The impact of implementing the 2016 WHO Recommendations on Antenatal Care for a Positive Pregnancy Experience on perinatal deaths: An interrupted time-series analysis in Mpumalanga province, South Africa

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Study Justification:
The study aimed to investigate the impact of implementing the 2016 WHO Recommendations on Antenatal Care for a Positive Pregnancy Experience on perinatal deaths in Mpumalanga province, South Africa. The justification for the study was to determine if the implementation of these recommendations would effectively reduce perinatal mortality rates in the province.
Study Highlights:
– The study used a retrospective interrupted time-series analysis to compare perinatal mortality rates before and after the implementation of the WHO recommendations.
– The analysis included data from April 2014 to September 2019, with a pre-implementation period from April 2014 to March 2017 and a post-implementation period from April 2018 to September 2019.
– The main outcome measure was the prevalence ratio (PR) for perinatal deaths before and after implementation, as well as trends in perinatal mortality, stillbirth risk by gestational age, and primary cause of deaths.
– The results showed a 5.8% absolute decrease in stillbirths after implementation, although this was not statistically significant. However, fresh stillbirths decreased by 16.6%.
– Stratified analysis showed a decrease in stillbirths and early neonatal deaths for babies weighing over 2500g.
– The interrupted time-series analysis confirmed a trend for decreasing stillbirths, early neonatal deaths, and perinatal mortality in the post-implementation period.
– The study concluded that the implementation of the WHO recommendations may be an effective public health strategy to reduce stillbirths in South African provinces.
Recommendations:
Based on the study findings, the following recommendations can be made:
1. Continue implementing the 2016 WHO Recommendations on Antenatal Care for a Positive Pregnancy Experience in South African provinces.
2. Focus on increasing the number of antenatal care contacts, particularly in the 34-38 weeks period, to further reduce stillbirths.
3. Strengthen the detection and management of hypertension during pregnancy, as it is a leading cause of direct maternal mortality and perinatal deaths.
Key Role Players:
To address the recommendations, the following key role players are needed:
1. National Department of Health (NDoH): Responsible for reviewing and implementing ANC guidelines in South Africa.
2. South African Medical Research Council Maternal and Infant Health Care Strategies unit: Played a role in adapting the recommendations for the South African clinical context.
3. Health clinics and hospitals: Responsible for providing antenatal care services and implementing the recommendations.
4. Midwives and doctors: Involved in delivering antenatal care and implementing the new ANC package.
Cost Items for Planning Recommendations:
While the actual costs were minimal, the following cost items should be considered in planning the recommendations:
1. Printing of new antenatal checklists.
2. Workshops and training sessions for healthcare providers on the new ANC package.
3. Promotional materials and advertisements to generate awareness among pregnant women.
4. Additional resources for managing the increased number of antenatal care contacts, if necessary.
Please note that the above information is based on the provided description and may not include all details from the original publication.

