Maternal and fetal outcomes of pregnancies complicated by acute hepatitis E and the impact of HIV status: A cross-sectional study in Namibia

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Study Justification:
– The study aims to analyze the maternal and fetal outcomes of pregnancies complicated by acute hepatitis E in Namibia, particularly in relation to HIV status.
– The justification for the study is the significant impact of hepatitis E on pregnant and postpartum women, with nearly half of hepatitis E-related deaths occurring in this population.
– The study seeks to provide insights into the outcomes of these pregnancies and assess the influence of HIV status on the outcomes.
Study Highlights:
– The study included 70 pregnant and postpartum women with reactive IgM for Hepatitis E.
– Acute liver failure (ALF) occurred in 40% of the women, with a case fatality rate of 18.6%.
– HIV infection was present in 22.9% of the women, compared to 16.8% in the general pregnant population.
– Among HIV-infected women, those not adherent to antiretroviral therapy had a higher risk of developing ALF compared to those adherent to treatment.
– Miscarriages, intra-uterine fetal deaths, and neonatal deaths were also observed.
Recommendations:
– The study highlights the high mortality rate among pregnant women with Hepatitis E and emphasizes the need for further investigation and intervention.
– The findings suggest that HIV-infected women receiving antiretroviral therapy may have a lower risk of developing ALF, indicating the potential benefits of treatment adherence.
– The phenomenon observed in this study should be assessed in larger cohorts to validate the findings and explore potential interventions.
Key Role Players:
– Ministry of Health and Social Services
– World Health Organization
– Windhoek Hospital Complex
– National Maternal Death Review Committee
– National Institute of Pathology
– Prevention Mother to Child Transmission Program
Cost Items for Planning Recommendations:
– Research personnel and staff
– Data collection and analysis tools
– Laboratory tests and equipment
– Medical records and documentation
– Training and capacity building
– Travel and logistics for collaboration with relevant organizations
– Dissemination of findings through publications and conferences

The strength of evidence for this abstract is 7 out of 10.
The evidence in the abstract is moderately strong. The study design is a retrospective cross-sectional study, which limits the ability to establish causality. However, the study includes a reasonable sample size of 70 women and provides odds ratios and confidence intervals to quantify the associations. The study also includes relevant outcomes such as acute liver failure, maternal death, miscarriage, intra-uterine fetal death, and neonatal death. To improve the strength of the evidence, future studies could consider a prospective design and include a larger sample size to increase statistical power.

Background & Aims: Namibia has been suffering from an outbreak of hepatitis E genotype 2 since 2017. As nearly half of hepatitis E-related deaths were among pregnant and postpartum women, we analysed maternal and fetal outcomes of pregnancies complicated by acute hepatitis E and assessed whether HIV-status impacted on outcome. Methods: A retrospective cross-sectional study was performed at Windhoek Hospital Complex. Pregnant and postpartum women, admitted between 13 October 2017 and 31 May 2019 with reactive IgM for Hepatitis E, were included. Outcomes were acute liver failure (ALF), maternal death, miscarriage, intra-uterine fetal death and neonatal death. Odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated. Results: Seventy women were included. ALF occurred in 28 (40.0%) of whom 13 died amounting to a case fatality rate of 18.6%. Sixteen women (22.9%) were HIV infected, compared to 16.8% among the general pregnant population (OR 1.47, 95% CI 0.84-2.57, P =.17). ALF occurred in 4/5 (80%) HIV infected women not adherent to antiretroviral therapy compared to 1/8 (12.5%) women adherent to antiretroviral therapy (OR 28.0, 95% CI 1.4-580.6). There were 10 miscarriages (14.3%), five intra-uterine fetal deaths (7.1%) and four neonatal deaths (5.7%). Conclusions: One in five pregnant women with Hepatitis E genotype 2 died, which is comparable to genotype 1 outbreaks. Despite small numbers, HIV infected women receiving antiretroviral therapy appear to be less likely to develop ALF in contrast with HIV infected women not on treatment. As there is currently no curative treatment, this phenomenon needs to be assessed in larger cohorts.

