-constrained areas, can enhance access to maternal health services. This includes expanding the capacity of neonatal intensive care units (NICUs) and ensuring they are equipped with necessary medical equipment and trained healthcare professionals.

2. Enhancing transportation systems: Improving transportation networks and access to ambulances or emergency vehicles can help pregnant women reach healthcare facilities quickly and safely, especially in remote or rural areas. This can be achieved through the establishment of emergency transportation services or partnerships with existing transportation providers.

3. Increasing awareness and education: Conducting community-based awareness campaigns and educational programs can help pregnant women and their families understand the importance of prenatal care, early detection of complications, and timely access to healthcare services. This can be done through various channels, such as radio, television, community meetings, and mobile health applications.

4. Strengthening referral systems: Establishing effective referral systems between primary healthcare centers, hospitals, and specialized facilities can ensure timely and appropriate care for pregnant women with complications. This includes training healthcare providers on the referral process and improving communication channels between different levels of healthcare facilities.

To simulate the impact of these recommendations on improving access to maternal health, a methodology could include the following steps:

1. Define the target population: Identify the specific population that will benefit from the recommendations, such as pregnant women in a particular region or healthcare facility.

2. Collect baseline data: Gather relevant data on the current state of access to maternal health services, including indicators such as distance to healthcare facilities, transportation availability, awareness levels, and referral patterns.

3. Develop a simulation model: Create a mathematical or computational model that represents the target population and simulates the impact of the recommendations. This model should incorporate factors such as population demographics, healthcare infrastructure, transportation systems, and awareness levels.

4. Input data and parameters: Input the collected baseline data into the simulation model, along with parameters related to the recommendations (e.g., improved transportation availability, increased awareness levels).

5. Run simulations: Run multiple simulations using different scenarios, varying the parameters related to the recommendations. This will allow for the evaluation of different potential outcomes and the identification of the most effective strategies.

6. Analyze results: Analyze the simulation results to assess the impact of the recommendations on access to maternal health services. This can include evaluating changes in indicators such as distance traveled to healthcare facilities, reduction in delays in receiving care, and improvements in health outcomes.

7. Refine and validate the model: Continuously refine and validate the simulation model based on real-world data and feedback from stakeholders. This will ensure the accuracy and reliability of the model’s predictions.

8. Communicate findings: Present the findings of the simulation study to relevant stakeholders, such as policymakers, healthcare providers, and community members. This can help inform decision-making and guide the implementation of strategies to improve access to maternal health services.

It is important to note that the methodology for simulating the impact of recommendations may vary depending on the specific context and available data.

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