Objectives To investigate if the implementation of the 2016 WHO Recommendations for a Positive Pregnancy Experience reduced perinatal mortality in a South African province. The recommendations were implemented which included increasing the number of contacts and also the content of the contacts. Methods Retrospective interrupted time-series analysis was conducted for all women accessing a minimum of one antenatal care contact from April 2014 to September 2019 in Mpumalanga province, South Africa. Retrospective interrupted time-series analysis of province level perinatal mortality and birth data comparing the pre-implementation period (April 2014-March 2017) and post-implementation period (April 2018-September 2019). The main outcome measure was unadjusted prevalence ratio (PR) for perinatal deaths before and after implementation; interrupted time-series analyses for trends in perinatal mortality before and after implementation; stillbirth risk by gestational age; primary cause of deaths (and maternal condition) before and after implementation. Results Overall, there was a 5.8% absolute decrease in stillbirths after implementation of the recommendations, however this was not statistically significant (PR 0.95, 95% CI 0.90% to 1.05%; p=0.073). Fresh stillbirths decreased by 16.6% (PR 0.86, 95% CI 0.77% to 0.95%; p=0.003) while macerated stillbirths (p=0.899) and early neonatal deaths remained unchanged (p=0.499). When stratified by weight fresh stillbirths >2500 g decreased by 17.2% (PR 0.81, 95% CI 0.70% to 0.94%; p=0.007) and early neonatal deaths decreased by 12.8% (PR 0.88, 95% CI 0.77% to 0.99%; p=0.041). The interrupted time-series analysis confirmed a trend for decreasing stillbirths at 0.09/1000 births per month (-0.09, 95% CI-1.18 to 0.01; p=0.059), early neonatal deaths (-0.09, 95% CI-0.14 to 0.04; p=<0.001) and perinatal mortality (-1.18, 95% CI-0.27 to-0.09; p1000 g) in women who had accessed any ANC, before and after the implementation period. We also examined stillbirth risk across pregnancy, primary cause of death and maternal condition before and after implementation. After some unease was expressed by South African clinicians using the reduced antenatal contact model,13 a working group was established by the National Department of Health (NDoH) to review ANC in South Africa. The working group’s report was submitted to the NDoH and was supported by the release of the WHO Recommendations. The Minister of Health accepted a new ANC package (called Basic Antenatal Care Plus—BANC Plus) put forward at the National Health Council on 24th of November 2016 and instructed the members of the executive council to implement BANC Plus starting 1st of April 2017. BANC Plus supported the WHO recommendation to increase routine ANC contacts for all women to >12, 20, 26, 30, 34, 36, 38, 40 weeks. Prior to the implementation of BANC Plus, the routine ANC schedule across South Africa consisted of five contacts at 20, 26, 32, 38, 41 weeks (except Western Cape which had more frequent contacts). The South African Medical Research Council Maternal and Infant Health Care Strategies unit played an integral role in adapting the recommendations for the South African clinical context.14 In addition to the increase in the number of contacts, the content of each contact was changed. The antenatal checklist to be completed after every contact was adapted so that the examinations, investigations and interventions that needed to be done at the contact were listed. Introducing BANC Plus was about changing the way ANC was carried out. In South Africa women access ANC at the primary health clinic (PHC) level and are up-referred if they are identified as high risk using a predefined set of criteria including conditions such as fetal growth restriction and hypertension. One of the intended focus points was to increase the detection and management of hypertension which is the leading cause of direct maternal mortality and responsible for a large proportion of perinatal deaths in South Africa (accounting for 14.8% of all maternal deaths and ~19% of perinatal deaths).12 15 The BANC Plus Guidelines and WHO Recommendations for a Positive Pregnancy Experience can be viewed in full here.5 During the month of April 2017, the demand for ANC was generated by radio adverts to promote the increased number of antenatal contacts, women on the MomConnect app were informed of the new contacts and all women currently accessing ANC given the new information. Supply was catered for by workshops being held in every district in South Africa explaining the new package and information was sent to midwives on their social media forum. There were no additional human resources needed and the only extra resource was printing the new antenatal checklists, so the costs were minimal. South Africa has an extensive network of primary care clinics, and they are not busy all of the time often in the afternoons there are no patients to be seen, so there was capacity to manage the extra contacts. BANC Plus workshops were held in the three districts of Mpumalanga in February and March 2017 with doctors and midwives from the hospitals and primary care clinics attending. At-scale implementation started on 1st of April 2017. A subanalysis of four catchment areas across South Africa (Springs, Upington, Mafikeng and Thohoyandou) between March 2017 (beginning of at-scale implementation) and March 2018 (after transition) showed an increase in the proportion of women who had accessed six contacts or more (from 36.5% to 61.0%) and women who accessed eight contacts or more (from 4.6% to 24.5%).16 Province-level data were extracted for each month during the study period for livebirths (birth weight (g), mother attended ANC (y/n), maternal condition) and perinatal deaths (birth weight (g), gestational age at birth (weeks), mother attended ANC (y/n), primary cause of death, maternal condition). Maternal condition was classified as: healthy mother, coincidental conditions, medical/surgical disorders, non-pregnancy-related infections, extrauterine pregnancy, pregnancy-related sepsis, obstetric haemorrhage, hypertension. Descriptive analyses were performed to compare stillbirth and early neonatal death period prevalence in the pre-implementation and post-implementation period as well as cause of death (including maternal condition). In addition, the number of stillbirths (fresh, macerated), early neonatal deaths (0–7 days) and perinatal death were calculated per 1000 births for each month of the study period. Interrupted time-series analyses (ordinary least square regression) with Newey-West SEs were used to examine trends in perinatal deaths, stillbirths and early neonatal deaths before and after implementation. Six months post-implementation of the guidelines was used as the start of the post-implementation period to allow women becoming pregnant under the new recommendations to give birth. Interrupted time-series analyses are useful when population-level outcomes (eg, deaths per 1000 births) are calculated over time with statistical regression modelling used to examine how trends in outcomes are impacted by a population-level exposure occurring in a well-defined period (in this case, implementation of the 2016 WHO Recommendations for a Positive Pregnancy Experience/BANC Plus on 1st of April 2017).17 In this way, any disruptions to the underlying trends in the outcome over time can be examined. Three assumptions were confirmed prior to conducting the interrupted time-series analyses including (a) the pre-trend was linear (examined visually), (b) characteristics of the study population remain unchanged over the study period, (c) there is no comparator against which to adjust the results for changes that should not be attributed to the intervention.17 The analyses were conducted using StataMP V.15, making use of the ITSA command for the interrupted time-series analysis. Stillbirth risk across pregnancy was compared before and after implementation using Yudkin’s method of stillbirth risk calculation (known at the fetuses-at-risk approach) as in our previous analyses.8 18 This approach considers the number of fetuses still in-utero as the population at risk. There was no information available on the gestational age of livebirths for all women across Mpumalanga province. Therefore, gestational age at birth for livebirths in one subdistrict (Mamelodi subdistrict) was used to estimate the number of livebirths at each gestational age across Mpumalanga province. (1) The proportion of live births in each birth weight category (500–999 g; 1000–1499 g; 1500–1999 g; 2000–2499 g; ≥2500 g) for Mpumalanga was compared with the proportion of live births in each birth weight category for Mamelodi. There were no significant differences in the proportion of live births occurring in each birth weight category between Mpumalanga and Mamelodi. (2) The distribution of live births across gestation from Mamelodi was plotted, that is, the proportion of all live births for Mamelodi that occurred at each gestational age (eg, at 26 weeks 0.49% of infants were born, at 38 weeks 17.67% of infants were born). (3) The proportion of live births at each gestational age in Mamelodi was applied to the number of known births in Mpumalanga (eg, at 26 weeks 0.49% of infants were born, at 38 weeks 17.67% of infants were born). (4) Sensitivity analysis was conducted as outlined below. At each gestational age stillbirth risk was calculated using the number of stillbirths (as the numerator) divided by the total number of unborn fetuses and expressed as the number of stillbirths per 1000 fetuses still in-utero. No patients were involved in setting the research question or the outcome measures, nor were they involved in developing plans for design or implementation of the study. No patients were asked to advise on interpretation or writing up of results.