This retrospective cross‐sectional study was performed in Windhoek Hospital Complex, which has around 12 000 births annually. The first HEV case of the outbreak in Namibia was reported on 13 October 2017 in Khomas region, in which the capital Windhoek is located. The outbreak continued in the city and by August 2019, there were 6151 reported cases nationally and the outbreak had spread to 10 of the 14 regions with sporadic cases in the other regions as well. 9 The national case fatality rate (CFR) was 0.9% with 56 fatalities. 9 The majority of HEV cases were reported to be among people from informal settlements. These settlements are densely populated with limited access to sanitation, safe drinking water and hygiene. Most people live in the capital for work but travel to different parts of the country to visit family members several times a year. This continuous movement to different regions has likely facilitated the spread of HEV throughout the country. In 2018, two blood samples were tested for genotyping and showed HEV genotype 2. There are reports from two previous outbreaks in Namibia. Both were in the informal settlements of Rundu, a town in northern Namibia, of which the first outbreak was in 1983 because of HEV genotype 1 and the second outbreak in 1995 because of genotype 2. 14 , 15 Whereas most outbreaks last on average a year, the outbreak in Namibia which started in 2017 has been ongoing for more than 3 years. 2 According to the national HIV guidelines, all adults with HIV are started on antiretroviral therapy (ART) in Namibia, regardless of CD4 count or clinical stage. 16 In comparison to their neighbouring countries, Namibia performs well in implementation of the ART services: in 2017, 97.1% of HIV‐infected females were on ART and of these, 92.2% were virally suppressed. 11 All pregnant women and women whose birth was terminated less than 42 days earlier, who were admitted to Windhoek Hospital Complex between 13 October 2017 and 31 May 2019 with acute HEV, confirmed by a reactive HEV immunoglobulin M (IgM), were eligible for inclusion in this study. Women were excluded if no positive IgM test result was available, the woman was not admitted to a health facility, her pregnancy or recent pregnancy could not be confirmed, or her clinical file could not be traced. The Ministry of Health and Social Services, together with the World Health Organization, developed clinical management guidelines, recommending all pregnant and postpartum women with jaundice to be admitted and tested for reactive HEV IgM, regardless if other clinical symptoms were present. Therefore, many women with mild disease were admitted and included in our cohort. Cases were identified using a list of all suspected HEV cases in Khomas region from the Ministry of Health and Social Sciences of Namibia, which was established from the start of the outbreak, as hepatitis E is a notifiable disease. Because of budget restrictions, it was not possible to apply this list to other affected regions. Nevertheless, our cohort included the majority of pregnant women with HEV in Namibia, as the capital and it’s referring regions were most severely affected by the outbreak. In the referring regions intensive care unit (ICU) facilities were not available and nearly all pregnant women with a confirmed HEV infection were therefore transferred to our study site for further monitoring and care. In the hospital complex the capital ICU facilities were available to provide supportive care for patients with ALF. For identification of possible missed cases, data from the National Maternal Death Review Committee of the Ministry of Health and Social Services was used. This committee analysed all maternal deaths occurring in the country between 1st of April 2018 and 31st of March 2019 and all cases of severe morbidity between 1st of March 2018 and 31st of May 2018 in the capital and between 1st of October 2018 till 31st of March 2019 nationally. 10 , 17 , 18 Considering the severe clinical course among pregnant women, these cohorts contained many women with complicated pregnancies because of HEV. For identified cases, data were collected anonymously from medical records using a structured data collection tool, including socio‐demographic characteristics, maternal outcomes, fetal outcomes, obstetric complications, signs of liver failure and HIV status. This was done by AH and MC and verified by SH and MJ, both medical doctors with several years of experience providing obstetric care in Namibia. Laboratory test results on admission and the most abnormal value during admission were collected from the database of the National Institute of Pathology, including alanine aspartate aminotransferases, alanine aminotransferases, bilirubin, haemoglobin, platelets, creatinine and international normalized ratio (INR). Serology test for hepatitis A, B and C were performed by Alinity Abbott. Hepatitis E serology was performed using Aria rapid tests. Glucose values were obtained through capillary blood tests. If the woman was HIV infected, data on ART treatment adherence, latest CD4 count and viral load value were retrieved from medical records, the database of the National Institute of Pathology and additional information was collected through the ART clinic the patient was attending. Data regarding fetal outcome was obtained from the woman’s medical record. If a neonate had been admitted to neonatal ICU, survival status was obtained from neonatal ICU admission records. No neonate was tested for vertical transmission of HEV, as PCR testing was not available. HIV prevalence among the general pregnant population was collected through the Prevention Mother to Child Transmission Program of the Ministry of Health and Social Services. Main maternal outcomes were number of women with acute liver failure (ALF) and death. ALF was defined according to the definition of European Association for the Study of the Liver; acute abnormality of liver blood tests(elevated serum transaminases) in an individual without underlying chronic liver disease followed by hepatic encephalopathy of any grade and a INR > 1.5. 19 Severity of hepatic encephalopathy was graded using the West Haven Criteria, ranging from grade 1 with mild altered mental stage up to grade 4 which is complete coma. Acute hepatitis B was identified with a reactive test for IgM anti‐HBc. Chronic hepatitis B was diagnosed when a woman had a reactive test for both HBsAG and anti‐HBc. Hypoglycaemia was defined as any capillary blood glucose 1000 mL blood loss after birth. Premature birth was defined as birth between 26 weeks and 0 days of gestation and 36 weeks and 6 days. Intra‐uterine fetal death was defined as a death before birth in a fetus with a gestational age of 26 weeks and 0 days or more. For miscarriage, the threshold of less than 26 weeks and 0 days was used. Neonatal death was death during the first 28 days of life. All results were reported as numbers (n) and frequencies (%). An ART defaulter was defined as any woman who interrupted her treatment and missed at least one clinic visit. 16 Maternal case fatality rate was defined as the number of maternal deaths divided by the number of pregnancies complicated by acute hepatitis E and presented as a percentage. Fetal case fatality rate was defined as the number of intra‐uterine fetal deaths and neonatal deaths, divided by the number of pregnancies complicated by acute hepatitis E and presented as a percentage. Continuous variables are presented as means with standard deviations and differences in normally distributed variables were assessed using a student t‐test. Missing data were assumed to be ‘no’ for categorical data, whereas complete case analysis was used to handle missing data for continuous variables and data regarding ART adherence. Categorical variables are presented as percentages. Differences were assessed using chi‐square test or Fisher’s Exact test when indicated and odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) are presented. Statistical significance was assumed at a two‐sided value of P < .05. Data analysis was performed with SPSS version 26. We followed the STROBE reporting guidelines.