The innovation for improving access to maternal health based on the study’s recommendations includes:

1. Increasing the number of antenatal care contacts: Provide additional antenatal care contacts for pregnant women, following the recommended schedule of >12, 20, 26, 30, 34, 36, 38, and 40 weeks. This will allow for more frequent monitoring and support throughout pregnancy.

2. Enhancing the content of antenatal care contacts: Modify the antenatal checklist to include specific examinations, investigations, and interventions that need to be done at each contact. This will ensure comprehensive and standardized care for pregnant women.

3. Promoting awareness and education: Conduct awareness campaigns through various channels, such as radio adverts and digital platforms, to inform pregnant women about the increased number of antenatal care contacts and the importance of accessing them. Provide educational materials to healthcare providers to ensure they are knowledgeable about the updated recommendations.

4. Strengthening healthcare infrastructure: Ensure that healthcare facilities, particularly primary health clinics, have the capacity to accommodate the increased number of antenatal care contacts. This may involve training additional healthcare providers and ensuring the availability of necessary resources and equipment.

5. Monitoring and evaluation: Establish a system for monitoring and evaluating the implementation of the recommendations. Regularly assess the impact on perinatal mortality rates and other relevant outcomes. Use this data to identify areas for improvement and make necessary adjustments to the innovation.

By implementing these recommendations as an innovation, access to maternal health can be improved, leading to a potential reduction in stillbirths and early neonatal deaths. It is important to continuously monitor and evaluate the innovation to ensure its effectiveness and make any necessary improvements.
AI Innovations Description
The recommendation that can be developed into an innovation to improve access to maternal health is the implementation of the 2016 WHO Recommendations for a Positive Pregnancy Experience. This recommendation includes increasing the number of antenatal care contacts and enhancing the content of these contacts. The study mentioned in the description evaluated the impact of implementing these recommendations on perinatal mortality in Mpumalanga province, South Africa.

The findings of the study showed a 5.8% decrease in stillbirths after the implementation of the recommendations, although this decrease was not statistically significant. However, there was a significant decrease in fresh stillbirths (>2500 g) by 17.2% and early neonatal deaths by 12.8%. The interrupted time-series analysis also indicated a decreasing trend in stillbirths, early neonatal deaths, and perinatal mortality after the implementation.

To implement this recommendation as an innovation, the following steps can be taken:

1. Increase the number of antenatal care contacts: Provide additional antenatal care contacts for pregnant women, following the recommended schedule of >12, 20, 26, 30, 34, 36, 38, and 40 weeks. This will allow for more frequent monitoring and support throughout pregnancy.

2. Enhance the content of antenatal care contacts: Modify the antenatal checklist to include specific examinations, investigations, and interventions that need to be done at each contact. This will ensure comprehensive and standardized care for pregnant women.

3. Promote awareness and education: Conduct awareness campaigns through various channels, such as radio adverts and digital platforms, to inform pregnant women about the increased number of antenatal care contacts and the importance of accessing them. Provide educational materials to healthcare providers to ensure they are knowledgeable about the updated recommendations.

4. Strengthen healthcare infrastructure: Ensure that healthcare facilities, particularly primary health clinics, have the capacity to accommodate the increased number of antenatal care contacts. This may involve training additional healthcare providers and ensuring the availability of necessary resources and equipment.

5. Monitor and evaluate: Establish a system for monitoring and evaluating the implementation of the recommendations. Regularly assess the impact on perinatal mortality rates and other relevant outcomes. Use this data to identify areas for improvement and make necessary adjustments to the innovation.

By implementing these recommendations as an innovation, access to maternal health can be improved, leading to a potential reduction in stillbirths and early neonatal deaths. It is important to continuously monitor and evaluate the innovation to ensure its effectiveness and make any necessary improvements.
AI Innovations Methodology
The study described above utilized an interrupted time-series analysis to evaluate the impact of implementing the 2016 WHO Recommendations on Antenatal Care for a Positive Pregnancy Experience on perinatal deaths in Mpumalanga province, South Africa. The methodology involved comparing data from the pre-implementation period (April 2014-March 2017) to the post-implementation period (April 2018-September 2019).

Here is a brief summary of the methodology used in the study:

1. Data Collection: Province-level perinatal mortality data, including primary cause of death, were obtained from the Perinatal Problem Identification Program (PPIP), which captures births and deaths in all public health facilities in South Africa.

2. Study Population: The study included all women who accessed at least one antenatal care contact between April 2014 and September 2019 in Mpumalanga province.

3. Implementation Period: The 2016 WHO Recommendations were implemented from April 2017. A 12-month implementation period was allowed, during which the intervention was scaled up across the province.

4. Pre- and Post-Implementation Periods: The pre-implementation period was defined as April 2014 to March 2017, and the post-implementation period was defined as April 2018 to September 2019.

5. Outcome Measures: The main outcome measure was the prevalence ratio (PR) for perinatal deaths before and after implementation. Other outcome measures included trends in perinatal mortality, stillbirth risk by gestational age, and primary cause of deaths.

6. Statistical Analysis: Descriptive analyses were performed to compare stillbirth and early neonatal death rates before and after implementation. Interrupted time-series analyses using ordinary least square regression were conducted to examine trends in perinatal deaths, stillbirths, and early neonatal deaths before and after implementation.

7. Stillbirth Risk Calculation: Stillbirth risk across pregnancy was calculated using Yudkin’s method, which considers the number of fetuses still in-utero as the population at risk. Gestational age at birth data from one subdistrict (Mamelodi) were used to estimate the number of livebirths at each gestational age in Mpumalanga province.

8. Sensitivity Analysis: A sensitivity analysis was conducted to assess the robustness of the stillbirth risk calculations.

It is important to note that no patients were directly involved in the study design, data collection, or analysis. The study relied on existing data from the PPIP and did not involve direct patient participation or input.

Overall, the study found that the implementation of the 2016 WHO Recommendations for a Positive Pregnancy Experience may be an effective public health strategy to reduce stillbirths in South African provinces.

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