Based on the information provided, it is difficult to determine specific innovations for improving access to maternal health. However, here are some potential recommendations that could be considered:

1. Strengthening healthcare infrastructure: Investing in healthcare facilities, particularly in regions with limited access to sanitation, safe drinking water, and hygiene, can improve maternal health outcomes. This could include building or upgrading hospitals, clinics, and maternity centers.

2. Enhancing prenatal care services: Improving access to prenatal care can help identify and manage complications early on. This could involve increasing the number of healthcare providers, implementing mobile clinics or telemedicine services, and providing education and resources to pregnant women.

3. Increasing awareness and education: Educating women and communities about the importance of maternal health, including the risks of hepatitis E and HIV, can help prevent and manage complications. This could include awareness campaigns, community outreach programs, and providing educational materials in local languages.

4. Strengthening healthcare workforce: Training and equipping healthcare providers with the necessary skills and resources to manage maternal health complications, such as acute liver failure, can improve outcomes. This could involve specialized training programs, continuing education opportunities, and ensuring access to necessary medical equipment and medications.

5. Improving data collection and surveillance: Enhancing the collection and analysis of data on maternal health outcomes, including hepatitis E and HIV, can help identify trends and inform targeted interventions. This could involve implementing robust surveillance systems, improving data sharing and collaboration between healthcare facilities, and conducting research studies to gather more evidence.

It is important to note that these recommendations are general and may need to be tailored to the specific context and resources available in Namibia. Additionally, further research and consultation with healthcare professionals and policymakers would be necessary to determine the most effective strategies for improving access to maternal health in this particular setting.
AI Innovations Description
Based on the provided information, the following recommendation can be developed into an innovation to improve access to maternal health:

1. Strengthening Antiretroviral Therapy (ART) Adherence: Based on the study findings, HIV-infected pregnant women who were adherent to ART had a lower likelihood of developing acute liver failure (ALF) compared to those who were not adherent. Therefore, implementing innovative strategies to improve ART adherence among HIV-infected pregnant women can help reduce the risk of complications related to hepatitis E and improve maternal health outcomes.

Possible innovation: Develop a mobile application or SMS-based reminder system that sends regular medication reminders and provides educational resources on the importance of ART adherence for pregnant women. This innovation can help improve medication adherence and ensure that HIV-infected pregnant women receive the necessary treatment to prevent complications.

2. Enhanced Surveillance and Early Detection: The study highlighted the importance of early detection and management of hepatitis E in pregnant women. Implementing a robust surveillance system and improving access to diagnostic testing can help identify cases early and initiate appropriate interventions.

Possible innovation: Develop a point-of-care diagnostic test for hepatitis E that is affordable, easy to use, and can be deployed in resource-limited settings. This innovation can enable healthcare providers to quickly diagnose hepatitis E in pregnant women, leading to timely interventions and improved maternal health outcomes.

3. Strengthening Maternal Healthcare Facilities: The study mentioned that pregnant women with hepatitis E were often transferred to a specific hospital for further monitoring and care due to the unavailability of intensive care unit (ICU) facilities in referring regions. Strengthening healthcare facilities, particularly in regions with limited resources, can improve access to quality maternal healthcare for women with hepatitis E.

Possible innovation: Develop a mobile or modular ICU unit that can be easily transported and set up in regions with limited healthcare infrastructure. This innovation can provide critical care support to pregnant women with complications, including those with hepatitis E, in remote or underserved areas.

4. Health Education and Awareness: The study highlighted the impact of informal settlements, limited access to sanitation, safe drinking water, and hygiene on the spread of hepatitis E. Increasing health education and awareness about preventive measures can help reduce the transmission of hepatitis E and improve maternal health.

Possible innovation: Develop a community-based health education program that focuses on promoting hygiene practices, safe drinking water, and sanitation in informal settlements. This innovation can empower communities to take preventive measures and reduce the risk of hepatitis E transmission among pregnant women.

It is important to note that these recommendations are based on the specific context of the study in Namibia. When implementing any innovation, it is crucial to consider the local healthcare infrastructure, resources, and cultural factors to ensure its effectiveness and sustainability.
AI Innovations Methodology
Based on the provided information, here are some potential recommendations to improve access to maternal health in the context of the hepatitis E outbreak in Namibia:

1. Strengthening Healthcare Infrastructure: Enhance the capacity of healthcare facilities, particularly in regions with limited access to sanitation, safe drinking water, and hygiene. This can involve improving healthcare infrastructure, increasing the number of healthcare professionals, and ensuring the availability of necessary medical equipment and supplies.

2. Awareness and Education Campaigns: Launch comprehensive awareness and education campaigns to educate pregnant women and their families about the risks of hepatitis E and the importance of seeking timely medical care. These campaigns can include information on symptoms, prevention measures, and the availability of healthcare services.

3. Mobile Clinics and Outreach Programs: Implement mobile clinics and outreach programs to reach pregnant women in remote areas or informal settlements where access to healthcare facilities is limited. These clinics can provide prenatal care, screening for hepatitis E, and necessary treatment or referrals.

4. Integration of Services: Integrate hepatitis E screening and management into existing maternal health services to ensure that pregnant women are routinely screened and provided with appropriate care. This can be done by training healthcare providers on the identification and management of hepatitis E cases during pregnancy.

To simulate the impact of these recommendations on improving access to maternal health, a methodology could include the following steps:

1. Define the Objectives: Clearly define the objectives of the simulation, such as assessing the potential increase in the number of pregnant women accessing healthcare services or estimating the reduction in maternal and fetal mortality rates.

2. Data Collection: Gather relevant data on the current state of maternal health access, including the number of pregnant women seeking care, the availability of healthcare facilities, and the prevalence of hepatitis E. This data can be obtained from healthcare records, surveys, and government reports.

3. Model Development: Develop a simulation model that incorporates the identified recommendations and their potential impact on improving access to maternal health. This model should consider factors such as population demographics, healthcare infrastructure, and the effectiveness of the proposed interventions.

4. Parameter Estimation: Estimate the parameters required for the simulation model, such as the number of pregnant women in different regions, the coverage of healthcare services, and the effectiveness of the interventions. This can be done through data analysis, expert input, and literature review.

5. Simulation Execution: Run the simulation using the developed model and the estimated parameters. This will generate simulated outcomes, such as the number of pregnant women accessing healthcare services, the reduction in maternal and fetal mortality rates, and the impact on the spread of hepatitis E.

6. Analysis and Interpretation: Analyze the simulation results to assess the impact of the recommendations on improving access to maternal health. Interpret the findings to understand the potential benefits and limitations of the proposed interventions.

7. Sensitivity Analysis: Conduct sensitivity analysis to evaluate the robustness of the simulation results by varying key parameters and assumptions. This will help identify the factors that have the most significant influence on the outcomes.

8. Recommendations and Implementation: Based on the simulation findings, provide recommendations for implementing the identified interventions to improve access to maternal health. Consider the feasibility, cost-effectiveness, and sustainability of the recommendations in the local context.

It is important to note that the methodology described above is a general framework and may need to be adapted based on the specific context and available data in Namibia.

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